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CASHLESS CAMPUS - Capstone Project ADA-BBA 04.19
CASHLESS CAMPUS - Capstone Project ADA-BBA 04.19
Fidan Aslanova
Gulnar Rzayeva
Jamil Imranov
Kamala Afandiyeva
Evaluating the feasibility of first Cashless Campus was the primary goal of this research project.
Objective was to find reasons of low card utilization rate and suggest solutions for the client bank.
Research started with evaluation of the overall advantages of cashless payments and situation with
cashless payments in the country, finally existing literature has been reviewed and research methods
have been chosen. Research method included various techniques, such as observations, survey,
interviews, and data obtained directly from the bank. All the data was evaluated and regressed where
applicable. After analysis three main impediments of low card usage turned out to be the following:
lack of infrastructure, time consumption and non-comfortability of card payments. To solve these
problems, techniques suggested by TAM model should be implemented. The bank needs to increase
awareness of usefulness and easiness of card payments through different marketing offerings.
Increased perceptions on these attributes are positively correlated to future intention to use and thus,
will have a direct impact on actual usage of cashless payments. Solutions include decreased
commission fees for vendors, various marketing campaigns, cashbacks, events for increased literacy
and awareness. Supported with financial calculations, conclusions and recommendations have been
made and project has been proven to be feasible. Limitations of the research and further implications
of this project were also discussed.
1. INTRODUCTION
2.1. Introduction
The first and the most crucial part of any research undertaking is accurate problem
identification. If initially the research problem is not specified properly, the study outcomes
will not be able to suggest reasonable solutions. To properly identify the research problem,
detailed practical and theoretical explorations were carried out.
PESTEL Analysis
PESTEL Analysis is a tool designed to identify the political, economic, social,
technological, environmental and legal factors of the external macro environment. Through
PESTEL Analysis this paper examines the external factors that can affect the feasibility of
creating a cashless ecosystem in ADA University.
Political. Switching the economy to a cashless system has been an interest of the
Azerbaijani government for a long time. In the meeting dedicated to the “Results in 2012 and
upcoming issues in 2013”, President Aliyev has stated the importance of the cashless system
and that the government is going to work on encouraging the cashless payments further. The
Central Bank of Azerbaijan created a Government Payment Portal in order to develop a
cashless payments infrastructure and ensure the execution of settlement on behalf of the state
budget in cashless form. The Ministry of Taxes, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the State
Social Security Fund, the State Road Police and the State Customs Committee, which are
essential public institutions, have been integrated into the system. Moreover, the CBAR as
licensed two card processors - “Azericard” and “MilliKart” and the CBAR - ensure the use
of technology and modern payment tools to achieve the development of cashless settlements
(Rustamov, 2014).
Economical. In 2013, total payments through Government Payment Portal totaled 712
million AZN (Rustamov, 2014). The payment services are provided by the commercial banks
that operate in the territory of Azerbaijan and also “Azerpost” LLC — the national operator
of postal services. During 11 months of 2013, total turnover of payments in the country with
card payments was 8.5 billion AZN. The total amount of cash withdrawal with payment cards
was about 94% of the total turnover (8 billion AZN), which ultimately shows the small
portion of electronic payments with payment cards in the country. According to statistics
published by the Central Bank, the number of bank card transactions totaled nearly 6.8, worth
over an estimated 1 billion manats. However, roughly 4.8 million of those transactions (70%),
nearly 830 million of manats in cash, were withdrawn at ATMs (Samexa, 2015). This
suggests either a poor merchant acceptance network or a customer need for immediate
liquidity. The average amount of transaction at POS-terminals was under 40 manats (Samexa,
2015). It is expected that the amount of cashless payments will increase between 2018-2020.
The goal of the state at the end of the “State Program on Digital Payment Expansion in
2018-2020”program is to reduce the cash transaction from 74% to 40%. For now, overall
cash transactions are accounted to be around 200 billion AZN, only 26% of them being
electronic.
Social. Withdrawal of money from Automatic Teller Machines (ATMs) has seen a
sharp decline, from 88.2% to 57.1%, in 2014 compared to 2011 (Saxena, 2015). The change
is interpreted by the notion that “individuals typically become more comfortable with
electronic payments over time, not less”.
As of July 2014, roughly 7.5 million of Azerbaijani population was above the age of
15 years, and a median age of nearly 30 years (Samexa, 2015), a part which contain
underserved population. Provided data suggests that timing is important to reach this segment
of the population; moreover, new financial products are more welcomed by young people
who try them via alternative channels, and additionally, they are more adept at using those
that involve technology (Samexa, 2015). In general, low level of financial literacy, the habit
of the population to cash, the risks of card fraud prevent the increase of non-cash payments in
the country (“Problems of post-crisis”, p.52).
Technological. In order for a country to switch to cashless payments, it needs to have
an advanced infrastructure system and a decent level of technological advancement. An
alternative payment channel for the underserved people is the self-serving kiosk (cash-in
machines) (Samexa, 2015, p.20). Million is one of the largest self-serving kiosk providers in
Azerbaijan. Another provider is e-Manat which has nearly 2000 of machines in the country,
1300 of which are in Baku. With nearly 800,000 monthly users, it is estimated that each user
makes an average of 5-6 merchant payment transactions.
While surveying people, Asian Development Bank (Samexa, 2015, p.22) has
revealed that the respondents think the POS-terminals are not “close” to them, and therefore,
it was not convenient for them to find a place where there is a POS-terminal. A low level of
development of the infrastructure for cashless payments, the difference in payment system of
the technological platforms in the country are shown as reasons that discourage people from
using more electronic payments (“Problems of post-crisis”, p.52).
Environmental. Since the environmental studies are about general environmental
costs of cash and the benefits of the cashless society, they are also applicable to Azerbaijan.
Rochemont (2018, p.12) suggest that raw material production for paper notes include:
“…global warming potential from biogenic sources eco-toxicity potential due to the
use of pesticides during cotton cultivation, freshwater consumption due to the use of
irrigation water during cotton cultivation…”
However, plastic cards do not come without a price; producing a 5 grams standard
bank card has 21 grams of carbon footprint (Tompson, 2019).
Legal. According to the “Law of the Republic of Azerbaijan on non-cash payments”,
all kind of cashless transactions are legal in Azerbaijan although various conditions apply. In
order to increase the access to payment systems, as well as to encourage competition in the
payment services market, a draft law "On payment services" was developed (“Problems of
post-crisis”, p.47). Payment service users’ rights on protection was also aimed in this law.
However, there are neither clear rules pointing the customer protection for cashless payments
nor agencies that ensure protection issues which could deal with cases such as disputes
regarding requirements of a paper vs digital receipt provision (“Problems of post-crisis”,
p.27). Moreover, “Azerpost” LLC has also started to offer payment services alongside the
commercial banks in the country after the amendments to the legislation (Rustamov, 2014,
p.15).
3. RESEARCH METHODS
3.1. Introduction
After careful investigation of existing literature on cashless payments this paper
proceeds with discussion of research methods tailored to the specifics of the research
problem. This section also describes in detail research design and technique used in data
analysis. Overall, the aim of the research is to contribute to the big change in payment
patterns of the members of a university.
Despite the fact that 500 people were targeted for data collection, actual number of
responses could reach only 314 driving response rate down to 63%. The sample comprised
161 females and 153 males. As main respondents were students, 87% of answers came from
the age group of 16-25. One of surprising results is 37 negative responses on question about
holding a card; instead, all the students were expected to have a card since ADA University
distributes debit cards to all the students in the first year of their admission. Detailed data is
presented in Table 1.
Collected data was analyzed and regressed using statistical tool (STATA); it is
discussed in detail in the subsequent section.
4.1. Introduction
This section discusses project findings resulted from primary research presented in the
previous section. Implication of key findings is discussed correspondingly.
As a first step in exploring the current condition of cashless payment system in ADA
University, the availability of bank ATMs within the campus was examined. Currently, there
are two operating bank ATMs (PASHA Bank and International Bank of Azerbaijan) located
in the Student Center of ADA University. These ATMs accept “Cash-In” & “Cash-Out”
transaction operations. Moreover, there are 2 self-service payment terminals which accept
only “Cash-In”s – Emanat and ExpressPay located in B building, ground floor; however,
PASHA Bank cards cannot be cashed in from here.
Afterwards, the existing situation with POS terminals was examined in all points of
sales (REM Service, Cinnabon, PAUL, Books & Bytes) within the campus. REM Service
currently has only one POS terminal acquired by PASHA Bank despite 3 checkout counters.
PAUL is equipped by two POS terminals: one acquired by PASHA Bank and the other by
Unibank. Cinnabon holds only one POS terminal. Although card payments are accepted and
POS-terminals are available, none of merchants clearly displays card logos on the door/near
the cash desk which may result in non-awareness of potential buyers about possibility of
cashless payments. It is also important to note that Books & Bytes currently does not accept
any card payments and holds no POS terminals.
A small experiment for the purpose of observing time spent by a cashier to process a
single payment, from entering order to the cash register and printing an invoice, was
conducted. As observation showed, cash and card payments take on average 20-30 seconds
for all the merchants located at ADA University. Considerable deviation was observed in
REM: payment procedure with a chip card took 36 seconds. Such a long procedure can be
explained by the fact that REM possesses only 1 POS-terminal and thus, each time
POS-terminal is needed, cashier has to walk to another cash desk to take it.
Interviews were planned for all 4 vendors located at the university, yet in spite of
several attempts, one of the vendors, Books&Bytes, rejected to give interview on this topic.
From the answers of remaining 3 vendors it can be concluded that merchants are not
motivated to promote cashless payments in a closed environment of a university; the most
commonly cited reason is commission on cashless payments.
Response about circumstances under which vendors are ready to fully switch to card
payments were obvious. None of them are motivated to foregone cash and accept cards only.
Merchants firmly believe that with cash they incur incremental cost, while card payments
include fees. REM Service suggested decreasing transaction fee otherwise, administration of
REM Service plans to increase meal prices in case of growing card payments . REM Service
representative also noted that after devaluation of 2015 ADA University have started rarely
using their catering services during big events; with high costs REM now earns less and does
not want to overwhelm itself with additional fees.
Interview with vendors also suggests that merchants are not willing to
provide bonuses or discounts. They assume they will incur only cost and no
benefits in return.
During the interviews with the vendors, it was revealed that the daily number of
people who purchase goods from the vendors are approximately:
- 600 for REM Service
- 200 for Paul
- 150 for Cinnabon
Since Books & Bytes rejected the interview, there is no data regarding the daily
average number of people who visit this vendor. However, in order to get the results as closer
as possible to the real numbers, the research assumes that there are at least 350 visits to the
outlet.
When asked about the average spending of an individual, vendors responded close
numbers with an average of 4 AZN per person.
For simplicity, the research assumes that all outlets are working 22 days in a month.
The transaction fee per electronic payment is 2% in PASHA Bank POS-terminals.
Monthly cost of accepting only cashless payments are as follows:
Commission per transaction 2%
Average spending per person (in AZN) 4
Consistent with the research objective 1, aim of this analysis is to find causes of non-usage of
Research question 1: What are the reasons of low card payment utilization rate at ADA
university?
To explore low frequency of card usage within the university researchers used ordinal
logistics regression model based on data collected from the survey. The underlying factors
lowering actual use of card payments are taken as independent variables; frequency of
be found in Appendix 4.
+ (card_type) + (ADUM) + ε
: Lack of infrastructure, absence of rewards, security, comfortability and time
Table 3 demonstrates correlation coefficient for every variable tested. All variables are in the
range of -0.8 and 0.8, except for card_hold variable. This variable creates multicollinearity
between variables and thus, has been excluded from the model. To adjust regression for
Table 4 shows the outcome of the regression where the independent variable is current
indicate that as long as reward programs, infrastructure, and comfortability problems exist
there is a lower probability that people end up in higher category of card usage. Thus, these
variables are proven to be the reasons of low card usage at ADA University and null
Following TAM model, the research proceeds to the next research objective of finding
environment?
To answer this question, ordered logistics regression has been run. It is built on three models
each of which tests relationships between different variables. Correlation matrix and
Model 1:
USEFULNESS = α + β_1(EASINESS) + ε
H_0: Perceived easiness of card payments has no effect on perceived future buying patterns
H_1: Perceived easiness of card payments has an effect on perceived future buying patterns
Positive coefficient at 95% confidence interval indicates that the probability of increased
perception of usefulness of plastic cards will drive people’s behavior towards higher category.
Therefore, the easier cards payments are, the more likely card holders are to perceive their
cards to bring them efficiency and usefulness. This supports alternative hypothesis, so null
Model 2:
H_1: Perceived usefulness, perceived easiness, and perceived costs of card payments have an
Two out of 3 variables are statistically significant with 1% significance and have positive
coefficients. Increased perception about usefulness and easiness of cards will increase the
probability of switching to a cashless system in the future. However, “COST” factor, i.e.
perceived additional spending, is not relevant to this model due to insignificant result. All in
Model 3:
FREQUENCY = α + β_1(BEHAVIOR) + ε
Final model suggests that perception of future behavior has an increased chance to change
actual usage of card payments on university campus. Thus, it can be concluded that
Infrastructure
Survey findings revealed that the absence of decent infrastructure is a significant
impediment for the utilization of cashless payments within the university. The possible reason
for that can be derived from the observation findings: REM Service has only one POS
terminal despite three checkout counters which increases the queues and time spent on
checkout counter if there is more than one person who wants to pay with card. For this
reason, the researchers recommend to provide each checkout counter with POS terminals
acquired by the client bank.
Commission
During the interviews, the vendors have clearly stated that the commission on
cashless transactions is severely high. The current fee on transactions via PASHA Bank
POS-terminal is 2%. While discussion with the company official, it was revealed that the cost
of the transactions for the bank is 1.5% per transaction. As previously stated, average
spending per person is 4 AZN. By simple calculations,
As seen from the table above, holding the average spending at 4 AZN and the cost of
transactions at 1.5%, and when the commission is 2%, the profit per transaction is 0.02 AZN.
In order to incentivize merchants and prevent possible price increase in the goods sold by the
merchants, the commission can be reduced to 1.7%. In this case, the profit that bank will
make is 0.008 AZN, which is quite low compared to 0.02 AZN. The difference between
profit when the transaction fee is 2% and 1.7% is 2.5 times. This ultimately means that if the
number of transactions when the commission is 1.7% is 2.5 times more than the transactions
when the commission is 2%, the profit that bank loses because of the decrease in the
transaction fee will be covered. For clearer understanding, assuming the current number of
transactions per day is 100, calculations are made in Table 7.
As seen from the Table 7, profit decreases from 2 AZN to 0.8 AZN when the
commission is reduced from 2% to 1.7%. However, the amount that is lost due to the
decrease in commission is covered when the total number of transactions increase to 250,
which is 2.5 times more than 100.
By implementing this strategy, the bank can decrease the cost that the merchants are
incurring, and as aforementioned, discourage the inflation in the prices of goods to some
extent. Even if any price increase happens, it is not going to happen overnight, since the
number of cashless payments will not explode in one day either.
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Appendix 1: Survey
❏ Breakfast
❏ Lunch
❏ Drinks, snacks
❏ Students services (printing, locker, fees, penalties)
❏ Other: __________
1 2 3 4 5
4. Evaluate the following statement: I believe card payments are a useful payment method
1 2 3 4 5
5. Evaluate the following statement: In general, I believe card payments are costly
1 2 3 4 5
6. Evaluate the following statement: How likely are you to start using your bank card or using
it more often in the next 12 months?
1 2 3 4 5
Strongly disagree ○ ○ ○ ○ ○ Strongly agree
Appendix 2: Interview
1) Do you have sufficient and decent infrastructure for receiving card payments?
· If yes, please specify (ex: the number of available POS terminals, ATMs).
· If not, please specify.
2) Do you currently accept any type of card payments, or plan to in the next few years?
3) Would you consider going cashless (less cash)?
· If yes, what are the biggest benefits you anticipate from cashless payments?
· If not, what concerns do you have about going cashless?
4) How much turnover you need to recover your costs of accepting more cashless
payments?
5) Do you think that cashless payments could increase your turnover with current
conditions?
· If not, why?
· If yes, in which conditions you think cashless payment could increase your
revenues?
6) What specifically would incentivize you to accept more cashless payments (ex: lower
commission or transaction fees)?
7) Do you believe that offering special reward programs (bonuses,discounts) would
encourage more customer spending on campus?
YES NO
REM ✓
Cinnabon ✓
PAUL ✓
Merchants make customers aware that they accept card payments (put card logos on doors
or invoices):
YES NO
REM ✓
Cinnabon ✓
PAUL ✓
YES NO
REM ✓
Cinnabon ✓
PAUL ✓
For payment via cash to proceed (from cashier entering information to the
cash register to getting a bill) it takes on average:
REM ✓
Cinnabon ✓
PAUL ✓
For payment via simple chip card to proceed (from cashier entering
information to the cash register to getting a bill) it takes on average:
REM ✓
Cinnabon ✓
PAUL ✓
REM ✓
Cinnabon ✓
PAUL ✓
FREQUENCY
variable have a sequential order and are coded from 1 to 5 where “Never” is the
lowest (1) and “Everyday” is the highest (5) category indicating more frequent
5: Everyday
Based on question 3 dummy variables are created. Each vote for the
following statements is coded as 1 and 0 otherwise:
NO_COMF 277
No 192 61.15 61.15
Yes 85 27.07 88.22
-- (37) (11.78) (100)
FREQ 1.000
UENC
Y
Variables Model
NO_SECUR 0.4147739
NO_REWARD -0.8310058**
TIME_CONS -0.0428497
NO_INFRASTR -2.313603***
NO_COMF -2.182518***
gender 0.2755248
position 1.094608**
card_type 0.9568998***
age Dummies Yes
NOTE: The coefficients with 1% significance are followed by ***, coefficients with 5% by **, and coefficients
with 10% by *.
BEHAVI 1.000
OR
USEFUL 1.0000
NESS
FREQUE 1.000
NCY
Variables Model(1)
BEHAVIOR
USEFULNESS 1.314547***
EASINESS 0.316145***
COST -0.0189354
Pseudo R2 0.1716
Variables Model(2)
USEFULNESS
EASINESS 0.2386148**
Pseudo R2 0.0081
Variables Model(3)
FREQUENCY
BEHAVIOR 0.1897163**
NOTE: The coefficients with 1% significance are followed by ***, coefficients with 5% by **, and
coefficients with 10% by *.
Table 7.
Activity Cost
Table 8.
Activity Cost
Table 9a.
Activity Cost
Table 9b.
Activity Cost
Guest speaker 200 AZN x 2 events
Cashback
Table 10.
Activity Cost