Professional Documents
Culture Documents
UPC Estimates Dec2022
UPC Estimates Dec2022
December 2022
State-Level Results Source: Utah Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute I 411 East South Temple Street, Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 I 801-585-5618 I gardner.utah.edu
Figure 2: Utah’s Population and Annual Growth Rates, Figure 3: State Components of Change, 1990–2022
2015–2022
3.5
3.5 2.0%
2.0% 80,000
80,000
1.95% 1.96%
1.95% 1.96% 1.83%
1.83%
1.93%
1.93% 70,000
70,000
3.4
3.4 1.79%
1.79%
3.5
3.5 2.0%
2.0% 80,000
80,000
(in millions)
millions)
1.96% 1.9%
1.9% 60,000
60,000
1.95% 1.96%
1.95% 1.66%
1.66% 1.83%
1.83%
3.3
3.3 1.93%
1.93% 1.72%
1.72%
% Population
%
3.4 1.73%
1.73% 70,000
70,000
3.4 1.79% 50,000
50,000
Population
1.79%
millions)
1.9%
(in millions)
1.9%
1.8%
1.8% 60,000
(in
3.2
3.2 1.66%
1.66% 60,000
3.3
3.3 1.72%
1.72% 40,000
40,000
%% Population
Total Population
Population
1.73%
1.73% 50,000
50,000
Population
3.1
3.1 30,000
30,000
1.8%
1.8%
1.7%
1.7%
(in
3.2
3.2
Growth
Growth Growth
40,000
40,000
20,000
20,000
Population
Total Population
3.0
3.0
3.1
3.1 30,000
30,000
Total
1.7% 10,000
10,000
3,003,792
3,003,792
3,062,384
3,062,384
3,122,477
3,122,477
3,176,342
3,176,342
3,231,108
3,231,108
3,284,823
3,284,823
3,343,518
3,343,518
3,404,760
3,404,760
1.7%
1.6%
1.6%
Growth
2.9
2.9 20,000
20,000
3.0
3.0 --
Total
10,000
10,000
3,003,792
3,062,384
3,122,477
3,176,342
3,231,108
3,284,823
3,343,518
3,404,760
3,003,792
3,062,384
3,122,477
3,176,342
3,231,108
3,284,823
3,343,518
3,404,760
2.8
2.8 1.6%
1.6%
1.5%
1.5% (10,000)
(10,000)
2.9 2015
2.9 2015 2016
2016 2017
2017 2018
2018 2019
2019 2020
2020 2021
2021 2022
2022 1990 1994
1990 1994 1998
1998 2002
2002 2006
2006 2010
2010 2014
2014 2018
2018 2022
2022
--
State
StatePopulation
PopulationEstimate
Estimate Annual
AnnualGrowth
GrowthRate
Rate NetMigration
Net Migration NaturalIncrease
Natural Increase PopulationChange
Population Change
2.8
2.8 1.5%
1.5% (10,000)
(10,000)
2015 2016
2015 2016 2017
2017 2018
2018 2019
2019 2020
2020 2021
2021 2022
2022 1990 1994
1990 1994 1998
1998 2002
2002 2006
2006 2010
2010 2014
2014 2018
2018 2022
2022
Source: Utah Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute Source: Utah Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute
StatePopulation
State PopulationEstimate
Estimate AnnualGrowth
Annual GrowthRate
Rate NetMigration
Net Migration NaturalIncrease
Natural Increase PopulationChange
Population Change
Figure
60,000 4: State Vital Records, 2015–2022
60,000 Figure
20.0% 5: State Vital Records Annual Percent Change,
20.0%
51,024
51,024 2015–2022
15.0%
15.0%
50,000
50,000
60,000
60,000 46,207
46,207 20.0%
20.0%
10.0%
10.0%
51,024
51,024 15.0%
40,000
40,000
50,000 15.0%
50,000 46,207
46,207 5.0%
5.0%
33,950
33,950
10.0%
10.0%
30,000
30,000
40,000
40,000 0.0%
0.0%
33,950 23,101
23,101 5.0%
5.0%
33,950
-5.0%
-5.0%
20,000
20,000
30,000
30,000 23,106
23,106 0.0%
0.0%
17,074
17,074 23,101
23,101 -10.0%
-10.0%
10,000
10,000 -5.0%
-5.0%
20,000
20,000 23,106
23,106 -15.0%
-15.0%
17,074
17,074 -10.0%
-10.0%
00
10,000
10,000 -20.0%
-20.0%
2015
2015 2016
2016 2017
2017 2018
2018 2019
2019 2020
2020 2021
2021 2022
2022 -15.0%
-15.0% 2015
2015 2016
2016 2017
2017 2018
2018 2019
2019 2020
2020 2021
2021 2022
2022
Births
Births Deaths
Deaths Natural
NaturalIncrease
Increase Births
Births Deaths
Deaths Natural
NaturalIncrease
Increase
00 -20.0%
-20.0%
2015
2015 2016 2017
2016 2017 2018 2019
2018 2019 2020 2021
2020 2021 2022
2022 2015
2015 2016 2017
2016 2017 2018 2019
2018 2019 2020 2021
2020 2021 20222022
100%
100% Births
Births Deaths
Deaths NaturalIncrease
Natural Increase Births
Births Deaths
Deaths NaturalIncrease
Natural Increase
0 -20.0%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
dampened effects of natural increase for the factors mentioned Figure 6: Share of Annual Population Growth by
Births Deaths Natural Increase
above, helped make net migration the dominant driver of Components of Change, 2015-2022
growth for the July 1, 2022 estimates. 100%
90%
County-Level Results
Iron County experienced the fastest growth for the second 80% 40.2% 43.4% 46.9% 45.4% 47.8%
year in a row at 4.3%, despite decreasing from last year’s 6.2% 48.7%
70% 59.4%
increase. Wasatch (3.8%), Utah (3.5%), Kane (3.5%), Rich (3.3%), 62.3%
County was the only population that decreased since 2021, Source: Utah Population Committee, Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute
CacheCache
2,9962,996 CacheCache
2.25%2.25%
Rich 85
Rich 85 Rich 3.3%
Rich 3.3%
Box Elder
Box Elder WeberWeber
2,7362,736 Box Elder
Box Elder WeberWeber
1.0% 1.0%
1,5691,569 DavisDavis
5,7085,708 2.6% 2.6% DavisDavis
1.6 1.6
Morgan
Morgan 355 355 Morgan 2.8% 2.8%
Morgan
Daggett
Daggett -6 -6 Daggett -0.6%-0.6%
Daggett
Summit
Summit Summit
Summit
426 426 Salt Lake
Salt Lake1.0% 1.0%
Salt Lake
Salt Lake
9,9989,998 0.8% 0.8%
Tooele
Tooele Wasatch
Wasatch Tooele
Tooele
1,5251,525 2.0% 2.0% Wasatch
Wasatch
1,3621,362Duchesne
Duchesne 3.8% 3.8%
Utah Utah 359 359 UintahUintah Utah Utah Duchesne
Duchesne
23,98023,980 449 449 3.5% 3.5% 1.8% 1.8% UintahUintah
1.2% 1.2%
Sanpete
Sanpete Sanpete
Sanpete
Millard
Millard 906 906 Millard
Millard 3.1% 3.1%
229 229 Emery
Emery Grand
Grand 1.7% 1.7% EmeryEmery GrandGrand
37 37 30 30 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3%
SevierSevier SevierSevier
175 175 0.8% 0.8%
Beaver
Beaver PiutePiute Wayne
Wayne Beaver
Beaver PiutePiute Wayne
Wayne
143 143 16 16 39 39 2.0% 2.0% 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.6%
Conclusion
In 2022, Utah continued to experience strong population statewide story of growth and change, with the 2023 estimates
growth, even with the lingering effects of the COVID-19 likely reflecting broader economic shifts and their resulting
pandemic and the start of an economic shift. Absolute growth impacts to migration.
reached its highest level since 2006, driven by record-high net The UPC has continued to investigate the data and modify
migration. Natural increase decreased for the second year in a the estimates process to accurately reflect the period between
row, despite an increase in births for the first time since 2015. July 1, 2021, and July 1, 2022. The UPC will continue to monitor
These estimates reflect a particular inflection point in the the state’s data and conditions into the future. Additional data
Endnotes
1. Kem C. Gardner Institute analysis of the following datasets: Historical State and County Estimates from the Utah Population Estimates Committee: 1940-2009,
State and County Intercensal Population Estimates and Components of Change: 2010-2019
2. U.S. Census Bureau. (2021, December 12). New Vintage 2021 Population Estimates Available for the Nation, States and Puerto Rico.
3. Li, W.L. 1976. A Note on Migration and Employment. Demography 13(4): 565-570.
Kem C. Gardner Policy Institute I 411 East South Temple Street, Salt Lake City, Utah 84111 I 801-585-5618 I gardner.utah.edu
(DE) UPC Estimates Dec2022