1)A company produces machine components which pass through an automatic testing

machine. 5% of the components entering the testing machine are defective. However,
the machine is not entirely reliable. If a component is defective there is 4% probability that it will not be rejected. If
a component is not defective there is 7% probability
that it will be rejected.
a) What fraction of all the components are rejected?
b) What fraction of the components rejected are actually not defective?
c) What fraction of those not rejected are defective?

2)Of the feed material for a manufacturing plant, 85% is satisfactory, and the rest is
not. If it is satisfactory, the probability it will pass Test A is 92%. If it is not
satisfactory, the probability it will pass Test A is 9.5%. If it passes Test A it goes
on to Test B; 99% will pass Test B if the material is satisfactory, and 16% will
pass Test B if the material is not satisfactory. If it fails Test A it goes on to Test
C; 82% will pass Test C if the material is satisfactory, but only 3% will pass Test
C if the material is not satisfactory. Material is accepted if it passes both Test A
and Test B. Material is rejected if it fails both Test A and Test C. Material is
reprocessed if it fails Test B or passes Test C.
a) What percentage of the feed material is accepted?
b) What percentage of the feed material is reprocessed?
c) What percentage of the material which is reprocessed was satisfactory?

3)A machining process produces 98.6% good components. The rest are defective.
Each component passes through a pneumatic gauging system. 96% of the defective components are rejected by the g
auging system, but 5% of the good
components are rejected also. All components rejected by the gauging system
pass through a tester. The tester accepts 98% of the good components and 12% of
the defective components which reach it. The components which are accepted by
the tester go a second time through the gauging system, which now accepts 92%
of the good components and 6% of the defective components which pass through
it. The total reject stream consists of components rejected by the tester and
components rejected by the second pass through the gauging system. The total
accepted stream consists of components accepted by the gauging system in either
pass.
a) What percentage of all the components are rejected?
b) What percentage of the total reject stream was accepted by the tester?
c) What percentage of the total reject stream are not defective?

4)It is known that of the articles produced by a factory, 20% come from Machine
A, 30% from Machine B, and 50% from Machine C. The percentages of satisfactory articles among those produced
are 95% for A, 85% for B and 90% for C. An
article is chosen at random.
a) What is the probability that it is satisfactory?
b) Assuming that the article is satisfactory, what is the probability that it was
produced by Machine A?