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Agricultural Research Bulletins-V027-B333
Agricultural Research Bulletins-V027-B333
Agricultural Research Bulletins-V027-B333
ST ATISTICAL SECTION
AMES, IOWA
ERRATA
457 22 First word, "is"
461 6th from bottom .. , , , blocks (12), (22) and (31),"
5th from bottom (h,.+ h22+ hal)
462 5th from bottom .. , , , blocks (12), (21)
4th from bottom "( 32), hence"
31'd from bottom ( hl2+h"+h,,,,)
463 5 Delete, "As far as , , . 4 X 4 experiment."
474 5 "by writing J for' I and B.n, B.n tot' ,
-!th and 3rd
from bottom Change hOD to I kc.n in 3 placps.
47~ 4 and 10 Change hOD to h(m in 3 places.
CONTENTS
PAGE
Summary 452
Introduction 453
Review of literature 454
Chronological review of work in confounding of
factorial designs . 454
Table of designs reached so far; discussion of
main gaps 455'
New confounded designs 456
General discussion on construction of confounded
designs . 456
Criteria for a design 456
Method of analysis . 457
Extent to which certain degrees of freedom
are confounded . 457
Computation of treatment means lor sum-
mary tables . . 457
4X2X2 design in blocks of 4 or 8 plots 458
In blocks of 4 plots . 458
In blocks of 8 plots . 460
4.X 4 design in blocks of 4 plots 462
4X4X3 design in blocks of 12 plots 463
4X4X2 design in blocks of 8 or 16 plots. 463
In blocks of 8 plots . 463
In blocks of 16 plots. 465
4X2X2X2 design in blocks of 8 plots ·1()7
Recommended numbers of replieations for the
previous designs . 4()!)
5X2X2 design in blocks of 10 plots 469
3X3X2X2 design in blocks of 12 plots 471
4X3X3 design in blocks of 12 plots 475
·3X3X3X2 design in blocks of 18 plots 479
4X3X2 design in blocks of 12 plots 4A2
Another .4X4X3 design in blo(·ks of 12 plots. 4H6
Literature cited . 492
SUMMARY
The factorial design is used for the study of the effects of two
or more factors simultaneously. It has distinct advantages over
a series of simple experiments, each designed to test a single
factor.
As an example, let us consider the case in which we wish to
study experimentally the effcct of three different kinds of ferti-
lizers, A, Band C, on the yield of a certain crop. There are
altogether eight fertilizer combinations: AoBoCo, AoBoC!, AoBICo,
AoBICI, AIBoCo, AIBoCI, AIBICo and AIBICI, where Ao means the
absence and Al means the presence of the fertilizer A, and so
forth. Suppose that 3 trials are made with each fertilizer com-
bination; then for any particular fertilizer, we have for compar-
ison 12 observations in which the fertilizer is applied and 12 in
which it is not applied. So a factorial experiment can be regarded
as a number of simple experiments superimposed on each other.
Every observation supplies information on each of the factors
studied. One factorial experiment serves the purpose of a number
of simple experiments of the same size. But a series of simple
experiments will throw no light whatever on the interaction of
the different factors, and this will be shown in a factorial experi-
ment. If, for example, the presence of A were advantageous in
the presence of B, but were ineffect.ive in its absence, we could
hope to learn this fact only by carrying out our test of A both
in the presence and in the absence of B.
The number of factors studied in factorial design is not nec-
essarily limited to two or three, and moreover, the number of
levels or variations for each factor is not necessarily two. As
the number of factors or the number of levels of the factors or
1 PI'oject No, 514 of the Iowa Agricultural Experiment Station. Con-
densed from a thesis submitted to the graduate faculty of Iowa State Col-
lege in partial fulfillment of requirements for the degree, Doctor of Philo-
sophy, The complete thesis, doctoral thesis No, 726, is on file In the library
of Iowa State College.
• The author wishes to ackno\Yledg-e with appreciation the IntN'est, ,,,lviel'
and assistance of Prof,
bulletin,
"T. G. Cochran throughout the pl'epamtion of thi~
454
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
CHRONOLOGICAL REVIEW OF WORK IN CONFOUNDING OF
FACTORIAL DESIGNS
i, j
.. - m - b·1
2:: (y 'J t-)2
- ,
1
AB: 32 L:3 (Pm! + P
m=l
m2 -Pm3 -Pm4
)2
ao a. a, a3 Mean
bo
h.
Mean
The entry in the cell aOb 1, for instance, represents the meim
yield of the treatment combination aO&l, averaged over all levels
of C. The margins of the table show the main effects of A and B.
lf the two-factor interaction is unconfounded, the entries in
the table are simply the mean yields of the appropriate treat-
ment combinations. In the present design the Be table is of
this type. Where the interaction is partially confounded, as in
the table represented above, the treatment means require ad-
justment 'so as to remove block effects. First compute for each
of the 12 blocks an adjustment value,
m = 1, 2, 3; n = 1,2,3,4.
Next, calculate the necessary adjusted treatment means in this
manner: Let· (01.) represent the unadjusted mean and (01.)'
the adjusted mean of th~ treatment combination aOb 1, which oc-
curs in blocks (13), (14), (23), (24), (33) and (34). Then
IN BLOCKS OF 8 PLO'l'S
DISCUSSION OF THE DESIGN
COllIPUTING INSTRUCTIONS
o1 00 03 02 00 03 o1 02 02 00 03 o1
1 0 1 1 1 2 13 1 2 1 1 1 3 1 0 1 1 1 3 1 0 12
2 2 23 2 0 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 0 2 3 2 0 2 2 2 1 23
33 32 3 1 30 33 3 0 3 2 3 1
I 3 3 3 1 3 2 30
COMPUTING INSTRUCTIONS
1
64 L:3 (P m1 +Pm~ -
m=l
P m3 - P m4
)2
1
64 L:3 (P
m=l
m1 -Pm2 +Pm3 -Pm 4
)2 ,
465
+ 641 L:a ( P ml - P m2 - P m8 + p m4
)2
m=l
1
- 96 L:3 (T
m=l
ml - T m2 + T m8 - T m4
)2
-:6 L:
. 3
m=l'.
(Tml - Tm2 - Tm3
.
+ Tm4)
2
In this design (table 7) the main effects and all the first-order
interactions are kept clear. One degree of freedom of the inter-
action ABC is confounded in each replication. Any number of
replications up to 9 can be used.
COlllPUTING INSTRUCTIO:oiS
1 I 2
------
1 2
- -1 - -2-
---
- - - - - --"b. -
abc
" b. "b 0 " b 0 "b 0
-1- - - - - - - - - - - -
Block Block Block
1 2
------
1 2
-----
1 2
abo abc abc abc abc "be
00 1 000 00 1 000 00 1 000
o1 1 o1 0 o1 0 o1 1 o10 o1 1
020 02 1 02 1 02 0 020 02 1
030 03 1 030 03 1 03 1 03 0
1 00 1 0 1 1 00 1 0 1 100 1 0 1
1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0
1 2 1 1 2 0 1 2 0 1 2 1 121 120
1 3 1 1 3 0 1 3 1 1 3 0 1 30 1 3 1
2 0 1 200 20 1 200 201 200
2 1 1 2 1 0 2 1 0 2 1 1 210 2 1 1
22 0 2 2 1 2 2 1 2 2 0 220 2 2 1
230 23 1 23 0 23 1 23 1 230
300 301 300 30 1 300 301
3 1 0 3 1 1 3 1 1 3 1 0 3 1 1 3 1 0
3 2 1 320 32 0 32 1 321 3 2 0
33 1 330 33 1 330 330 331
1
32(k - 1) ~l
k ( .
P ml - P m2
)2 + 32k
1 9 (Tml -
];t+l Tm2
)2 •
LOSS OF INFORlIIATIO:' D{$ TO CONFOUNDING
l'
ABC: 64 L:3 ( -P
m~l
m1 -Pm2 +Pm3 +Pm4
)2 J
\ '1
ACD: 64 L:I ( -P
m=1
m1 +Pml! -Pm3 +Pm4
)2
and
1
ABD: 64 L:3 (P
m=l
ml - P m2 - P m3 + P m4
)2 •
This 5X2X2 design (table 9) keeps the main effects and the
interactions AB and AC clear, and also keeps the extent of con-
founding for BC to a minimum; further, the 4 degrees of freedom
of ABC are evenly confounded. For simplicity in the method
of analysis, all five replications should be used.
TABLE 9, 5 X 2 X 2 DESIGN IN BLOCKS OF 10 PLOTS.
COllO'UTING INSTRUCTIONS
where I is the total, (boco + bici - bocl - b1Co), and Gr.' is the
total of block 1 minus that of block 2 of the kth replication.
Forjhe sum of squares for ABC, the quantities R should be
computed:
Ro =
510 - G] + G + Gs + G Go - (51 + ~GTc )/5,
2 4 -
R 1 ,=
511 - Gl - G + Gs + G" + Go - (51 + ~Gr.)/5,
2
512 + Gl
R2 = - G 2 -Gs + G" + Go - (51 + ~Gk )/5,
51a + Gl
Ra = + G Ga - G + Go - (51 + ~Gd/5
2 - 4
ao P q ao r
GI a,
G. a,
a. a.
a. a.
mean • t. mean u
Replication 1 Ueplication 2
Block Blorl<
1 2 3 1 2 3
abc d abc d abc d abc d abc d a b " d
o 1 00 0000 oa0 1 a 1 0 1 000 1 0000
o1 11 o0 1 1 00 1 0 o1 1 0 00 1 0 00 1 1
02 0 1 o1 0 1 0200 02 00 o100 02.0 1
02 1 0 o1 10 o2 11 02 1 1 o1 1 1 02 1 0
1 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 1 000 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 1 1 0 0 1
1 0 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 0
1 2 0 0 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 200 1 1 00
1 2 1 1 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
2000 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 2000 2 1 0 1
20 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 1 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 1 1 0
2 1 0 1 2 2 0 0 2 20 1 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 1 2200
2 1 1 0 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 0 2 1 1 'I 2 2 1 0 2 2 1 1
Replication 3 Replication 4
Block Block
1 2 3 1 2 3
abc d abc d abc d abc d abc d abc d
o 1 0 1 0000 o 0 0 1 o1 00 000 1 0000
o 1 10 00 1 1 00 1 0 o1 1 1 00 1 0 o0 1 1
o 200 o 2 0 J o 1 00 o2 0 1 0200 o 10 1
02 1 1 02 J 0 o1 1 1 o2 1 0 o2 1 1 o1 1 0
1 DO 1 1 1 0 1 1 000 1 000 1 1 0 0 100 1
1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 10 1 0
1 1 00 1 2 00 1 2 0 1 1 1 0 1 1 2 0 1 1 200
1 1 1 1 1 2 1 J 1 2 1 0 1 1 1 0 1 2 1 0 1 2 1 1
2 000 200 1 2 1 0 1 200 1 2000 2 1 00
20 1 1 2 0 1 0 2 1 1 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 1 1 2 1 1 1
22 0 1 2 1 00 2 2 0 0 2 2 0 0 2 10 1 2 2 0 1
22 1 0 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 1 0 2 2 1 0
deviations of the 1's and J's respectively, which are called the 1
and J components of the interaction AB.
In replications 1 and 2, the 1 component of the interactions
AB and ABCD is confounded; and in replications 3 and 4, the
J component is confounded. If only 2 replications are wanted,
either 1 and 2 or 3 and 4 may be used.
COMPUTING INSTRUCTIONS
The sums of squares for blocks, main effects and all the inter-
actions except AB and ABCD are calculated in the usual manner.
TWO REPLICATIONS
Replication 1 Replication 2
Block Block
-I - -2- - - - - - - - - --
3 1 2 3
-- - - ------
abe abe abc
- -- -
abe . abe abc
00 1 000 002 002 o0 1 000
o12 o1 1 o1 0 o10 o1 2 o1 1
02 0 o 22 02 1 o2 1 o2 0 022
1 02 1 0 1 1 0 0 1-0 1 1 00 1 02
1 1 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 0
1 2 1 1 2 0 1 2 2 1 20 1 2 2 1 2 1
2 0 2 2 0 1 2 0 0 201 2 00 2 02
2 1 0 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 2 2 1 1 2 1 0
2 2 1 2 2 0 2 2 2 2 20 2 22 2 2 1
301 300 302 3 02 3 0 1 3 0 0
3 1 2 311 3 1 0 3 1 0 3 1 2 3 1 1
3 2 0 3 2 2 32 1 3 2 1 3 2 0 3 2 2
Replication 3 Replication 4
Block
-1 - -Block
2
----
3
---------
1 2 3
--- - - - - ---
abc abc abc
- -- -
abc abe abc
002 o0 0 00 1 00 1 ·0 0 2 o0 0
o1 1 o1 2 o1 0 o10 o11 o 1.2
02 0 o2 1 02 2 02 2 o20 o2 1
1 0 1 1 02 1 00 1 02 1 00 1 0 1
1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 0
1 2 2 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 2 0 1 2 1 1 2 2
2 0 1 2 02 2 0 0 2 0 2 2 00 2 0 1
2 1 0 2 1 1 2 1 2 211 2 1 2 2 10
2 2 2 2 2 0 2 2 1 2 2 0 2 2 1 2 22
3 0 2 3 0 0 30 1 3 0 1 3 02 300
3 1 1 3 1 2 3 1 0 3 1 0 3 1 1 3 ·1 2
3 2 0 3 2 1 3 2 2 3 2 2 3 2 0 3 2 1-
The sums of squares for the blocks, main effects and all the
interactions except BC and ABC are calculated in the usual
manner.
TWO Rfo:l'LICATIONS
1-. [~ (J )2 - (~Jk)2 ]
24 k 3 .
For the sum of squares of the interaction ABC, calculate the
quantities
2Pl = 2(ItA3) - Bt2 + Bta + B22 - B23,
2P2 = 2(I2Aa) + Bn - Bt3 -,B2t + B23
and 2Pa = 2(l3A3) - Bn + B12 + B21 - B22,
where (hA 3) denotes the sum of the Ik component in the table
of (ao -' at - a2 + a3)' Then calculate the sum of squares for
ABC [N.B. not ABC(l)] in the usual manner. To the sum of
squares thus obtained, add
1-_
24
[~(2Pk)2 - };(IkA3)2] +~
72
[(~hA3)2 - (~2Pk)2]''
k='1,2,3.
The resulting quantity is the sum of squares for the interaction
ABC.
FOUR REPLICATIONS
COlllPUTING INSTRurTIOXS
The sums of squares for blocks, main effects and all the inter-
actions except ABC and ABCD are calculated in the usual man-
ner.
If only replications 1 and 2 are used, the interactions ABC(W)
and ABC(W)D are confounded. For the sum of squares of
• cr. Yates (1937). p. 42.
480
TABLE 12. 3 X 3 X 3 X 2 DESIGN IN BLOCKS OF
18 PLOTS.
Replication 1 Replication 2
Block Block
I 2 3 I 2 3
~
Replication 3 Replication 4
Block Block
1 2 3 1 2 3
abc d abc d abc d abc d abc d abc ,d
o0 1 0 00 2 0 0000 00 2 0 0000 00 I 0
1 000 1 0 1 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 1 0 I 02 0 1 000
2 020 2 000 20 1 0 2 0 0 0 2 0 1 0 2 0 2 0
oI 20 o 1 00 oI I 0 oI 0 0 o1 10 o 1 20
I I I 0 I 1 2 0 1 I 00 I I 20 I I 0 0 1 1 I 0
2 I 0 0 2 I 1 0 2 1 2 0 2 I 1 0 2 I 2 0 2 1 0 0
0200 02 1 0 02 2 0 02 I 0 022 0 o20 0
1 220 I 2 00 1 2 I 0 1 2 0 0 1 2 1 0 1 2 2 0
22 I 0 22 2 0 2 200 2 2 2 0 2 200 2 2 1 0
002 1 000 1 00 I 1 00 1 I 002 1 000 I
1 0 1 I 1 0 2 I- I 0 0 I 1 00 I I 0 1 1 I 0 2 I
2 0 0 1 2 0 1 1 202 1 202 1 200 I 2 0 1 1
oI 0 I oI I 1 o I 2 1- o12 1 oI 0 I o1 1 1
1 I 2 1 1 1 0 I I 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 1 1 1 0 1
2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 2 1 0 1 2 101 2 1 1 1 2 1 2 1
o2 11 o2 2 1 020 1 02 0 1 o2 11 02 2 1
1 2 0 1 1 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 2 1 1 2 0 1 1 2 1 1
2 2 2 1 220 1 2 2 I 1 2 2 1 I 2 2 2 I 22 0 1
2:(2Qk)2/108; k=l, 2, 3.
For the sum of squares of ABC(W)D, calculate the quantities
2P l = 2W lD - Bl2 Bl3 + +
B22 - B 23,
2P2 = 2W2D +
Bu - Bl3 - B2l B 23 +
and 2P3 = 2W3D - Bll BI2 + +
B2l - B 22,
where W kD denotes the sum of the W k component in the table
of d l - do. Note that 2:P is equal to the total of dl - do. The
sum of squares for ABC(W)D is
...!.. [2:(2P )2 _ (2: 2Pk)2 ]
36 k 3·
If all four replications are used, both the Wand the X com-
ponents of the interactions ABC and ABCD will be confounded.
To obtain the sum of squares for ABC(W), the quantities Q are
calculated as above; but each total W k is taken over the whole
experiment. The sum of squares of deviations of the Q's is di-
vided by 252. The sum of squares for ABC(W)D is obtained by
calculating the quantities P as above, noting that each total W kD
is taken over the whole experiment. The divisor 36 must be re-
placed by 1&0. The sum of squares for the X component are
similarly obtained, but in calculating the P and Q values, the
totals W, BIn and B 2n are replaced by X, B 3n and B 4n respective-
ly. The sums of squares of the unconfounded components of the
interaction ABC and ABCD are calculated in the usual manner.
Uk = 2Qk/126 - ~2Qk/378,
U'k = Wk/72 - G/216,
v" = 2P,,/90 - ~2Pk/270
and 'v'" = W"D/72 - ~W"D/216; k=l, 2,3,
where G is the grand total of the experiment, and W", W"D, P
and Q were defined in the computing instructions.
The adjustment required for the treatment means is to add
(Uk - U'k) - (v" - v',,)
to those nine treatments belonging to W" and also having the
factor D at the level 0, but add
(Uk - U'A;) + (Vk - V'A;)
to those having D at the level 1. For example, the adjustment
required for the mean of the treatment (1000) is to add (U2-U'2)
- (V2 - V'2) to it. The adjustment required for the mean of the
treatment (0001) is to add (UI - U'I) + (VI - V'I) to it. If four
replications are used, repeat the adjustment for the interactions,
ABC(X) and ABC(X)D. Note that the treatment (1000) be-
longs to W 2 and X 2 and the treatment (0001) belongs to WI and
Xl, though in general the subscripts of Wand X do not neces-
sarily agree. The adjustment is needed only in presenting the
tables showing ABC and ABCD. Because ~Vk = ~V'k = 0, the
adjustment value becomes (Uk - 1",,) in presenting the table
showing ABC.
COMPUTING INSTRUCTIONS
The sum of squares for blocks, mam effects and the inter-
484
where I pq denotes the total I p taken over the level q of the factor
B; p= 1, 2, 3; q=O, 1, 2. Note that ITaq=31s+Gl+G2+Ga.
The sum of squares for ABC iR
214 (T.l 1l + T.12q2) - 712 (I 12 + 122) + 1 ~o T.TSq2 - 3 ~o (ITa~)2.
FIRST SIX REPLICATIONS USED
T21 = 3[21 + G4 - Gs + Gs
and T22 = 3[22 + G + Gs - G
4 6•
The sum of squares for blocks, main effects and the inter-
actions AC and BC are calculated in the usual manner. For the
sum of squares of AB, calculate the quantities
P n = 3I n Bin + +
B2n + Ban; n=l, 2, 3, 4,
where Bmn is the total of the nth block of the mth replication.
The sum of squares for AB is
K
112 (2;2; J"r 2+ 2;2; nr2) - 3~ (2;Jn2 + 2;K,,2 + ~ G2) + 610 2;~Pnr2
-1~o[~p,,-i(2;P,,)2J; n=1,2,3,4; r=0,12.
Note,that
= 3G + RI + R2 + Ra,
:3P n
:3Qn = 3G + R4 + R6 + R6
and :3R" = 3G + R7 + Rs + R g•
The totals In, J nand K" are taken over the whole experiment.
The sum of squares for AB is
Calculate the values in, inT, in' and in.' as in the three-rep-
lication case, but replace the divisors 96, 20, 36 and 12 by 204,
56, 72 and 24 respectively. The values jn, jnr, jn' and jn.' are
similarly calculated, but replace P with Q and 1 with J. First
adjust the treatment mean as indicated in the three-replication
case with the quantity (in+inr-in' -in.'); then repeat the ad-
justment with the quantity (jn+jnT-jn' -jn.'). For example,
the treatment (011) belongs to 12 and J 3 as shown in the com-
puting instructions and receives the level 1 of the factor C. To
adjust this treatment mean, add the quantity
(i2 + i 21 - i2' - i 21') + (ja + j3! - js' - jal')
to it.
492
Calculate the values in, inr, in' and in.' as in the three-repli-
cation case, except that the divisors 96, 20, 36 and 12 are re-
placed by 312, 92, 108 and 36 respectively. The set of j's are
calculated as i's by replacing P with Q and I with J. The set
of k's are calculated by replacing P with R and I with K. The
treatment means should be adjusted with all the i's, j's and k's.
For example, the treatment (022) belongs to Is, J 4 and K2 and
receives the level 2 of the factor C. To adjust this treatment
mean, the quantity
(ia + ia2 - +
ia' - i 32') +
(j4 j42 - j/ - i42') +
+
(k2 k22 - k2' - k 2'l')
should be added to it.