GE15 PreElection

Malaysia’s Upcoming Elections:
The State of Play

Merdeka Center
Survey Date: 28 Oct 2022
Disclaimer
The information from this report is intended solely for the use of the
individual or entity to whom it is addressed. Merdeka Center is not
responsible for any errors or omissions, or for the results obtained from
the use of this report.
Profile & Methodology
o 1,209 respondents aged 18 and above were interviewed via telephone (fixed and mobile lines)
o The survey respondents are from all states across Peninsular Malaysia includes Sabah and Sarawak
o Respondents were selected through random stratified sampling method along the lines of ethnicity, gender, age and states.
o All of the constituencies (14 states and across 222 parliament constituencies) were surveyed and the selection of the respondents is proportional with
respect to the population in each parliament constituency.
o Respondents were interviewed in their own language of preferences
o Survey margin of error estimated at ±2.82%
o The survey was conducted on 19 October – 28 October 2022.
Age Group No formal

Education education and
50% 50% 18-20
21-30
8%
15%
Degree &
Above, 29%
primary , 9%
Male Female 31-40 32%

Secondary , 40%
41-50 17%
Diploma &
62% 38% 51-60
60 & Above
16%
12%
equivalent, 22%
Urban Semi-Urban/ Rural

Ethnicity Muslim Non-Muslim Household Income Employment Status
Bumiputera, 6% DK/NR, 12% <RM2,000, 21%
Bumiputera, 6% Private 39%
Indian, 7% Self-employed/
Malay, 52% >RM7,000 Business 18%
, 17%
Homemaker 16%
Govt/ GLC 11%

RM4,000- RM2,000- Stud/ Unemployed/
RM7,000, 22% RM3,999, 29% Others 15%
Chinese, 29%
3
Malaysia’s Upcoming Elections: The State of Play
28 October 2022
Direction, Issues and Ratings

4
Public Sentiments: Direction of the Country as at 28 Oct 2022

28 October 2022
100%
Direction of the Country
Direction across ethnicity
90% 100
80% 80
85 85
70% 64% 74% 60 71
69%
72% 65 63
67%
60% 54% 64% 64% 40 29
56% 5… 63%
49% 60% 60% 61%
62%
60% 61%
58% 5… 59% 58% 60% 61% 60% 21 24
58%
50% 55% 56% 54% 54% 44% 44% 54% 20 10
52% 51% 52% 53%
41%
40% 40% 51%
48%
6
48%
40% 44%
46%46% 45% 46% 46%
41% 42%
41% 43% 0
39% 38% 40% 40%
38% 38% 37% 39% Malay Chinese Indian MB Non-MB
30% 37%36% 38% 36% 37%
35% 35% 35%
34% 24%33% 34%
32% 33%33% 34% 32%
30% 31% 31% 31%
28% 27% 27%
20% 26% 27% 26%
24%23% 23% 25% 26% Direction across age groups
21% 21% 21% 20%
100
18%
10% 12%
13%
Right Direction 80
0% Wrong Direction 74 74
60 73 71
11-2020 (Mid)
04-2018
01-2021
01-2018
02-2018
05-2018
06-2018
07-2018
08-2018
09-2018
10-2018
12-2018
12-2018
01-2019
03-2019
04-2019
05-2019
06-2019
07-2019
08-2019
10-2019
11-2019
12-2019
01-2020
02-2020
05-2020
06-2020
07-2020
07-2020
08-2020
09-2020
10-2020
12-2020
03-2021
05-2021
06-2021 (End)
10-2022 (Pre-Election)
11-2020 (Early)
06-2021 (Early)
69
07-2021
08-2021
09-2021
10-2021
12-2021
01-2022
03-2022
04-2022
06-2022
07-2022
09-2022
65
40 34
22 17 20 19 19
20
Parliament 0
GE 14 Sheraton Move Ismail Sabri PM 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 + 60
Dissolved
Q: Do you feel things in this country are going in the right direction, or do you feel things have gotten on the wrong direction?
Economic concerns 32% Favourable Economy 13% Views on national direction

Political instability 27%
declined after parliament was
Good national/state administration 11%
dissolved.
Poor and inefficient administration 12% Good quality of leadership/ Welfare to the
8%
people
Bad quality of leadership/ No welfare 8% Social & public safety
Concerns over political instability
5%
rising from 24% previous survey
Racial issue 3% Good development & infrastructure 1% (Oct 2, 2022)
Q: Why do you say so?
5
Political Drivers: Issues and Problems

28 October 2022
Country’s Biggest Problem Top 5 Voter Concerns Issues Issues driving voter
motivations are fairly
74% Economic Concerns 31% Inflation universal: the
economy and
inflation.
3% Political Issue 13% Political Instability
But we now see
voters genuinely
concerned over
3% Racial Issue 12% Corruption
political uncertainty,
as it may mean that
public priorities take
3% Leadership Issue 12% Enhancing economic growth
a back seat compared
to leaders’ efforts to
stay or gain power.
1% Development & Infrastructure Issue 6% Protect welfare
Q: Being as specific as you can, what is the number Q: From the following, please choose two (2) current
one problem facing the people of this country today? issues that are most important to you at present?
6
Government Approval Rating 28 October 2022
Barisan Pakatan Perikatan Barisan

100% Nasional Harapan Nasional Nasional
90%
79%
80% 72%
66%
70% 63% 63% 61% 61%
58% 58% 60%
58% 58%
60% 55% 54% 52% 55% 56%
51% 50% 52% 64% 51%
50% 47% 47% 61% 48% 47% 49% 60%
50% 57% 58% 57% 56% 43% 45% 47%
43% 41%
39%
50% 51%
35% 48% 34% 49% 37%
40% 34%
45% 43% 42% 30% 43% 32% 31%
40% 39% 42% 39%
38% 27% 25% 27% 38%
40% 26% 38%
30% 35% 36% 36%
34% 33% 34%
30% 28%
20% 27% 27% 28%
23% 23%
10% 18%
0% 7%
01-2018
02-2018
04-2018
05-2018
07-2018
08-2018
10-2018
12-2018
01-2019
03-2019
05-2019
07-2019
08-2019
10-2019
11-2019
01-2020
02-2020
05-2020
06-2020
07-2020
07-2020
08-2020
10-2020
11-2020 (Mid)
11-2020 (Early)
06-2022
12-2020
01-2021
03-2021
05-2021
06-2021
07-2021
08-2021
09-2021
10-2021
12-2021
01-2022
03-2022
07-2022
09-2022
10-2022
Happy/ Satisfied Dissatisfied/ Angry
Q: Some people say they are happy with …, while others are dissatisfied and others say they are angry? Which one best describes how you feel?
Impending election has increased negative sentiments, perhaps due to rise in

100
83 79 uncertainty.
80
58 53
60 48
42 37
40 34
20 9 12
0
Malay Chinese Indian MB Non-MB Government approval rating across ethnic groups,
28 Oct 2022
7
Government Approval Rating as at Jan – Oct 2022

28 October 2022
OVERALL NON-MALAY
100% 100% Happy Angry/Dissatisfied Unsure/ Refuse
Happy Angry/Dissatisfied Unsure/ Refuse 80% 83%
80%
64% 80% 69% 81% 73%
60% 60%
60% 52% 49% 51% 60%
58%
34%
40% 26% 40%
37% 38% 31%
32% 31% 21%
20% 12% 10% 11% 9% 20% 9% 15%
19% 8% 9% 11% 8%
10%
0% 9% 13%
0% 10% 9%
01-2022
03-2022
05-2022
07-2022
09-2022
10-2022 (Pre-
03-2022
01-2022
05-2022
07-2022
09-2022
10-2022 (Pre-
Election)
Election)
MALAY
100%
Happy Angry/Dissatisfied Unsure/ Refuse
80%
60% 50% 54%

48% 50% 48%
42%
40% 34%
40% 38% 43% 39% 42%
20%
20% 12% 12% 11% 10%
7%
0%
01-2022
03-2022
05-2022
07-2022
09-2022
10-2022 (Pre-
Election)
Q: Some people say they are happy with …, while others are dissatisfied and others say they are angry? Which one best describes how you feel?
8
Government Approval Rating

28 October 2022
as at 28 Oct 2022, across multiple variables
Ethnicity Gender/ Internet Access Age groups
Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry

100 100 100
80 80 80
83 79 58
60 60 60
Don't 42 43
know/Refused, 9%
37
53
63 34 57 31
61 34 33 59 31 62 31 58 29 62 62
40
48 40 29 40
47 25
46
Angry, 8% 20 9 12 34 20 20
Happy, 31%
0 0 0
Malay Chinese Indian MB Non-MB Male Female Internet No Internet 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 + 60
Occupation Household Income (RM) Settlement/ Region
Dissatisfied, Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry
100 100 100
52%
80 80 80
60 48 60 73 60
66 63 40 38 66 64 37 61 38
30 34 55 55 30 54
40 25 40
48 28 40 28 52
42 22
20 20 20
0 0 0
Govt/GLC Private Business/ *Others < 2,000 2,000 - 3,999 4,000 - 6,999 ≥ 7,000 Urban Rural Peninsular East Malaysia
Self-emp
* Homemaker, Retired, Students, Unemployed
Q: Some people say they are happy with …, while others are dissatisfied and others say they are angry? Which one best
describes how you feel?
9
28 October 2022
Prime Minister Approval Rating

100%
90%
80% 83%
79%
70% 73% 74% 74% 74% 73%
71% 72%
69% 69% 70% 70%
67% 59% 67% 68% 67% 59%
58% 57%
60% 64% 56% 56% 63%
62% 60% 55% 53%
53% 52% 52%
59% 58% 50%58% 51%
57% 50% 49% 49%
50% 46% 54% 55% 48% 46%
45% 44%
40% 47% 40% 40%
46% 46% 47% 46%
40% 36% 35% 37% 45%
42% 34% 43% 44% 43% 41%
32% 31% 42%
31% 40% 40%
38% 38% 29% 30%
29% 37% 27% 28% 27% 26%
30% 35% 34% 34% 35%
22% 23%
21% 22% 21%
18% 19%
20% 17% 17%
9% 16%
10%
10% 11% 10% 10%
9% 9% 7%
8% 7% 8% 8% 6% 8% 6%
8%
6% 7% 7% 8% 7% 8% 7% 8% 8% 7% 6%
0% 4% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 5% 4% 4%
2% 3% 3%
12-2019
06-2021
01-2019
03-2019
04-2019
05-2019
06-2019
07-2019
08-2019
10-2019
11-2019
01-2020
02-2020
05-2020
06-2020
07-2020
07-2020
08-2020
09-2020
10-2020
12-2020
01-2021
03-2021
04-2021
05-2021
07-2021
08-2021
10-2021
12-2021
01-2022
03-2022
04-2022
06-2022
07-2022
09-2022
11-2020 (Mid)
10-2022 (Pre-Election)
11-2020 (Early)
2%
04-2018
01-2018
02-2018
06-2018
07-2018
08-2018
09-2018
10-2018
12-2018
05-2018 (Post)
Satisfied Dissatisfied Unsure/ Refuse
Q: How satisfied or dissatisfied are you with the performance of ... ? - Ismail Sabri Yaakob as 9th Prime Minister of Malaysia
10
28 October 2022
Leader Ratings as at 28 Oct 2022

Overall
DS Ismail Sabri TS Muhyiddin Yassin DS Mohamad Hassan

100% 100% 93% 100%
74%74% 80%
80% 80% 70% 68%
67%
62% 63%
59% 57% 58% 61%
52% 52% 50% 54%
60% 50% 48% 50% 48% 48% 49% 53% 51% 60% 49%49% 51%49% 60%
46% 42%
59% 40% 39%
34% 36% 33%
40% 40% 40% 32%
47% 45% 46%
45% 45% 41% 46% 42% 44% 46% 42% 42%
39% 38% 39% 41% 35% 40% 40%
34% 36%
20% 20% 32% 31% 20% 29% 31% 32% 29%
29% 28%
26% 25%
21% 18% 21%
0% 0% 0%
Dec-21
May-21
Jun-21
Sept-22
Mar-21
Jul-22
Nov-20
Dec-20
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
Jun-20
Jun-21
Aug-21
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jun-22
Sept-22
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
May-20
May-21
Mar-21
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
Mar-22
May-20
Jan-22
Jun-22
Sept-22
June-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
4%
DS Anwar Ibrahim DS Zahid Hamidi

100% 100%
76%
80% 80%
66%67%
71% 69%67%70%70%67%72%
62% 61%61%
61%
55%55%55%58%55%55%57%54%
59%
56%56% 55%56%54%55%58% 55%
54% 60%
60% 49%52% 46%48%
46%45%
40% 40%
21%20%18% 22% 20%
16%17% 16% 16% 16%15% 15%14%13%13%
20% 28%29%29%31% 31% 30%30%27%30%30%
34%34% 20% 11% 9% 14% 12%
27% 28%26% 27%27%28%
20%
0% Satisfied
0%
Nov-20
Dec-20
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
Aug-21
Jan-20
Jun-20
Jan-21
Jun-21
Jun-22
May-20
Jul-20
May-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
Sept-22
Feb-20
Mar-21
Jan-20
Jun-20
Jan-21
Jun-21
Jun-22
Nov-20
Dec-20
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
May-20
May-21
Sept-22
Mar-21
Feb-20
Jul-20
Jul-21
Jul-22
Dissatisfied
11
28 October 2022

Malay voters
DS Ismail Sabri TS Muhyiddin Yassin DS Mohamad Hassan

100% 100% 100%
85%
80% 79% 81%
77%
71% 74% 80%
80% 69% 69% 80% 69% 68% 69% 68%
65% 67%
63% 63%
58% 60% 58% 57% 59% 58% 57%
55% 60% 51%
60% 48% 60% 49%
49%
40% 47% 40% 40%
44% 39% 37% 37%

36% 34%
20% 20% 28% 28% 30% 31% 20% 28% 28%
27% 28% 26%
22% 23% 23%
18% 17% 20% 19% 19%
16% 17% 13% 16% 15%
0% 0% 0%
Dec-21
May-21
Jun-21
Sept-22
Mar-21
Jul-22
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
Aug-21
Jan-21
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jul-21
Jul-22
Sept-22
May-21
Mar-21
Oct-22
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Mar-22
Jan-22
Jun-22
Sept-22
June-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
DS Anwar Ibrahim Ds Zahid Hamidi

100% 100%
75%
80% 70% 72% 71%
80% 70% 70% 69% 67%
66% 65% 65% 66% 63% 63% 65% 65%
64% 64% 64% 64% 62%
58%
57% 56%
60% 60%
40% 40%
25%
19% 21% 20% 18% 20% 19% 18%
16% 17% 16%
20% 12%
20% 27%
24% 24% 26%
21% 19% 18% 18% 19%
16% 16% 17% Satisfied
0% 0%
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
Jun-21
Aug-21
Jan-21
Jun-22
May-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
Sept-22
Mar-21
Jan-21
Jun-21
Jun-22
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
May-21
Sept-22
Mar-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
Dissatisfied
12
28 October 2022

Non-Malay
DS Ismail Sabri TS Muhyiddin Yassin Mohamad Hassan

100% 100% 100%
77% 76% 77% 76% 78%

74% 73% 80%
80% 69% 69% 80%
67%
63% 80%
76% 77% 77% 78%
75% 73%
60% 60% 70% 69% 60%
65% 67%
60%
40% 40% 33% 33% 31% 40% 51% 49%
27% 26% 44% 44%
20% 20% 20% 19% 19% 19% 41%
17% 14% 14% 16%
20% 20% 20% 9% 32%
28% 8% 9%
19% 17% 17% 16% 19% 19%
12% 11% 13% 14% 0%
0% 0%
Dec-21
May-21
Jun-21
Sept-22
Mar-21
Jul-22
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
Aug-21
Jan-21
Jun-21
Jun-22
Jul-21
Jul-22
Sept-22
May-21
Mar-21
Oct-22
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Mar-22
Jan-22
Jun-22
Sept-22
June-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
DS Anwar Ibrahim Zahid Hamidi

100% 100%
81% 83% 81%
76% 77%
80% 71% 71% 73% 70% 72% 71%
80% 68%
60% 51% 50% 60%

49% 46% 49% 47% 46%
42% 41% 43% 43% 43%
40% 40%
43% 44% 39% 41%
37% 40% 40% 40% 42% 40%
37% 37%
20% 20% 8%
5% 6% 6% 7% 6% 7% 4%
3% 3% 3% 3%
0% Satisfied
0%
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
Jun-21
Aug-21
Jan-21
Jun-22
May-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
Sept-22
Mar-21
Jan-21
Jun-21
Jun-22
Aug-21
Oct-21
Dec-21
Oct-22
May-21
Sept-22
Mar-21
Jul-21
Jul-22
Dissatisfied
13
28 October 2022
Voting Factors, Turnout and Inclination

14
Voting Factors
28 October 2022
OVERALL vs 18 – 20 years
Seat PM Political
Issue(s) Leadership UNSURE/DK REFUSE/NR
candidate Candidate party 35%
31%
TOTAL 16% 31% 11% 13% 21% 6% 1%
30%
Malay 20% 29% 12% 13% 19% 5% -
24% 24%
Chinese 9% 38% 5% 13% 26% 7% 2% 25% 22% 21%
19%
Indian 9% 22% 33% 14% 14% 9% - 20%
16%
MB 25% 26% 11% 14% 17% 6% - 15% 13%
NMB 16% 41% 10% 11% 17% 6% - 11% 11%
10%
Male 16% 31% 11% 12% 24% 6% 1%
Female 17% 32% 12% 15% 18% 6% 1% 5%
18-20 24% 22% 11% 24% 19% 1% - 0%
21-40 20% 31% 13% 13% 17% 6% - Leadership Issue(s) Seat PM Political
40 above 12% 34% 10% 12% 25% 7% 1% Candidate Candidate party
0verall 18-20 Years
Q: Which of the following is the main factor influencing you in making your voting choice?
Key takeaways:
• Focus have shifted to political parties and local candidates
• Yet younger voters remain focused on leadership as compared to parties
15
28 October 2022
Preferred Candidate Characteristics

OVERALL BASED ON FIRST MENTION
Inclusive to all
Committed to your First Second parts of
communal interests 14% 3% 17% Committed to
Able to bring Clean and
Able to society
Has good development trustworthy
your In touch with manage the including
ideas for the or from
communal the people needs of all youth,
Has good ideas for the country infrastructure corruption/
country 27% 8% 34% interests
to your area power abuse
communities women,
senior citizens
and others
Able to bring development
or infrastructure to your 13% 9% 22% TOTAL 14% 27% 13% 24% 8% 6% 3%
area
Male 13% 27% 13% 24% 7% 6% 3%
Clean and trustworthy from Female 14% 26% 13% 24% 9% 6% 3%
corruption/ power abuse 24% 22% 46% Malay 16% 25% 10% 29% 9% 5% 3%
Chinese 12% 29% 19% 17% 7% 4% 3%
India 12% 32% 7% 18% 14% 17%
In touch with the people 8% 22% 30% MB 7% 27% 18% 24% 4% 11% 8%
NMB 13% 23% 20% 26% 8% 6% 5%
Able to manage the needs 18-20 15% 36% 4% 34% 8% 2% 1%
of all communities 6% 13% 19% 21-40 13% 27% 15% 24% 8% 5% 4%
Above 40 14% 25% 13% 23% 9% 8% 2%
Inclusive to all parts of BN 20% 21% 13% 23% 9% 8% 3%
society including youth, 3% 12% 15% PN 16% 20% 11% 28% 12% 6% 3%
women, senior citizens…
PH 8% 38% 13% 20% 7% 7% 2%
GTA 15% 7% 49% 21% 8%
Has helped me or my family 0%
2% 3% Other Party 31% 29% 19%
Undecided Voters 13% 26% 15% 26% 8% 4% 3%
Q: In choosing a candidate to represent you in the parliament, which two of the following characteristics are closest to your
preference?
16
28 October 2022
Party Characteristics
Inclusivity to
all including
women and
Fair
Can deliver development 22% Can deliver Upholds
treatment of
Upholds other Fights Helps those Unsure/
development Islam social justice communities corruption in need Refused
all races
(OKU,
Upholds Islam 15% minority,
etc)
TOTAL 22% 15% 20% 3% 13% 13% 10% 3%

Fair treatment of all races 20%
Male 26% 15% 19% 4% 11% 12% 8% 4%
Female 18% 15% 20% 3% 15% 14% 12% 2%
Upholds social justice 3% Malay 18% 26% 11% 3% 15% 14% 9% 4%
Chinese 29% 0% 27% 3% 9% 18% 10% 3%
Inclusivity to all including women and other
13% India 15% 45% 2% 16% 12% 9% 1%
communities (OKU, minority, etc)
MB 23% 17% 28% 4% 16% 1% 9% 2%
NMB 35% 29% 10% 7% 1% 16% 2%
Protects environment 0% 18-20 15% 26% 20% 3% 15% 14% 6% 1%
21-40 24% 15% 18% 4% 15% 12% 9% 3%
Avoids corruption 13% Above 40 21% 12% 22% 3% 11% 14% 12% 4%
BN 24% 17% 16% 4% 16% 7% 13% 2%
PN 14% 35% 19% 0% 11% 10% 6% 3%
Helps those in need 10% PH 27% 3% 24% 5% 12% 20% 7% 1%
GTA 15% 15% 13% 23% 22% 12%
Unsure/Refused 3% Other Party 37% 13% 13% 19% 18%
Undecide Voters 19% 15% 19% 3% 12% 14% 11% 6%
Q: In your opinion, what leads you to support party. Among the following features of political parties, which one is most
likely to lead you to choose one?
17
28 October 2022
Turnout Likelihood (by age groups)

OVERALL CHINESE
100% 100%
82%
80%
76% 79% 78% 74% 78% 74% 80% 80% 72% 70%
77% 74% 73%
68%
61%
60% 60% 52%
40% 38%
40% 40%
20% 20%
0% 0%
30 July 2022 30 Sept 2022 28 Oct 2022 30 July 2022 30 Sept 2022 28 Oct 2022
- 30 31 - 50 + 50 - 30 31 - 50 + 50
MALAY INDIAN
100% 100% 87% 97%
81% 84% 86% 78% 80%
86% 81% 80% 81% 84% 80% 84% 85%
80% 75% 75% 80% 72%
In our opinion
60% 60% this figure
need to be
40% 40%
discounted by
20% 20% about 25%-
30%
0% 0%
30 July 2022 30 Sept 2022 28 Oct 2022 30 July 2022 30 Sept 2022 28 Oct 2022
- 30 31 - 50 + 50 - 30 31 - 50 + 50
Q (30/7/2022 & 30/9/2022): How likely are you going to vote in the next general election?
Q (28/10/2022): Between score 0 to 10 where 0 very unlikely to vote and 10 very likely to vote, how likely are
18
you going to vote in the upcoming GE15?
Voting Inclination
28 October 2022
PH vs BN vs PN vs GTA +Other Contestants

Overall Voters as at 28/10/2022
100% 2% 2% 2% 4% Refuse
29% 31% Unsure/No Preference

80% 35% 31%
for any party
5% 2%
14% GTA/Others
60% 13% 9% 13% Perikatan Nasional
40% 29%
28%
27% 24% Barisan Nasional
20%
26% 23% 27% 26% Pakatan Harapan
0%
31 May 2022 30 July 2022 30 Sept 2022 28 Oct 2022
***No GTA and others data for May and July
Q: Between Pakatan Harapan, Barisan Nasional, Perikatan Nasional (PAS+BERSATU), Gerakan Tanah Air
(coalition party led by Dr. Mahathir Mohamad) which party do you prefer to represent you?
19
PH vs BN vs PN vs GTA + Other Contestants

28 October 2022
Malay Voters as at 28/10/2022
100% 2% 3% 3% 4% Refuse
26% Unsure/No Preference

80% 34% 32% 29%
for any party
2% 2%
GTA/Others
60% 22%
20% 15% 20% Perikatan Nasional
40% Barisan Nasional

40% 37% 32%
36%
20%
Pakatan Harapan
10% 8% 10% 13%
0%
31 May 2022 30 July 2022 30 Sept 2022 28 Oct 2022
***No GTA and others data for May and July
Q: Between Pakatan Harapan, Barisan Nasional, Perikatan Nasional (PAS+BERSATU), Gerakan Tanah Air
(coalition party led by Dr. Mahathir Mohamad) which party do you prefer to represent you?
20
BN vs PN vs PH vs GTA+Others (Survey Period 19-28/10/2022)

28 October 2022
Not
Barisan Perikatan Pakatan Gerakan
Other party preferring Unsure Refuse
NasionaL Nasional Harapan Tanah Air
any party
TOTAL 24% 13% 26% 1% 1% 15% 16% 4%
Malay 32% 20% 13% 1% 0% 15% 15% 4%
Chinese 5% 1% 47% 1% 2% 18% 23% 3%
Indian 32% 1% 51% - - 2% 6% 8%
Muslim Bumi 45% 14% 11% - - 19% 8% 2%
Non Muslim Bumi 21% 21% 22% - - 21% 11% 4%
Male 22% 14% 33% 1% 1% 14% 12% 4%
Female 27% 12% 19% 1% 0.5% 17% 20% 5%
Internet access 23% 14% 27% 1% 1% 15% 15% 4%

No Internet
34% 5% 14% 3% - 17% 25% 1%
access
18 – 20 28% 24% 30% 2% - 10% 7% -
21 – 40 21% 14% 26% 1% 0.4% 16% 17% 5%
Above 40 27% 10% 24% 1% 1% 16% 16% 4%
Q: Between Barisan Nasional (UMNO/MCA/MIC), Perikatan Nasional (BERSATU/PAS/GERAKAN), Pakatan Harapan

(PKR/DAP/AMANAH), Gerakan Tanah Air (coalition party led by Dr Mahathir Mohamad) and other party?
21
28 October 2022
Undecided Voters Profile as at 28th Oct 2022

Overall (n=428)
Gender Age Group Settlement Internet
-30 19%
No
42% 58% 31-40
41-50 19%
34%
Rural, 38%
internet
9%
MALE FEMALE
51-60 17% Urban,
62% Internet
+60 11% 91%
Ethnicity Occupation Household Income (RM) Education

Malay 50% Primary 11%
Government/ GLC 11% < 2,000 21%
Chinese 36%
Private 44% 2,000 - 3,999 29% Secondary 40%
Indian 3% Self-employed/ 4,000- 6999 18% Diploma 22%
Business 16%
Muslim
Bumiputera
5% > 7,000 13%
Others* 29% Degree & above 27%
Non Muslim
Bumiputera
6% No response 20%
*Homemaker, Retired, Students, Unemployed
Out of 1,209 respondents, undecided voters breakdown as

below:
• Malay (33.7%, 213 respondents)
• Chinese (44.5%, 154 respondents)
• Indian (16.1%, 14 respondents)
• Muslim Bumiputera (29.2%, 22 respondents)
• Non Muslim Bumiputera (35.6%, 25 respondents)
22

GE15 PreElection

Uploaded by

Document Information

Original Description:

Original Title

Copyright

Available Formats

Share this document

Share or Embed Document

Sharing Options

Did you find this document useful?

Is this content inappropriate?

Copyright:

Available Formats

GE15 PreElection

Uploaded by

Copyright:

Available Formats

Malaysia’s Upcoming Elections:

The State of Play

Age Group No formal

Male Female 31-40 32%

Urban Semi-Urban/ Rural

Govt/ GLC 11%

Direction, Issues and Ratings

Public Sentiments: Direction of the Country as at 28 Oct 2022

Economic concerns 32% Favourable Economy 13% Views on national direction

Political Drivers: Issues and Problems

Government Approval Rating 28 October 2022

Barisan Pakatan Perikatan Barisan

Impending election has increased negative sentiments, perhaps due to rise in

Government Approval Rating as at Jan – Oct 2022

60% 50% 54%

Government Approval Rating

as at 28 Oct 2022, across multiple variables

Ethnicity Gender/ Internet Access Age groups

Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry Happy Dissatisfied/ Angry

Occupation Household Income (RM) Settlement/ Region

* Homemaker, Retired, Students, Unemployed

Prime Minister Approval Rating

Satisfied Dissatisfied Unsure/ Refuse

Leader Ratings as at 28 Oct 2022

DS Ismail Sabri TS Muhyiddin Yassin DS Mohamad Hassan

DS Anwar Ibrahim DS Zahid Hamidi

Leader Ratings as at 28 Oct 2022

DS Ismail Sabri TS Muhyiddin Yassin DS Mohamad Hassan

40% 47% 40% 40%

44% 39% 37% 37%

DS Anwar Ibrahim Ds Zahid Hamidi

Leader Ratings as at 28 Oct 2022

DS Ismail Sabri TS Muhyiddin Yassin Mohamad Hassan

77% 76% 77% 76% 78%

DS Anwar Ibrahim Zahid Hamidi

60% 51% 50% 60%

Voting Factors, Turnout and Inclination

Preferred Candidate Characteristics

TOTAL 22% 15% 20% 3% 13% 13% 10% 3%

Turnout Likelihood (by age groups)

PH vs BN vs PN vs GTA +Other Contestants

29% 31% Unsure/No Preference

***No GTA and others data for May and July

PH vs BN vs PN vs GTA + Other Contestants

Malay Voters as at 28/10/2022

26% Unsure/No Preference

40% Barisan Nasional

***No GTA and others data for May and July

BN vs PN vs PH vs GTA+Others (Survey Period 19-28/10/2022)

TOTAL 24% 13% 26% 1% 1% 15% 16% 4%

Malay 32% 20% 13% 1% 0% 15% 15% 4%

Chinese 5% 1% 47% 1% 2% 18% 23% 3%

Indian 32% 1% 51% - - 2% 6% 8%

Muslim Bumi 45% 14% 11% - - 19% 8% 2%

Non Muslim Bumi 21% 21% 22% - - 21% 11% 4%

Male 22% 14% 33% 1% 1% 14% 12% 4%

Female 27% 12% 19% 1% 0.5% 17% 20% 5%

Internet access 23% 14% 27% 1% 1% 15% 15% 4%

21 – 40 21% 14% 26% 1% 0.4% 16% 17% 5%

Above 40 27% 10% 24% 1% 1% 16% 16% 4%

Q: Between Barisan Nasional (UMNO/MCA/MIC), Perikatan Nasional (BERSATU/PAS/GERAKAN), Pakatan Harapan

Undecided Voters Profile as at 28th Oct 2022