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Global Contagion and Local Response The Influence of Centre State Relations and Political Culture in Pandemic Governance
Global Contagion and Local Response The Influence of Centre State Relations and Political Culture in Pandemic Governance
To cite this article: Tathagata Chatterji , Souvanic Roy & Atanu Chatterjee (2021):
Global contagion and local response: the influence of centre–state relations and political
culture in pandemic governance, Asia Pacific Journal of Public Administration, DOI:
10.1080/23276665.2020.1870866
ABSTRACT KEYWORDS
Covid-19 has severely impacted lives and livelihoods in India. Faced Covid-19; urban poor;
with threatened livelihoods due to lockdowns in major cities, mil political culture; centre–state
lions of poor informal sector workers have returned to their rural relations; disaster
governance
roots, provoking a complex intergovernmental problem that neces
sitates collective action but is plagued with a high degree of
uncertainty. This article explores two interrelated issues. First, we
examine the role of the central government in the Covid-19 crisis
and the implications for centre–state relations. Second, we review
the governance responses of two states, Kerala and Gujarat. We
unpack how variations in political values and norms within which
the key political actors of the two governing regimes are rooted had
informed their policy priorities. We show how local political culture
significantly affected critical decisions (e.g. emergency relief for the
poor) and administrative implementation mechanisms (whether
centralised or decentralised). We draw lessons on the influence of
political culture in shaping pandemic governance response in
a federal polity.
Introduction
The Covid-19 crisis has ravaged the lives and livelihoods of the people of India. Beginning
in major urban centres, the pandemic spread deep into the country and, by
28 December 2020, the number of confirmed cases had exceeded 1,02,07,870, with
147,900 deaths (WHO, 2020). At the peak of the lockdown period, 120 million jobs were
lost (CMIE, 2020a), disproportionately impacting the urban poor who operate in the
informal economy and triggering reverse migration. Facing vulnerabilities to their liveli
hoods due to the sudden loss of income, over 10 million migrant workers sought to return
to their rural homes (Banakar, 2020).
Governance approaches to this complex multidimensional problem in India, as in other
federal countries, vary from state to state within the larger policy space shaped by the
national government. Policy actors at sub-national level are not autonomous and their
policy decisions are often restricted by the national government’s approach to issues
relating to global flows (e.g., capital, materials, pandemics, pollution). Nevertheless, under
the federal political system, sub-national policy actors often play an important role and
mediate the administrative implementation of national policies. Adherents to the politi
cal-culture tradition of governance theory posit that such policy mediations are contin
gent upon local socio-cultural values, norms, and institutional path dependencies
(DiGaetano & Strom, 2003; Pierre, 2005). Culture is fundamental to a democratic policy
dynamic as it connects the state and society (Eckstein, 2000; Pye & Verba, 2015; Voinea,
2020).
Thus, policy actions are informed by the norms and values within which the key actors
of the state-level governing regime, are embedded, even while they operate within the
structural constraints imposed at the national-scale. Leftwich (2010) and Chatterji (2016)
suggest that sub-national policy decisions and their implementation mechanisms in Asian
developing countries are often subject to a higher degree of intervention from local
political elites, compared to countries with stronger local institutions. Recent research in
the Covid-19 context also suggests that the character of the governing regime (Greer
et al., 2020), including the political objectives of key actors (Pulejo & Querubin, 2020) and
local cultural traits (Baniamin et al., 2020; Frey et al., 2020), has been significant in shaping
governance responses, despite the recommendations of public health professionals for
almost globally uniform policies of strict lockdown and stringent health protocols.
Similarly, existing institutional capacities (Davis & Willis, 2020; Greer et al., 2020) have
affected policy outcomes.
India’s Covid-19 response demonstrates the complexity of multiscale disaster govern
ance in a federal polity with a high level of regional diversity. The central government was
at the forefront of addressing the pandemic threat and imposed one of the strictest
national lockdowns. However, there were major coordination problems, as responsibility
for health management lies primarily with state governments. Tensions often flared up
between the centre and the states over disaster governance measures in India, as
happened also in Brazil (Ortega & Orsini, 2020) and the USA (Kettl, 2020). However, unlike
Brazil and the USA, where President Bolsonaro and President Trump were unwilling to
impose a lockdown, the political leadership in India was broadly in agreement about the
need to impose a lockdown to break the disease transmission chain. Centre–state con
flicts were mainly about financial and logistical issues: states demanded greater financial
support for emergency relief operations and more functional autonomy to determine
lockdown regulations according to the local context, rather than following centrally
imposed guidelines. There has been a wide variation, too, in the response of the different
Indian states to the pandemic, including how the threats to the livelihoods of the poor are
addressed.
This article explores two interrelated issues. First, we examine the role of the central
government in the Covid-19 crisis and its implications for centre–state relations. Second,
we review the governance responses of two states, Kerala and Gujarat, to the pandemic,
to examine in detail the governing logic and the roles of key decision-makers.
Kerala and Gujarat are among India’s economically stronger states but they have
followed different developmental trajectories. Kerala’s development model is based on
state-led welfare with high levels of public investment in healthcare and education,
alongside democratic decentralisation empowering local governments (Dreze & Sen,
2013; Guha, 2020; Heller et al., 2007). In contrast, Gujarat’s development model has sought
ASIA PACIFIC JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 3
to prioritise corporate-led economic growth (Debroy, 2012; Guha, 2020; Panagariya &
Bhagawati, 2013). It is one of the richest and most industrialised states of India, but lags
behind in human development parameters (Hiraway, 2017). The Covid-19 crisis has
highlighted the sharp distinction between the two rival developmental models, which
we attribute to differences in their governance modes, underpinned by the embedded
political culture and by institutional path dependencies.
This article proceeds in five steps. We turn first to reviewing the literature on multilevel
disaster governance that represents the general scholarship most relevant to centre–state
relations. We then discuss the role of the central government in the Covid-19 crisis and its
implications for Indian federalism. The next sections examine the development models
used in Kerala and Gujarat and compare the Covid-19 responses of the two states. Having
established these foundations, we analyse the effects of political culture on state-level
governance processes, and then step back to reflect upon how centre–state relations
have evolved during the crisis. We conclude by highlighting the lessons learnt. First, we
show that its welfare-centric political culture enabled Kerala to build robust capacities in
healthcare and disaster management through state-led planning, and to take proactive
measures to meet the challenges of the pandemic. Second, a political culture focused on
the needs of the poor also enabled Kerala to respond to threats to the livelihoods of the
poor more humanely and to rapidly mobilise community organisations to extend relief
operations. Third, the Covid-19 management experiences of Kerala, Gujarat and India’s
central government demonstrate that dialogue and discussions are a continuous process
in multilevel governance and should be undertaken on a regular basis.
The research is qualitative and based on reliable secondary data including newspaper
articles, blogs written by eminent scholars and state functionaries, and reports published
by government and non-governmental organisations.
Therefore, questions are two-fold: at what scale of disaster governance are crucial
policy decisions made, and what are the policy objectives of the governing regime
regarding social inclusion and justice? We explore these questions by analysing the
political culture of two states in India, Kerala and Gujarat. Using a comparative lens, we
examine the roles of the key actors in pandemic governance and how their respective
governing regimes have shaped the responses and engagement of state and non-state
actors.
support from local administration, migrant workers started returning to their home states
within days of the lockdown being announced, often walking or cycling hundreds of
kilometres. Later, special trains and buses were arranged. Official estimates put the number
of returning migrants at 10 million and the same people returned to their places of work
once measures were relaxed. This population circulation on such a massive scale caused
a surge of Covid-19 cases deep in rural areas, negating some of the gains associated with
a harsh lockdown. For example, the Ganjam district of Odisha saw a sudden rise in caseloads
when textile mill workers returned from Surat in Gujarat (Scroll, 2020a). Overall, the number
of daily cases increased from 84 on 24 March, when the lockdown was announced, to 9,983
on 8 June when phased unlocking began (WHO, 2020).
Moreover, the harsh lockdown caused severe job losses. At its peak in April–May,
122 million people (CMIE, 2020a), including 81% of urban casual workers and 84% of urban
self-employed small traders, lost their jobs (APU, 2020). Economists such as Amartya Sen and
Abhijeet Banerjee highlighted the need for immediate direct cash transfers, putting money
directly into people’s hands to mitigate the hardship they suffered (Financial Express, 2020).
However, initially the government’s economic stimulus package primarily centred around
indirect measures such as loan subsidies to micro and small enterprises and a reduction in
interest rates. After some delay, a new package of approximately US$22.6 billion was
announced on 14 May 2020, with direct benefit transfer components including cash,
enhanced food rations and cooking gas subsidies (Saxena, 2020). Nonetheless, it has been
argued that a significant proportion of the new scheme is essentially repackaging of old
schemes (Mukherji et al., 2020). Moreover, state governments such as Kerala announced their
welfare packages long before the central government followed suit.
The Covid-19 situation also saw conflicts arise between the centre and opposition-
ruled states regarding lockdown logistics, such as special trains for migrants and the
categorisation of confinement zones. However, the most serious disputes relate to
economic matters that undermine the concepts of fiscal federalism (Aiyar, 2020;
Mukherji et al., 2020). Most states are facing severe economic contraction and would
like greater central support (Saxena, 2020) including a relaxation of fiscal deficit norms
and the timely disbursal of the constitutionally guaranteed Goods and Services Tax (GST)
revenue. However, citing reduced tax inflows during the Covid-19 crisis, central govern
ment has been unwilling to transfer GST revenue and instead proposed an enhanced
credit line from the Reserve Bank.
The conflicts seen in the Covid-19 situation are not isolated incidents but rather the
perpetuation of existing political divisions. They further demonstrate the complexities of
multilevel governance in a fragmented polity and how regime characteristics shape
governance outcomes. The spirit of multilevel governance hinges on a decentralised,
consensual approach towards disaster governance, as opposed to hasty, top-down deci
sion-making. Although the central government and the states are broadly aligned on the
overarching objectives of their pandemic policies, problems remain regarding coordina
tion and resource sharing.
federal countries, responsibility for health is delegated in the Indian constitution to states;
yet, levels of readiness and responses to the pandemic vary between states and are, in
turn, linked to political culture and policy priorities. Kerala and Gujarat have followed
distinct socio-economic developmental pathways, although both are relatively prosper
ous, with per capita GDP and urbanisation levels well above the national average (see
Table 1). However, Kerala has adopted a more state-led, welfare-driven model that
incorporates decentralised planning, whereas Gujarat follows a more market-driven
approach with the state playing a strong supporting role through top-down planning.
These models effectively represent two distinct modes of governance that differ in terms
of the roles of the key actors and the governing approach.
Kerala’s efforts in improving education, healthcare, nutrition and various forms of social
security, as a hallmark of development, have drawn international attention since the early
1970s (Heller et al., 2007). Sen argued that “public action” is the key driving force behind
Kerala’s development experience (Dreze & Sen, 1989). This development model thus
represents an interventionist state delivering public goods through the mobilisation of
an active civil society. However, there were concerns regarding its long-term sustainability
due to inadequate economic growth and high unemployment, especially during the
1980s and 1990s (Franke & Chasin, 2000). Nonetheless, over the past two decades, the
state has witnessed faster growth, partly due to remittances sent from the Gulf region by
the skilled Keralite expatriate workforce.
In contrast, Gujarat is one of the fastest-growing states in India, which has been
attributed to its corporate-friendly policies (Debroy, 2012; Panagariya & Bhagawati,
2013). It has become a laboratory for rapid industrialisation with a focus on large-scale
investment in infrastructure through public-private partnerships and corporate farming,
alongside large tax subsidies for the corporate sector. However, the state’s high per capita
income has not translated into adequate human development and it ranks low in social
indicators (see Table 1), namely health, education, poverty and inequality (Dreze & Sen,
2013; Hiraway, 2017).
Kerala’s social-democratic political culture has gradually evolved through people’s
movements, grassroots mobilisation and multicultural accommodation. Although the
state government regularly oscillates between the Left Democratic Front, led by the
Communist Party of India (Marxist), and the Congress-led United Democratic Front, the
development model has resonated with civil society, and the rival coalitions have adopted
progressive social policies through state funding for universal primary education and
high-quality healthcare. Kerala leads India in health and educational parameters (see
Table 1).
Gujarat, in contrast, has seen increased religious polarisation and an upsurge of
Hindutva forces over the past three decades. Since the mid-1990s, the state has become
the stronghold of the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP). Narendra Modi, the then chief minister
and architect of BJP’s success in Gujarat, created a brand of personality politics combined
with a native Gujarati identity and the authoritarian model of developmentalism that
currently characterises Gujarat. The collaboration of the aspiring middle class and power
ful industrialist lobbies has led to an entrepreneurial culture and investment-friendly
climate. The major surge in economic growth from 2002 to 2012 was driven by state
investment in infrastructure and reforms to facilitate corporate investment.
140000
120000
100000
80000
60000
40000
20000
0
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep
Ahmedabad, Surat, Vadodara and Gandhinagar – accounted for 90% of cases (Pathak,
2020). The government declared the virus an epidemic under the Epidemic Diseases Act
of 1897, empowering public officials such as the health and municipal commissioners,
district collectors and chief district health officers to tackle the disease (Langa, 2020a).
Despite these strategies, the state was neither able to strengthen public health infra
structure adequately nor raise public awareness. The first and second phases of lockdown
saw a sharp rise in the caseload and by 30 April the number of positive cases had risen to
4,395 with a recovery rate of 13.6%, far below that of Kerala and the national averages
(Covid19India, 2020). The surge in cases in the state led to a shortage of hospital beds,
personal protective equipment, medical staff, adequate ventilators and quarantine
ASIA PACIFIC JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 11
facilities. The public health system also encountered problems of accountability, transpar
ency (regarding the purchase of ventilators) and communalisation (concerning the seg
regation of patients along religious lines) (Ninan, 2020).
The Gujarat High Court expressed concern about the deteriorating public health
care situation in the state, and the central government intervened, directing Gujarat to
take appropriate measures to control the spread of the virus through surveillance,
contact tracing, timely treatment to reduce the number of cases and deaths, strict
implementation of social distancing and lockdown rules, and awareness campaigns to
reduce social stigma (Scroll, 2020b; Zee News, 2020). Subsequently, the state started
paying greater attention to Covid-19 management by changing the top officials
involved, and the situation began to improve, with recovery rates starting to rise
and mortality rates declining (Covid19India, 2020). The state government adopted
a cluster containment strategy, implemented by municipal commissioners in the hot
spots of Surat, Ahmedabad, Vadodara and Bhavnagar. Ahmedabad also organised
mobile vans for testing at neighbourhood level and other such proactive measures
(NDTV, 2020b).
Both Kerala and Gujarat also encountered stiff challenges in handling the economic
dimension of the pandemic, particularly regarding the threat to the livelihoods of inter
state migrant workers. Although the Gujarat government ordered enterprises to continue
paying their workers during the lockdown period, thousands of diamond artisans in Surat
did not receive their salaries. In Ahmedabad, Surat and Rajkot, workers held demonstra
tions for the right to return to their native states (Langa, 2020b). In contrast, Kerala
adopted a more humane approach, treating the migrant labour force as guest workers,
quickly establishing nearly 20,000 camps and 1,500 community kitchens to distribute
cooked food and provide shelter to interstate migrants. These were constantly monitored
to ensure sanitation and avoid disease outbreaks.
Overall, Kerala adopted an approach focused on the poor, announcing a US$ 2.7 billion
relief package. To provide cash directly to the poor, social security pensions were
advanced and interest-free loans were provided to women-run self-help groups (SHG).
The public distribution systems provided free rations to 8.8 million cardholders and also
distributed masks and sanitiser. With the support of SHGs, free cooked meals were served
by local governments to the urban poor and homeless. Special helplines were established
to provide food, medicine and other essential services to the elderly through community
volunteers.
However, Kerala is facing a serious fiscal crisis. While welfare expenditure has increased,
revenue collection has declined. The tourism sector, which is a key source of state GST, has
been badly hit by the pandemic crisis. Moreover, remittances from the 2.5 million expatri
ates in the Gulf region, which account for a third of the state GDP, and contribute to the
exchequer in various ways, have shrunk substantially, as many of these workers have
started returning (Isaac & Sadanandan, 2020).
Compared to Kerala, Gujarat was late to act in providing welfare for the poor.
Nevertheless, it announced a US$80 million package for 6.5 million urban poor families
(IANS, 2020). The state also established relief camps for migrant workers and launched
a scheme to supply free food grain to those without ration cards. Additionally, a low-
interest credit scheme was introduced for the state’s one million small businesses and
self-employed individuals (Das & Sagara, 2020). However, it has been observed that the
12 T. CHATTERJI ET AL.
government’s relief provision was inadequate and came too late (Hiraway & Mahadevia,
2020). Nonetheless, Gujarat has a long-standing tradition of civil society activism and
NGOs and charities came forward to support the pandemic relief efforts (Shastri, 2020).
especially by a few civil organisations, to distribute masks, health kits and basic
groceries to the poor.
Regime characteristics
The differing responses of Kerala and Gujarat to the pandemic threat indicate the
importance of understanding political cultures and the character of the governing regime.
The threat is, to a large extent, socially produced and poorer sections of society are more
at risk (Davis & Willis, 2020). Thus, the characteristics of the governing regime are
important (Greer et al., 2020) in shaping the governance response in a just and socially
inclusive manner. These two governing regimes acted very differently in mitigating the
healthcare crisis and its impact on livelihoods.
In Kerala, demand-side factors – such as female literacy, the empowerment of back
ward classes and marginalised groups, high political mobilisation, the active involve
ment of local self-governments and civil society, high salience of health issues in
political discourse and an active media presence – were important ingredients for
engaging state and non-state actors in pandemic governance. The management of
health emergencies on such a scale requires effective communication between the state
and wider society. The chief minister regularly shared important information through
live press conferences that earned people’s trust and created an environment that
encouraged cooperation with the government. The culture of decentralised planning –
by local government institutions empowered with funds, functions and functionaries –
played a major role in coordinating the pandemic management with other sectors.
Effective disaster management is essentially a collaborative activity between different
tiers of government. The experience in Kerala reveals the importance of local-level
planning, mobilisation and intervention within a macro-level framework to ensure
a certain level of equity and access in grassroots mitigation efforts. However, even
this level of social capital and political mobilisation was unable to control the vigilance
fatigue and societal and administrative complacency that were observed in the second
wave of the pandemic, due in part to the return of migrant workers from the Middle
East.
Despite being an economically prosperous state, Gujarat witnessed a rapid spread
of the disease in the first phase due to social stigma about Covid-19 and a lack of
public health infrastructure for testing and treatment. When a person tested positive,
their entire family was “home quarantined” with a sticker displayed on the front of the
house. In a socially divided state, such actions were stigmatising, discouraging people
from seeking treatment. Reported incidents of patient segregation on religious
grounds, corruption in purchasing ventilators and repeated strictures from the High
Court and central government all demonstrate a lack of social capital and transpar
ency and the poor state of governance in the first phase of the pandemic. Centralised
interventions came to the fore and some bureaucrats, including the commissioner of
the Ahmedabad Municipal Corporation, were moved out of their positions due to
unsatisfactory performance. The clashes between migrant workers and the police
illustrate the discontent felt by the poor on issues of equity and access to mitigation
measures. Later, the health situation improved with court interventions to ensure the
commencement of treatment in private hospitals and the expansion of facilities.
14 T. CHATTERJI ET AL.
Innovations such as mobile testing and diagnosis, a helpline for home testing, and
tracking patients in home isolation facilitated the early detection and cure of cases.
Lessons learnt
This article examined the case studies of two states, Kerala and Gujarat, to understand
how variations in the sub-national political culture impact urban healthcare governance
in the context of a globalisation-induced pandemic and the disaster management regime
of the national government. The values and norms in which the key political actors of the
two sub-national governing regimes are rooted informed their developmental priorities,
including the building of state capacities in public health and their approach towards
disaster mitigation. From this, we identify three lessons.
First, Kerala’s response to the crisis demonstrates the importance of planning, early
preparedness, and state capacity. The state, with a tradition of social welfare, grassroots
political mobilisation and decentralised governance, acted well in advance to ready its
local-level healthcare facilities and community volunteers. This was made possible by
Kerala’s existing robust public healthcare system and recent experience of the Nipah
epidemic. The top leadership regularly monitored the situation, while local governments
had the operational flexibility in policy implementation to facilitate an agile disaster
response. In contrast, the economic growth-centric political culture of Gujarat did not
adequately prioritise public health systems; state capacities were inadequate and the
state was underprepared for the pandemic. Later, after reprimands by central government
and the judiciary for its poor performance, the state revamped its bureaucratic machinery
and sought to handle the crisis in a top-down manner.
Second, Kerala’s humane response to the pandemic crisis shows the importance of
social policy in disaster management. The state had, for many years, focused on educa
tion, health, female empowerment and building youth agencies. This focus facilitated the
participation of SHGs and youth volunteers in extending healthcare and livelihood sup
port to the poor and marginalised. Furthermore, public health awareness ensured higher
self-reporting of infections. In contrast, Gujarat’s polarised polity impeded societal pre
paredness for handling the pandemic in a decentralised manner. A lack of public aware
ness resulted in social stigma about Covid-19, leading to underreporting and the further
16 T. CHATTERJI ET AL.
spread of infection. Hence, the existence of a robust social policy that emphasises public
health, education, female empowerment and youth capabilities facilitates the effective
management of this kind of pandemic through a repository of social capital.
Third, the pandemic management experiences of Kerala, Gujarat and India’s central
government demonstrate that dialogue and discussions are a continuous process in
multilevel governance and should be undertaken on a regular basis. While in Kerala, the
top leadership led from the front to empower local governments to address operational
issues and enable community mobilisation, both the central and Gujarat governments
sought to handle the crisis in a top-down manner. Central decisions on lockdown
imposition and exit strategy without adequate consultation with states caused imple
mentation problems during the initial stages. Later, the central government sought to
include the states in Covid-19 management protocols but new conflicts arose relating to
GST revenue-sharing. This demonstrates that consultations need to take place on
a regular basis between central and state-level actors for policy convergence in
a multilevel governance context. However, in disaster governance, local governments
also play hugely significant roles, especially as first-line responders. It is crucial to further
examine their roles in the policy process, particularly as related to their interface with the
state governments.
Disclosure statement
No potential conflict of interest was reported by the authors.
Notes on contributors
Tathagata Chatterji, is Professor of Urban Management and Governance, Xavier University
Bhubaneswar, India. His research interests are urban economic development and political economy
of urbanisation. He received the Gerd Albers Award in 2016 from the International Society of City
and Regional Planners (ISOCARP), for his research on comparative modes of urban governance in
India. He has a PhD in Urban Planning and Governance, from the University of Queensland Australia.
Souvanic Roy is Professor in the Department of Architecture, Town and Regional Planning and
Founder Director, School of Ecology, Infrastructure and Human Settlement Management in Indian
Institute of Engineering, Science and Technology (IIEST), Shibpur. He has experience and expertise
in the fields of smart urbanism, urban policy, planning and governance. He has coordinated several
research projects funded by national and international funding agencies and published articles in
reputed international journals.
Atanu Chatterjee teaches at Xavier School of Human Settlements, Xavier University Bhubaneswar.
He is also pursuing his PhD from Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. His research looks at
altered relationship informality and citizenship, Low income housing intervention, urban livelihood
and employment and Land Right for the urban poor. He has also worked as a Research Associate at
the Centre for Development Alternatives, Ahmedabad and was awarded the Sahapedia-UNESCO
Fellowship2020
ORCID
Tathagata Chatterji http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5660-6445
Souvanic Roy http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6667-8429
ASIA PACIFIC JOURNAL OF PUBLIC ADMINISTRATION 17
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