Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Demand Forecasting - Final
Demand Forecasting - Final
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.945677
R Square 0.894304
Adjusted R Square 0.890596
Standard Error 0.109649
Observations 60
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 5.798438 2.899219 241.1423163 1.533E-28
Residual 57 0.685303 0.012023
Total 59 6.483741
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Intercept 1.870111 0.250933 7.452635 5.59983E-10 1.367627 2.372595 1.367627
X Variable 1 0.368815 0.073307 5.031083 5.18394E-06 0.222019 0.51561 0.222019
X Variable 2 0.170212 0.018925 8.994256 1.57767E-12 0.132316 0.208108 0.132316
Intercept=a
X Variable 1=b1
X Variable 2=b2
Upper 95.0%
2.372595
0.51561
0.208108
Time (t) Cement Despatch (lakh tonnes)
1995.03.31 1 161.40
1995.06.30 2 154.71
1995.09.30 3 149.91
1995.12.31 4 153.38
1996.03.31 5 183.84
1996.06.30 6 175.59
1996.09.30 7 162.45
1996.12.31 8 163.24
1997.03.31 9 196.30
1997.06.30 10 189.76
1997.09.30 11 167.59
1997.12.31 12 192.84
1998.03.31 13 215.50
1998.06.30 14 199.51
1998.09.30 15 176.70
1998.12.31 16 201.43
1999.03.31 17 239.64
1999.06.30 18 243.44
1999.09.30 19 208.20
1999.12.31 20 224.67
2000.03.31 21 262.11
2000.06.30 22 256.50
2000.09.30 23 212.97
2000.12.31 24 224.97
2001.03.31 25 238.84
2001.06.30 26 263.50
2001.09.30 27 227.61
2001.12.31 28 249.74
2002.03.31 29 278.89
2002.06.30 30 286.10
2002.09.30 31 257.09
2002.12.31 32 270.17
2003.03.31 33 297.05
2003.06.30 34 298.14
2003.09.30 35 269.32
2003.12.31 36 283.22
2004.03.31 37 317.38
2004.06.30 38 311.90
2004.09.30 39 293.80
2004.12.31 40 322.00
2005.03.31 41 343.70
2005.06.30 42 352.90
2005.09.30 43 315.39
2005.12.31 44 351.83
2006.03.31 45 395.90 SUMMARY OUTPUT
2007.03.31 46 350.60
2008.03.31 47 396.00 Regression Statistics
2009.03.31 48 398.34 Multiple R 0.973762
2010.03.31 49 390.68 R Square 0.948212
2011.03.31 50 395.66 Adjusted R Square 0.947319
2012.03.31 51 399.78 Standard Error 21.06461
2013.03.31 52 401.22 Observations 60
2014.03.31 53 423.00
2015.03.31 54 435.75 ANOVA
2016.03.31 55 436.64 df SS MS
2017.03.31 56 440.21 Regression 1 471203.1 471203.1
2018.03.31 57 442.35 Residual 58 25735.62 443.7176
2019.03.31 58 439.18 Total 59 496938.7
2020.03.31 59 400.11
2021.03.31 60 410.09 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat
Intercept 128.9391 5.507562 23.41128
X Variable 1 5.11715 0.157028 32.58748
2022.03.31 61 441.09
F Significance F
1061.944 5.524E-39
2022.03.31 61 #REF!