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Private Equity - Implications For Economic Growth in Asia Pacific
Private Equity - Implications For Economic Growth in Asia Pacific
Contents
introduction
2 4 8 14
executive summary
Criticisms of private equity and regulatory responses Excessive leverage Lack of transparency Potential conflicts of interest Tax leakage Negative impact on employment Other issues
29 30
private equity performance analysis Case studies Little Sheep in China Austar in Australia the way forward
40
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Introduction
The lure of Asia Pacific for private equity houses has increased dramatically over the last few years and showed no signs of abating during the first six months of 2007. Last year, private equity (PE) companies in Asia Pacific raised USD 32.9 billion in new capital, up 39 percent from 2005 and five times the total just four years ago. Deal volumes jumped 79 percent in 2006, with a total of 1,495 transactions completed and average deal size up by 8 percent to USD 41.3 million.1 According to the Asian Venture Capital Journal, private equity houses invested USD 61.8 billion of new funds during the year and total private equity funds under management across the region rose by almost 30 percent to USD 158.5 billion, from USD 122 billion in 2005.Initial figures for the first six months on 2007 indicated that these trends have all continued.2 This sudden growth has caused excitement, but also some alarm. To a degree, this reflects a lack of understanding about this industry and its somewhat brash image when seen against the quiet dedication of Asian businesses and financial institutions. Media opinion pieces have cautioned against the PE houses excessive and lightly-taxed profits and their use of high levels of debt to fund buyouts. In turn, this is influencing a wider political and regulatory debate. In Australia, these sentiments have been voiced by several prominent politicians. If private equity funds broaden their market activity substantially they can affect our whole economy, Senator Andrew Murray recently warned. If as a consequence the market as a whole is exposed to too much higher risk, then so is Australia exposed to much higher risk.3 Although a Senate inquiry found no case for further regulation at present, it did note and recommend the ongoing vigilance of the corporate and taxation authorities. The anxiety is by no means confined to Asia Pacific. In the United States, congressional hearings are being held to examine the risks of hedge funds and private equity funds, and whether the tax rates these funds pay should be sharply raised. The US Securities and Exchange Commission recently adopted a new anti-fraud rule for hedge funds and private equity funds, which are technically not covered by the Investment Advisers Act of 1940.4 In the United Kingdom, the Walker Commission into private equity has now handed down its report, recommending a variety of measures designed to enhance the transparency of private equity funds to their stakeholders and the community at large.
1 Asian Venture Capital Database, 24 September 2007 2 Data provided by AVCJ Research show that private equity houses made new investments of USD 37.4 billion in the first half of 2007, up 24.7 percent from the same period in 2006, while total private equity funds under management across Asia Pacific topped USD 171 billion, from USD 138.5 billion in the first half of 2006. 3 Private Equity: Higher risk, higher return, higher danger, online opinion by Senator Andrew Murray in Australian Democrats, 6 February 2007 www.democrats.org.au. 4 On 11 July 2007 commissioners of the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) voted 5-0 to adopt a new rule that will make it a fraudulent, deceptive, or manipulative act, practice, or course of business for an investment adviser to a pooled investment vehicle to make false or misleading statements to, or otherwise defraud, investors or prospective investors in that pool. In a media statement, SEC Chairman Christopher Cox said the rule applies to investment advisers not only of hedge funds, but also of private equity funds, venture capital funds, and mutual funds. Source: SEC Votes to Adopt Antifraud Rule Under Investment Advisers Act, media release by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, 11 July 2007.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Private equity investments in Asia Pacific are quite modest by international standards. In Australia, a major destination for private equity investment, the value of all businesses purchased by private equity funds in 2006 amounted to less than 1.4 percent of the market capitalisation of all companies listed on the Australian Securities Exchange.5 At the regional level, USD 61.8 billion of private equity deals were announced in 2006,6 coming to a minuscule 0.5 percent of market capitalisation.7 Nevertheless, these complaints and criticism have swayed opinion among the wider public, many of whom would have barely heard of private equity more than a year ago. Private equity has now been made very public. The turmoil in the debt and equity markets over July and August 2007 has further focused the spotlight on private equity, particularly the large leveraged buy-outs with their substantial covenant-lite debt packages. While it is still too early to call just how markets in the region will react over the next year as the debt crisis in the sub-prime US home loan market works it way through the global financial system, it is fair to say that, at least over July and August 2007, there seems to have been minimal impact on announced deals in this region where the focus is on growth capital rather than leveraged buy-outs. The speculation about how the industry may fare in this new world where risk has been re-priced has illustrated how little is known about private equitys core investment rationale. This report presents some basic facts about private equity funds in the region, including their size, their deals, their investment approach, exit strategies and plans for the future. By assembling information directly from the ground, we hope to inject a measure of objectivity into the emotional debate on private equity in Asia.
5 Private Equity in Australia, submission by the Australian Private Equity & Venture Capital Association Limited (AVCAL) to the Senate Standing Committee on Economics, May 2007. 6 Asian Venture Capital Journal database. According to the World Federation of Exchanges, the combined market capitalisation of 17 Asian stock markets, including those in Japan, Hong Kong, Australia, China, India and South Korea, topped USD 12 trillion as of the end of 2006. 7 WFE Annual Report and Statistics 2006, annual report by the World Federation of Exchanges.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Executive summary
In March 2007, KPMG member firms in Asia Pacific commissioned a survey of 119 private equity funds across the region. The following are the key findings:
Generalist, venture and growth capital are likely to remain as private equitys bread and butter. Only one-tenth of respondents describe their fund as a buyout fund, meaning that their strategy is to acquire other businesses, usually by borrowing against the target companys assets (10 percent). The vast majority of those polled describe their fund as generalist, meaning it invests in all stages of a companys development (44 percent), provides venture capital to start-up enterprises (27 percent), acts as a fund-of-funds that finances other private equity funds (11 percent), or injects growth capital into later-stage companies in need of expansion support (8 percent). This indicates that while high profile buyouts may dominate the headlines, most private equity funds will continue to take stakes in private companies and work with existing management to build more profitable and competitive enterprises. While public to private (P2P) transactions are comparatively rare in the region, they look set to become more of a focus. Only 39 percent of the respondents say they conduct P2P deals. Looking forward, another 47 percent say that, while their fund currently does not engage in P2P, they may consider doing so in the future. A key determinant of the reluctance to participate in P2P deals is the high execution risk, as Australian PE funds have found in recent times. There also needs to be a degree of maturity in the capital markets and a regulatory acceptance of this type of takeover activity. Whatever the investment approach, the respondents describe their company as an active participant in the task of growing businesses. The vast majority, 90 percent, say their company is a hands-on investor. They agree strongly with statements that say private equity companies supply the capital needed to expand businesses, provide management guidance at the board level and improve corporate governance. In terms of their impact on economies, the respondents say their main contributions lie in improving the ability of regional businesses to compete globally (India, Korea, Japan and Oceania), helping a country attract external investment (China, India), and growing small businesses (Southeast Asia). This reflects the core thesis of private equity funds that, while they may bring some debt to a deal, there must be a core growth of earnings proposition. At the very least this should increase value based on a current multiples and it should also create the possibility for a multiple shift as the underlying quality of earnings is raised. Mezzanine finance will increasingly be used to help structure private equity investments. Slightly more than half of respondents expect increased borrowings from Asia Pacific banks (55 percent), local banks (53 percent) and international banks (48 percent). In addition, the majority (70 percent) see increased levels of borrowing from mezzanine funds or providers.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Future investments are likely to diversify risks because they will be pan-regional rather than focused on a single country. Six out of ten respondents (66 percent) say the next fund they raise will have a pan-regional focus, with only 34 percent saying their next fund will concentrate on a single market. This investment mandate gives the fund managers flexibility in applying the funds to work, reduces overall fund risk and reflects a view of the region, or segments of it, as an integrated economic whole rather than as a collection of disparate countries. The one exception to this is likely to be Japan. Most likely due to the size of its economy and M&A market, it is expected that pure Japan focussed funds will continue to attract much interest. Going forward, private equity investment is likely to continue growing strongly across the region. Asked the primary reason for investing in the Asia Pacific, the overwhelming majority (94 percent) cite economic growth, a trend that looks set to continue particularly in China and India in the foreseeable future; 83 percent expect to see deal sizes increase in the next two years, with only 15 percent forecasting no change. In the next five years, the top two target markets will be China 74 percent of respondents say their company will remain or put in new money there and India (63 percent). More than one-third each say they will be in Taiwan (38 percent), Australia (37 percent) and Vietnam (36 percent). They expect to be investing in consumer markets, healthcare, environment, services and renewable/alternative energy.
The growth of private equity in Asia appears to be having a positive effect in driving economic gains across the region. The findings of this report suggest that private equity is fulfilling an important development function in mentoring entrepreneurs and mid- and late-stage managements about operational best practices, transparency and corporate governance, and achieving regional and global competitiveness. Private equity houses have also pursued "roll-up" strategies, building economies of scale and creating companies that have the potential to expand out of their Asian roots and become more serious global players. Both advocates and antagonists have noted, however, that the industry can do more to communicate its contributions. To do this, it has been suggested that the industry needs to engage with the media and the investment community, and disclose its results not only to its shareholders but also to the larger market. Some proponents suggest that at the very least it needs to clearly explain to outsiders why and when certain information cannot be shared publicly. Private equity firms could also consider adopting a code of practice and code of ethics, and pursue more self-regulation to pre-empt more heavy-handed regulatory oversight.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Respondent Location
10% 11%
29% 65%
18%
We would like to thank all the executives from private equity houses and private equity organisations that were interviewed in the course of this research.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
1600 1400 1200 Volume of deals 1000 800 600 400 200 2003 2004 2005 2006 0
Funds Raised
Volume of deals
The regions private equity funds have large volumes of capital to invest. Last year, they raised USD 32.9 billion in new money, an increase of 39 percent from 2005 and five times new fund-raising in 2002. They are now aggressively putting that money to work. The number of private equity deals last year jumped 79 percent to 1,495 transactions, from 834 in 2005 and just 532 in 2002. The value of the 2006 deals topped USD 61 billion, up 94 percent from 2005 and over five times the value of 2002 transactions. A key driver in this growth has been a move up the transaction value chain between 2003 and 2005 there were on average eight deals a year in excess of USD 500 million; in 2006, there were 24 completed deals. Similarly, the average deal size has grown from just USD 18.5 million in 2002 to USD 41.3 million in 2006. Asked about deal size in the next two years, the vast majority of our respondents (83 percent) expect this trend to continue.
8 These figures and other data in this section were extracted from the database of the Asian Venture Capital Journal, on 24 September 2007, unless otherwise stated.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
exhibit 2 How do you expect deal sizes to change over the next two years?
2% 15%
83%
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
Markets of choice
The key factor that makes the Asia Pacific region so compelling for private equity fund managers is the economic growth of the region 94 percent of our respondents singled this out (Exhibit 3). It is not surprising, therefore, to find that the market receiving the most interest from private equity funds is China. Economic growth eclipsed other considerations such as pricing, deal flow and competition. The upward pressure on the pricing of deals in Europe and the US has also made the region more interesting, with very few respondents mentioning low labour costs as a factor.
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
Six out of ten respondents say their private equity fund has assets in China. India is in a distant second (37 percent), followed by Australia (29 percent), Singapore (29 percent) Taiwan (28 percent) and Japan (21 percent). Of our sample set, the least penetrated markets are Vietnam (10 percent), the Philippines (8 percent), and Mongolia (3 percent).
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
When asked to project five years out, respondents still choose China as the prime target market (74 percent, see exhibit 4). India becomes far more popular (63 percent), however, whilst Taiwan (38 percent), Australia (37 percent) and Singapore (34 percent) remain attractive. The biggest mover is Vietnam, which vaults from near bottom to fifth place (36 percent). In terms of growth over time, the number of funds that expect to invest in Vietnam in the next five years represents an increase of 258 percent, though admittedly from a low base. Other big movers include the Philippines (130 percent), Indonesia (100 percent), India (70 percent), and Malaysia (68 percent). exhibit 4 Which countries do you think you will be targeting in five years time? China 74% India 63% Taiwan 38% Australia 37% Vietnam 36% Singapore 34% Korea 34% Japan 31% Malaysia 31% Indonesia 29% Thailand 25% New Zealand 23% Philippines 19% Mekong Delta (ex-Vietnam) 17%
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
The future make-up of private equity investments could be a force for continued stability. Future investments are likely to diversify risks because they will be pan-regional rather than focused on a single country (Exhibit 5); 66 percent of the respondents said the next fund they will raise will have a pan-regional focus, with only 34 percent saying their next fund will concentrate on a single market. This should help bring more stability to Asias private equity industry, and thus to financial markets and economies as a whole, since the ability to hold assets in multiple markets should lower overall risk. A wide investment mandate gives the fund managers flexibility in putting the funds to work, reduces overall fund risk and reflects an investors view the region, or segments of it, as an integrated economic whole rather than as a collection of disparate countries. exhibit 5 What will the geographical focus of your next fund be?
34%
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
target sectors
exhibit 6 Top private equity investment by value, USD million, with volume of deals in brackets
2002 Financial services Telecommunications Media Travel/Hospitality Retail/Wholesale Consumer products/services Medical Transportation/Distribution Manufacturing - Heavy Computer related Electronics Information technology Ecology Mining and metals Non-Financial Services Construction Infrastructure Utilities Manufacturing - Light Textiles and clothing Agriculture/Fisheries Leisure/Entertainment Total
Source: Asian Venture Capital Journal database
2003 3,419 (34) 3,637 (33) 205 (9) 1,185 (10) 338 (20) 250 (20) 960 (42) 928 (37) 1,055 (36) 1,199 (72) 547 (35) 585 (37) 61 (5) 176 (15) 243 (31) 311 (8) 263 (3) 1544 (18) 132 (19) 138 (4) 30 (6) 754 (11) 17,960 (505)
2004 1,867 (40) 2,739 (19) 36 (6) 571 (8) 1,229 (26) 383 (21) 943 (64) 3,314 (36) 480 (57) 2,061 (89) 443 (56) 262 (79) 17 (3) 125 (18) 456 (38) 158 (8) 283 (7) 764 (18) 276 (19) 81 (10) 0 (1) 58 (17) 18,919 (640)
2005 8,634 (70) 304 (21) 237 (7) 2,130 (26) 2,328 (37) 1,078 (28) 2,044 (93) 2,368 (47) 1,089 (61) 3,730 (99) 2,801 (42) 890 (116) 103 (6) 708 (26) 293 (36) 1034 (7) 177 (3) 200 (19) 491 (40) 841 (24) 7 (5) 374 (21) 31,800 (834)
2006 10,318 (115) 8,201 (33) 7,059 (24) 4,295 (48) 4,095 (74) 3,888 (69) 3,687 (127) 3,306 (75) 2,771 (116) 2,265 (158) 2,033 (89) 1,874 (221) 1,709 (7) 1,645 (43) 1,469 (97) 849 (30) 748 (23) 472 (34) 460 (36) 307 (27) 220 (15) 110 (34) 61,782 (1,495)
2,715 (45) 1,899 (53) 100 (8) 77 (11) 388 (20) 393 (21) 250 (45) 502 (15) 505 (25) 663 (107) 255 (41) 272 (57) 14 (3) 146 (8) 232 (23) 1 (5) 449 (1) 27 (5) 345 (17) 19 (3) 310 (4) 273 (15) 9,836 (532)
In 2002, private equity funds in Asia most often invested in computer hardware and information technology companies (Exhibit 6). By 2005 and 2006, these remained the most popular sectors, but others were catching up fast. Average deal size has grown steadily from USD 18.5 million in 2002 to USD 41.3 million in 2006, although when looking at individual industries the figures can be skewed by one large deal (Exhibit 7).
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
In terms of value, however, financial services (USD 10.3 billion), telecommunications (USD 8.2 billion) and media (USD 7.1 billion) are actually the three dominant industries. Computer-related enterprises (USD 2.3 billion) and information technology (USD 1.9 billion) lag far behind, exceeded in value by various other diverse sectors. Deals in telecommunications may be fewer in number, but the individual volumes being invested are larger compared with deals in IT and computer-related sectors.
exhibit 8 In five years time, which sectors will you be investing in?
Consumer/Retail/Services 25% Environment/Renewable/Alternative/Clean Energy 19% Healthcare 13% Telecommunications, Media and Technology 11% Energy/Resources 9% Biotech/Life Science 6% Distribution/Logistics 4% Financial Services 4% Infrastructure 3% Transport 2%
Looking ahead, our respondents expect the investment profile to be very different. Asked which sectors they think their private equity fund will be focusing on by 2012, the respondents put consumer markets, including the retail sector, at the top of the list (Exhibit 8). This is an industry that had received relatively little private equity investment in the past five years. The interest in personal consumption reflects the growing wealth and personal disposable incomes of millions of consumers in markets such as China and India, the opening of new markets in countries like Vietnam with its young population and and the potential for a consumer revival consumer revival in Japan. The second most popular sector is environmental technologies, including renewable energy and waste technologies. This, too, is not among the hot sectors today, but the respondents evidently see a bright future for it going forward, reflecting global concerns about sustainable development and global warming. Healthcare, telecommunications, and media and technology (especially in areas relating to IT and computer hardware) are projected to remain strong target sectors over the next five years.
exit strategies
According to the Asian Venture Capital Journal, 2006 was a record year for IPOs in Asian private equity: PE-backed offerings doubled to USD 30.4 billion as mainland Chinese banks were floated in Shanghai and Hong Kong. Trade sales were a distant second at USD 11.6 billion, down 48 percent from 2005 as bank disposals in Korea stalled.9 The executives surveyed were asked how they exit today, and how they think their equity fund will dispose of their investments in two years and five years time (Exhibit 9). IPOs emerged as the preferred exit strategy currently (52 percent), ahead of trade sales (42 percent).
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Respondents predicted that the situation could reverse within two years, with trade sales (46 percent) surpassing IPOs as the preferred exit route (44 percent). This outlook will however be affected by developments in the debt and equity markets, as this will determine the extent and the ease with which companies can leverage their investments and the attractiveness of the stock markets to new listings.
exhibit 9 How do you exit your investments today, in two years, and in five years?
60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% IPO Trade sale 5% 9% 1% 1% 3% Other 17% 52% 44% 43% 42% 46% 37%
Secondary buyout
n Now
n 2 years
n 5 years
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
Interestingly, in five years time, respondents see a more significant role for secondary buyouts (17 percent), which involve selling the investment to another private equity fund. This may indicate expectations of a continued boom in private equity funds, with newcomers seen as willing to pay premium prices for the holdings of older funds in order to get a foothold in the market. While still substantial, trade sales will account for a lower 37 percent of disposals. IPOs will remain steady at 43 percent.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
10 Rating Private Equity Transactions, special comment by Moodys Investors Service, July 2007. 11 Public Scorn for Private Equity, in BusinessWeek, 4 December 2006.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
excessive leverage
There is a growing perception in the public mind that PE firms saddle the company they have taken over with heavy debts, an impression caused in part by the massive sums private equity players recently paid to buy out public companies. In the first half of 2007, for example, private equity groups agreed to pay USD 8.9 billion for Orica Limited in Australia, USD 976.8 million for Fu Sheng Industrial in Taiwan, and USD 698.4 million for MMI Holdings in Singapore.12 These transactions followed a USD 8.7 billion bid in 2006 for Australias Qantas Airways, a deal which fell apart despite the airlines board acceptance of the offer. Along with the equity component of PE investments, there is usually a significant component of debt. PE players say they do leverage their portfolio companies balance sheet when needed, but they insist that it is in their interest to borrow prudently. In Australia, David Jones, managing director of CHAMP Private Equity notes that, the average ratio of debt to equity in buyouts has been almost exactly 70 percent debt, 30 percent equity, regardless of the size of the buyout, which is a reasonable ratio.13 Jones notes that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) came to a favourable assessment, which concluded that private equity exposures currently amount to less than 3 percent of total loans in the Australian banking system.14 The debt-to-equity ratio may be lower in the rest of Asia, where local banks, having gone through the crucible of the 1997 Asian financial crisis, generally follow conservative lending practices. Chris Rowlands, Managing Partner Asia at 3i, estimates the debt-to-equity ratio of PE-backed portfolio companies across Asia Pacific at 50-50.15 In Europe in the last few years, weve seen debt levels increasing strongly as the banking industry became aggressive, Rowlands says. In Asia, typically with the cycles and volatility here, we have seen more balance between equity and debt.
provided by the banks capital markets arm with the understanding that the buyout firms would find investors to take over the banks stake after the deal closed.
n Decrease
n Increase
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
12 Top PE Buyouts in Asia, 1H07, report by Thomson Financial, 7 July 2007. 13 KPMG interview with David Jones, Managing Director of CHAMP Private Equity and Chairman of the Australian Venture Capital & Private Equity Association, July 12 and 20, 2007. 14 Financial Stability Review, report by the Reserve Bank of Australia, March 2007. 15 KPMG interview with Chris Rowlands, Managing Partner Asia, 3i, 13 July 2007.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Going forward, the respondents to this study say the banking system is not likely to become more of a source for private equity debt (Exhibit 10). Over the next two years, just about half of our respondents expect increased borrowings from Asia Pacific banks (55 percent), local banks (53 percent), and international banks (48 percent). In contrast, 70 percent expect to see increased levels of sourcing from mezzanine funds or providers. The worries that Asias financial systems may face higher risks because of increased exposure to private equity buyouts thus appear to be overblown. Mezzanine funds typically source capital from sophisticated individual and institutional investors that are hedged and able to absorb losses.
11%
27%
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
Moreover, despite their current high profile, buyout specialists are still in the minority in Asia Pacifics private equity industry. Asked to describe what type of private equity firm they are, only 10 percent of our respondents characterise their fund as a buyout fund (Exhibit 11). A larger share say their fund is generalist, meaning it invests in all stages of a companys development (44 percent), provides venture capital to start-up enterprises (27 percent), acts as a fund-offunds that finances other private equity funds (11 percent), or injects growth capital into later-stage companies in need of expansion support (8 percent).
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
n Yes n No, but would consider it n No, and would not consider it
47%
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
All that said, however, the indications are that buyouts may become more of an area of focus in Asia Pacific. Nearly half (47 percent) of respondents say that, while they are not engaged in P2P today, they may consider doing so in the future (Exhibit 12). Rowlands, for example, says that 3i is planning to launch a buyout business in Asia Pacific. To date, 3is regional strategy has concentrated on growth capital, but Rowlands sees opportunities with mid-sized targets in the USD 2 billion range. These may be public companies that could be taken private, family corporations with no business successor, or conglomerates looking to sell off stakes or non-core divisions. What this means for leverage trends in the region and how regulators will respond to them is an open question. In a survey of 13 banks in the UK, the Financial Services Authority (FSA) found a 17 percent increase in bank exposure to leveraged buyouts, from EUR 58 billion as of June 2005 to EUR 67.9 billion as of June 2006.16 The FSA judges system-wide exposures to be substantially greater because banks are increasingly distributing debt to non-banks such as managers of Collateralised Loan Obligations (CLOs) and Collateralised Debt Obligations (CDOs), and hedge funds. The authority has not taken any action so far, except to continue monitoring bank lending. In the US, the spate of mega-buyouts such as the USD 45 billion private equity deal for electricity generation company TXU and USD 33 billion for hospital chain HCA have raised concerns about the return of the disastrous junk-bond boom of the 1980s. US buyouts are typically funded by a mix of bank borrowing, high-yield bonds and equity. According to the Moodys report, leveraged buyouts accounted for 18 percent of new high-yield issuances in the beginning of 2007, compared with about 5 percent between 2003 and 2004. But the Private Equity Council, the recently formed industry group in the US, estimates that the average PE deal since 2002 is in the range of 60 to 66 percent debt, still lower than the 90 percent or more in the 1980s.17
16 Private equity: a discussion of risk and regulatory environment, Financial Services Authority discussion paper, June 2006. 17 Testimony of Douglas Lowenstein, President of the Private Equity Council, before the House Financial Services Committee of the US Congress, 16 May 2007.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
The recent turmoil in global markets caused by problems in the sub-prime mortgage sector in the US has cooled any excessive leverage in private equity buyouts. Banks have re-priced risk upwards after the collapse in July of two hedge funds run by US investment bank Bear Stearns and the decision by Frances BNP Paribas in August to halt withdrawals from three investment funds. The five funds held securities and derivatives tied to sub-prime mortgages. The resulting credit crunch has affected the financing of already agreed private equity buyouts such as the takeover of US carmaker Chrysler18 and caused market speculation about the impact on a number of large, unconcluded deals, including the aforementioned TXU and HCA buyouts. Some deals have collapsed, such as JC Flowers consortium bid for Sallie Mae, with others delaying their completion as buyers and sellers wait for more clarity from the markets or deals are renegotiated. Future deals will almost certainly be affected, but a slowdown, rather than an implosion, is the most likely consequence. There are a handful of transactions that LBO firms could sign in March that they couldnt sign today (particularly mega-market deals), concludes PE Week Wire, an industry newsletter published by Thomson Financial. But LBO firms can do most of them, so long as they are willing to accept less favourable terms and buyout firms have proven quite apt at acceding to such requests. Remember Clear Channel and all those other deals where public shareholders kept demanding higher prices? Well, now its the lenders turn.19 It is also a market where vendors need to be more realistic about asset prices. Less leverage which is more expensive means that prices should fall. In August the sale of the Home Depot distribution business was re-priced from USD 10.3 billion to USD 8.7billion as the debt crisis took hold. The markets should expect lower debt/EBITDA multiples in future. According to Standard & Poor's,20 these multiples averaged 4x in 2002 but grew to over 6x by 2006. Finally, this is now a market where trade buyers will be more competitive as the synergies from a deal they may obtain outweigh the gains no longer available to PE from higher leverage than a listed corporation typically has. Private equity houses have consistently brought more than simply leverage to their investments in Asia Pacific. At this point in the credit cycle, their governance model, with its unrelenting focus on operational improvement for value enhancement, is needed more than ever. Private equity must now operate in a more risk-averse environment, but it is one in which their core propositions and governance model designed to enhance shareholder wealth should continue to make a significant contribution to the economy and to those who invest in them.
18 JPMorgan, Goldman Bond Risk Rises as Chrysler Loan Sale Fails, Bloomberg, 25 July 2007. The two banks could not sell USD 10 billion in Chrysler loans for a takeover by Cerberus Capital Management, forcing DaimlerChrysler, Chryslers European parent, to lend Cerberus part of the money needed to complete the deal. 19 PE Week Wire, 27 July 2007. 20 Ratings Direct Report, Standard & Poors, July 2007
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Rowlands of 3i sees a silver lining. The recent tightening of credit will bring greater discipline to current M&A activity, he argues. The larger private equity players will broadly welcome an adjustment. At 3i, with a strong balance sheet, in-depth sector knowledge and a wide international network, we can work closely with companies in which we have already invested and take balanced and informed decisions about new opportunities. As banks shy away from covenantlite lending, there would be less scope for private equity firms to load balance sheets with excessive debt.
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21 Private equity: a discussion of risk and regulatory environment, Financial Services Authority discussion paper, June 2006. 22 Issue affects non-PE backed companies in the same way, British Private Equity and Venture Capital Association submission to the Treasury Select Committee, May 2007. 23 Statement of Andrew L. Stern, President of the Service Employees International Union, to the US House of Representatives Committee on Financial Services, 16 May 2007. 24 Testimony of Douglas Lowenstein, President of the Private Equity council, before the House Financial Services Committee, 16 May 2007. The council represents ten of the leading PE firms in the US, including Bain Capital, Blackstone Group, Carlyle Group, Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co, and TPG Capital. 25 March 2007 Financial Stability Review, report by the Reserve Bank of Australia. The relevant section states: While the recent increase in LBO activity in Australia has led to some pockets of increased leverage within the corporate sector, it does not appear to represent a significant near-term risk to either the stability of the financial system, or the economy more broadly. The exposure of the Australian banking sector to private equity is well contained, and both the leverage and the debt-servicing ratios for the corporate sector as a whole remain relatively low. Looking forward, however, it is likely that the increase in business leverage that is currently underway has some way to run. Given this, together with the potential implications of LBO activity for the depth and integrity of public capital markets, as well as the importance of investors understanding the risks they are taking on, the agencies that make up the Council of Financial Regulators will continue to monitor developments closely.
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Lack of transparency
The trend of private equity firms taking over large corporations and turning them private is also raising questions about transparency. Unlike publicly traded companies that are subject to securities laws, it is well known that private equity buyout firms operate outside of the public eye, with little oversight, Andrew Stern, President of the Service Employees International Union, recently told a US House of Representatives committee.26 It is critical that the industry provide more transparency and disclosure so that the people who might be affected by a given deal workers, community members, shareholders and others are aware of the potential impact on their lives. In general, PE funds are transparent with their own stakeholders. They have to be, says a private equity professional in Hong Kong, who requested anonymity. The general partner knows everything about the portfolio company he wants to know; if he doesnt, hes unprofessional. The limited partner gets all the information he needs from the general partner, if he wants it. If he doesnt get it, he has picked the wrong GP, but then there are very few of those out there. The information then gets passed on to the institutional funds and individual investors that put money in the limited partnership. As for regulators, they get the information needed, this interviewee says, because like other private companies, PE-backed portfolio companies must register and file annual returns with the companies registry, as well as pay taxes to the revenue authority. The question, therefore, is how much information should be shared with wider public and the media. Its about journalists who believe they have a right to this information because they are the ultimate protector of the public, says the PE practitioner. I disagree. If you give me your money to manage and we have a contract, there is no reason why the world should know about this contract. Its not a public company, after all. In a public to private deal, the situation is different and stakeholders will need more information. Commercial and competitiveness issues must also be taken into account in dealing with the media and other outsiders. The reality, however, is that the media can wield great influence on public opinion, and thus on the actions of politicians and regulators. In the UK, the FSA has noted the limited transparency of the PE industry to the wider market, and said it was monitoring the situation. In response, the British Private Equity and Venture Capital Association (BVCA) asked Sir David Walker, former Executive Director of the Bank of England and former Chairman of the Securities and Investments Board, to head a working group that would draft a voluntary code of practice to improve private equitys transparency. In a recent consultation document,27 the Walker Working Group judged as satisfactory the reporting arrangements between PE firms and investors, but said the buyout end of private equity has inadequately informed employees, suppliers and customers as well as the wider public interest. It should be noted, however, that tends to be during the buyout process. Once the process is complete, it is usually in the buyer's interest to ensure that there is a flow of information between stakeholders to motivate and retain relationships.
26 Testimony of Andrew Stern, President of the Service Employees International Union, before the House Financial Services Committee of the US Congress, 16 May 2007. 27 Disclosure and Transparency in Private Equity, a consultative document by the Walker Working Group, July 2007.
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Sir David proposed that portfolio companies that were formerly listed as FTSE 250 companies or where the equity consideration on acquisition exceeded GBP 300 million or where the company has more than 1,000 employees and an enterprise value in excess of GBP 500 million should report to an enhanced standard beyond that required in the 2006 companies legislation. The suggested requirements include filing of the annual report on a company website within four months of the year-end, and financial reporting covering balance sheet management, including links to the financial statements to describe the level, structure and conditionality of debt. General partners are asked to publish an annual review on their website that informs their approach to business and the governance of their portfolio companies. In addition, private equity firms will be expected to be more accessible to specific enquiries from the media and more widely. Confidentiality concerns will constrain responses that can be given in some situations, but the line between openness and secretiveness should be drawn with much greater flexibility than hitherto, especially in respect of large transactions which, in the listed sector, would attract very full public presentation. If adopted by the BVCA, these voluntary guidelines will also cover the Asia Pacific units of UK private equity firms, such as 3i. But US and other funds, including local PE houses, are not obligated to follow them, although it is possible that they will at least adapt some of the standards that they believe are applicable to the region. We are studying the report to see what will have relevance for us here in Australia, says Katherine Woodthorpe, Chief Executive of the Australian Private Equity & Venture Capital Association (AVCAL).28
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28 KPMG interview with Katherine Woodthorpe, Chief Executive of the Australian Private Equity & Venture Capital Association (AVCAL), 23 July 2007. 29 Private Equity and Publicly-Traded Partnerships S. 1624, response by the Private Equity Council to S.1624, a bill increasing taxes on private equity funds that seek to become listed partnerships introduced by Senator Max Baucus and Senator Charles E. Grassley on 14 June 2007.
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tax leakage
A common perception in Asia and elsewhere is that private equity firms are making such windfall gains that they should be required to share their bounty with the rest of the community. In the US, some in the House of Representatives want to double the tax on the earnings of PE firms from 15 percent to 30 percent. The Private Equity Council warns that entrepreneurial risk-taking would suffer and the efficiency of capital markets would be impaired if the measure were to pass.32 In Korea, some PE firms have been criticised as tax evaders and profiteers. In the case of the Korea Exchange Bank, for example, the original private equity investment in 2003 is estimated at KRW 1.4 trillion. When the PE firm asked for bids for the bank last year, the offers reportedly went as high as five times
30 British Venture Capital Association 31 Private Equity in Australia, submission by the Australian Private Equity & Venture Capital Association (AVCAL) to the Senate Standing Committee on Economics, 10 May 2007. 32 Private Equity and Carried Interest HR 2834, position paper by the Private Equity Council, 2007.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
the original investment. The sale has been delayed pending resolution of legal problems. Until the tax authorities introduced a new withholding tax regime on Korean source income, those gains would have been taxed at a minimal rate. In Japan, various changes in legislation in recent years provide a mechanism to tax private equity profits on exit from their investments. The so-called Shinsei tax levies a 20 percent tax on sales of investments by funds, a measure that was prompted in part by the exit of a consortium of private equity firms from the former Long Term Credit Bank, which the consortium bought out of receivership in 2000. Renamed Shinsei Bank, the bank was sold in 2005 for more than four times the original investment, with no local tax payable. Such exits would now be subject to tax, although US-based funds may not need to pay because the Japan-US tax treaty gives them protection in certain situations. Tax leakage is not an issue in Hong Kong and Singapore, where capital gains are not taxed. In China, however, the newly approved Enterprise Income Tax Law could lead to the introduction of a 20 percent withholding tax on dividends paid out of Chinese portfolio companies. Several funds are in the process of relocating the intermediate holding company from the British Virgin Islands to Hong Kong, Mauritius or Barbados to mitigate the adverse impact of a dividend withholding tax. In India, tax exemptions enjoyed by foreign venture capital investors (FCVIs) outside of specified sectors such as nanotechnology, biotechnology and IT hardware and software have been withdrawn. Some form of taxation is probably inevitable in most jurisdictions, but private equity firms should at least make their voices heard before new taxes are imposed.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG 2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
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Until recently, a foreign venture capital investor (FVCI) could invest in any Indian sector and all streams of income earned by them were tax exempt in India. However, in the 2007 tax budget, the exemption was limited to investments in specified sectors (including nanotechnology, IT hardware and software, bio-technology, dairy and poultry industries, pharmaceutical R&D sector, and certain hotel/convention facilities). Income earned from PE investments made in non-specified sectors will now be taxable at both the PE fund level and the beneficiary level. But as most PE FVCI investment vehicles are housed in tax favourable jurisdictions (such as Mauritius or the Cayman Islands), the impact has not been far-reaching. The 2007 tax budget also amended Employee Stock Ownership Plan (ESOP) regulations, whereby ESOPs will now be taxable in India as a fringe benefit payable by the employer company. This amendment could have an impact on actual profitability (and hence the valuation) of the company in which PE investments have been made
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
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Japan
There have been various changes in legislation in recent years aimed to provide a mechanism to tax gains on exit from private equity investments. The so called Shinsei tax was introduced, aimed at grouping the holdings of partnerships in order to calculate thresholds that would determine whether the transactions are taxable in Japan. There have also been numerous amendments to the M&A rules (both tax and regulatory) allowing various mergers that were previously not permitted for either tax or regulatory purposes. Industry reaction to the Shinsei tax was initially negative, but it is not a particular issue for US-based firms because the Japan-US tax treaty gives protection to gains in certain situations. The Korean tax authorities introduced a new withholding tax regime on Korean source income such as dividends, interest, royalties and capital gains remitted to a foreign recipient (for example, foreign funds) located in tax havens designated by the tax authorities. Such a tax haven would be subject to the Korean withholding tax rate on dividends, interest, royalties and capital gains, rather than having the withholding tax reduced under tax treaty between Korea and the tax haven. This new rule applies to payments made as of July 1, 2006. To be eligible for the tax treaty benefits, a foreign recipient in the tax haven should obtain confirmation from Korean tax authorities that the foreign recipient in the tax haven is the beneficial owner of such income. The tax haven list includes only Labuan in Malaysia at this time, but the list may be updated at any time.
Korea
33 Previously, the ECB policy did not permit utilisation of ECB proceeds in real-estate activities, but development of integrated township was kept outside the purview of real estate, and hence was considered as a permissible end use utilisation of ECB proceeds. Under the modified ECB guidelines issued in May 2007, the exemption accorded to the development of integrated township as a permissible end-use of ECB has been withdrawn. 34 Borrowers raising ECB greater than USD 20 million are required to park ECB proceeds overseas for use as foreign currency expenditure for permissible end-uses. This would be applicable to ECB exceeding USD 20 million per financial year both under the Automatic Route and under the Approval Route. Borrowers proposing to avail ECB up to USD 20 million for rupee expenditure for permissible end-uses would require prior approval of the Reserve Bank of India under the Approval Route. However, such funds shall be continued to be parked overseas until actual requirement in India.
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other issues
Regulators and legislators around the world are being asked to respond to several other issues relating private equity. These include the impact of deequitisation arising from buyouts, conflicts of interest involving private equity, inadequate regulation, and systemic risk to capital markets and the economy.
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In a recent document,44 the Service Employees International Union in the US questioned the credibility of private equity studies that claim the industry creates jobs since private companies do not publicly disclose information about their employees or company growth, adding that it was unclear how employees benefit since industry studies make little attempt to look behind the numbers at what is happening to workers and communities. The Private Equity Council concedes that private equity employment data have not yet been developed in the US, but it believes that the increased employment numbers reported by various surveys done in Britain and the rest of Europe mirror what is happening in America.45 Congressional hearings on this and other issues are currently ongoing.
On de-equitisation, Taiwans Financial Services Commission is considering a change in the stock markets de-listing rules. Whilst the USD 976.8 million Fu Sheng deal is the islands first private equity buyout, concerns have been raised about the effect on the stock market, which is seeing more de-listings than new public offerings.46 The regulator may raise the threshold for de-listing from the current 50 percent of shareholders present during the vote (a quorum of twothirds of the total shareholders is required).47 Similar concerns have been raised in Australia, but no regulatory action is imminent there at this time.48 On the adequacy of regulation, the US Securities and Exchange Commission recently adopted a new rule that explicitly makes it a fraudulent, deceptive, or manipulative act, practice or course of business for investment advisers of private equity funds, venture capital funds, hedge funds, and mutual funds to make false or misleading statements to investors or prospective investors in the pooled investment vehicle.49 The ruling closes a loophole in the Investment Advisers Act, which was enacted before the rise of private equity funds. Private equity regulations are also being revised in India as part of the overall fine-tuning of foreign investment incentives. Finally, there are fears in Australia about the systemic risk posed by private equity activities. The Senate has referred an inquiry into private equity to the Standing Committee on Economics, whose findings have yet to be published. In its submission to the committee, AVCAL said it recognises as a general principle that increased debt leads to an increase in risk. But private equity firms in Australia, it pointed out, conduct extensive due diligence and have extensive experience in operating businesses with increased debt. The track record of the private equity industry shows that it is well equipped to manage businesses throughout the economic cycle, AVCAL concluded.50
41 Jack Dromey, Protect workers from the private equiteers, The Financial Times, 2 July 2007. 42 Statement on trade union comment about private equity industry, by BVCA Chief Executive Peter Linthwaite at www.bvca.co.uk. 43 Jean Eaglesham, Commons private equity report to be delayed, The Financial Times, 11 July 2007. 44 Behind the Buyouts: Inside the World of Private Equity, study prepared by the Service Employees International Union, April 2007. 45 Public Value: A Primer on Private Equity, by the Private Equity Council, 2007. 46 Private equity in Asia, The Lex Column, The Financial Times, 21 April 2007. 47 Taiwan regulator debates buyout reforms, The Financial Times, 4 July 2007. 48 Australia rethinks value of private equity buyouts, by Tim Johnston, International Herald Tribune, 16 May 2007. 49 SEC Votes to Adopt Antifraud Rule Under Investment Advisers Act, media release by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, 11 July 2007. 50 Private Equity in Australia, submission by the Australian Private Equity & Venture Capital Association (AVCAL) to the Senate Standing Committee on Economics, 10 May 2007.
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de-equitisation
Australia
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Australia
51 SEC Votes to Adopt Antifraud Rule Under Investment Advisers Act, media release by the US Securities and Exchange Commission, 11 July 2007. 52 Australia rethinks value of private equity buyouts, by Tim Johnston, International Herald Tribune, 16 May 2007. 53 KPMG interview with David Jones, Chairman of AVCAL and Managing Director of CHAMP Private Equity, July 12 and 20, 2007. 54 Private equity in Asia, The Lex Column, The Financial Times, 21 April 2007. 55 Taiwan regulator debates buyout reforms, The Financial Times, 4 July 2007. 56 Financial Services Authority: CP06/21 Investment Entities Listing Review 57 Joint letter to Christopher Cox, Chairman of the US Securities and Exchange Commission, by Dennis J. Kucinich, chairman of the Domestic Policy Subcommittee and Henry A. Waxman, Chairman of the Committee on Oversight and Government Reform, both of the US House of Representatives, 21 June 2007. 58 Private equity investment in Australia, report to The Senate by the Standing Committee on Economics
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Key national players in Asia Pacific are: Australia: In 2004, the Australian government announced that it would be establishing an SWF into which it would invest budget surpluses to meet its retirement benefit liabilities. The fund aims to hold USD140 billion by 2020 and will be governed by a broad investment mandate. The funds chairman has indicated that they are not looking to take controlling interests in companies, only to be more active in publiclytraded securities markets than in private equity.
Singapore China (PRC) China (PRC) Singapore Australia Brunei Malaysia China (ROC) Total
Government of Singapore Investment Corporation China Investment Company Ltd Central Hujjin Investment Corp Temasek Holdings Australian Government Future Fund Brunei Investment Agency Khazanah Nasional National Stabilisation Fund
Note: The asset figures listed above are estimates only, as many of the funds do not publish detailed financial information and are subject China: Chinas economic to significant flows of capital from central bank reserves. performance has led to a dramatic Source: Morgan Stanley Research:How Big Could Sovereign Wealth Funds Be by 2015? 3 May 2007 increase in the size of Chinas foreign exchange reserves. The creation of SWFs reflects an increased desire to improve the returns on these reserves, which had previously been invested in sovereign debt. With limited public disclosure from the funds, it is not currently clear what mandates and objectives these funds have.
Korea: Korea Investment Corporation was established in 2005 as a government-owned investment management company, specialising in overseas investments. It is mandated to manage part of Koreas foreign exchange reserves and other public funds. Currently it manages USD 17 billion of foreign exchange reserves from the Bank of Korea and USD 3 billion of foreign exchange stabilisation funds from the Ministry of Finance and Economy. Malaysia: Established in 1993, Khazanah Nasional is the investment holding arm of the government of Malaysia and is empowered as the governments strategic investor in new industries and markets. It has stakes in more than 50 companies with assets valued in excess of USD 18 billion. Singapore: Singapore has long made use of SWFs to manage its national investments, establishing Temasek Holdings in 1974 and GIC in 1981. With an estimated 75 percent of investments being in Singaporean assets, Temasek owns stakes in many of the nations largest and landmark companies. Their focus is now being widened with a long-term balanced portfolio target of approximately one-third exposure each to Singapore, rest of Asia (ex-Japan), and OECD (ex-Korea) and other economies. GIC was established to manage Singapores foreign reserves, with its investment portfolio managed in turn by GIC Asset Management Pte (responsible for investments in publicly traded securities); GIC Real Estate Pte Ltd (investments in property); and GIC Special Investments Pte Ltd (operating as a private equity investor, taking direct controlling stakes in companies and making direct investments in infrastructure).
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ipo performance
In an attempt to quantify the effect of private equity involvement in Asian companies, KPMG analysed the stock performance of PE-sponsored initial public offerings versus that of their non-PE sponsored peers that went public in 2005 and 2006. The analysis focused on four markets: Australia, Hong Kong, India and Japan. The companies were grouped in age-range buckets (meaning that companies in the 100-200 days bucket have been trading for 100 to 200 days, those in the 201-300 bucket have been trading for 201 to 300 days and so on). The comparison days were the IPO offer price and the closing price at the end of May 18, 2007.
59 KPMG interview with Satish Deshpande, Head Private Equity, NV Advisory Services Private Limited, 19 July 2007.
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n PE-sponsored companies -Average Price Gain/Loss n Non-PE-sponsored companies -Average Price Gain/Loss
Number of PE-sponsored companies: 12 Number of non-PE sponsored companies: 131 Source: Bloomberg, AVCJ database and KPMG Analysis
n PE-sponsored companies -Average Price Gain/Loss n Non-PE-sponsored companies -Average Price Gain/Loss
Number of PE-sponsored companies: 19 Number of non-PE sponsored companies: 88 Source: Bloomberg, AVCJ database and KPMG Analysis
The results for Australia and India were positive. As Exhibit 13 shows, PEsponsored companies in Australia which have been trading for 501 to 616 days were up better than 130 percent on average compared with the 42 percent gain of their non-PE sponsored peers in the same bucket. In India, the average share price of PE companies in the 501-616 days bucket had risen 195 percent as of May 18, while the non-PE companies in the same bucket had an average price gain of 99 percent.
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100-200 days
201-300 days
301-400 days
401-500 days
501-616 days
n PE-sponsored companies -Average Price Gain/Loss n Non-PE-sponsored companies -Average Price Gain/Loss
Number of PE-sponsored companies: 21 Number of non-PE sponsored companies: 107 Source: Bloomberg, AVCJ database and KPMG Analysis
Interestingly, there is little difference between the average price performance of PE and non-PE companies in Hong Kong (Exhibit 15). This may be due to the growing number of Chinese companies which are listing in Hong Kong in tandem with the China A-share market. Many of these are outperforming their Hong Kong peers and therefore distorting overall performance.
n PE-sponsored companies -Average Price Gain/Loss n Non-PE-sponsored companies -Average Price Gain/Loss
Number of PE-sponsored companies: 24 Number of non-PE sponsored companies: 246 Source: Bloomberg, AVCJ database and KPMG Analysis
The number of IPOs in the sample period in Japan is larger (24 PE companies and 246 non-PE companies), but the results are the direct opposite of the trends in Australia and India, with most companies in the period showing price losses instead of gains. This can be attributed to some Japanese markets, such as the Tokyo Stock Exchange Second Section and Mothers Index for example, entering into a period of decline starting the first quarter of 2006. Both of these markets have been popular with IPOs. Retail investors, who tend to dominate small cap IPO issues, may also have been weary of entering the market, resulting in reduced funds in the market, and subsequently lower valuations. The pricing trends in Australia and India represent the potential of private equity firms to add value and rewarded by the market accordingly, while those in Japan may indicate that market conditions, volatile sectors and perhaps individual
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
failures by PE firms can sour investments in PE-sponsored companies. The picture should become clearer going forward, when more PE companies are listed and longer term trends can be assessed.
90%
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
The approach of 3i in Asia illustrates the hands-on nature of the private equity business. Management has to put together a plan for us to buy into, explains Rowlands. We test that plan, we look at it from different angles, we get consultants to help us out, we get reactions from experts, and then we come up with what we think is a realistic base case. Typically, a 180-day action plan is implemented, covering operations, legal, marketing, financial and other matters. In the next three to five years, which is generally how far into the future performance can be realistically measured, 3i takes an active role in strategysetting at the board level and provides guidance and advice on management and operations issues. exhibit 18 What are the key benefits that you bring to portfolio companies? (degree of commonality on a scale of 1 to 10)
Provision of capital required for investment to grow the business General management guidance at board level Improved corporate governance Ability to recruit the best managers to the business Optimised financing structure Business process improvement A greater focus on long-term commercial performance Accelerated growth through synergies with other portfolio companies Links to other financial sponsors IPO process knowledge 1.0 2.0 5.3 5.3 5.1 5.0 4.8 3.5 3.3 3.0 3.0 4.0 5.0 6.0 7.0 8.0 9.0 10.0 5.9 6.7
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Asias private equity funds pride themselves on the value they add to their investments. Asked to rate the key benefits they bring to their portfolio companies, the respondents in this study first cite their role in providing capital needed for growth (Exhibit 18). The second most cited benefit is provision of general management guidance at the board level, followed by improved corporate governance, ability to recruit the best managers to the business and ability to optimise financing structure.
Venture
Growth Capital
Generalist
Buyout
10
Most important
n Provision of capital required for investment to grow the business n Optimised financing structure
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
Broken down by fund type, the responses show a remarkable unanimity on the benefits the private equity firms believe they deliver to portfolio companies (Exhibit 19). Regardless of whether their fund is in venture capital, growth capital, generalist or buyout, the respondents single out the provision of capital to grow the business as their most important contribution. The second most important benefit is their ability to optimise the portfolio companys financing structure.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Venture
Growth Capital
Generalist
Buyout 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Least important n Improved corporate governance n General management guidance at board level n Business process improvement n Abiltiy to recruit the best mangers to the business
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
Most important
There are differences in emphasis in the area of management and processes (Exhibit 20). Venture capital funds emphasise the provision of general management guidance at the board level, and their ability to recruit the best managers to run the business. Growth capital funds also focus on board-level guidance, but also give equal importance to their ability to improve corporate governance. Little importance is given to the recruitment of good managers, implying that growth funds tend to retain current management. Generalist funds give equal importance to corporate governance, general management guidance and recruitment of the best managers. Buyout funds focus strongly on the improvement of business processes, an indication of the type of target companies that would most appeal to them, namely underperforming and complacent enterprises that will benefit from costcutting.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
Greater China
India
Korea/Japan
Oceania
Southeast Asia
n Improved focus on research and development n Growth of small businesses n Increased ability for local businesses to compete on the regional stage n Increased ability for regional businesses to compete on the global stage n Employment growth n Increased ability for the country as a whole to attract external investment
Source: KPMG survey of 119 private equity firms in Asia Pacific, 2007
Private equity funds regard their activities as having an impact beyond their own immediate portfolio companies. The respondents in this survey say their main contributions relate to helping regional businesses compete globally, helping countries attract external investment, and helping small businesses survive and thrive. It is interesting to see how private equity can deliver different benefits to different markets (Exhibit 21). Increased ability to attract foreign investment is seen as the key contribution in Greater China (54 percent) and India (47 percent). Private equity is also regarded as a contributor to making regional businesses competitive on the global stage in both countries, as is the case in Korea and Japan (49 percent) and Oceania (44 percent). In Southeast Asia, private equitys main contributions are seen to be helping small businesses grow (49 percent) and helping local businesses compete on the international stage (49 percent).
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
60 Another private equity firm, Prax Capital, invested USD 5 million alongside 3i.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
20 percent of a company before making an offer for the rest of the shares is a criminal offence. We had to go to ASIC to explain that Austar had big problems, that the bonds were in a separate market and in bankruptcy court in New York, that we were doing an arms length trade there, says Jones. In the end, ASIC granted the new owners relief, with the proviso that they make an equivalent offer to the rest of Austars shareholders after buying the bonds. Financial engineering The equivalent offer was AUD 0.16 per share, which is the value of the USD 34.5 million CHAMP paid for the bonds in Austar equity terms. The PE firm duly offered AUD 0.16 per share for the 19 percent in public hands, but virtually no one accepted. CHAMPs entry boosted the stock price beyond AUD 0.40 per share, 150 percent higher than the offer price. The new owners embarked on a new strategy. Austar launched a rights issue priced close to the strong market price, and got a 93 percent acceptance rate. The offer yielded AUD 75 million in new capital, which was used for capital expenditures and debt reduction. The new owners also had to deal with Austars massive bank debts. The rights offering enabled Austar to pay the banks AUD 45 million, but the amount was just a tenth of what was owed. Restructuring the borrowings was a complicated workout because 15 financial institutions were involved and most of the loans were already in the respective banks difficult-to-work with workout divisions. Seven banks accounted for 9 percent each of the total debt, with the rest having lower exposure, meaning that there was no one dominant lender to take the lead. It took CHAMP four months to get the banks on board in May 2003. The loans were restructured in mid-2004 into senior debt of AUD 290 million and hybrid debt security of AUD 115 million, resulting in improved flexibility and lower longer term cost for Austar. Freed from the distraction of the debt, Austars management focused on executing the turnaround plan. We assessed management carefully, and we formed the view that they were a capable team, even though they were partly responsible for getting Austar into its problems, says Jones. With some direction, focus and accountability, we believed we could work with them, and that turned out to be the case. To incentivise management, executives who bought Austar shares at AUD 0.16 had each of those shares matched with two shares at the prevailing market price, funded by a company-provided loan. Managers were also vested with shares provided the company met its internal rate of return targets. CHAMP exited the investment in 2005 on the back of Austar posting 2005 EBITDA of AUD 125 million. It sold 224 million shares to LGI at AUD 1 per share and another 298 million shares to Goldman Sachs at AUD1.15. The total proceeds came to AUD 556.8 million, a six-fold return on the PE firms AUD 81.6 million investment (purchase cost of the bonds and the rights offering). One main beneficiary is Australias pension funds, which are major investors in CHAMP. Private equity had worked its magic once again.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
The structures are already in place. Private equity and venture capital associations have been formed in Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and Thailand. Seven of these associations are founding members of the Asia Pacific Venture Capital Alliance (APVCA), which was established in 2001 and has its secretariat in Kuala Lumpur. The APVCA aims to strengthen communications and networking among national associations, their members and institutional investors, provide an effective platform to jointly evaluate issues, threats and opportunities, and engage in dialogue and cooperation with government agencies and multilateral institutions. In our view, APVCA and the national associations should also add to their mission the conduct of national and regional studies on the impact of private equity on businesses and economies, and the role of interfacing with the media in an open and professional manner. These two aims complement each other, since the associations will not have much to tell the press if they have little data about the latest trends and developments across the region. Bringing this about will require financial resources and political will. Most associations, including the APVCA, will need more support and funding to shoulder this responsibility. Kelvin Chan, of the Partners Group wants to set up an Asia Private Equity Institute that will harmonise standards and valuation methodologies across the region, as well as conduct studies about the industry. With seven full-time staff, AVCAL in Australia is probably the best equipped among the Asia Pacific associations. Every association is always looking for more funding, says Dr. Woodthorpe, its chief executive. But we manage, and we have many professional practitioners who assist us. Our membership is strong in supporting our work in more than just the purely financial way. AVCAL patterned its 2006 study on the impact of private equity in Australia on research by the British Private Equity and Venture Capital Association. At the moment, we are trying to make sure that our research is as rigorous as possible, says Dr. Woodthorpe. Then wed certainly be looking at how we can enable others [in Asia Pacific] to carry out surveys with similar questions so they can all be correlated. Jamie Paton, former chairman of the Hong Kong Venture Capital and Private Equity Association and currently a member of its executive committee, says We have appointed this year a PR firm to be involved with the association. In addition we are holding a conference around the theme of what the industry is doing for companies and the added value being put in to try and counter people being negative about the industry. Paton agrees that PE firms need to be more media savvy. But there are other people in our industry, and we should be hearing from them too. We all have a responsibility to spread the positive impact our industry has on economies, he says, pointing to investment bankers, lawyers, accountants, limited partners and pension funds. KPMG member firms are responding with this study, the findings of which we believe put the private equity industry in better perspective. In Asia, as in the rest of the world, private equity companies must communicate to the media and the public what they already know: that what they are and what they do, while pragmatic, can ultimately drive efficiency and prosperity. By providing options in the financing and nurturing of businesses, private equity companies advance both their own interests and those of the larger community.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
For more information on KpMGs private equity Group in asia pacific, contact:
Asia Pacific PE Group Leadership david Nott Tel: +61 (2) 9335 8265 e-Mail: david.nott@kpmg.com.au Australia Jonathan dunlop Tel: +61 (2) 9335 7633 e-Mail: jonathan.dunlop@kpmg.com.au China and Hong Kong SAR Honson to Tel: +86 (21) 2212 2708 e-Mail: honson.to@kpmg.com.cn India vikram utamsingh Tel: +91 (22) 3983 5302 e-Mail: vutamsingh@kpmg.com Indonesia david east Tel: +62 (21) 574 0877 e-Mail: deast@siddharta.co.id Japan Masami Hashimoto Tel: +81 (3) 5218 8815 e-Mail: masami.hashimoto@jp.kpmg.com Korea edward Kim Tel: +82 (2) 2112 0770 e-Mail: edwardkim@kr.kpmg.com Malaysia Hock eng Lim Tel: +60 (3) 2095 3388 e-Mail: hockenglim@kpmg.com.my Asia Pacific Regional Coordinator robert stoneley Tel: +852 3121 9850 e-Mail: robert.stoneley @kpmg.com.hk New Zealand ian thursfield Tel: +64 (9) 367 5858 e-Mail: ithursfield@kpmg.co.nz Philippines vicente J. sarza Tel +63 (2) 885 7000 ext: 220 e-Mail: vsarza@kpmg.com Singapore diana Koh Tel: +65 6213 2519 e-Mail: dianakoh@kpmg.com.sg Taiwan Jay Cheng Tel: +886 (2) 2715 9716 e-Mail: jaycheng@kpmg.com.tw Thailand tanate Kasemsarn Tel: +66 (2) 677 2750 e-Mail: tanate@kpmg.co.th Vietnam rupert Chamberlain +84 (8) 946 1600 rupertchamberlain@kpmg.com.vn
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
The information contained herein is of a general nature and is not intended to address the circumstances of any particular individual or entity. Although we endeavour to provide accurate and timely information, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future. No one should act upon such information without appropriate professional advice after a thorough examination of the particular situation.
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved. Printed in Hong Kong. KPMG and the KPMG logo are registered trademarks of KPMG International, a Swiss cooperative. Publication date: November 2007
2007 KPMG International. KPMG International is a Swiss cooperative. Member firms of the KPMG network of independent firms are affiliated with KPMG International. KPMG International provides no client services. No member firm has any authority to obligate or bind KPMG International or any other member firm vis--vis third parties, nor does KPMG International have any such authority to obligate or bind any member firm. All rights reserved.
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