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Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Environmental Impact Assessment Review

journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/eiar

Consideration of climate change impacts and adaptation in EIA practice —


Perspectives of actors in Austria and Germany
Alexandra Jiricka a,b,⁎, Herbert Formayer a,b, Anna Schmidt a,b, Sonja Völler c, Markus Leitner c,
Thomas B. Fischer d, Thomas F. Wachter e
a
University of Natural Resources and Applied Life Sciences, Vienna, Austria
b
Department of Landscape, Spatial and Infrastructure Sciences, Institute for Landscape Development, Recreation and Conservation Planning, Peter-Jordan-Straße 82, 1190 Vienna, Austria
c
Environment Agency Austria, Environmental Impact Assessment and Climate Change, Spittelauer Lände 5, 1090 Wien, Austria
d
Environmental Assessment and Management, School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, 74 Bedford Street South, Liverpool L69 7ZQ, UK
e
Büro für Umweltplanung Dr. Wachter, Wiesnerring 2c, Hamburg, Germany

a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t

Article history: Current political discussions and developments indicate the importance and urgency of incorporating climate
Received 19 June 2015 change considerations into EIA processes. The recent revision of the EU Directive 2014/52/EU on Environmental
Received in revised form 16 November 2015 Impact Assessment (EIA) requires changes in the EIA practice of the EU member states. This paper investigates
Accepted 16 November 2015
the extent to which the Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) can contribute to an early consideration of
Available online xxxx
climate change consequences in planning processes. In particular the roles of different actors in order to incorpo-
Keywords:
rate climate change impacts and adaptation into project planning subject to EIA at the appropriate levels are a
Environmental Impact Assessment core topic. Semi-structured expert interviews were carried out with representatives of the main infrastructure
Climate change adaptation companies and institutions responsible in these sectors in Austria, which have to carry out EIA regularly. In a
Actors second step expert interviews were conducted with EIA assessors and EIA authorities in Austria and Germany,
in order to examine the extent to which climate-based changes are already considered in EIA processes. This
paper aims to discuss the different perspectives in the current EIA practice with regard to integrating climate
change impacts as well as barriers and solutions identified by the groups of actors involved, namely project de-
velopers, environmental competent authorities and consultants (EIA assessors/practitioners). The interviews
show that different groups of actors consider the topic to different degrees. Downscaling of climate change
scenarios is in this context both, a critical issue with regards to availability of data and costs. Furthermore,
assistance for the interpretation of relevant impacts, to be deducted from climate change scenarios, on the spe-
cific environmental issues in the area is needed. The main barriers identified by the EIA experts therefore include
a lack of data as well as general uncertainty as to how far climate change should be considered in the process
without reliable data but in the presence of knowledge about possible consequences at an abstract level. A
joint strategy on how to cope with uncertain prognoses about main impacts on environmental issues for areas
without reliable data requires a discussion and cooperation between EIA consultants and environmental
authorities.
© 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction (in terms of greenhouse gas emissions) and impacts of climate


change on projects are included. This amendment is connected
Consideration of climate change in large-scale projects requiring with an acceptance that large-scale and long-term investment infra-
Environmental Impact Assessments (EIAs) is increasingly and at times structure projects such as highways, power lines, railway lines, urban
controversially discussed in the international professional literature. In developments, airports, and hydropower plants can be affected by
the recent amendment of the EIA Directive – Parliament and of the climate change related impacts (Defra, 2011; European Commission
Council of 16 April 2014 amending Directive 2011/92/EU on the (EC), 2013c) and will require changes to EIA practices in all EU Member
assessment of the effects of certain public and private projects on the States.
environment – climate change is identified as an important new A number of studies and guidelines (e.g. McCallum et al., 2013;
challenge. In this context, both, impacts of projects on climate change Walker et al., 2013; EC – European Commission, 2013a; EC —
European Commission, 2013b; Byer et al., 2012; Agrawala et al., 2010;
⁎ Corresponding author. Runge et al., 2010; CARICOM — Caribbean community secretariat,
E-mail address: alexandra.jiricka@boku.ac.at (A. Jiricka). 2004; CEAA — Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency, 2003)

http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.eiar.2015.11.010
0195-9255/© 2016 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88 79

have suggested that EIA, in particular in combination with SEA (Fischer • changes of impacts on the environment by projects caused by an in-
et al., 2011; Posas, 2011) has the ability to address climate change issues creased vulnerability of environmental issues.
and could provide a suitable entry point to incorporate considerations of
climate change impacts and associated adaptation within existing mo-
dalities of project design, approval and implementation. Byer et al. Climate change can lead to a change of the frequency and intensity of
(2012) and McCallum et al. (2013) consider the stepwise approach of meteorological phenomena (EC — European Commission, 2013a,b).
the EIA procedure to be a good framework for integrating climate Extreme events, in particular, are of high relevance for large-scale infra-
change aspects, enabling its consideration in the design of projects. Fur- structure projects (Altvater et al., 2011). Various authors (including
thermore, the European Commission (EC) (2013c), along with authors Haurie et al., 2009; Peterson et al., 2008, and Swart and Biesbroek,
such as Fischer and Sykes (2007), expect the integration of climate 2008) have looked at the consequences of extreme rainfall, including
change in existing project development structures and processes – e.g. overloaded drainage systems and floods. Altered temperature con-
such as EIA and SEA – to be more effective than the development of sep- ditions, in particular heat-waves or the number of heat days per year
arate/new assessment instruments (see also European Commission and shifts between freezing and thawing can directly impact energy
(EC), 2013c). Elsewhere, Ohsawa and Duinker (2014) report on the im- infrastructures (Sathaye et al., 2013; Eskeland et al., 2008) and road sur-
portant role of EIA in climate change mitigation in the Canadian EIA faces (Harvey, 2004; Enei et al., 2011). Impacts can happen either
system. through damage to the project infrastructure itself or through reduced
To date, there has only been little practical experience with incorpo- functionality and thus profitability of the project, for example, through
rating climate change impacts and adaptation into project development short or long-term restrictions on its operation. Negative impacts on a
and EIA in the EU. Larsen (2014) examined integration of climate project can also be indirectly associated with the project environment
change aspects into EIA practice in Denmark. Her study showed that if considered in EIA. Table 1 lists direct and indirect impacts, both of
at all, only climate mitigation aspects rather than adaptation were which could be caused by the same causes. In the event that environ-
considered (in 18 out 19 EIAs). Earlier, Kamau and Mwaura (2013) mental issues change continuously as a consequence of a changing
had already revealed an absence of consideration of climate change in climate (e.g. altered soil characteristics), serious consequences for the
Kenian EIA practice. Their findings point at a lack of knowledge amongst technical construction of a project can also arise. In alpine areas, indirect
EIA practitioners. Several studies on climate change adaptation, such as effects of intense localised rainfall can include landslides, mudslides and
Brown and Harvey (2009) and Newig (2007) highlighted the role of unstable slopes (Stoffel and Huggel, 2012). These, in turn, can lead to
groups of actors involved as main multipliers of integrating climate considerable costs due to reconstruction measures, blockage of strategi-
change related topics into planning and assessment. Miller and Bowen cally important routes, network failures or even physical injury to
(2013) stress the necessity to engage with stakeholders in the assess- persons (Altvater et al., 2011; Birkmann et al., 2010). Thawing of perma-
ment and discussion of climate change related vulnerability. The per- frost can lead to instability of high-lying infrastructure (Jochem and
spectives of stakeholders (in the following addressed as actors) Schade, 2009; Nelson et al., 2001; Gruber and Haeberli, 2007). Further-
involved in EIA processes are therefore an important step to further in- more, in lower and mid-range altitudes, a rise in winter temperatures
tegrate climate change impacts and adaptation options into EIA could lead to an increase in precipitation on unfrozen ground. This, in
practice. turn, can increase the risk of unstable slopes and landslides. Increased
This paper is based on the results of the two-year research project soil sensitivity should therefore be taken into account in project plan-
“envisage-cc”, funded under the Austrian Climate Research Program. ning, including issues such as site selection, depth of foundations, and
In this project, the capabilities and perspectives of actors involved in slope stability. A rise in the frequency of fires on embankments and in
EIA and the planning of projects subject to EIA were examined. In nearby (protective) forests (Leidinger et al., 2013; Birkmann et al.,
order to meet project aims, interviews with EIA experts were conducted 2010) could also arise as an indirect effect on projects. In Germany, ad-
in Austria and extended to Germany later because EIA systems are high- ditional effects of climate change have to be taken in account. For exam-
ly comparable and it was felt that further good practice may thus be ple, along the North Sea, sea level rise can increase the danger of
identified. Both countries have been portrayed in the professional liter- flooding. Coastal management is therefore of great importance (e.g.
ature as frontrunners in integrating environmental policies (Schmidt, Knieling et al., 2009).
2011; Knill et al., 2012) and in applying environmental precautionary The project environment and the biophysical environment within
planning. which EIAs are applied can be affected by climate change. In this
In this paper, the consideration of climate change impacts in EIA in context, McCallum et al. (2013), for example, described the cumulative
Austria and Germany and, in this context, the potential to consider impacts that can arise when the “baseline environment” is influenced
adaptation to the changing climate are explored. Barriers perceived by by climate change. These impacts provide important information to de-
different actors involved in EIA and project planning as well as solutions scribe the relevant aspects of the current state of the environment
are identified. A particular focus is put on the differences between (baseline scenario) and an outline of the likely evolution thereof with-
different target groups. out implementation of a project, which Article 5 (1) No. 3 of the

2. Background Table 1
Examples for direct and indirect impacts of meteorological phenomena on major projects.
2.1. Climate change impacts for projects subject to EIA Meteorological Possible direct impact Possible indirect impact
phenomena
The consideration of climate change impacts and associated adapta- Intense Obstruction of railways and Increased soil erosion and risk of
tion in projects subject to EIA can apply to a project itself (keyword localised roads through strong snowfall landslides (e.g. ski slopes/power
“climate proofing”), as well as to the environmental impacts surround- precipitation and damages to infrastructure lines on slopes)
ing it. Jiricka et al. (2014) suggested categorization of climate change- through wet snow
Storms Deactivation of wind turbines Storm damage to trees and
related consequences for EIA as follows (adapted from Birkmann and
related obstruction of railways,
Fleischhauer (2009) and Runge et al. (2010)): roads, power lines
Heat/drought Overheating of Forest fires
• direct impacts of climate change on projects; materials/electricity facilities
• indirect impacts on projects, which are associated with the project en- Sea level rise Flooding of coastal zones Dam failure and flooding of
countries downstream
vironment; and
80 A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88

Table 2 observed that invasive species such as Robinia pseudoacacia could dis-
EIA experts interviewed in Austria and Germany. place native species. A rise in mean annual temperatures can also lead
EIA experts to a change in pest pressure and infestation and subsequently to a
Federal state Austria Germany
changed species composition. In some cases, these altered conditions
could cause increased slope instability. Stoffel et al. (2014) as well as
Vienna 4
Stoffel and Huggel (2012), for example, have reported increased ground
Lower Austria 3
Upper Austria 2 movement and rockfall events. Due to an increase in mean annual tem-
Burgenland 1 peratures, a rise in water temperatures and associated change in oxygen
Styria 2 levels have already been observed which could lead to shifts and losses
Tyrol 3 of species in rivers, streams and lakes, particularly in greyling and trout
Lower Saxony 5
Schleswig–Holstein 1
regions (Melcher et al., 2012; Schmid et al., 2014). Pletterbauer et al.
Hesse 1 (2012) also discuss climate change-related changes in river flow re-
Northrhine–Westfalia 3 gimes and impacts on Austrian fish overall. Seasonally altered runoff in-
Hamburg 1 tensities (not only intense rainfall and glacial melt but also low water
Total 15 11
levels) amplify the altered habitat conditions.
Environmental issue expertise Austria Germany With regards to human population and health, the anticipated rise of
thermal discomfort leading to an increase in health impacts (heat stroke
Soil 5 1
Water 5 0
and even deaths; see Robine et al., 2008) have already been identified as
Flora/fauna/biodiversity 6 1 relevant issues in urban development (WHO — Word Health
Air/climate 1 0 Organization, 2012). For EIA, the question is how these potential effects
EIA-coordination 2 9 change the description, prognosis and assessment of the impacts of the
Total 19 (more than one category possible) 11
project on the environment.
Role in EIA Austria Germany
2.2. Working under complexity regarding climate change impacts in EIA
Environmental authority 9 2
EIA consultant 3 9
Double role 3 0 There are different challenges for developing a standardised proce-
Total 15 11 dure for EIAs where climate change impacts are dealt with according
to the new EIA Directive 2014/52/EU. Runge et al. (2010) as well as
Davoudi et al. (2009) described approaches to recognising the
amended EIA Directive 2014/52/EU requires. Furthermore, information consequences of climate change in project planning and EIA. Just like
of climate change impacts on the project environment influences the in other studies (e.g. Refsgaard et al., 2013; Agrawala et al., 2010 or
analysis of the sensitivity and/or consideration of mitigation measures CEAA — Canadian Environmental Assessment Agency, 2003) however,
that are elaborated on within EIA processes (EC — European the authors found serious difficulties in dealing with uncertain progno-
Commission, 2013a). In addition, information about the development ses and decision-making under uncertainty.
of the environment is necessary to establish indirect impacts on pro- What is often referred to as “climate proofing”, has certain limita-
jects, associated with the project environment. tions. Main challenges of integrating climate change in project design
Subsequently, a sample of environmental effects is described. The mentioned in nearly all studies include the complexity and multi-
effects included here are of particularly importance for projects in the sectoral nature of climate change as well as the long time dimensions
Alpine Region. To start with, climate change may lead to a change of of the changing climate conditions (e.g. EC — European Commission,
mean annual temperatures and altered precipitation regimes. This 2013b; Agrawala et al., 2010; Runge and Wachter, 2010). Birkmann
may lead to shifts in the distribution ranges and composition of species and Fleischhauer (2009) foresee new challenges regarding changes
(Essl and Rabitsch, 2013; Essl et al., 2009). For example, climate change without linear predictability, which is likely to complicate adherence
is expected to alter the migration behaviour of some animal species. to threshold values and legal requirements – as is currently common
Changes are already observed in the case of amphibians and birds practice in Austrian EIAs – or could even require such practice to be
(Valiela and Bowen, 2003; Li et al., 2013; Araújo and Luoto, 2007). reconsidered.
Changes in migratory behaviour have also been observed for certain The topics described above are not just connected with technical
bat species (e.g. common noctule) (Sherwin et al., 2013; Rebelo et al., challenges and knowledge specific to regional circumstances, but in-
2010). Species with limited migratory capacity, as well as those restrict- volve strategies for appropriate transdisciplinary knowledge transfer
ed by geographic barriers or a lack of habitat connectivity are also between actors. Applied knowledge about the best way to transfer
threatened by climate change, mainly because they cannot evade al- and consider climate change impacts and risks in planning practice to
tered conditions (Valiela and Bowen, 2003; O'Dunn and Moller, 2013). date has remained limited (Rannow et al., 2010; Fischer, 1999). Some
Stenoecious species, already endangered species (red-list species) and authors consider more and better information as one of the main
species adapted to cool and humid climates are considered to be the needs for climate change adaptation (e.g. Biesbroek et al. 2010). What
most vulnerable to climate change (Balas et al., 2010). will be key is appropriate trans-disciplinary communication of complex
Especially in alpine and high alpine areas, changes to favourable con- scientific issues in a way that is comprehensible and appropriate to dia-
ditions for plant and animal species adapted to warmer and drier cli- logue partners (target groups) (Akerlof et al., 2012; Roeser, 2012;
mates have already been observed (Dullinger et al., 2012, Gottfried Moser, 2010; Jha-Thakur et al., 2009). The knowledge of relevant groups
et al., 2012). New competition situations are arising through other ther- of actors of current as well as future vulnerability builds the basis for
mophilic species, both native and alien. Particularly in high alpine pro- considering the changing climatic conditions, focusing on likely climate
jects subject to EIA, such as ski pists and high-voltage power lines, this change impacts (European Commission (EC), 2013c). Climate change
could become an issue when assessing the rarity of species or the recov- interacts with many other environmental and social aspects and factors
erability of habitats (Rehnus et al., 2013). Besides the consideration of affecting human and natural systems. This is why climate change im-
altered habitat conditions when assessing the baseline situation of pacts and adaptation options cannot be considered separately. It rather
flora, fauna and habitats, changes also need to be considered when con- requires an interactive approach, applying trans-disciplinary communi-
ceiving mitigation and compensation measures. Another climate cation (Byer et al., 2012). Even when there are standards for knowledge
change impact on vegetation was illustrated by Essl et al. (2011) who transfer, future EIA is likely to be more complex than today because
A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88 81

many phases of the planning process require an adjustment on the basis In a small country like Austria, the number of EIA experts is limited. This
of climate change knowledge. is a reason for German experts also being involved at times in Austrian
EIA. In order to provide an overview of the consideration of climate
3. Underlying methodology change in EIA in both countries, a total of 26 experts - 15 from Austria
and 11 from Germany - were interviewed. Table 2 summarises origin
The central research questions addressed in this paper are: and expertise of the interviewees.
Interviews contained the following questions:
- What is the current level of awareness for the effects of climate
change amongst different groups of actors (public environmental - At which stages of EIA (screening, scoping, zero-option, assessment
authorities, EIA consultants) involved in EIA of large infrastructure of alternatives, assessment of environmental impacts, mitigation
projects? and compensation measures, monitoring) is climate change current-
- To what extent are these issues considered in current EIA practices ly considered?
in Austria and Germany? - For which environmental issues is climate change relevant?
- What phases of EIA are best suited for the consideration of climate - What are the sources providing relevant information on climate
change and the potential for adaptation to climate change in the fu- change in EIA? Where is knowledge on climate change for inclusion
ture according to the different groups of actors? in EIA gained (e.g. scientific publications, conferences, informal ex-
- What are the barriers to the integration of climate change impacts in change with colleagues)?
EIA practices according to the different groups of actors? - At what stages of EIA (screening, scoping, zero-variant, assessment
- What solutions do actors involved in EIA suggest for a better consid- of alternatives, assessment of environmental impacts, mitigation
eration of climate change impacts in the future? and compensation measures, monitoring) would it be important to
- What are the limits to consider climate change impacts in EIA? consider climate change impacts in the future?
- What are the barriers for the integration of climate change impacts
in EIA?
In order to answer these questions, first, existing guidelines on EIA
- What may be future solutions to facilitate integration of climate
and climate change adaptation were analysed. In this context, the
change impacts in EIA?
focus was on process — assessing how the project environment can be
incorporated into project planning itself, and where advantages for an
early consideration of climate change effects might thereby arise. The
In preparing interviews, main topics were distributed beforehand
analysis of the guidelines served as baseline for the development of
to interviewees. The main focus of the interviews was adaptation to
the interviews, in order to identify “crucial steps” where possible inte-
climate change impacts. The interviewed EIA experts represent all
gration of climate change impacts in project planning through EIA can
major project types according to the sectors mentioned before, for
best occur.
which EIA is carried out in Austria (many have expertise in several
The results thus obtained are connected with a detailed analysis of
sectors), and those that are most frequently subject to EIA in
the possible vulnerability to climate change of different project types.
Germany.
Results are summarised in a support document for project developers,
prepared within the “envisage-cc” project (Dallhammer et al., 2014).
3.2. Computer-aided analysis of data
Semi-structured interviews and two stakeholder workshops with
Austrian proponents were used to gauge the awareness for climate
Analysis of interview results was conducted with the programme
change consequences and the necessity and possibility of adaptation
MaxQDA 11, a common software package for qualitative data analysis
measures.
(QDA). Here, through computer-aided analysis, codes “are displayed
in the text itself, […] are always visible and can be edited anytime”
3.1. Semi-structured expert interviews
(Kuckartz et al., 2007, p. 18). Thereby, clarity was ensured during anal-
ysis, despite a large amount of data provided by the transcripts.
Fifteen semi-structured expert interviews were carried out face-to-
Qualitative content analysis following Mayring (2010) was also con-
face between October 2013 and April 2014 with representatives from
ducted. For this purpose, firstly, material was screened and relevant text
the main infrastructure companies and institutions (altogether nine
passages were highlighted. They were sorted according to the topics of
project developers in the following sectors — railways, federal roads,
the interviews (status quo of EIA practice/“consideration of climate
skiing slopes and ropeways, golf courses, waterways, wind energy,
change so far”, relevance for the future/“consideration in future”, obsta-
water power, power grids and large housing infrastructure) in Austria.
cles/“barriers”, and proposals for “future solutions”). Then, categories
These conduct EIAs regularly.
were defined inductively (from within the material). The pre-sorted
The interviews focused on the following questions:
thematic correspondence to the research questions as well as the ques-
- Have climate change impacts been considered in project planning tions from the interview guidelines formed the basis of this process.
and EIA so far? From that, categories and subcategories were developed and combined
- At what stage of the planning process are they considered? into a set of coding guidelines. Assigning the interview statements to
- Since when have climate change impacts become a topic of consid- subcategories often proved challenging, as statements often addressed
eration in the company/institution? more than one topic at a time. Furthermore, they often addressed
- What data are included in the planning process in order to gain in- non-specified uncertainties regarding the handling of climate change.
formation on climate change impacts and for integration into the A first in-depth analysis of the material was conducted after an initial
planning process? round of interviews. All important text passages were highlighted and
- What is the support needed for the future consideration of climate assigned to the now refined categories. Some more subcategories
change in project planning (e.g. guidance, data sheets)? were added during this step. Possible sources of errors resulting from
the ambiguity of expressions, wrongly or imprecisely recorded thematic
references or substituted terms (see Mayring, 2010, pp. 110–111) were
To further examine the perspectives of actors, interviews were con- reduced by using the automatic coding function of the QDA software in
ducted by phone between May 2014 and September 2014 with EIA as- addition to human screening of data. Text passages added by this meth-
sessors from competent environmental authorities and EIA consultants. od were inspected carefully to ensure they matched the context of their
82 A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88

respective categories. During this process, the categories were precipitation provides a good example in the case of linear projects:
reappraised with regards to their suitability and were adjusted where “Proper drainage plays a crucial role when constructing new routes. A con-
necessary. stant re-adjustment of drainage system dimensions is necessary in this
case. Measurements of precipitation levels are updated continuously to
4. Results form a valid basis of assessment”, PD2.
Specific adaptation measures already covered were only mentioned
4.1. Awareness and perception of project developers in a few cases: “The topic of climate change is increasingly becoming a part
of urban planning. It is important to consider climate change in city con-
During the course of the interviews with proponents – in Austria re- struction projects”, PD6. “Heat is playing an increasingly important role.
ferred to as project developers (=PD) – some differences with regard to Therefore, adequate cooling of buildings is becoming more of an issue”,
the consideration of climate change in different projects became appar- PD7. “Roof and façade greening will also become more important in the
ent. Subsequently, some statements by interview partners that illustrate near future”, PD7.
the different levels of importance attributed to the topic of climate Uncertain predictions and a lack of regional data were seen as the
change adaptation by interviewees are presented. One interviewee stat- greatest obstacles to integration of climate change effects into project
ed, “The consequences of climate change are currently not an issue in our planning. Here, again, companies were dealing with these challenges
project development”. Another interviewee suggested “Questions related in different ways. Some commissioned their own studies: “Climate
to climate change play a subordinate role in new construction projects. The change plays a role in this business sector, so [company] XX has joined in-
given natural conditions and circumstances, on the other hand, are natural- ternational partners to elaborate research projects on climate
ly already considered”. One interviewee also suggested “Climate change is change”(PD3). Others revert to external research results, which often
an issue in various project phases” and that “Climate change always plays a come with their own set of problems: “We draw our climate change-
role in project development — be it directly or indirectly”, PD4. Determin- related data from various studies. These studies are highly complex and
ing factors of the consideration of climate change are connected with their outcomes often differ considerably, which reduces their meaningful-
the size of the company and the number of large-scale projects conduct- ness to a certain degree” (PD5). Some companies also use their own
ed that require EIA. data series as a basis for considering climate change effects in planning:
In infrastructure companies, climate change was quite strongly asso- “Therefore, [company] XX has its own observational network at its disposal,
ciated with natural hazard management, as the following statements as well as having implemented monitoring of consequences of climate
from interviewees who work in transport planning show: “In the re- events” (PD2). “There is regular contact with the research community via
sponsibility of [company] XX, climate change effects are largely only an in- research projects about weather data and prognoses regarding wind ener-
direct issue, mainly connected with the consideration of natural hazards gy. We operate our own meteorological stations, allowing us to monitor the
and natural hazard management”, PD5. “We develop natural hazard power line” (PD1).
plans, consider danger potentials, evaluate risk, and develop and prioritise Interviews revealed that companies have so far paid greater atten-
measures. Furthermore monitoring of natural hazards is conducted”, PD2. tion to climate change mitigation (reduction of the greenhouse gases)
“An estimation of future changes regarding site selection and natural haz- than to the adaptation to climate change effects. In this context, the
ards (according to the current state of knowledge) lies within the responsi- “Climate and Energy Concept” (BMLFUW, 2010), legally required in
bility of the geological assessment”, PD1. Austria as part of EIA, was referred to by two thirds of the interviewees.
In some cases, a dedicated person responsible for climate change It contains a short description of the possible negative effects on global
matters (adaptation and/or mitigation) had been instated. In this con- climate change caused by the project realisation as well as mitigation
text, it became apparent that people with an educational background measures to reduce these impacts. This makes Austria one of the
in the natural sciences (e.g. forest managers and agricultural engineers) frontrunners within the EU, already considering impacts of projects on
had a different perspective on long-term effects of climate change (e.g. a global climate change as well as mitigation strategies within the EIA
longer vegetation period) than, for example, technical engineers and process. The references to the “Climate and Energy Concept” demon-
economists. strate that legal requirements do lead to increased attention for a
There were also some distinct differences in terms of the time that given subject area. A similar effect can therefore also be expected
climate change effects had already been an issue for companies. Several when the amended EU EIA Directive will be implemented nationally
of the project developers have already taken into account certain mete- in the next few years, and has an effect on project planning. As men-
orological factors for several years. However, actually considering cli- tioned earlier, a presentation of follow-up implications for a project
mate change in EIA is new to many. “We have been dealing with the and the project environment due to climate change will then become
issues of wind and storm gusts since the late 90s, but changes due to climate mandatory.
change have not yet been considered” (PD8). Therefore, activities directly
connected with climate change have largely only taken place over the 4.2. Awareness and perception of EIA expert
recent past, as was explained, for example by PD2: “In the summer of
2013, we launched a series of internal workshops dealing with the issues 4.2.1. Consideration of climate change in EIA today
of natural hazards and, subsequently, climate”. Interviews with EIA experts (consultants and competent authori-
The following statement shows that the issue of climate change ad- ties) in Austria and Germany (subsequently referred to as A and
aptation has already become an issue for those companies that have G) revealed a general awareness for the increased influence of climate
identified immediate economic implications: “Environmental factors change on projects. However, it also became clear that adaptation to cli-
with the potential to cause [economically significant] disruptions [to mate issues currently receives little attention in EIA practice in both
power lines] are avalanches and strong winds, for example. Avalanche countries. The following three excerpts reflect statements made by the
risk is therefore observed and considered during planning and mainte- majority of the experts interviewed: “So far I have not worked on any
nance”, PD1. projects that have considered the issue. I also don’t know of any other pro-
Depending on the project type, high economic vulnerability was de- jects that picked up on this subject” (G3). “The issue of climate change is not
termined in some cases — especially if climate-related extreme events present in day-to-day planning” (A13). “Regarding present-day large-scale
should cause significant damage to the project infrastructure itself, or projects subject to EIA, I can’t think of any examples where these matters
lead to lengthy shut-downs or periods of restricted operation. In some ought to have already been considered. Often, the basic data needed to con-
cases, the option of a step-by-step climate-adaptation of projects (e.g. sider detailed developments are still lacking” (A9). Eleven of the 14
as part of regular maintenance) has remained. Intense localised Austrian interviewees and 8 of the 11 German interviewees had not
A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88 83

yet come into contact with the issue of climate change adaptation in already at the stage that this topic was part of the guidelines issued by
their everyday dealings with EIA matters. Those in Austria have been the authorities, THEN we could emphasise it accordingly” (G4). “The most
in touch with climate change mitigation topics, because of the “climate important thing is fulfilling the legal requirements. So far, climate change
and energy concepts” required here. In the other cases, it was either “of does not enter into that equation” (G0). Implementation of the amended
peripheral significance” (G4), had been discussed “very superficially” EIA Directive could make a difference to this situation.
(A3) or “a bit” (A6), or had “an indirect influence” only (A14). “In my According to interviewees, a confounding factor is that regional/local
experience, this is done quite half-heartedly. In the EIA procedures that I scenarios specific to certain species or groups of species are still lacking
have been part of, this has always been treated very, very peripherally as in many areas in Germany and Austria. These would be necessary to be
an absolutely subordinate issue” (A3). able to apply research results from individual studies to other areas (at
While some experts only consider the issue to become relevant in the project level). Mandatory declarations, such as e.g. changes in cate-
the next 10 to 20 years, those who already wish to consider climate gory of protected (so-called ‘red-list’) species are important information
change effects in their reports and assessments have difficulties in find- that ought to be taken into account in the future. This also goes for large-
ing the right methods to facilitate it. This is illustrated by the following scale analyses, such as altered wildlife corridors. The following state-
statements of some interviewees: “[Climate change] does indeed play a ment underlines the significance ascribed to the issue by a number of
role in the discussions during approval procedures, there just isn't very experts: “Basically, we expect this topic to become relevant for all environ-
much of a useful foundation to fall back on. […] [In the case of] the environ- mental issues, be it reciprocally or via a feedback loop” (G6). However, the
mental issues of animals and birds, which are particularly relevant for wind development of certain habitats, along with the species found there,
parks, I can't think of a single scenario that I could make use of. Of course does also bare the possibility (or the risk) that climate change might
there are all sorts of discussions about faunal change, but these are all prog- be used as an argument for better conditions in the future, and that po-
noses, sometimes contradicting each other. Obviously nobody knows tential threats might be assessed as being less significant. Uncertainty
what's really going to happen”, G1. This is confirmed by Rannow et al. about other influencing factors which have more “short time effects”
(2010), who point out problems in the transfer of research findings should be taken into account primarily, according to the experts, in
into planning practice. case this argumentation occurs.
According to some interviewees, challenges arise regarding certain One issue where the majority of experts see a particular need to con-
conclusions of climate change scenarios (and associated phenomena). sider climate change consequences is the matter of mitigation measures
There also continues to be a general lack of data and information at a re- elaborated on within the EIA process: “Basically the time frames relevant
gional level. “There just aren't really any tangible and practical, reasonably to planning processes are always around 10 to 25 years. So climate change
certain prognoses that could be utilised at the moment” (G10). “The only becomes really relevant for us when we are discussing mitigation or
projects themselves are obviously quite specific, and the consequences of compensation measures that need to be effective on much larger timescales
climate change on projects are reasonably specific. But regarding the […] — for example this might influence the choice of tree species used for
issue of climate change and its direct consequences on individual affected plantation” (G9). “Since this is a matter that we are actually able to deter-
parts of an environmental issue, these factors are usually not very specific, mine ourselves, we make a particular point of demanding clear statements
or not specific enough. […] Of course for these matters you need climate from our assessors on whether the planned mitigation measures will actu-
change data with a regional reference, and these tend to be lacking. […] ally be effective in the long term under aspects of climate change” (G6). In
This problem as a whole hasn't yet really arrived in specific planning prac- the case of possible mitigation and compensation measures, again, the
tice due to this uncertainty of current data” (G7). problem lies in reliably evaluating climate change as one of the factors
According to the majority of experts interviewed, there is great un- influencing the achievability of development goals. The difficulty lies
certainty as to how environmental changes – identified scientifically e.g. in a meaningful selection of species (e.g. for re-forestation) suited
at global or national levels, or already observed in individual studies to the site and the changing conditions.
or specific regions – will also be relevant under the very specific, region- One suggested solution was the development of ‘change scenarios’,
al and local project conditions. As a statement by one of the Austrian based on climate development, for the maintenance of mitigation and
experts shows, the main difficulty appears to lie in filtering the suitable compensation sites, and to combine these scenarios with actual results
information from the wealth of knowledge currently available: “There is from monitoring.
a lot of information out there, but unfortunately it doesn't come pre-
packaged” (A4). 4.2.3. Barriers and solutions by segments
A closer look at the groups “EIA consultants” and “Competent au-
4.2.2. Outlook thorities” reveals differences in the perception of barriers and the per-
Consequences of climate change can be integrated into the likely ception of future strategies to cope with challenges posed by climate
evolution of the environment without implementation of the project change. Both groups mentioned uncertainties at a rather unspecified
(baseline scenario) related to the amended EIA Directive (in Austria level, which hold the integration of climate change impacts in EIA
the so-called ‘zero’ or ‘do nothing’ alternative). However, according to back: “the topic is much too complex” (G1); “For many people climate
the experts, there is no certainty with regards to the contribution of cli- change is very abstract” (A4); “climate change is so far away, it is difficult
mate change to this development when compared with other influenc- to imagine and one does not want to burden processes with this aspect
ing factors (such as changes in land use). This would require long-term therefore” (G5).
surveys and individual case studies which exceed the scope of an EIA. Nevertheless, both groups differ with regards to certain aspects
Being a long-term issue, climate change is often ascribed to lower so- which influence the consideration of climate change aspects negatively:
cietal and political relevance compared with other short-term matters, Competent authorities perceive the lack of specific data and reliable
and is therefore often receiving poor attention when weighing up differ- prognoses as a major barrier, linked to uncertainties and a lack of aware-
ent issues. “The developments currently under way are governed by ness of the topics (see Graph 1).
completely different, much more important factors. […] Well, here in our Whilst EIA consultants identify these challenges, they also consider
region the climate factor is a low priority factor — at least for the moment. the lack of legal requirements to consider climate change as a major
We urgently have to deal with very different topics such as agricultural barrier. Around fifteen percent of the overall solutions addressed by
subsidy programmes. These are the really decisive issues” (A9). them refer to a lack of obligatory framing conditions (legal standards,
The interviews with German experts, in particular, often highlighted demands by authorities) when asked for barriers. “As long as there are
that there is comparatively little interest in climate change, mainly be- no legal standards […] we cannot consider the topic climate change
cause there are no legal obligations to cover this issue. “If we were appropriately” (G5).
84 A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88

Graph 1. Barriers identified by EIA experts (statements of experts = n) – comparison between consultants and authorities.

Accordingly, solutions suggested by competent authorities involve 2009; Jessel and Butterling, 2013; Fischer et al., 2009; Fischer, 2002). Sev-
in particular further research as well as specified scenarios on habitats eral aspects — such as “inaction”, “inflexibility of the systems” and “fear of
“research results are often too vague to transfer them to a specific exam- unpopular decisions” are only mentioned in Germany. On the other hand,
ination area”, (G5) — whereas EIA consultants primarily seek for legally many Austrian interviewees mentioned “unspecified uncertainties relat-
binding requirements as well as guidelines on the integration of climate ed to climate change”.
change impacts (see Graph 2). Both groups consider improvements of There are differences with regards to the necessity of guidelines for
data availability an important step to better integrate climate change practical implementation (mentioned particularly in Germany) as well
topics. as the need for further research (mentioned particularly in Austria).
In the following differences between Austria and Germany are exam- Based on interview results it appears that the availability of data and
ined (see Graph 3). There are differences in natural and climatic condi- the communication of research results, including specific options for
tions. Responses in this study are partly influenced by the country of the integration of climate change topics into EIA, is a major challenge
residence as e.g. the identification of impacts in mountainous areas in Germany. In Austria, a lack of data and specific information (scenari-
(which is the majority in Austria) is more complex than in other areas. os) is identified as main barriers by the experts, which, however, could
Furthermore, differences in the planning systems and planning culture be caused by a lack of communication to transfer research results into
could have an influence on responses (e.g. Jiricka and Pröbstl, 2007, practice (see Graph 3).

Graph 2. Solutions identified by EIA experts — comparison between consultants and authorities.
A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88 85

Graph 3. Barriers identified by EIA experts — presented by country.

Whereas barriers are found to a similar extent in both countries, sug- in the next few years. This will have an effect on the consideration of
gested solutions differ (see Graph 4). The Austrian interviewees ap- both, mitigation and adaptation topics.
peared to primarily opt for additional research and habitat specific Despite the up-coming legal implementation of climate change
scenarios. German interviewees, on the other hand, emphasised the impacts in EIA many methodical questions have yet to be resolved.
need for additional guidelines accompanying practical implementation. The interviews show that different groups of actors consider the topic
to different degrees. Dialogue with project developers revealed that
the main impacts on projects and project environments due to climate
5. Discussion and outlook change are mostly recognised at an abstract level only, yet the transfer
of climate knowledge to the regional and even local planning context
Climate change impacts on the environment have been discussed by still remains a challenge for the planners involved. Interviews with EIA
many authors. However, up until now only little is known about differ- experts showed that the main challenges for the future involve the
ent groups of actors involved in EIA/SEA. The interviews carried out in investigation of specific entry points, methodological approaches for
this study confirmed the lack of consideration in practical application the consideration of climate change issues and better understanding
as presented by other authors, e.g. for Northern Europe by Larsen of the relevance of climate change impacts with regards to the specific
(2014) and for Kenia by Kamau and Mwaura (2013). regional/local conditions and project-related issues.
To date, greater attention has been paid to climate change mitigation Downscaling of climate change scenarios is in this context both, a
(reduction of greenhouse gases) than to the adaptation to climate critical issue with regards to availability of data and costs. Furthermore,
change effects. This demonstrates that legal requirements – like the assistance for the interpretation of relevant impacts, to be deducted
“climate and energy-concept” in Austria do lead to increased attention from climate change scenarios, on the specific environmental issues in
for a given subject area. A similar effect can therefore also be expected the area is needed. The main barriers identified by the EIA experts there-
when the amended EU EIA Directive will be implemented nationally fore include a lack of data as well as general uncertainty as to how far

Graph 4. Solutions identified by EIA experts – comparison between countries.


86 A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88

climate change should be considered in the process without reliable framework for project planning (Fischer, 2006). When climate change
data but in the presence of knowledge about possible consequences at adaptation is prepared at these levels already, then the necessary infor-
an abstract level. According to the precautionary principle, the consider- mation can be integrated in EIA with regard to specific measures at pro-
ation of possible climate change impacts seems necessary. However, a ject level.
joint strategy on how to cope with uncertain prognoses about main im-
pacts on environmental issues for areas without reliable data requires a Acknowledgements
discussion and cooperation between EIA consultants and environmen-
tal authorities. This article was funded under the Austrian Climate Research Pro-
One step ahead would be the improvement of legal specifications gramme. The authors thank ÖIR, Vienna, which was the managing insti-
(e.g. the consideration of climate change in the designation of endan- tution of the project “envisage-cc” in particular Erich Dalhammer and
gered species or protected habitats) or guidance specific to the regional Gregori Stanzer.
conditions and the increased susceptibility of the environmental issues
as well as potential impacts. In this context, as a possible future solution,
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88 A. Jiricka et al. / Environmental Impact Assessment Review 57 (2016) 78–88

Dr. Alexandra Jiricka is a senior researcher at the University of Natural Resources and Ap- Prof. Dr. Thomas Fischer School of Environmental Sciences, University of Liverpool, UK.
plied Life Sciences Vienna. With a background in environmental science and planning, one Professor Thomas Fischer joined the University of Liverpool in March 2002. He was Head
of her main research interest is European environmental planning and legislation with of Department of the School of Environmental Sciences'; Department of Geography and
special focus on EIA and SEA implementation. Planning until 2014. Thomas is a graduate of Geography (Dipl.-Geogr.) at FU Berlin, with
parts of his study programme conducted at Wilfrid Laurier University in Waterloo, Canada
and Université Louis Pasteur in Strasbourg, France. His specialist fields include impact as-
Prof. Dr. Herbert Formayer is assistant professor at the Institute of Meteorology at BOKU.
sessment for transport and spatial/land use policies, plans and programmes (strategic en-
He has supported many in the climate impact community with data and knowhow and
vironmental assessment) and the effective consideration of environmental, health and
has a good understanding of which climate competence can be found where. He is in-
climate change issues in spatial planning.
volved in many climate research projects and has an excellent overview of the existing
Austrian climate change literature (exposure, impacts and adaptation).
Dr. Thomas F. Wachter studied Landscape Planning at the Technical University of
Munich-Weihenstephan and received his doctor's degree at Technical University
Sonja Völler (MSc) holds a Master in Biology, with specialisation in landscape ecology and
of Berlin. Since 20 years he conducts environmental studies and research projects.
conservation biology, from the University of Vienna. She is working as an expert for EIA
As an employee at the Bosch & Partner GmbH and OECOS GmbH, Mr. Wachter was
and SEA. The main focus of her work lies in the reviewing of Environmental Impact State-
working in the field of large infrastructure projects like highways, railways and
ments (EIS), conceptual works within the field of EIA and SEA as well as providing infor-
harbour construction. Besides this, he did research especially in the areas of renew-
mation on EIA to authorities and the public (EIA information point). She is currently
able energies and nature conservation. As a scientific assistant at the TU Hamburg —
involved in climate change adaptation ACRP projects like AUTreach, envisage-cc, and re-
Harburg, TU Berlin, the University of Potsdam and the Leuphana University, he was
cently performed and coordinated an overview report of climate change adaptation efforts
working on Environmental Impact Assessment, Knowledge Management and Cli-
in Austria towards the OECD. Before February 2012, she worked in different employments
mate Adaption.
and was a research assistant at the University of Vienna and at the University of Natural
Resources and Applied Life Sciences, on national and international research projects
(StartClim2008, EU FP7, ERDF Central Europe Programme).

Markus Leitner holds an MSc in Landscape Ecology and Landscape Planning and is a spe-
cialist for Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA), Strategic Environmental Assessment
(SEA) and climate change adaptation. His main fields of expertise range from project co-
ordination and management to research management and development like the
FP6 project CIRCLE and the FP7 project CIRCLE-2 in the field of climate change im-
pacts, vulnerability and adaptation in Europe. He has contributed with his climate
change adaptation expertise to diverse ACRP project like CcTalK!, envisage-CC,
adapt2to4, COIN, ARISE, PACINAS, PATCH:ES, the Tyrolean Climate Strategy, C3-
Alps, ETC/CCA and the EU Adaptation Strategy. Since 2012, he is a lecturer at BOKU
University on the lecture “Applied EIA”.

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