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Trend Lines and Channels
Trend Lines and Channels
Trend Lines and Channels
• When the price passes through resistance, that resistance could potentially become
support.
• The more often price tests a level of resistance or support without breaking it, the
stronger the area of resistance or support is.
• When a support or resistance level breaks, the strength of the follow-through move
depends on how strongly the broken support or resistance had been holding.
With a little practice, you'll be able to spot potential support and resistance areas easily. In the
next lesson, we'll teach you how to trade diagonal support and resistance lines, otherwise
known as trend lines.
Trend Lines
Trend lines are probably the most common form of technical analysis. They are probably one
of the most underutilized ones as well.
If drawn correctly, they can be as accurate as any other method. Unfortunately, most traders
don't draw them correctly or try to make the line fit the market instead of the other way
around.
In their most basic form, an uptrend line is drawn along the bottom of easily identifiable
support areas (valleys). In a downtrend, the trend line is drawn along the top of easily
identifiable resistance areas (peaks).
What's next?
Nothing.
Uhh, is that it?
Yep, it's that simple.
Types of Trends
There are three types of trends:
Uptrend (higher lows)
Downtrend (lower highs)
Sideways trends (ranging)
Here are some important things to remember about trend lines:
• It takes at least two tops or bottoms to draw a valid trend line but it takes THREE to
confirm a trend line.
• The STEEPER the trend line you draw, the less reliable it is going to be and the more
likely it will break.
• Like horizontal support and resistance levels, trend lines become stronger the more
times they are tested.
• And most importantly, DO NOT EVER draw trend lines by forcing them to fit the
market. If they do not fit right, then that trend line isn't a valid one!
Channels
If we take this trend line theory one step further and draw a parallel line at the same angle of
the uptrend or downtrend, we will have created a channel. No, we're not talking about ESPN,
ABC, or Cartoon Network.
Still, this doesn't mean that you should walk away like it's a commercial break- channels can
be just as exciting to watch as America's Next Top Model or Entourage!
Channels are just another tool in technical analysis which can be used to determine good
places to buy or sell. Both the tops and bottoms of channels represent potential areas of
support or resistance.
To create an up (ascending) channel, simply draw a parallel line at the same angle as an
uptrend line and then move that line to position where it touches the most recent peak. This
should be done at the same time you create the trend line.
To create a down (descending) channel, simple draw a parallel line at the same angle as the
downtrend line and then move that line to a position where it touches the most recent valley.
This should be done at the same time you create the trend line.
When prices hit the bottom trend line, this may be used as a buying area. When prices hit the
upper trend line, this may be used as a selling area.
Types of channels
The Bounce
As the name suggests, one method of trading support and resistance levels is right after the
bounce.
Many retail traders make the error of setting their orders directly on support and resistance
levels and then just waiting to for their trade to materialize. Sure, this may work at times but
this kind of trading method assumes that a support or resistance level will hold without price
actually getting there yet.
You might be thinking, "Why don't I just set an entry order right on the line? That way, I am
assured the best possible price."
When playing the bounce we want to tilt the odds in our favor and find some sort of
confirmation that the support or resistance will hold. Instead of simply buying or selling right
off the bat, wait for it to bounce first before entering. By doing this, you avoid those moments
where price moves fast and break through support and resistance levels. From experience,
catching a falling knife can get really bloody...
The Break
In a perfect world, support and resistance levels would hold forever, McDonalds would be
healthy, and we'd all have jetpacks. In a perfect trading world, we could just jump in and out
whenever price hits those major support and resistance levels and earn loads of money. The
fact of the matter is that these levels break... often.
So, it's not enough to just play bounces. You should also know what to do whenever support
and resistance levels give way! There are two ways to play breaks: the aggressive way or the
conservative way.
We want the support or resistance area to act as if it just received a Chuck Norris karate chop:
We want it to wilt over in pain as price breaks right through it.
Do you...
1. Accept defeat, get the heck out, and liquidate your position?
OR
If your choice is the second one, then you will easily understand this type of trading method.
Remember, whenever you close out a position, you take the opposite side of the trade.
Closing your EUR/USD long trade at or near breakeven means you will have to short the
EUR/USD by the same amount. Now, if enough selling and liquidiation of losing postions
happen at the broken support level, price will reverse and start falling again. This
phenomenon is the main reason why broken support levels become resistance whenever they
break.
As you would've guessed, taking advantage of this phenomenon is all about being patient.
Instead of entering right on the break, you wait for price to make a "pullback" to the broken
support or resistance level and enter after the price bounces.
A few words of caution... THIS DOES NOT HAPPEN ALL THE TIME. "RETESTS"
OF BROKEN SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS DO NOT HAPPEN ALL THE
TIME. THERE WILL BE TIMES THAT PRICE WILL JUST MOVE IN ONE
DIRECTION AND LEAVE YOU BEHIND. BECAUSE OF THIS, ALWAYS USE
STOP LOSS ORDERS AND NEVER EVER HOLD ON TO A TRADE JUST
BECAUSE OF HOPE.
Whoops, sorry about that folks, the caps lock key got stuck.
As the market continues up again, the lowest point reached before it climbs back is now
support.
One thing to remember is that horizontal support and resistance levels are not exact numbers.
To help you filter out these false breakouts, you should think of support and resistance more
of as "zones" rather than concrete numbers.
One way to help you find these zones is to plot support and resistance on a line chart rather
than a candlestick chart.
Another thing to remember is that when price passes through a resistance level, that resistance
could potentially become support. The same could also happen with a support level. If a
support level is broken, it could potentially become a resistance level.
Trend Lines
In their most basic form, an uptrend line is drawn along the bottom of easily identifiable
support areas (valleys). In a downtrend, the trend line is drawn along the top of easily
identifiable resistance areas (peaks).
Channels
To create an up (ascending) channel, simply draw a parallel line at the same angle as an
uptrend line and then move that line to position where it touches the most recent peak.
To create a down (descending) channel, simple draw a parallel line at the same angle as the
downtrend line and then move that line to a position where it touches the most recent valley.
Trading support and resistance levels can be divided into two methods: the bounce and the
break.
When trading the bounce we want to tilt the odds in our favor and find some sort of
confirmation that the support or resistance will hold. Instead of simply buying or selling right
off the bat, wait for it to bounce first before entering. By doing this, you avoid those moments
where price moves so fast that it slices through support and resistance levels like a knife
slicing through warm butter.
As for trading the break, there is the aggressive way and there is the conservative way. In the
aggressive way, you simply buy or sell whenever the price passes through a support or
resistance zone with ease. In the conservative way, you wait for price to make a "pullback" to
the broken support or resistance level and enter after price bounces.