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Antonio F Rulan - The Levelland Sightings of 1957
Antonio F Rulan - The Levelland Sightings of 1957
Rulln
October 18, 1999, revised March 26, 2000
from the Air Force Blue Book study of the case. Jan Aldrich provided voluminous amounts of news-clippings from the Southwest for November of 1957 that provided perspective on the case and details not found anywhere else. Loren Gross provided his great research summary on Levelland in his November 1957 books. I also am indebted to Wendy Connors who provided support and took time to review the final draft. I also want to thank Newell Wright and A.J. Fowler who gave their time and attention to discuss and review this case 42 years after their experiences. All errors or faulty logic in this paper are my own.
Table of Contents
1 Purpose of Study
The purpose of this study was to re-evaluate the sightings that took place in Levelland, Texas 42 years ago with the benefit of declassified Air Force files, updated knowledge of ball lightning, full review of all the literature on this case, and personal interviews with a two of the participants. While this case has been documented in numerous UFO books, a thorough analysis of the witnesses, their claims, the investigators, and the pros and cons of the ball lighting explanation has not been done. Moreover, the story and claims differ depending on which book or newspaper is read. Thus, there was a need to determine the most reliable sources and the most likely description of events from the night of November 2-3, 1957. The study evaluates the likelihood that ball lightning was the cause for these sightings and summarizes the reasons for rejecting or accepting that hypothesis. The key issues brought up by the pro-UFO and pro-ball lighting investigators are summarized and discussed.
idea that an extraterrestrial craft caused the Levelland sightings gained publicity in the newspapers. Most of the newspaper quoted James A. Lee (a NICAP member from Abilene, TX) as the key proponent of this idea. On Nov. 15, 1957, the Air Force issued a summary report concluding that the incident was a rare form of lighting called ball lightning. The Air Force solution to this puzzling case was so controversial that the Air Force had to discuss the case in a US Congressional briefing on the UFO program on July 15, 1960 . While the case was solved as far as Blue Book was concerned, for many UFO organizations (NICAP, APRO, CSI) the case was not closed but instead represented one of the best-documented cases of a UFO. 3 Literature Survey 3.1 Commentary and Analysis from Pro-UFO Authors 3.2 Commentary and Analysis from Pro-Ball Lightning Authors 4 The Witnesses and the Investigators 4.1 Witness Reliability and Source of their Statements 4.1.1 Newell E. Wright 4.1.2 Pedro Saucedo 4.1.3 Ronald Martin 4.1.4 James D. Long 4.1.5 Jim Wheeler, Jose Alvarez, and Frank D. Williams 4.2 Conclusion on Sources of Evidence and Witnesses 5 Analysis of Levelland Sightings: Searching for Patterns 6 Air Force/Blue Book Investigation and Explanation 7 The Weather 7.1 Weather According to the Air Force 7.2 Weather According to Dr. James. E. McDonald 7.3 Weather According to Newspaper Records 7.4 Weather According to US Weather Service 7.5 Summary and Conclusions on Weather 8 The Extraterrestrial Spacecraft Hypothesis 9 Other Possible Explanations for Levelland Sightings page 39 page 40 page 4
page 9
page 18 page 31
10 The Ball Lightning Hypothesis page 41 10.1 General Definition of Ball Lightning 10.2 The Reality of Ball Lighting 10.3 Properties of Ball Lightning 10.4 Deviations between Levelland Sighting Descriptions and Ball Lightning Properties 10.5 Fitness of Ball Lightning Hypotheses 11 Conclusion page 56
12 Appendix page 57 12.1 US Weather Bureau - Local Climatological Data (Lubbock-Texas, Nov. 1957) 12.2 US Weather Bureau - Local Daily Precipitation (Levelland-Texas, Nov. 1957) 13 References and 14 Sources and Notes
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page 62
Literature Survey
Commentary and Analysis from Pro-UFO Authors
Many UFO researchers have written about the Levelland UFO sightings in one way or another. Most authors write about the standard claim: that 7 witnesses had their automobiles engines and headlights shut off by a UFO within a 2.5 hour period and within a small area surrounding Levelland. Each author gives his reason for the importance and merits of the Levelland case. The section below summarizes what made this case so popular among UFO researchers. According to Donald Keyhoe, Director of the National Investigations Committee on Aerial Phenomena (NICAP) from 1957 to 1969, the reason this case became so popular was that too many newspapers were taking the sighting reports seriously. The press took the sightings seriously because five Texas law officers backed the story. Keyhoe believed that had it been an isolated case, the press would have killed it with ridicule. The press did not kill the story because there were too many trained observers on record. Keyhoe, however, did not give this case any exalted importance. He did not believe it was the beginning of the 1957 UFO wave but the continuation of it. Keyhoe thought the evidence put forward by NICAP was sufficient to conclude that the UFO at Levelland was an extraterrestrial craft. Overall, Keyhoe supported this case as evidence for the extraterrestrial hypothesis because there were multiple independent witnesses, because the claims were backed up by law officers, and because of the lack of a reasonable explanation for the reported anomalous events. Dr. J. Allen Hynek, astronomer and former Project Blue Book scientific consultant, thought the case was significant enough to include it in his book The UFO Experience as the top Close Encounter of the 2nd Kind (CEII) amongst 23 cases listed. Hynek developed a Strangeness-Probability Index for the cases he evaluated in order to determine their worthiness for study. The Levelland case had a Strangeness Index of 5 and a Probability Index of 8. This rating put it at the top of Hyneks CEII list. Hyneks definition of the Strangeness Index is the number of information bits a report contains, each of which is difficult to explain in common sense terms. For example, in the Levelland case he found 5 items that he could not explain using common senses. Unfortunately, he did not list these items. We could guess at them based on Hyneks list of items difficult to explain: 1. 2. 3. 4. weird looking ball of light (BOL) BOL stops car engine BOL shuts off car headlights\ engine and headlights start fine when BOL leaves BOL appears under intelligent control.
Hyneks probability rating is a function of assessed credibility of the witnesses. He judges this by (1) internal consistency of the report, (2) consistency among several reports of same incident (3) manner in which report was made (4) conviction of reporter and (5) subtle judgement of how it all hangs together. Hynek gave the Levelland case a very high probability rating of eight out of ten. He gave such a high rating because of the multiple independent witnesses in this case. Hynek stated that all seven cases of separate car disablement and subsequent rapid, automatic recovery after the passage of the strange
illuminated craft, occurring within about two hours, could be attributed to coincidence is out of the statistical universe if the reports are truly independent. As opposed to Keyhoe, Hynek did not conclude that this incident was an extraterrestrial craft. What Hynek concluded was that the Air Force ball lightning explanation for the cause of the sightings was not acceptable. Hynek did not believe the ball lighting explanation for two key reasons: (1) observers at the time of the incident did not report lightning but overcast and misty weather (2) there is no evidence that ball lightning can stop cars and put out headlights. These two points are very significant regardless of the number of witnesses who experience the phenomenon. For Hynek, however, the fact that 7 observers reported similar events, brought significant credibility to the observed claim. Hynek did not put a lot of weight on the weird light reports from the 5 law enforcement officers in Levelland because they did not experience the auto engine and light failure. Dr. Jacques Vallee also wrote about the Levelland case in Anatomy of a Phenomenon. Vallee, however, did not analyze the case in detail nor gave it any special importance. For him, it was another case among the wave of sightings in 1957. He stated that the wave had been going on for a long time and did not start with Levelland or Sputnik II . It did not represent anything new to him, since he was very familiar with the UFO landing reports from France in 1954. Vallee, like Hynek, did not believe the ball lighting explanation for the case. Vallee wrote in 1965: the official fairy tale concerning the Levelland case is that the sensational interpretation of the sightings by the press triggered the series of reports now known as the 1957 wave. In Jan 16, 1964, Vallee and Hynek met with Bluebook Officers Captain Hector Quintanilla and Sergeant Moody in Chicago to discuss the UFO Phenomenon. In that meeting, Captain Quintanilla and Sergeant Moody agreed that they could not explain the Levelland case. An interesting revelation given that Bluebook had explained the Levelland sightings seven years earlier as Ball Lightning. Ronald Story also had a high regard for the Levelland case. He called the Levelland case one of the two best cases on record of electromagnetic effects caused by UFOs. He included the case as one of the 10 most baffling cases on record in his book titled Sightings. Story agreed with Hynek in rejecting the ball lighting hypothesis as the explanation for the Levelland sightings. Story stated four reasons why the case was so extraordinary and had never been explained satisfactorily to him: 1. 2. 3. 4. No evidence that ball lighting stops cars and put out headlights Ball lighting preference for dirt roads and paved highways Ball lightning size of 200 ft is not common Six independent witnesses experienced something similar and extraordinary within a 10 mile radius of Levelland
Richard Hall included the Levelland case in his book the UFO Evidence as just one more case in the UFO wave of November 1957. The case was of importance to Hall because it was the first series of sightings to be widely publicized in November of 1957 and it had the most intensive single concentration of UFO sightings. In the book, Walter Webb gave a good summary of the events at Levelland in November 2-3, 1957. While no analysis of the case was provided in the book, Richard Hall and Walter Webb made several good points: They wondered why should reddish elliptical UFOs, which cause cars to stall, suddenly be reported from one small Texas town. They pointed out that the witnesses were going about their business when the UFOs intruded
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upon the scene. There was no evidence that the witnesses were searching the sky or otherwise expecting to see anything unusual. Their independent reports told a consistent story. Dr. James E. McDonald was also fascinated by this case. McDonald added the Levelland case to his list of UFO Cases of Interest mainly because he had personally checked the case and saw in it characteristics of special interest. McDonald was very disappointed in the analysis of the case done by Dr. Menzel and the Air Force who explained away the Levelland sightings as ball lightning and wet ignitions. McDonald checked the weather data for the night and locale in question. He studied the weather maps and rainfall data and concluded that a large, high-pressure area was moving southward over the Texas panhandle. He believed that these weather conditions were not conducive to lightning of any sort. He checked half a dozen stations in the vicinity and found that there was not even any rain falling during this period, nor had more than a small amount fallen hours earlier that day when a cold front passed through. McDonald concluded that the prevailing anticyclonic conditions in Levelland the night of November 2-3, 1957 almost categorically ruled out ball lightning . Thus, McDonald concluded that the Levelland case was not ball lightning and that it was still an unknown. The key reasons McDonald did not agree with the ball lightning explanation was: 1. He believed that ball lightning had to accompany a thunderstorm, but there was none reported the night in question 2. He believed that ball lightning seldom exceeds a few feet in diameter, but the description of the objects was about 200-ft. McDonald certainly did not believe that ball lightning could form under fair-weather conditions (free of all thunderstorm activity). He claimed that via some elementary computations he could show how quantitatively absurd this claim was. Moreover, McDonald also did not like the wet ignition explanation for the failure of the car engines. He pointed out the fact that the engines could be re-started just as soon as the object darted off was entirely inconsistent with wet ignition idea. The Levelland case was also written up in the American edition of Aime Michels Flying Saucers and the Straight-Line Mystery (Michel, 1958) by Alexander D. Mebane (member of the Civilian Saucer Intelligence group in New York). Mebane used four arguments to accept the Levelland sightings as flying saucers: 1. Used the analogy to the French sightings from the Fall of 1954 2. Disagreed with the Air Force explanation that rain and storms led to wet electrical circuits that shut the auto engines. 3. He wrote: How the circuits happened to dry out instantly when the ball lightning had departed was not explained. 4. Claimed that there were no thunderstorms in the area during the sightings. He quotes a Levelland weatherman statement in the Levelland Sun-News of November 5, 1957. 5. Complained about the Air Force investigation being too short Of these four points only point #2 and #3 are valid and will be discussed further in this paper. The Levelland case was also included in the 1981 CUFOS study on UFO reports involving vehicle interference (Rodeghier). Rodeghier evaluated 481 UFO reports, which involved
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vehicle interference. Of these 481 reports, eight came from the Levelland case. In the study, Rodeghier found 35 statistically significant correlations amongst observed properties of the electromagnetic (EM) UFO events. He grouped these highly correlated properties into three Nexus consisting of 3 to 4 properties each. In a nexus, the presence of any one characteristic implies that the likelihood of the other three occurring is increased. Nexus I had the following positively correlated characteristics: presence of light beam control of the vehicle physiological effect on witness chasing of the vehicle Nexus II had the following positively correlated characteristics: metallic appearing UFO UFO that lands disc-shaped UFO presence of sound Nexus III had the following positively correlated characteristics: movement in a straight trajectory UFOs that appear as a light size range under fifteen feet Rodeghier concluded that UFO reports that fall within Nexus I and II do not represent some unknown natural phenomenon because in these groupings the UFO is described as metallic and behaves with intelligence. On the other hand, Rodeghier concluded that Nexus III contains characteristics, which appear to describe an undiscovered natural phenomenon. The relevance of Rodeghiers work to the Levelland case is that the Levelland sightings do not fit in Nexus I or II (the Nexus groups that most likely describe non-natural phenomena). The Levelland sightings fit better under the Nexus III category because the Levelland UFOs moved in straight trajectories and they were described as balls of light. The only characteristic that does not fit with Nexus III is the size of the reported UFO (between 30 to 200 ft as opposed to Nexus III characteristic of less than 15 ft). The key point here is that the Levelland sightings do not fit into the EM UFO groupings that are unambiguously strange and unexplainable. The interpretation of the Levelland sightings is open to a possible natural phenomenon explanation. In summary, most pro-UFO authors felt that the Levelland case deserved attention because of the multiple independent eyewitness testimony and the consistency of the anomalous claims. Moreover, most of the authors rejected the ball lightning hypothesis because the weather conditions and the objects behavior, characteristics, and its effect on the automobiles did not match what was known about ball lightning. Thus, determining the accuracy of the witness testimony, understanding their claims and description of the object and its behavior, and determining the weather conditions are crucial to understanding this case.
Thousands of automobiles should have been temporarily disabled in the neighborhood of every car-stopping UFO. Hundreds of TV sets should have blurred in the neighborhood of every TV-blurring UFO Physical evidence of landing should be found (shrubs crushed, grass scorched, ground disturbed) Moonwatch (on alert that week all over the US and Canada) teams should have detected the objects in the sky
Menzel focused mainly on one witness to the Levelland sightings (Pedro Saucedo). He claimed that Saucedo saw lightning when he reported the flash of light prior to the UFO. Saucedo, however, never stated on record that he saw lightning. The only references to the Levelland case that Menzel used to arrive at his conclusion are two newspaper clippings (El Paso Times, Nov. 4, 1957 & Denver Post, Nov. 6, 1957) and Aime Michels book (Michel, 1958). Based on the references listed on the Levelland chapter, it does not appear that he had access to the Blue Book files, interviewed any of the witnesses, or had any specific weather report for the area and time in question. Edward Ruppelts (chief of the Air Forces Project Blue Book from 1951-1953) opinion of the Levelland sighting is not clear. He did include the Levelland case on the 2nd edition of his book The Report on Unidentified Flying Objects in 1959. While he included the case in his book mainly to summarize popular cases of 1957, he did state that these sightings had a new twist (i.e. the stoppage of automobiles by the UFOs). Nevertheless, he did not comment whether the Blue Book explanation for the sightings was appropriate or not. He stated: according to the best interpretation of the maze of conflicting stories, facts and rumors about these famous sightings, the only positive fact is that there were scattered storm clouds across West Texas on the night of Nov. 4, 1957. This was unusual for November and everyone in the community was just a little edgy. But later in the same chapter Ruppelt stated: The Levelland, Texas sightings were written off as St. Elmos Fire (parenthesis by original author)[10]. Maybe Ruppelt used the term written off to suggest that he did not
believe the Blue Book explanation. On the other hand, he did believe that there were storms during the sightings (a critical requirement at the time for the ball lightning explanation).
In order to better judge level of accuracy in each of the seven reports, we must understand who the witnesses were, their level of training, how the report was made, who interviewed the witnesses and how the report was documented. Below is a summary of the how testimony was obtained for each witness and which source is deemed most reliable.
Newell Wright - 1957 Newell Wright was a 19-year-old freshman student at Texas Tech.University in Lubbock. He was driving late on Saturday night (Nov. 2) on his way to Levelland for a weekend visit with his parents. Shortly after midnight (at about 12:05 AM), he witnessed the ball of light and his car engine stopped. After the event, he went home and went to bed. He did not call the Levelland Police Department that evening because he did not think much of the event. The following day (Sunday Nov. 3) he was encouraged by his parents to report the incident to Sheriff Weir Clem. His parents felt that he should report it because they had read about similar incidents in the Levelland newspaper and because they knew and trusted Sheriff Clem. Newell described the incident to Sheriff Clem on Sunday at 1:30 PM. He was subsequently interviewed by a journalist from the Levelland Daily Sun. He was also interviewed by the Air Force officer who came to Levelland to investigate on Tuesday November 5. Newells story was also documented in the Texas Tech student newsletter titled Toreador and 25 years later he was interviewed by a Hockley County News-Press reporter. The author recently interviewed him to better understand his previous statements. In summary, Mr. Newell Wright is on record on several sources: Air Intelligence Information Report , Levelland Daily Sun, and Toreador. In this study, we will consider the Air Force report as the most accurate because the Blue Book officers main purpose was to determine causation and not to create newsprint. Nevertheless, we compared how key descriptions of the sighting were reported in each of these sources in order to determine the reliability of the press at the time (shown below in Table 1). It appears that the description of Mr. Wrights sighting on Levelland Daily Sun and the Toreador were very close to the Air Force report. While there are minor discrepancies on the location of the sighting, the key difference is that
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the newspapers implied that the object was solid (ie. image not just a light, solid with a definite form). Moreover, while the Air Force Report and the Toreador said that the sighting lasted minutes, the Levelland Daily Sun states more accurately that the Mr. Wright thought it was minutes. In a recent interview, Mr. Wright said that while it might had seemed minutes at the time it probably was more like 4 to 5 seconds. The key point here is that witness testimony is subjective and facts and figures are just rough estimates made after a stressful event. The same comment can be made about the size of the object. Recently Mr. Wright said that the glow from the ball of light covered the whole width of the two-lane road. This size estimate is less than 30 ft (see note below), but back in 1957 he said the object was between 75 and 125 ft wide. Table 1: Comparison of Three Reports of Newell Wrights Sighting Sighting Descriptions 1. Date of Interview 2. Date of Report Air Intelligence Information Report Nov. 5, 1957 Nov. 18,1957 Levelland Daily Toreador Sun Nov. 4, 1957 Nov. 5, 1957 Nov. 4, 1957 Nov. 5,1957
Dale Johnson 3. Investigator/Reporter Sgt. Norman P. Barth On Hwy. 116, 4 mileswest Near the town of On Route 116, one 4. Location of Smyer Smyer mile west of Smyer 5. Event Duration 6. Weather: (Clear,Cloudy, Rain, etc) 7. Description: UFO Shape 4 to 5 minutes Heavy clouds and a light rain falling Shaped like a loaf of bread Thought it was minutes Not Available ~ 5 minutes Night was overcast
Like an egg but flat on the bottom ~75 ft long but he did not know how far object was Saw an image not just a light; not as bright as neon
Egg-shaped and flat on the bottom; solid with a very definite form ~75 ft long but he did not know how far object was White with a little greenish tint
8. UFO Size: How was it 75 to 100 ft long He did not know how far object estimated? was. Size of a baseball at arm's length. 9. UFO Color White with a little greenish tint
In the Air Force report of Mr. Wrights sighting, he was considered to be a reliable witness. It is interesting to note that James A. Lee, a NICAP investigator from Abilene, TX, also interviewed Mr. Wright and described him as the most important and authentic of all the witnesses in the Levelland case . The comment is curious because Mr. Lee concluded on Nov. 4, 1957 that the sightings were due to space craft from one of the neighboring planets but his best witness never believed in the spaceship theory. Mr. Wright always thought it was some sort of natural phenomena. After the sighting, he went to bed and did not think much of it. On Sunday he reported it only because his parents asked him to do so. The Monday after the sightings, Mr. Wright met a professor of Electrical Engineering at Texas Tech (who he
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worked for part-time) who explained the sighting as ball lightning. This explanation was reasonable to Mr. Wright and he has been satisfied with this explanation ever since.16 In a interview in 1982 he tells the Hockley County News-Press that people did not want him to say he thought what he saw was something from nature. He said nobody that ever talked to me was ever satisfied to hear that (his explanation) because the other was more exciting.
Pedro Saucedo
Pedro Saucedo - 1957 Pedro Saucedo was a 30-year-old farm hand and part time barber from Levelland. He was the first witness to call the Levelland Police Department (PD) on the Saturday evening of November 2, 1957. Saucedo had his sighting on Hwy. 116 about 4 miles west of Levelland near the Pettit Community. After the sighting, he drove towards Whiteface and made the call to the Levelland PD. Mr. Saucedo talked to A.J. Fowler who was the officer working the night shift at the Levelland police dispatch. The Saucedo sighting was the only vehicle interference case that evening that had two witnesses. A friend of his, Joe Salaz, also witnessed the event. Nevertheless, nobody ever interviewed Mr. Salaz to confirm the story. Saucedo returned to the Levelland PD the following day (Nov. 3, 1957) in order to give a more complete report. Saucedo gave a complete statement of his sighting to Officer Shelby Hall and he later talked at length with a Lubbock Avalanche Journal reporter named Bill Wilkerson. On Tuesday Nov. 5, the Air Force officer who came to investigate the Levelland sightings interviewed Mr. Saucedo. Thus, there are two documented sources of what Mr. Saucedo saw on the evening of Nov. 2, 1957: the Air Intelligence Information Report and the Avalanche Journal report made by Mr. Wilkerson. To determine if there were any discrepancies between the Saucedo story reported by the Air Force and the story reported in the newspapers, we selected a few key descriptors of the event and compared them for each report.
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This comparison is shown Table 2 below. Sighting Descriptions 1. Date of Interview. 2. Date of Report 4. First Thing Noticed 5. Sound 6. Physical Effects 7. Location 8. Event Duration: 9. Description: UFO Shape Air Intelligence Information Report Nov. 5, 1957 Nov. 18, 1957 Saw a large flame in the West None Reported Felt heat On Hwy. 116, 4 miles west of Levelland 2 to 3 minutes Shaped like a torpedo Lubbock Avalanche Journal Nov. 3, 1957 Nov. 4, 1957 Bill Wilkerson Flash of light in a field to his right Sounded like thunder Felt rush of wind and truck rocked from the blast. Felt a lot of heat On Hwy. 116, 4 miles west of Levelland None Reported Torpedo shaped orlike a rocket but much larger
The are three slight discrepancies in the two statements. First, the Air Force does not mention any sound heard during the Saucedo sighting, while the Avalanche Journal reported that it sounded like thunder. Second, the Air Force reports that the sighting lasted 2 to 3 minutes while the Avalanche Journal did not mention time. The fact that the object described by Mr. Saucedo flew past him very fast (like a rocket) implies that it could not have been minutes. Thirdly, the air force report does not mention that Saucedos truck rocked from the blast while Wilkersons report does mention this. Mr. Saucedo told the Air Force investigator (Sgt. Barth) that he thought the object was an electronically controlled rocket. The Air Force, however, considered Mr. Saucedo not reliable and to be below average intelligence. It is interesting to note that the Air Force never stated in its report that Mr. Saucedo was a Korean War veteran but the Lubbock Avalanche Journal did report it. According to A.J. Fowler, the Levelland police officer that took Saucedos call on that Saturday evening, Mr. Saucedo did not speak very good English and it was difficult to understand him. This might be the reason why the Air Force investigator did not think much of Mr. Saucedo. Moreover, in his Air Intelligence report Sgt. Barth wrote that Mr. Saucedo had no concept of direction and was conflicting in his answers.
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Ronald Martin
Ronald Martin - 1957 Ronald Martin was an 18-year-old truck driver who happens to have been in Levelland at the time of the sightings. While Loren Gross writes that he was staying at the Padgett Hotel in Levelland , nobody was able to determine where he was from. Ronald Martin never called A.J. Fowler on the evening of his sighting (Nov. 3, 1957 at 12:45 AM). Martin was the 2nd witness who showed up at the Levelland Police Station the day after the incident (Nov. 3, 1957). At the Levelland Police Station he gave a report to Officer Shelby Hall. Moreover, the Lubbock Avalanche Journal reporter, Bill Wilkerson, was able to interview Mr. Martin on Nov. 3. Besides interviewing the witness in person, the Avalanche Journal was also able to photograph Mr. Martin and showed his picture on the Lubbock Morning Avalanche of Nov. 4, 1957. The Air Force officer who showed up on Nov. 5 was not able to locate Mr. Martin and concluded in a memo to file that contrary to newspaper reports, source (Ronald Martin) did not live in Levelland . Therefore, the only good source of information for the Ronald Martin story comes from the Lubbock Avalanche Journal report. This story was subsequently sent via Associated Press wire to numerous papers across the country. According to Civilian Saucer Intelligence (CSI), there was a probable hoax in the Levelland case . CSI speculated that the unreliable witness was Ronald Martin based on the fact that he reported the sighting the day after. CSI quotes a press report stating that an unidentified employer said the facts simply would not have allowed one of the local witnesses to be where he was under the circumstances described. The Levelland Daily Sun claimed the discovery that at least one of the dramatic sightings appeared to be of the imaginary variety . However, they did not identify the witness. As a result, we have to withhold judgement on Mr. Martin. He is one of the few who did come back the afternoon following the sightings and interviewed with newspaper reporters. By then, he had already heard the news of the sightings and it is possible that he embellished the story. Martins story, however, is more reliable than that of other witnesses who were not interviewed and who just reported the sightings to A.J. Fowler.
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James D. Long
James D. Long was a truck driver from Waco who, like Ronald Martin, was driving on the outskirts of Levelland in the early morning hours of Sunday, Nov. 3, 1957. Right after his sighting, he called the Levelland Police Department and talked to A.J. Fowler to report the sighting. Nevertheless, Sheriff Weir Clem is the one who is quoted in most of the newspaper stories that mention Longs sighting story. While Sheriff Weir Clem was quoted in the El Paso Times as saying that he talked to Mr. Long, this quote is doubtful. In a recent interview with A.J. Fowler, A.J. said that he talked to a negro man who called on the early hours of Nov. 3 to report a sighting and car stoppage. While A.J.s description of the mans sighting is different than the one reported 42 years earlier, this man must have been James D. Long because there was only one negro man quoted on the whole Levelland case. Moreover, Longs sighting happened at 1:15 AM, which is only 15 minutes earlier than Sheriff Clem sighting of a streak of light. It is difficult to have Mr. Long calling Mr. Clem within a 15-minute period when both of them were on the outskirts of Levelland. It is more likely to conclude that Mr. Long called the Levelland PD and talked to A.J. Fowler, who then communicated the news to Sheriff Clem via radio. No newspaper reporter or Air Force investigator claimed to have talked to Mr. Long. It was presumed that Mr. Long continued to his home in Waco after the incident and there was no further follow-up interview. As a result, the descriptions available about Mr. Longs sighting are based on what Sheriff Clem told the press on November 3 and 4 and on what Officer Fowler told the press on November 3. A.J. Fowler is the only person who is on record talking to Mr. Long. A.J. Fowler told the author that George Dolan, from the Fort Worth Star-Telegram, was the only reporter who called him the day after the sightings on Sunday, November 3, shortly before noon . He also recalls talking later to the local newspaper (Levelland Daily Sun) but does not recall talking to anybody from the Lubbock Avalanche Journal. Nevertheless, no full-length interview of Mr. Long took place. In conclusion, if we rely on Sheriff Clems description of James Longs sighting then we are relying on third hand information: Long told Fowler, Fowler told Clem and Clem told the Lubbock Avalanche Journal reporter. If we rely on what A.J. Fowler told the Fort Worth Star Telegram, then we minimize the potential for error. Nevertheless, the Star Telegram account is still second hand information. As a result, the quality of the details in the Long story is not the most reliable.
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On November 4, the Levelland police searched for Wheeler and Alvarez but were unable to locate them. Sheriff Clem asked Winkler County Sheriff L.B. Eddins to search there for Frank Williams. Sheriff Eddins said that he turned Kermit upside down and even had an appeal broadcast on the Kermit radio station but was unable to find Williams. Neither newspaper reporters nor the Air Force investigator ever interviewed these three witnesses. As a result, the story that Wheeler, Alvarez, and Williams told was only available via whatever A.J. Fowler wrote on the Levelland police records on the evening of November 2 and whatever Officer Fowler recalled and told the press. In October of 1998, the author contacted the Levelland Police Department and asked the Chief of Police whether they had kept any records going back to 1957. The Chief of Police said that there were no records in Levelland prior to 1978. Given the lack of primary interviews available, the most reliable information available on the Wheeler, Alvarez, and Williams stories is the report that George Dolan wrote on the Fort Worth Star-Telegram on November 4 supplemented with reports from the Levelland Daily Sun and Associated Press wires from Levelland.
Time/Length >= 2 hours < 2 hours >= 1 hour < 1 hour >=1/2 hour <=1/2 hour Extensive Brief Extensive
Index 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6
Letter with Follow-up Questionnaire Letter/Narrative Letter/Narrative Newspaper Newspaper Others Radio/TV Witness Relative Verbal/Rumor
Brief >= 1 page < 1 page >= 500 words < 500 words
Based on the level of investigation and reporting done on the seven Levelland witnesses, we rated the level of accuracy using the MUFONs Information Quality Index. We also rated the level of Accuracy of the information using the authors subjective levels (Low, Medium and High). The authors criteria for accuracy of data is shown below:
High: Witness was interviewed in person; a full record of witness testimony is available; witness was questioned thoroughly by Air Force investigator Medium: Witness was interviewed in person; the witness report was documented but only in newspapers; no formal Air Force investigation took place Low: Witness was not interviewed in person; witness was not interviewed by an investigator or journalist; no record of witness testimony is available
The resulting Information Quality Index and the authors own subjective rating are shown below in Table 4. The Information Quality Index given to Long, Wheeler, Alvarez and Williams is zero because nobody interviewed them and wrote a report. The source of information for their sightings was based on a verbal conversation via phone with A.J. Fowler. No report or record of these sightings was made. A.J. Fowler gave the details of these sightings to the press via another phone call. Thus, these witnesses were not really investigated (directly or indirectly). Their reports were obtained verbally. Table 4: Subjective Rating of Accuracy of Witness Report Witness InformationQuality Index Level of Accuracy in Report High Type of Investigation
Interviewed in person by Air Force officer and Avalanche Journal Reporter Interviewed in person by Air Force officer and Avalanche Journal reporter Interviewed in person by Avalanche Journal reporter Talked to Officer A.J.Fowler via phone; A.J. then told reporters
High
Medium Low
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0.0 0.0
Talked to Officer A.J.Fowler via phone; A.J. then told reporters Talked to Officer A.J.Fowler via phone; A.J. then told reporters Talked to Officer A.J.Fowler via phone; A.J. then told reporters
FrankWilliams 0.0
Quality of Information is different that reliability of witness. In the Levelland case, most witnesses were credible and truly experienced something that they never saw before. The issue is not whether they saw a ball of light in sky in the early morning hours of Nov. 3 1957, but the details of what they saw. It is the details that will help determine and or explain what they saw. Thus Quality of Information is deemed more important than witness reliability. Witness Reliability is usually estimated using parameters like age, occupation, and education. In this study, however, source of information at the time of the sightings is deemed more important than a potentially biased Witness Reliability Index. A key point to make with regard to witness reliability is that during and after the sightings, neither the Air Force, Sheriff Clem, nor Officer A.J. Fowler doubted that the witnesses saw something and that their vehicles were stopped. Even today, A.J. Fowler says that all the witnesses who called and talked to him were credible, scared, and did see something that night. The issue of reliability of the report has only to do with how accurate the report was made and how well documented was the sighting description from each witness. It is the details of the description of the phenomena seen that will help the most in finding a solution to the mystery.
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Table 5 summarizes the key elements of the Levelland sighting story for the seven witnesses. The witnesses are listed in the chronological order of the sightings. Twenty-one elements of the story were tabulated ranging from time and place of sightings to details of the actual sighting. When data was not available, the table cell was left blank or indicated not reported. Of the 21 elements shown in Table 5, ten describe the object's behavior and properties and the other eleven describe the witness, his behavior, and the source of information. The ten properties selected to describe the object sighted are shown below:
Event Duration Shape Size Color Type of Motion Direction Distance Type of Vehicle Interference Sound Physical and Physiological Effect
Review of the descriptions given by the seven witnesses (as shown in Table 5) indicates that not one report was identical to another in all these 10 properties. The only generalization that can be made is that seven independent witnesses (while driving within a 10 miles radius of Levelland and within a 2.5-hour period) ran into a light source that shut down their car's engine and headlights. Then when the light source left the scene, the car's engine and headlights worked normally. Table 5: Descriptions and Key Elements of the Seven Levelland Vehicle Interference Cases Witness Pedro Saucedo Jim Wheeler Jose Alvarez Newel l E. Wrigh t 11/3/5 7 9 miles East of Levell and on Route 116. One mile west of Smyer Frank D.Willia ms 11/3/57 Four miles north of Levellan d at the intersecti on of Route 51 and a dirt road or 11 miles north of Levellan d on Ronald Martin James D. Long
Date Location
11/2/57 On Highway 116; about 4 miles west of Levelland near the Pettit Community . Afterward s he drove towards Whiteface.
11/2/57 At the intersecti on of Highway 51 and a farm road eight miles North of Levellan d or on Hwy. 11 6 about
11/3/57 4 miles east of Levellan d near Lubbock Highway or on Route 51 near Whitharr al; 10 miles north and slightly
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Time
10:50 PM
30 Farm Hand /part time barber/ Korean War Veteran from Levelland
4 miles East of Levellan d[39] 11:50 PM or 12:00 N.A. Man from Levellan d
east of Levellan d 12:00 AM N.A. 12:05 AM 19 Texas Tech. Fresh man Univer sity studen t from Levell and None
Joe Salaz
None
None
None
None
None
2 to 3 minutes Torpedo eggshape or shaped like a rocket thing sitting on the road Not Reported
~4 minute s Oval shape, flat on the botto m Shape d like a loaf of bread 75 to 125 ft long He did not know how far object was White with a
~ 15 minutes object was sitting on the road Round in shape Big ball of fire Round as a ball Oval shaped Brilliant eggshaped mass
About the size of an airplane Larger than a torpedo or rocket 200 ft long and 6 ft wide Blue with yellow
200 ft long
Not reported
Not reported
As wide as the paved portion of Hwy. About the size of two cars
200 ft long
UFO Color:
Not reported
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Not reported;
Changed color to
Glowed intermitte
flame coming out of the rear and white smoke surrounding the flame
neon lights. Brilliant light It was so bright it lighted up the whole area.
UFO Action:
UFO rose up out of a field and started toward the truck picking up speed. Whe n it got near the truck, the lights went out and motor died. Objec t was about 200 ft off the ground and went directly over truck.
It was just sitting there, all lit up. It was light up with neon lights.
Thing was circling cotton field, just above the ground on one of the circles, the Things lights went out. It just disappear ed[42]
Object rose from the groun d and when witnes s looked throug h the winds hield, the object was gone. Object left groun d almost straigh t up and disapp eared from view in a split instant
Object was siting at the intersecti on of the Route 51 and a dirt road. W hen witness got out of his car, then the object rose swiftly to about 200-ft and its light went out and it disappear ed.
bluishgreen when it set on Hwy. Th en changed to an orange fireball again when it rose straight up & disappear ed. big ball of fire dropped on the highway in front of his truck
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Directio n
. Circling Object field then rose light almost went out straigh and t up disappear and a ed. little to the north, at a terrific speed. Within second s it was out of sight. It disapp eared almost instant ly. Could not determ ine distan ce to UFO
Object rose straight up and then hovered about 200 ft in the air and then it turned its light off.
Saw big ball of fire hovering in the sky about a mile and a half ahead of him. The thing dropped down and landed on the road ahead some 300 to 400 ft away. Truck engine died and
He got out of his car about 200 ft away to investigat e but when he did, it took off with a roar straight up into sky.
s went out
s went out
jumpi ng, then motor gradua lly died, then the lights and radio went out
s went out.
When witness started to get out of his car, the UFO Truck started fine rose abruptly. after At a Saucedo height of turned the about key in the 200-ft, ignition. UFO lights went off, and car lights went back on. great sound; No sound sounded was like thunder Reported and rush of wind
When the Thing disappear ed, the car lights went back on, and witness started the motor normally.
Every time the pulsating light from the UFO came on, his car light and motor would go off.[43] After Not object reported, left, but the the car fact that started the norma witness lly drove on after the sighting to a payphon e implies that car lights and engine went back to normal. No sounded sound like was thunder Report when it ed took off
Trucks headlight s came back on and the trucks engine started normally
Engine started and light came on when object got about 200 ft high.
Physical
Witness felt
None
None
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None
None
No sound Sounded was like a big Reported clap of thunder, as it settled to the ground and again as it seemed to take off. Too k off with a roar None None
rush of wind that rocked the truck; felt lots of Heat First saw a flash of light in a field to the right. Then object rose up out of the field and started toward the truck pickup us speed.
Reported
Reported
Report Reported ed
reported
Reported
Car engine and lights sudde nly quit worki ng. H e got out to investi gate, but could find nothin g wrong. As he slamm ed the hood and turned around he sudde nly saw the object on the Hwy. up ahead. Drivin g back home to Levell and from Texas Tech.
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Driving truck on highway when suddenly a ball of fire drops on the highway in front of his truck
He saw the object resting in the middle of the highway with its light off. Whe n he got right up to it, its light went on and his truck lights and motor went off. Othe r reports say that his truck stalled as he neared a bright object sitting on the road.[44]
Officer A.J. Who Intervie Fowler via Phone; wed Witness? Officer Shelby Hall at Police Station; Bill Wilkerson (LAJ Reporter) Lubbock Key Morning Source Avalanche of Informat 11/4/57; ion Levelland AP; Air Intelligence Information Report, 11/18/57
colleg e in Lubbo ck Sheriff Weir Clem; Dale Johnso n (Torea dor Report er)
Fort Worth Star Telegram , 11/4/57; Lubbock Morning Avalanch e 11/4/57; Associat ed Press, Levellan d, 11/4/5 7
Fort Worth Star Telegram , 11/4/57; Lubbock Morning Avalanch e 11/4/57; Associat ed Press, Levellan d, 11/4/5 7
Called Levellan d Police and talked to Officer Shelby Hall; Bill Wilkerso n (LAJ Reporter) Torea Fort Lubbock dor Worth Morning 11/5/5 Star Avalanch 7 Telegram e , 11/4/57; 11/4/57; Lubbock Associat Air Intelli Morning ed Press, gence Avalanch Levellan d, 11/4/5 Inform e 11/4/57; 7 ation Report , Associat 11/18/ ed Press, 57 Levellan d, 11/4/5 7
To better compare the descriptions of the light source for each witness, we created radar diagrams using eight of the properties listed above. The duration of the event and the distance to the light were not included in the diagram because these estimates (made by the eyewitness after the event) are typically very unreliable. The eight properties selected tend to be easier to remember by the witness and are better descriptors of what was actually observed.
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The criteria used to differentiate each property according to the witness' description are shown in Table 6. Table 6: Criteria and Scale used to Differentiate Witness Description of Levelland Sighting Criteria/S cale Shape Size Color Action Motion Light Chan ges Blinki ng on/off Sound Physi cal Effect s Sound Heat and Wind Heat only Color Chang es Wind only Other
1.00
Egg/Ov al
150200 ft
White
0.75
100150 ft
Blue
Hover (or Vertica Still) & l& Move Horizo ntal Vertica l Move Continuo usly Horizo ntal Circula r Hovering or Sitting Still
0.50
0.25
Torpedo <50 ft
0.00
Not Availab le
Not Available
While this criterion is arbitrary, we believe it is useful for searching for patterns. The main purpose of generating radar diagrams is to see visually how similar descriptions of the sighted object are from one witness to another. Moreover, this analysis also helps to determine whether descriptions from witnesses who gave more detailed and higher quality reports were more similar to each other than descriptions from witnesses whose reports were less reliable. The metrics assigned to each witness report is shown in Table 7. Table 7: Metrics Assigned to Witness Descriptions Criteria Shape Size Color Action Motion Light Changes Sound Physical Effects Pedro Saucedo 0.25 1.00 0.75 0.50 1.00 0.00 1.00 1.00 Newell Wright 0.75 0.25 1.00 1.00 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 Ronald Martin 0.50 0.25 0.50 1.00 0.75 0.50 0.00 0.00 James Long 1.00 1.00 0.00? 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 0.00 Jim Wheeler 1.00 1.00 1.00? 1.00 0.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 Jose Alvarez 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 Frank Williams 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 0.00
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27
28
29
Two references were found stating that Ronald Martins truck started by itself when the object left. One reference was an article written by Max Miller in Saucers magazine and the other reference was Don Berliners article in Official UFO[45] magazine. Miller implied that the engine of Ronald Martins truck started by itself when the object ascended vertically. He quotes Martin as saying:[46] One thing I cant understand is how it could stop that combustion engine and then start it again when it took off. Millers article did not give a reference for this quote. Likewise, Berliners article did not give a reference for Martins claim. No reliable source was found to back this claim. The Lubbock Avalanche Journal, the Levelland Daily Sun News, and the Levelland Associated Press wires did not mention anything about self-starting engines. Bill Wilkerson, of the Lubbock Avalanche Journal, interviewed Martin and his article did not mention this claim. It is possible that an out-of-town newspaper published this claim since we found contradictory claims in other out-of-town newspapers. For example, a newspaper article from Amarillo (based on AP and UP wires) said that the object never cut off Martins truck engine or lights[47]. The best available sources of information indicate that all auto engines started normally after the ball of light left the scene. Thus we conclude that no auto engine in Levelland started by itself in November 2-3, 1957. In conclusion, while there is a fundamental similarity amongst all seven reports (i.e. the car stoppages, a light source, the timing, and location), all seven reports were different in the details of the observations. The variety of descriptions for the light source tends to imply that it was not the same object seen seven times in 2.5 hours. Either there was more than one object seen that evening or it was a phenomenon whose properties were variable and diverse.
Wright) only saw a streak of light and J.B. Cogburns sighting was 2 days after the Levelland event (Nov. 4, 8:45 PM).Even the Air Force report concluded that Cogburns sighting was not connected with the other Levelland sightings two days earlier. Lt. Colonel William P. Brunson of the 1006th AISS in Ent Colorado wrote the Air Intelligence Information Report on November 18, 1957. Col. Brunson had different conclusions for each of the witnesses. Moreover, he and Sgt. Barth rated each of the witnesses with a reliability scale.While this study is only concerned with the auto stoppage cases, the Air Force interviews and reliability estimates of the 3 other witnesses does provide useful information about the weather conditions on the evening of November 2. A summary of the conclusions for each of the five relevant sightings in Levelland is shown below in Table 8. 1 Table 8: Air Force Reliability Ratings and Conclusions for Levelland Sightings Reliability Estimate by Air Force Usually Reliable Not Usually Reliable Fairly Reliable Not Reported Usually Reliable Reliability Code given by Air Force[50] B D C B B
Newell E. Wright Pedro Saucedo Sheriff Weir Clem Patrolman Lee Roy Hargrove T/Sgt. Harold D. Wright
Air Force Expla Sighting Ball Lightning Imagination Streak Lightning Streak Lightning
Heavy Electrical
Col. Brunson concluded that Pedro Saucedos account was unreliable because of a discrepancy between Saucedos estimate of the objects speed (800 miles per hour) and distance (300 ft away) and Saucedos estimate of the length of time the object was in sight (2 to 3 minutes).Besides this incompatibility, Col. Brunson states another reason why Saucedo is not deemed reliable: Saucedos description of the weather condition did not agree with the established conditions in the area. Nevertheless, Saucedos description of the weather was never written in the AISS report on Levelland. ATICs conclusion on Saucedo was that the excitement of the situation probably wetted the imagination of this witness, and that at least part of the information which he provided is false[51]. Col. Brunson concluded that Pedro Saucedos account was unreliable because of a discrepancy between Saucedos estimate of the objects speed (800 miles per hour) and distance (300 ft away) and Saucedos estimate of the length of time the object was in sight (2 to 3 minutes).Besides this incompatibility, Col. Brunson states another reason why Saucedo is not deemed reliable: Saucedos description of the weather condition did not agree with the established conditions in the area. Nevertheless, Saucedos description of the weather was never written in the AISS report on Levelland. ATICs conclusion on Saucedo was that the excitement of the situation probably wetted the imagination of this witness, and that at least part of the information which he provided is false On the other hand, Col. Brunson had a high opinion of Newell Wright. He called the Newel Wrights sighting the most important (of the six he reviewed).Moreover, he states that the reliability, sincerity, and intelligence of Mr. Wright lend credence to his account. Col. Brunson proposed four possible explanations for Newel Wrights sighting:
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Weather phenomena, such as St. Elmos Fire or a similar phenomenon Ball lightning Reflection of excess burning gas from a very low cloud cover A meteorological phenomenon which could be any combination of 3 shown above
However, he wrote that insufficient knowledge of the meteorological phenomena proposed as possible explanations existed at his organization to completely resolve the sightings. Thus, he forwarded the sighting to the Air Technical Intelligence Center (ATIC) as unresolved. ATIC on the other hand, concluded that the conditions, which existed in Levelland during November 2 and 3, were consistent with those associated with ball lighting. In particular, they concluded that what Newel Wright saw was ball lightning.ATIC concluded: It is the opinion of ATIC that ball lightning may have contributed to the overall circumstances of the Levelland sighting, but was not a major factor. It is concluded that the major cause for the Levelland case was a severe electrical storm. The storm stimulated the populace into a high level of excitement. This excitement reflected itself in their reactions to ordinary circumstances, and resulted in the inflation of the stories of some of the witnesses concerning their experiences.[52] ATICs conclusion that a severe electrical storm was the major cause and not ball lightning was due to the fact that three of the six witnesses they interviewed saw only a streak of light. Moreover, they discounted Saucedos sighting and ignored Cogburns. Thus, only one sighting (Newel Wrights) out of 6 sightings required the ball lighting explanation. Col. Brunson AISS report did not address directly the possible cause of the automobiles engine stoppage. That is probably why he submitted the Newel Wright case as unresolved. ATIC, on the other hand, concluded that the two cases of motor stoppage that the Air Force investigated (Saucedo and Wright) could be attributed to the electrical storm either directly or indirectly. ATICs summary report states that the high humidity may have resulted in sudden deposition of moisture on distributor parts and the possibility of stoppage due to this is especially true if moisture condensation nuclei were enhanced by increased atmospheric ionization This suggestion, curiously enough, was made by Dr. J. Allen Hynek in a memo to ATIC. In the memo Hynek says that a connection between the ball lighting phenomena and the engine stoppage was possible via ionization of the air and moisture deposition. Later in his life, Hynek regretted supporting this hypothesis because he could not explain why the auto engines would start right after the ball of light left the scene and because he found no evidence that there was an electric storm in Levelland the night of sightings. For ATIC, the auto stoppage issue was obviously the most difficult to explain away given the limited data and science available on ball lightning. The head of the Blue Book in 1957, Captain George T. Gregory, admits the weakness of the ball lightning explanation in a letter to the Air Science Division on December 4, 1957. In that letter he asks for a review of the Levelland case with emphasis on the missing factor of the ball lightning hypothesis. The missing factor he asks about was what effect does nearby lightning discharges have on the electrical circuits or voltage potential of automobiles[56]. Presumably, Captain Gregory could not explain the auto stoppages and restarts with the limited knowledge available on ball lightning.
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On January 3, 1958, Captain Gregory writes another concluding memo stating the phenomenon was undoubtedly related to the meteorological conditions that existed in the area at that time: fog, light rain, mist, very low ceiling (400 ft), and lightning discharges. The latter were definitely established through the results of numerous investigative reports[57]. He concludes that all the weather conditions were conducive to a ball lightning manifestation.Furthermore, he explains the auto stoppage occurrence with Hyneks explanation that ball lightning or lightning discharges were capable of ionizing the air and in turn affect the moisture laden ignition components of a motor vehicle.
They limited the scope of investigation to only the people who they could find in Levelland when Sgt. Barth arrived.While Sgt. Barth, tried to locate Ronald Martin, no extra effort was made to find the other four witnesses. No investigation was made on the affected automobiles. They focused their attention on the electrical storm hypothesis despite many witnesses stating that there was no electric storm.
They documented the interviews with the witnesses and provided better investigative reports than the newspaper accounts. They used Air Force resources to check for other possible causes and did not find any. They documented the weather conditions in Levelland and Lubbock at the time of the sightings. They started the scientific debate on the possibility of Ball Lighting being the cause of many UFO reports.
Nevertheless, the crux of Blue Books Levelland explanation rests on two key assumptions: (1) that there was an electric storm in Levelland on the night of November 2, 1957 and (2) that ball lighting can cause automobile engines to stop.Thus, to better understand this case, we must determine what was the weather like on Nov. 2-3 and what are the known properties of ball lightning.
Weather
Weather According to the Air Force
ATIC concluded that there were severe electrical storms in Levelland on Nov. 2-3, 1957. Nevertheless, of the five witnesses Sgt. Barth interviewed (who had sightings on the evening of Nov. 2 and early morning of Nov. 3), only the statement of two were recorded. Newell Wright stated that there were heavy clouds and light rain. Harold D. Wright stated that it was misty, with scattered clouds, slight breeze and occasional lightning.
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The Air Intelligence Information Report, written by Col. Brunson, summarizes the conditions reported by the US Weather Station in Lubbock (which is only 32 miles east of Levelland). The AIIR report states that a complete overcast existed with a 400-ft ceiling, visibility at 3 miles, surface winds were light and variable, and there was a drizzle or light rain throughout the period. This weather report differs slightly from a teletype report sent to ATIC from the Commander of Walker AFB on November 4, 1957. The teletype report states that there was unlimited ceiling, with visibility at 15 miles, that surface winds were 10 knots at 45 degrees, cloudy with light drizzle, and 5/10 to 9/10 of the sky was obscured. Besides cloudy skies and light rain, no mention is made of a thunderstorm in these two reports. A memo in the Blue Book files states that heavy thunderstorms were present in the area prior to the sightings, but no reference is made to the source of information.[58] Capt. Gregorys memo of January 3, 1958 stated that lighting discharges were definitely established through the results of numerous investigative reports. This conclusion was probably arrived at after concluding that three of the sightings investigated by Sgt. Barth were due to lightning (Harold Wright, Weir Clem, and Lee Roy Hargrove).
a cold front had passed through Levelland earlier in the day on November 2 conditions were not present for lightning to occur very little rain had fallen there were no storms at the time of the sightings
said they could not explain away the sightings. There were no thunderstorms in the area, and they scoffed at St. Elmos light[62]. The Lubbock Morning Avalanche reported heavy rains in the area on Sunday, November 3 but there was no mention of a thunderstorm. The article stated that most area points reported rain starting just about sunrise Sunday and thickening into a heavy drizzle that continued most of the day. Some towns received rain Saturday night and it still was raining at midnight Sunday in many places[63]. The news report states that a thin cold front eased into the South Plains early Sunday morning, sliding under warm air masses to trigger steady falling, general rains over West Texas and to keep the temperature in Lubbock below the 40 degree mark most of the day. The South Plains registered some of the heaviest falls in the state Sunday with 1.5 inches reported at Post and Snyder[64]. The El Paso Times also mentioned the cold front that hit Texas on November 2. The paper stated: rains up to two inches fell in parts of central Texas as a rather tame cold front moved into the area Saturday night. The front reached central sections of the state at mid-afternoon, dropping temperatures a few degrees and switching winds to the north[65]. The Fort Worth Star-Telegram also mentioned the cold front: a mild cool front which pushed slowly through Texas during the week-end brought light to moderate rains over much of West and North Texas Sunday and dropped temperature to the 50 degree mark or below[66]. In summary, the newspaper weather reports tend to agree with some of the witnesses that experienced light rain on the late evening of Saturday (November 2) or the early morning hours of Sunday (November 3). None of these newspapers mentioned thunderstorms. The most relevant paper, the Lubbock Avalanche Journal (because Lubbock weather should have been similar to Levelland) did not mention any thunderstorm. As a result, all we can conclude from the newspapers is that a cold front moved into West and North Texas on Saturday accompanied by light to moderate rains. Weather According to US Weather Service The US Weather Bureau has climatological data for Lubbock, Texas for 1957. Since Lubbock is only about 32 miles east of Levelland, its weather conditions should be a good indication of weather conditions around Levelland for November 2 and 3 1957. Daily average climatological data for November 1 through November 5 is shown below in Table 9: Table 9: Local Climatological Data for Lubbock, TX - November 1957[67] Date Nov. 1 Nov. 2 Nov. 3 Nov. 4 Nov. 5 Maximum Temp. (F) Minimum Temp. (F) Average Temp. (F) 73 59 45 45 45 50 45 37 39 40 62 52 41 42 43
0.02
0.00
0.36
0.17
0.13
Based on daily average data collected at Lubbock, it appears that a cold front did move in towards the panhandle of Texas on November 2. Moreover, the data sheet shows that on
36
average, there was little rain on November 2 but almost 0.4 inches of rain on Sunday the 3rd. No thunderstorms or lightning were recorded in Lubbock until November 5 on this daily average data sheet. The Weather Bureau does have a more detailed data sheet for Lubbock showing precipitation and lighting activity on an hourly basis. An extract of this data sheet is shown in Table 10 below. Table 10 shows the hourly level of precipitation and any reported thunderstorm in Lubbock from 8 PM on November 2 through 4 AM on November 3. Table 10: Hourly Climatological Data at Lubbock, TX - November 1957[68] Date Nov. 2 Nov. 2 Nov. 2 Nov. 2 Nov. 2 Nov. 2 Nov. 3 Nov. 3 Nov. 3 Nov. 3 Local Time (Hour ending at) 7 PM 8 PM 9 PM 10 PM 11 PM 12 PM 1 AM 2 AM 3 AM 4 AM Precipitation (inches) 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 T Thunderstorm or distant Lightning
The hourly data-sheet shows a different picture than the daily average data. Hourly data shows that there was no rain in Lubbock during the hours of the sightings in Levelland from 10:50 PM on November 2 through 1:30 AM on November 3. The 0.36 inches of average precipitation reported for November 3 occurred after 8 AM that day. Moreover, a visibility of 15 miles and unlimited ceiling during the hours of the sightings indicate that the sky was clear. Interestingly, however, is the fact that thunderstorms were reported in the vicinity of Lubbock between 2 AM and 3 AM on November 3. This recorded fact tends to disagree with Dr. McDonalds assertion that conditions were not present for thunderstorms. The timing of the observed thunderstorm, however, was about half-hour to one hour after the last sighting in Levelland (~1:30 AM). The Lubbock climatological data shows that thunderstorms were observed on November 3 but mainly from 8 AM through 8 PM. The Levelland Daily Precipitation data sheet indicates that Levelland had 0.21 inches of rain on average on November 2 and thunderstorms were reported on November 3[69]. Unfortunately, an hourly precipitation report for Levelland is not available and thus the time of the reported thunderstorms and rains is not known.
37
38
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this fact alone cannot justify a spacecraft from another planet. Maybe the phenomenon was observed elsewhere and was not reported because it was deemed uneventful. The second major reason why the extraterrestrial spacecraft theory was proposed was that nobody could figure out how a mysterious ball of light could interfere with the operation of a vehicle. The quick explanations that the Air Force gave (wet ignition systems, nervous feet, etc.) were only fueling the mistrust of the public. The spacecraft theory was quickly accepted because it was able to explain the vehicle interference, the supposedly intelligent behavior, and it rejected the Air Forces explanations, which were deemed untrustworthy by the major UFO groups (NICAP, APRO, and CSI). Moreover, even after the Air Force publicly discounted the Levelland UFO sightings on November 15, Sheriff Weir Clem publicly disagreed. He stated that the Levelland sightings were not caused by freak weather conditions, because he had seen ball lightning and St. Elmos fire before and it wasnt that[72]. Statements from Sheriff Weir Clem and Police Officer A.J. Fowler supported the idea that ball lightning was not the cause of the sightings and unintentionally enhanced the extraterrestrial spacecraft idea. A.J. Fowler recently stated that he always believed (and still believes) the object was something that the Air Force was experimenting with and that the Air Force did not want anybody messing with it. He also stated that Sheriff Weir Clem always believed that the object was a solid craft as opposed to a weather phenomenon.
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the eyewitness reports. The diversity in appearance and behavior of ball lightning in different cases had led to the conclusion that different types of ball lightning may exist.[80] Another ball lightning investigator and author tends to agree with Singer on the potential for multiple atmospheric phenomena being all lumped together under the ball lightning umbrella. According to James Dale Barry, author of Ball Lightning and Bead Lightning, it is likely that several atmospheric electrical phenomena exist with similar but somewhat different characteristics.[81] Nevertheless, in a 1977 paper, Singer stated that after a century during which several noted scientist held a negative opinion on the reality of ball lightning, it appears that in the last decade most meteorologists and perhaps a majority of physical scientists consider the existence of ball lightning well established.[82] While ball lighting might be considered real physical phenomena, no theory has been put forward yet that can explain all the observations. While theories have been unusually numerous, no theory is accepted today amongst ball lightning researchers. Despite the lack of a generally accepted theory to explain ball lightning and the continued discrepancy on the properties of ball lightning, we must acknowledge that an unknown atmospheric phenomenon (collectively called ball lighting) exists. Given that ball lightning is real, we must investigate whether its range of properties, behavior, and genesis describe the events in Levelland in November of 1957.
Author: James D. Barry Title: Ball Lightning and Bead Lightning Plenum Press, NY, 1980 (Quotes are all from his book) Dimensions of the spherical or ovalshaped ball lightning vary from a few centimeters to several meters in diameter. The most common diameter
cm, 25 cm, 30 cm, and 35 cm depending on which database is used. Extreme sizes of 27 m and 260 m have also been reported. The balls viewed from closer distance are usually associated with smaller diameters; the larger dimensions have been reported for distant sightings in which the estimation of the size is dependent on the distance of the object, which could itself only be approximated. Shape (protrusions, rays, halos, or corona) Generally spherical or ball shaped in 83% in Brands database and in 87% of cases in Rayles database. A few oval or eggshaped masses have also been observed.
reported is 10-40 cm. A spherical or oval shape with a diameter less than about 40-cm is most frequently reported.
Ball lightning has been reported with spherical, oval, teardrop, and even rod shapes. There are three structural types. First, a solid appearance with a dull or reflecting surface or a solid core within a translucent envelope; second, a rotating structure, suggestive of internal motion and stress; and third, a structure with a burning appearance. The burning structure has been reported most often with the spherical and oval shapes, a red or red-yellow color, and a diameter less than 40 cm. Ball lightning reported to have a solid structure commonly has a green or violet color and a diameter between 30 and 50 cm. The rotating structure is observed with a combination of colors. It usually has a bright-colored interior with darker colored poles or a translucent envelope.
Structure
Color
Red and orange colors are reported most frequently for ball lighting according to the five major surveys. Red was by far the most common color. Yellow, white, blue and blue-white are also commonly reported. Barry found less than 2% were blue or blue white in his study. Green is noted relatively rarely. Most common lifetime is from 1 to 5 seconds. An appreciable number disappear in less than a
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Most ball lightning reports indicate the object as having had a red, re-yellow, or yellow color. Other colors, including white, green and purple were occasionally reported. Blue and bluewhite colors are associated with reports of St. Elmos fire. A color change with time was reported by only a few of the observers. These changes fall into three categories: red to white, violet to white, and yellow to white. The lifetime of a ball lightning is most often reported to be only 1-2 seconds. A lifetime of this length or
Duration
second and the examples with a lifetime longer than 5 seconds are markedly fewer. Several exhibit a lifetime of the order of 1 minute, and individual observations for 9 minutes and 15 minutes have been recorded. The longer lifetimes, extending to periods of a minute, were correlated with motionless blue or blue-white globes in the survey by Barry, who concluded that such globes were actually St. Elmos fire. Evidence of Heat The absence of any heat radiating from ball lighting has been especially noted as unusual for a body emitting such intense light. This property is reported in by far the larger number of cases. Brand concluded that, in general, no heat effect is exhibited by ball lightning of the type which floats free in the air. Two categories of motion have been distinguished; the luminous globes which fall to earth from the upper atmosphere and those which travel near the ground and are formed following a lightning stoke to earth. The general paths which have been observed include direct descend from the clouds to the ground, horizontal flight close to the earth with the wind or sometimes directly against the wind, upward flight, up and down motion, or rebounding from the earth. Velocities range from 1 meter/sec to 240 meters/second.
less was reported or indicated in about 80% of the reports examined. A small percentage of reports indicated longer lifetimes, lasting up to minutes. The longer lifetime is highly correlated with the motionless blue or blue-white ball, which is considered to be St. Elmos Fire.
A small number of observers reported that heat emission was experienced during the event. Death attributed to ball lightning has also been reported. Damage to objects that were touched by a ball lightning has also been reported. In contrast to these reports of serious damage, others have indicated that ball lightning does not emit heat and does not cause harm to objects. In general, ball lightning is most commonly observed in descending motion apparently from a cloud. It usually assumes either a random or horizontal motion several meters above the ground. The motionless state often results after an initial random or horizontal motion, although it can occur sooner. Cloud-to-cloud motion and earth-to-cloud motion are reported least - only a few of over 1600 reports indicate such motion. The motionless ball lightning is observed to hover in midair, seemingly unaffected by external forces. It is usually red or yellow white in color, spherical or oval shaped with a diameter of about 30-cm. It is often observed to undergo a sudden attraction to a grounded object. It darts quickly to the grounded object and decays noisily upon contact. The data accumulated indicate that if a wind-related motion is mentioned in a report, the ball lightning is most often observed to move along with the wind rather than against it.
44
Smell
Smells described as being of sulfur and ozone are common. In a few cases the odor was compared with that of nitrogen dioxide. General odors of burning have also been reported. Approximately one-quarter of the globes reported in Rayles survey were associated with a smell. Various sounds are emitted by ball lightning. The most common sound reported is a hissing or crackling noise. In some observations ball lightning is reported as entirely silent.
Many observers report a distinctive odor accompanying the presence of ball lightning. The odor is described as sharp and repugnant, resembling ozone, burning sulfur, or nitric oxide. The odor is reported most often when the distance between the ball lightning and the observer is small. Odors of this type are common ionization products of a lightning discharge. A characteristic hissing sound is often associated with the presence of ball lightning by many review authors. Only a few first-person reports were found which specifically mentioned a sound characteristic in connection with a nearby ball lightning observation. Conversely, a hissing sound is definitely associated with the St. Elmos fire phenomenon which is occasionally misidentified as ball lightning. Consequently, we may conclude that ball lightning is predominantly a soundless phenomenon.
Sound
Emission of sparks or long fiery rays from ball lightning has been noted in several occurrences giving rise to a frequent description of the luminous mass as a firework. The disappearance of ball lightning often occurs silently, but in many cases there is a violent explosion. Barrys survey indicated that a majority exploded, including 80% of the red balls and 90% of the yellow. Ball lightning has been observed to decays by two modes. One is the silent decay, associated with a decrease in brightness and diameter. The second, designated as the explosive mode, is associated with a loud violent sound. Some observers report a sudden color change preceding the explosive decay. A small percentage of observers mentioned a residue found after the decay. These include, smoke or god residue and a tar or soot residue. Barry found less than 1% of the observation in his survey of the literature indicated a change in color,
In many ball lightning Traces left by the ball (Burns, occurrences no permanent traces are found after disappearance of damage, etc.) the ball despite its awesome activity. No change in the appearance of Change in appearance of ball lightning is noted during its the ball (change existence for by far the larger
45
is size or color)
number of cases, but in a small and all of these involved a change to number definite changes have bright or dazzling white of balls from been observed in the size, shape the initial red, violet, or yellow colors. or color. Changes in size may involve either a decrease or an increase. The light intensity of 12 cases in Rayle diminished and two increased. Color changes have also been specifically considered by Brad and Mathias. The greatest frequency of appearance of the balls came approximately two hours later than the peak in storms during the day but otherwise roughly resembled the distribution with time of day exhibited by storms. The fiery globes were most numerous in the summer months, 63% of the cases considered by Brand according to this parameter coming in this season and a total of 80% from May through September, again closely following the yearly distribution of storms. The data of Rayles collection dealing largely with observations in the central United States also show the greatest number appearing in summer, 83%. The frequency of ball lightning is thus evidently associated with the frequency of thunderstorms. The number of ball lightning appearances not directly connected with a storm is very small. Barry estimated that 90% of the cases reported occurred during thunderstorm activity. In three incidents for which reasonable complete accounts are available there appears the possibility of some distant residue of storm activity although the ball appeared under sunny skies which were clear or contained, at most, a few clouds. Of the reports gathered by McNally, three
46
The occurrence of ball lightning is commonly associated with natural lightning events during thunderstorms, tornadoes, earthquakes, and other such stressful conditions in natures. These observations are the basis for the assumption that ball lightning is associated with the ordinary lightning discharge and is an electrical phenomenon. This association is supported by reports that describe a ball lightning appearing simultaneously with a nearby ordinary lightning discharge, immediately following the storm or just preceding the
indicated the formation of ball discharge. About 90% of the ball lightning under a clear sky, and lightning observations reported Rayle reported five which did not occurred during thunderstorm activity. occur in a storm. The majority of ball lightning incidents are further specifically associated with discharges of ordinary lightning, which may appear either before or after the ball lightning.
47
Shape descriptions for ball lightning matched all Levelland descriptions. While Saucedos description of a torpedo or rocket shaped object is rare in ball lightning reports, Barry states that rod shaped ball lighting has been reported. Classifying Saucedos drawing of his sighting (made for the Air Force investigator and shown in Figure 9 below) as rod-shaped ball lighting might be considered unlikely but not impossible. For example, Corliss (in his book Handbook of Unusual Natural Phenomena) discusses the sighting of a rod-shaped ball lightning that was described by the witness as torpedo shaped.[84]
48
All colors reported by the Levelland witnesses were within range of those reported in ball lightning observations. A few witnesses described the light as a neon sign but no color was given. Even if we assume that the witness saw the typical color of neon gas (orange-red), it is still within the range of colors in ball lightning descriptions. Only three witnesses gave duration of observations, ranging from 2 minutes to 15 minutes. Eyewitness estimates of time are usually not very reliable, especially during a stressful event. In the Levelland case, for example, Mr. Newell Wright was recently asked about his report stating that his sighting lasted 4 minutes, and he replied that it probably lasted seconds but felt like minutes. Despite the unreliability of eyewitness time measurements, the reported times are within the ranges given by Singer and Barry. While Singer and Barry say that the most common ball lightning lifetimes are 1 to 5 seconds, they do report sightings lasting minutes. Thus, duration of the Levelland sightings does not rule out ball lightning. The motions observed in ball lightning are usually horizontal and vertical, which fit the descriptions of all Levelland eyewitnesses except Alvarezs. Most of the witnesses reported the ball of light departing vertically upward which is rare in ball lightning reports. According to Barry, earth-to-cloud motions are reported least (only a few of over 1600 reports indicate such motion). Nevertheless, however uncommon, ball lighting reports with upward motion have been recorded according to Singer and Barry. Thus, the majority of the observed
49
motions in the Levelland sightings fall within the range of motions in ball lightning. The Alvarez sighting, however, describes the object as circling a cotton field just above the ground. This type of motion was not found in Singer and Barrys descriptions of ball lightning motion. Barry does mention that spiral motions have been reported, but a spiraling motion is not the same as a circling motion. Thus, Alvarez description of motion is considered a deviation from the ranges given to ball lightning motion. Smell is an interesting ball lightning property because none of the Levelland witnesses reported smelling anything. Singer and Barry, however, say that not all ball lightning observers report smell. According to Barry, witnesses who are closer to the ball of light report smells more often. Nevertheless, either witnesses did not smell anything or maybe they said it but nobody wrote it down. No conclusion for or against the ball lightning hypotheses can be made based on the lack of smells reported. Sound is another ball lightning property that does not help distinguish between ball lightning and something else. According to Singer and Barry, ball lightning has been reported with and without sound. Barry, however, states that ball lightning is a predominantly soundless phenomenon. Of the seven Levelland witnesses, four reported no sound. The three that did report sound described it as thunder. Saucedo appears to have heard the sound as the object passed over his truck, Williams heard the sound when the object took off vertically, and Long heard the sound when it settled to the ground and again as it took off. These sounds tend to agree more with what Singer and Barry describe as the explosive mode of disappearance of ball lighting. Apparently, ball lightning has been reported to disappear either silently or with a loud violent sound. Either way, all seven Levelland sighting reports fall within this range of ball lighting disappearance. No traces were left by any of the Levelland sightings, which matches the majority of ball lightning observations. Some ball lightning reports emit sparks or long fiery rays. Thus, Saucedo description of a blue object with a yellow flame coming out of the rear could fall within the ball lighting emissions described by Singer. With regard to changes in color or light intensity, a small number of ball lightning reports have observed changes in size, shape, intensity, and color. In the Levelland cases, Ronald Martin, James Long, and Frank Williams reported changes in appearance. Martin reported color changes from orange to bluish-green and back to orange. Long and Williams reported that the objects light was blinking on and off like a neon sign. Barry found that less than 1% of the observations in his survey indicated a change in color. Nevertheless, all of these involved a change from red, violet, or yellow to white. While Barrys color changes are different than Martins reported color changes, the key point is that color changes have been reported in ball lightning observations and thus Martins description is not a significant deviation. Longs and Williams observation, on the other hand, has not been reported in connection to ball lightning. Singer writes that 14 ball lightning cases have been reported with changes in light intensity (in 12 of these the light intensity increase and in 2 it decreased). Nevertheless, light intensity changes are not the same as a pulsating light. Thus, we consider Long and Williams observations as deviant from the ball lightning observations on changes in appearance. The occurrence of ball lighting during storms or connected with linear lightning is very important to the Levelland case because many previous investigators discounted the hypotheses when no evidence of a lightning storm was found in Levelland. Dr. James
50
McDonald, who did not agree with the ball lightning hypotheses, wrote: if there are any workers in atmospheric electricity who hold that ball lightning can be generated without presence of intensely active thunderstorms, I have failed to uncover such viewpoints in a recent extensive review that I carried out on the ball lightning problem.[86] Singer and Barry tend to agree with Dr. McDonald in that the majority of the ball lightning cases have been reported in connection with a lightning storm. Nevertheless, according to Barry, 10% of the reported ball lightning cases have occurred without thunderstorm activity. A few of these reported cases have occurred under sunny skies, which were clear or contained a few clouds. While a lightning storm might not be required, the majority of ball lightning incidents are specifically associated with ordinary lightning discharges that may appear either before or after the ball lighting. Singer refers to McNallys and Rayles collection of cases (447 and 98 respectively) in which 85% and 70% of the ball lighting cases were seen in conjunction with ordinary lightning flashes. Based on these observations, we must not discount ball lightning as a potential cause of the Levelland sightings just because no lightning storm was present. As unlikely as it seems, weather conditions during the time of the Levelland sightings do not preclude ball lightning. Table 12: Deviations between Levelland Sightings Descriptions and the Properties of Ball Lighting
t (green) = Within Range of Singer and Barrys Ball lightning Descriptions x (red) = Not Within Range given by Singer and Barry N (yellow) = Not Observed NA = No Data Available or Not Reported
51
52
A more significant deviation between the Levelland sighting descriptions and ball lighting properties is the change in appearance reported by Long and Williams. Both of them reported that the object was blinking on and off like a neon light. This description does not match any ball lighting report in Singer and Barrys books. Thus, the observed blinking was either a very rare ball lightning property (that has not been reported) or it was the property of some other unknown object or phenomena. Another deviation between the Levelland sightings and the observed properties of ball lighting was the motion of the object observed by Jose Alvarez. He described the object as moving in circles above a cotton field. A circling motion is not within the range of observed motions for ball lightning as described by Singer and Barry. Thus, this observed motion is either a rare case of ball lightning motion or it was the property of some other unknown object or phenomena. The most common and controversial reason for rejecting the ball lightning hypothesis is the reported shutdown of the automobile engines and headlights by the Levelland object subsequently followed by their normal startup when the object left. In the extensive summary of cases provided by Singer (1971) and Barry (1980), no mention was made of ball lightning effects on automobiles. The effect of ball lightning stopping automobile engines was not reported in their summaries of traces left, damage, and heat. The few cases where ball lightning did cause damage, the effect ranged from dust raised by the ball, burns in material which the ball has touched, holes bored in walls, to the collapse of a building caused by the explosion of the fireball. While a few cases have been reported of ball lightning interacting with airplanes and entering houses, these cases offer no help in understanding the effects on automobiles. A search of the bibliography of ball lightning did not uncover any papers on the effect of ball lightning on automobiles. Dr. Peter H. Handel (professor at the Department of Physics and Astronomy at the University of Missouri and a theorist on ball lighting formation) replied to the authors inquiry on this subject stating that there are no papers specifically written on the interaction of ball lightning with cars and appliances. Thus, it appears that the scientists and investigators who study the ball lightning phenomena are not making the claim (based on case studies) that ball lightning has stopped automobile engines from afar. Dr. Martin D. Altschuler, author of the chapter titled Atmospheric Electricity and Plasma Interpretations of UFOs in the Condon Report and a member of the Astrophysics Department at the University of Colorado in 1968, purposely omitted the discussion of the feasibility of ball lightning interfering with automobiles[87]. The two reasons he gave for omitting the discussion were (1) that there was no connection between the observed unknown object and the vehicle interference and (2) that no unusual magnetic patterns have so far been found in auto bodies (despite the fact that the Condon Study only evaluated one vehicle). Nevertheless, he does address the plasma hypotheses that was proposed by Phillip Klass (in his book UFOs Identified) to explain vehicle interference. Dr. Altschuler writes that it is difficult to explain how a UFO-plasma could gain entry to the car battery in the engine compartment without first dissipating its energy to the metal body of the car.[88] In this study we have assumed a direct connection between the Levelland object and vehicle interference. This assumption is not deemed unreasonable because of the number of similar cases reported in Levelland within a period of only 2.5 hours. If only one witness had reported this incident, then maybe we could have rationalized it as two independent
53
events. But when seven witnesses report the presence of a brilliant object in conjunction with their vehicles shutting down, then the probability of these two events being dependent becomes significant. The Air Force also concluded that there was a linkage between the ball of light and the vehicle interference. The Air Force explanation, however, is not fully supported by the scientific community. The claim that the high humidity may have resulted in sudden deposition of moisture on distributor parts and the possibility of stoppage due to this is especially true if moisture condensation nuclei were enhanced by increased atmospheric ionization[89] has not been proven. McCampbell (1975) has also suggested that ionization of atmospheric gases might lead to the vehicle shutdown followed by restart when the object leaves[90]. But instead of suggesting that the object causing this effect is ball lightning, McCampbell suggests that the object is a craft whose propulsion system ionizes the air. Nevertheless, if experimentation shows that ionization of moist air around a 1957 type vehicle leads to engine shutdown, then it would be more likely to support the ball lightning hypothesis than some other. There were also three anomalous observations reported in Levelland that defy the ball lightning hypothesis. These observations were reported by four of the seven Levelland witnesses (Pedro Saucedo, James Long, Jim Wheeler, and Frank Williams). James Long reported seeing an object with its light off in the middle of the road ahead of him, and when he approached it in his truck, the objects light turned on. This description, obviously, does not fit the definition or any description of ball lightning. To support the ball lightning hypotheses requires us to discount this story as misinterpretation by the witness or bad reporting. James Longs story was documented second hand to the press. Only A.J. Fowler talked to Long. George Dolan, one of the few journalists who interviewed Fowler, is the only reporter who wrote this claim in a newspaper. Thus, we must accept this claim with caution and doubt. Another anomalous observation was the timing of the departure of the brilliant object. Wheeler, Williams, and Long reported that as they got out of their cars/trucks in order to approach the light, it took off straight up and disappeared. It is odd that in three of the five Levelland cases were the object was sitting/hovering on the road, the object left at the moment when the witnesses tried to approach it on foot. This type of behavior is more likely to denote intelligence than the fact that five of the seven sightings took place in the middle of the road (as suggested by James A. Lee). Nevertheless, the timing of the objects exit might just be a coincidental result from ball lightning that does imply intelligence. Moreover, the quality of the reports obtained from these three witnesses was previously determined to be low and these claims should be weighted appropriately. Overall, the timing of the objects exit is not conclusive evidence for rejecting the ball lightning hypothesis. The third observation came from Pedro Saucedo and was well documented by the Air Force and the press. He stated that the object caused a rush of wind that rocked his truck. This type of physical force was not found in the ball lightning literature as an observed property of ball lightning. Thus, what Saucedo experienced does not fit the description of ball lightning effects. Because Saucedos claim is deemed accurate and cannot be discounted, we must either reject the ball lightning hypothesis as the cause of his sighting or look more thoroughly for evidence that fast moving ball lightning can cause a rush of wind that can rock a truck.
54
In conclusion, we reject the ball lightning hypotheses mainly because of lack of evidence that ball lightning causes vehicle interference and not because of the lack of a storm during the sightings. Other reasons for rejecting the ball lightning hypothesis, however, are more contingent on the accuracy of the details given on eyewitness testimony. A summary of the other evidence that could be used to reject the ball lightning hypothesis is shown below in Table 13. The table splits the claims between those witness reports whose accuracy was deemed High/Medium and those reports whose accuracy was deemed Low. Table 13: Summary of Witness Observations that Do Not Fit the Ball Lightning Hypotheses
Table 13 shows that most of the deviant observations (observations that could be used to reject the ball lightning hypotheses) were made by witnesses whose reports are considered low in accuracy. If we had to judge the Levelland sightings by only using reports of High/Medium accuracy (Saucedo, Wright, and Martin), and assume that Saucedo misjudged the size of the object, then these three observations would fall within ball lightning parameters with the exception of the vehicle interference and wind effects. The claim that ball lightning cannot momentarily stop engines and turn off headlights is still an area that needs further research and is not a foregone conclusion. If in the future, ball lighting researchers find conclusive evidence that ball lighting could interfere with vehicles in the same fashion as Levelland, then we must conclude that the ball lightning hypothesis explains the three Levelland reports of High/Medium accuracy. Moreover, if the three reports with the most accurate details could be explained by the ball lightning hypotheses, then it is very likely that ball lighting also caused the other four reports (whose details were of low accuracy). This conjecture, however, requires us to discount the testimony from 4 eyewitnesses. This might not be unreasonable given that these witnesses were never interviewed and their claims were not fully documented. Other evidence in support of the ball lightning hypotheses is that all seven reports gave different descriptions for the observed object. The variety of descriptions (shape, size, and color) for the light source implies that the same object was not seen seven times in 2.5 hours. Either there was more than one object seen that evening or it was a phenomenon whose properties were variable and diverse like ball lightning. Despite these observations that support the ball lightning hypothesis, we must reject it as the explanation of the Levelland sightings because of the lack of evidence for it causing vehicle interference. Thus, we conclude that the cause for Levelland sightings continue to remain Unknown.
55
Conclusion
The Levelland sightings and vehicle interferences, despite being a puzzling mystery that is highly rated amongst UFO researchers, were not very well documented and investigated. The evidence available consists only of eyewitness testimony. Moreover, of the seven eyewitnesses who reported vehicle interference, only three were fully interviewed in person. The accuracy of four of the seven eyewitness reports was deemed to be low. All seven eyewitness accounts, while similar in general terms, were different in the details. Therefore, it was difficult to determine whether the differences were due to accuracy in reporting or due to the variability of the phenomena. The poor quality of the testimony available, the lack of consistency among the reports, and the different manner in which these reports were collected should not place this case amongst the well documented, high quality, UFO cases. Despite the weaknesses in the quality of data available for analysis, we reject the ball lightning hypothesis as an explanation for the Levelland events. Rejection of the ball lightning hypotheses, however, is based on the lack of evidence for ball lightning causing vehicle interference rather than lack of stormy weather in Levelland. Weather data sheets and newspaper accounts show that there was no storm in Levelland or Lubbock during the time in question. Nevertheless, climatological data sheets from the US Weather Bureau show that thunder and lightning were observed in Lubbock one hour after the sightings ended. Thus, weather conditions conducive to ball lightning were possible in the area. Moreover, ball lightning researchers have observed that 10% of the reported ball lightning observations have occurred in clear weather. Thus, the lack of a thunderstorm during the Levelland sightings does not necessarily imply that ball lightning was impossible. There were other observations that also lead to the rejection of the ball lightning hypothesis (size of object, motion, behavior, and physical effects). These deviant observations, however, were made mainly by four witnesses whose reports were considered low in accuracy. While this evidence is weaker, it does support the rejection of the ball lightning hypotheses because the observations made did not fit the range of properties given to ball lighting. The main reason to reject the ball lightning hypotheses for Levelland is that there are no documented reports amongst ball lightning researchers connecting ball lighting to temporary automobile engine stoppages and/or headlights failure. Until that connection is made, the source of the Levelland sightings will continue to be considered Unknown. This conclusion, however, does not imply that the object sighted was an extraterrestrial craft. There was no compelling evidence to conclude that the object sighted was a craft of any sort or extraterrestrial in nature.
56
Climatological Data
The following are images of pages from the original data - US Weather Bureau - Local Climatological Data (Lubbock-Texas, Nov. 1957) and US Weather Bureau - Local Daily Precipitation (Levelland-Texas, Nov. 1957)
57
58
59
60
61
62
Mutual UFO Network, (1975), MUFON UFO Symposium Proceedings, Huntington Hotel, Pasadena Rodeghier, Mark (1981), UFO Reports Involving Vehicle Interference: A Catalogue and Data Analysis, Center for UFO Studies, Chicago, IL Ruppelt, Edward J. (1959), The Report on Unidentified Flying Saucers, Doubleday & Co. Inc., 2nd Edition Singer, Stanley, (1971), The Nature of Ball Lightning, Plenum Press, New York Story, Ronald (1981), Sightings: UFOs and the Limits of Science, Quill, NY US Department of Commerce, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, North Carolina, Climatological Data for Texas, November 1957, Volume LXII, No. 11, Table 3: Daily Precipitation, Vallee, Jacques, (1965), Anatomy of a Phenomenon, Ace Star Books, New York Vallee, Jacques, (1966), UFO Enigma: Challenge to Science, Ballantine Books, New York Vallee, Jacques, (1992), Forbidden Science, North Atlantic Books, Berkeley CA
David M. Jacobs, The UFO Controversy in America, Indiana University Press, Bloomington, 1975, p. 176-177
[2]
Donald Keyhoe, UFOs: Top Secret, G.P. Putnams Sons, New York, 1960, p. 114-117, 133-135
[3]
Allen Hynek, The UFO Experience, Henry Regnery Co., Chicago, 1972, Appendix 1, pages 239-240
[4]
Allen Hynek, The UFO Experience, Henry Regnery Co., Chicago, 1972, page 127 Jacques Vallee, UFO Enigma: Challenge to Science, p. 158 Jacques Vallee, Anatomy of a Phenomenon, p. 193, Ace Star Books, New York, 1965 Jacques Vallee, Forbidden Science, North Atlantic Books, Berkeley CA, 1992, p. 85-86 Ronald Story, Sightings: UFOs and the Limits of Science, p. 155, Quill, NY, 1981
[5]
[6]
[7]
[8]
[9]
Richard Hall, The UFO Evidence, 1964, New Edition by Barnes & Noble Books 1997, p. 168-169
63
[10]
James E. McDonald, UFOs and Science: The Collected Writings of Dr. James E. McDonald, Compiled and Edited by Valerie Vaughn, FUROR, Maryland, 1995: (UFOs: Greatest Scientific Problem of Our Times?, Presentation at the 1967 Annual meeting of the American Society of Newspaper Editors, Washington, DC, April 22, 1967
[11]
James E. McDonald, UFOs and Science: The Collected Writings of Dr. James E. McDonald, Compiled and Edited by Valerie Vaughn, FUROR, Maryland, 1995: (p. 47) UFOs-Atmospheric or Extraterrestrial? Abstract of talk to Chicago Chapter of the American Meteorological Society, May 31, 1968; (p. 136-139) UFOs-An International Scientific Problem, presented March 12, 1968 at he Canadian Aeronautics and Space Institute Astronautics Symposium, Montreal, Canada; (p. 95-98) Chronological List of Some UFO cases of Interest, March 13, 1967); (p. 189-191) UFOs: Greatest Scientific Problem of Our Times? Presentation at the 1967 Annual meeting of the American Society of Newspaper Editors, Washington, DC, April 22, 1967
[12]
The Flying Saucers and the Straight-Line Mystery, Criterion Books, 1958, Appendix by Alexander D. Mebane, p. 237
[13]
UFO Reports Involving Vehicle Interference: A Catalogue and Data Analysis, Mark Rodeghier, Center for UFO Studies, 1981
[14]
Alamogordo Daily News, Harvard Expert Brushes Off UFOs: Another Saucer Scare, Nov. 6, 1957, p. 5, Washington, Associated Press
[15]
The World of Flying Saucers, Donald H. Menzel & Lyle G. Boyd, Doubleday & Co., 1963, p. 179
[16]
[17]
[18]
The Report on Unidentified Flying Saucers, Edward J. Ruppelt, Doubleday & Co. Inc., 2nd Edition, 1959, p. 254
10
Ibid., p. 258
[19]
The Levelland Daily Sun News, November 5, 1957, Source: Loren Gross, UFOs: A History 1957 November 3rd-5th , p. 63
[20]
Phone interview with Newell Wright on June 21, 1999, 37 min audio-tape interview by A.F. Rullan
[21]
Air Intelligence Information Report, AISS-UFOB-386-57, Prepared by William P. Brunson, Lt. Colonel, USAF, 1006th AISS, Ent AFB, Colorado, Levelland Investigator was Sgt. Norman P. Barth, NCOIC UFO Section of the 1006th AISS
[22]
Dallas Morning News, Nov. 6, 1957, Air Force Looking Into Texas Thing, from Dallas News Staff and Wire Reports, p. 1 and 3
[23]
[24]
Hockley County News-Press, Twenty-five Years Ago UFO visited Levelland, Nov. 4, 1982, p. 1 & 2, by Beverly Taylor and Rick Lee,
[25]
Lubbock Morning Avalanche, Nov. 4, 1957, p. 1 and 10, Levelland Flaming Thing Brings World Knocking at Citys Door, by Bill Wilkerson
[26]
Lubbock Morning Avalanche, Nov. 4, 1957, p. 1 and 10, Levelland Flaming Thing Brings World Knocking at Citys Door, by Bill Wilkerson
[27]
Air Intelligence Information Report, AISS-UFOB-386-57, Prepared by William P. Brunson, Lt. Colonel, USAF, 1006th AISS, Ent AFB, Colorado, (19 pages), Levelland Investigator was Sgt. Norman P. Barth, NCOIC UFO Section of the 1006th AISS (Source: CUFOS file on Levelland)
[28]
Phone interview with A.J. Fowler on June 21, 1999, 50 min audio-tape interview by A.F. Rullan
[29]
Lubbock Morning Avalanche, Nov. 4, 1957, p. 1 and 10, Levelland Flaming Thing Brings World Knocking at Citys Door, by Bill Wilkerson
[30]
The Fifth Horseman of the Apocalypse UFOs: A History, 1957: November 3rd to 5th ,by Loren E. Gross, 1997, p. 3
[31]
CUFOS file on Levelland, 1 page memo to file from Sgt. Norman P. Barth, February 19, 1958, titled: Prime Source in Levelland UFO Case,
[32]
Civilian Saucer Intelligence News, USAF vs. UFO: How the Air Force Slew the FlyingSaucer Dragons, date?, CSI Files at CUFOS
[33]
The Levelland Daily Sun News, November 6, 1957, At Day In the Sun, Newspaper clipping located in UFO: A History 1957, November 6th , by Loren E. Gross, p. 13
[34]
The El Paso Times, Nov. 4, 1957, Mystery Object Stalls Autos in West Texas, p. 1 and 2, by Associated Press Wire from Levelland
[35]
Phone interview with A.J. Fowler on June 21, 1999, 50 min audio-tape interview by A.F. Rullan
[36]
Lubbock Morning Avalanche, Nov. 4, 1957, Levelland Flaming Thing Brings World Knocking at Citys Door, by Bill Wilkerson, p. 1 and 10
[37]
MUFON Field Investigators Manual, Mutual UFO Network, Inc., 4th Edition, 1995, p. 216
[38]
Witness unreliability in judging distances has been well documented by Allan Hendry in his book The UFO Handbook where he summarizes his findings from evaluating 1,307 UFO reports. The UFO Handbook, Allan Hendry, Doubleday & Co., 1979, p. 93-103
[39]
The reported Location of Wheelers sighting differs according to source. The Forth Worth Star Telegram reported that it was at the intersection of Highway 51 and a farm road
65
eight miles North of Levelland, while the Lubbock Avalanche Journal reported that it happened 4 miles East of Levelland on Hwy. 116.
[40]
The reported Location of Alvarez sighting differs according to source. The Forth Worth Star Telegram reported that it was 4 miles East of Levelland near the Lubbock Highway, while the Lubbock Avalanche Journal reported that it happened 10 miles north and slightly east of Levelland.
[41]
The reported Location of Williams sighting differs slightly according to source. The Forth Worth Star Telegram reported that it was 4 miles North of Levelland on Route 51 while the Lubbock Avalanche Journal reported that it was closer to Whitharral about 10 miles north of Levelland.
[42]
Fort Worth Star-Telegram, Nov. 4, 1957, Whatnik Sidelines Sputnik, Woofnik, StarTelegram writer George Dolan, p.1-2
[43]
Fort Worth Star-Telegram, Nov. 4, 1957, Whatnik Sidelines Sputnik, Woofnik, StarTelegram writer George Dolan, p.1-2
[44]
There is disagreement on whether Mr. Long saw a bright object sitting on the road or a dark object that turned it light on. The Forth Worth Star Telegram of Nov. 4, 1957, reported that Long saw an object with its light off while the Associated Press Wire from Levelland reported that he saw a brilliant, egg-shaped mass sitting on the road.
[45]
[46]
Miller, Max B. The Great Saucer Flap of 1957 Saucers, Winter 1957-1958, Vol. V, No. 2, p.5 (Also in UFOs a History: 1957 November 3rd-5th, by Loren Gross, p.3)
[47]
The Amarillo Daily News, November 4, 1957, Object Lands on Highway, by Regional, AP and UP Sources
[48]
Las Cruces Sun News, Nov. 7, 1957, p. 9, Reports of Objects Unabated, by Associated Press-Colorado Springs, CO
[49]
[50]
Telegram from Commander of 1006th to Assistant Chief of Staff Intelligence at AF Headquarters and to ATIC Commander at Wright Patterson AFB, Source: CUFOS Files on Levelland
[51]
CUFOS file on Levelland, 3 page summary from ATIC titled: Levelland, Texas: 2,3, and 4 November 1957
[52]
CUFOS file on Levelland, 3 page summary from ATIC titled: Levelland, Texas: 2,3, and 4 November 1957
[53]
CUFOS file on Levelland, 3 page summary from ATIC titled: Levelland, Texas: 2,3, and 4 November 1957
66
[54]
CUFOSs file on Levelland, one page memo from J. Allen Hynek discussing the Levelland Case (no date)
[55]
The UFO Experience, J. Allen Hynek, 1972 , Henry Regnery Co., Chicago IL, p. 127
[56]
Letter from Captain George T. Gregory to Air Science Division requesting review of Levelland Case, December, 4, 1957 (Located in CUFOS File for Levelland)
[57]
CUFOS file on Levelland, one page memo from Capt. G.T. Gregory, January 3, 1958, titled Analysts Comments or Conclusions: Ball Lightning
[58]
Blue Book memo titled Levelland, Texas Blue Light Case 2 November 1957, in CUFOS file on Levelland
[59]
James E. McDonald, UFOs and Science: The Collected Writings of Dr. James E. McDonald, p. 190, Compiled and Edited by Valerie Vaughn, FUROR, Maryland, 1995: (UFOs: Greatest Scientific Problem of Our Times? Presentation at the 1967 Annual meeting of the American Society of Newspaper Editors, Washington, DC, April 22, 1967
[60]
Letter from Troy Morris to Dr. J.E. McDonald on May 11, 1966, Source: UFOs: A History 1957 November 13th-30th, by Loren E. Gross, p. 27
[61]
Letter from James McDonald to Richard Hall, October 5, 1966, Source: CUFOS file on Levelland
[62]
Levelland Daily Sun-News, November 5, 1957 Lubbock Morning Avalanche, Nov. 4, 1957, p. 1, Rains Douse South Plains Ibid.
[63]
[64]
[65]
The El Paso Times, November 3, 1957, Rains, Cold Hit Texas Saturday, by the Associated Press
[66]
Fort Worth Star Telegram, November 4, 1957, Light Rains to Continue During Today, Bureau Says, p. 1
[67]
Local Climatological Data, Lubbock, Texas, November 1957, US Department of Commerce, Weather Bureau, Source of Document: Office of the Texas State Climatologist
[68]
Local Climatological Data, Lubbock, Texas, November 1957, US Department of Commerce, Weather Bureau, Source of Document: Office of the Texas State Climatologist
[69]
Climatological Data for Texas, November 1957, Volume LXII, No. 11, Table 3: Daily Precipitation, Source: US Department of Commerce, National Climatic Data Center, Asheville, North Carolina
[70]
Lubbock Evening Journal, November, 4, 1957, Area Mystified by Thing, p. 1 & 10,
67
[71]
Dallas Star Morning News, November 6, 1957, Air Force Looking Into Texas Thing, p. 1&3
[72]
Levelland Daily Sun News, Nov. 17, 1957, p. 1 Weather Phenomenon? Clem Vows What He Saw Sure Wasnt
[73]
El Paso Herald Post, Nov. 4, 1957, p. 12, El Paso Couple Saw Strange Flying Objects, p. 12, by Virginia Turner)
[74]
Alamogordo Daily News, WSPG Pickets Mark Fireball At Trinity Site, Nov. 5, 1957, p.1 and p. 6
[75]
El Paso Times, Nov. 4, 1957, Mystery Object Stalls Autos in West Texas, p.1 and p.2, by Associated Press in Levelland
[76]
Ball Lightning and Bead Lightning, James Dale Barry, Plenum Press, New York, 1980 The Nature of Ball Lightning, Stanley Singer, Plenum Press, New York, 1971
[77]
[78]
CUFOS file on Levelland, one page memo from Capt. G.T. Gregory, January 3, 1958, titled Analysts Comments or Conclusions: Ball Lightning
[79]
The Nature of Ball Lightning, Stanley Singer, Plenum Press, New York, 1971, p. 146 Ibid., p. 62, 146 Ball Lightning and Bead Lightning, James Dale Barry, Plenum Press, New York, 1980, p.
[80]
[81]
9
[82]
Lightning, Volume 1 Physics of Lightning, Edited by R. Golde, Academic Press, London, 1977, Chapter 12, Ball Lightning by Stanley Singer, p. 414
[83]
The Nature of Ball Lightning, Stanley Singer, Plenum Press, New York, 1971, Figure 19, p. 66,
[84]
Handbook of Unusual Natural Phenomena, William R. Corliss, p. 21-22, Arlington House, New York, 1986
[85]
Air Intelligence Information Report, AISS-UFOB-386-57, Prepared by William P. Brunson, Lt. Colonel, USAF, 1006th AISS, Ent AFB, Colorado, (19 pages), (Source: CUFOS file on Levelland)
[86]
James E. McDonald, UFOs and Science: The Collected Writings of Dr. James E. McDonald, Compiled and Edited by Valerie Vaughn, p. 191, FUROR, Maryland, 1995: (UFOs: Greatest Scientific Problem of Our Times? Presentation at the 1967 Annual meeting of the American Society of Newspaper Editors, Washington, DC, April 22, 1967
[87]
Scientific Study of Unidentified Flying Objects, Edited by Daniel S. Gilmore, Bantam Books, New York, 1968, p. 749, (Study conducted by the University of Colorado and directed by Dr. Edward U. Condon under contract to the United States Air Force)
68
[88]
Ibid.
[89]
CUFOS file on Levelland, 3 page summary from ATIC titled: Levelland, Texas: 2,3, and 4 November 1957
[90]
UFO Interference with Vehicles and Self-Starting Engines, James M. McCampbell, (MUFON UFO Symposium Proceedings, Huntington Hotel, Pasadena, 1975)
69