Demand Forecasting - Economics

Exam Date: 08/05/2022

Roll No. 21385 (Type your Roll No.)

Student Name Sachi Priya (Type your Name)

Following sheets contain data pertaining to some of the variables related to 5 Public Sector Banks (PSB) and 5 Private Banks (P
The data is in lakhs of Rupees.
Use linear trend model to forecast the values of the variables for the banks for the year 2021, and answer the following questi

Questions:
1 Based on the forecast which is the fastest growing PVB in 2021 in terms of total assets and what is the growth percenta
2 Based on the growth percentage in the year 2021 for advances, which PSB is the best performer? (5 Marks)
3 The business model of the bank is to take deposits and lend (advances) it. The interest earned is the main source of inc

Answers:
1 Fastest growing PVB HDFC

Percentage growth 12.4

2 Best performing PSB State bank of india

3 Most efficient bank UNION BANK OF INDIA

anks (PSB) and 5 Private Banks (PVB) from 2011 to 2020.

and answer the following questions.

and what is the growth percentage? (10 Marks)

performer? (5 Marks)
earned is the main source of income for the bank. Suppose the advances to total assets ratio (Advances/Total Asssets) is measure of bank
al Asssets) is measure of bank's efficiency, which bank is the best bank in 2021 among both the categories? (10 Marks)
 Investments_x000D_
Advances_x000D_
Banks Year Other Inc Total Assets
ALLAHABAD BANK 2011 200636.6 426309.406670668 8271.948 711132
BANK OF BARODA 2011 376147.4 914870.308668439 17585.84 1539908
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2011 462931.5 1024621.16265112 17127.33 1706425
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2011 1624807 3573421.90002572 74551.39 6186456
9000000
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2011 289999.4 636773.623424505 11314.74 1063122
ALLAHABAD BANK 2012 235288.4 466606.597365498 9061.453 774861.2
BANK OF BARODA 2012 416171.1 1136735.50547532 21882.7 1798701
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2012 502977.1 1227606.63942231 24319.04 1959361
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2012 2189763 4304897.66862403 100704.6 7653008
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2012 341191.6 766023.108236788 11764.41 1277381 8000000
ALLAHABAD BANK 2013 293774.4 547396.007950463 11588.58 930351
BANK OF BARODA 2013 467719.4 1338087.95887165 21453.68 2127641
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2013 594178.3 1426505.67999388 27598.25 2267661
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2013 2261182 4830778.62548735 114426.7 8053006
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2013 415897.3 912126.738016971 15096.25 1491949 7000000
ALLAHABAD BANK 2014 301751.8 653257.663968741 9561.908 1055584
BANK OF BARODA 2014 498162.1 1595564.89603684 19600.8 2500678
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2014 663985.1 1689273.41682947 25206.39 2639724
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2014 2062521 5279929.16550377 110414.4 8538489
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2014 407473.7 1053489.27714206 14225.4 1646556
6000000
ALLAHABAD BANK 2015 347679.7 711875.351950298 8317.935 1171681
BANK OF BARODA 2015 532949.5 1840628.28091975 21919.73 2865058
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2015 785902.9 1881603.51437904 26917.34 2934685
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2015 1999600 5556772.4979184 91919.85 8553892
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2015 399433.5 1139320.31832447 15680.55 1679443
ALLAHABAD BANK 2016 347845.5 772519.093783558 6983.719 1219265 5000000
BANK OF BARODA 2016 724219.8 1957915.31380504 15959.41 3264142
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2016 774944.5 1842237.83677365 20355.08 2857342
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2016 2093291 6238017.85646104 84311.04 9343821
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2016 482224.4 1241511.66925188 8349.239 1862151
ALLAHABAD BANK 2017 360057 776889.060459356 7725.48 1240905 4000000
BANK OF BARODA 2017 653640.3 2234889.7252871 18112.34 3712590
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2017 809420.7 1966162.59401036 20673.66 3098513
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2017 2244987 6810564.73316821 93135.85 10092030
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2017 527601.8 1289711.92636794 9436.616 1991561
ALLAHABAD BANK 2018 303466.4 827180.545283956 11016.13 1253361
BANK OF BARODA 2018 644694.7 2362520.77322148 24294.91 3946071 3000000 f(x) = 3994
R² = 0.0737
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2018 827181.2 2100195.40371985 32511.35 3329839
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2018 2658859 7174934.5598543 124597.9 11303492
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2018 466150.1 1410975.0284232 19443.69 2106164
ALLAHABAD BANK 2019 323512.2 862467.036848362 10811.83 1357476
BANK OF BARODA 2019 681782.5 2172243.05371597 28294.91 3800173 2000000
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2019 893450.5 2333875.58725307 33961.92 3777611
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2019 3258345 8284940.38320032 157612.3 13344753
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2019 504943.4 1513295.98630215 20556.6 2290688
ALLAHABAD BANK 2020 300961.1 822885.913209607 14434.12 1293875
1000000
BANK OF BARODA 2020 707590.3 2092026.32696507 36888.98 3792988 1000000
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2020 1019244 2289809.76855895 48861.2 3931935
STATE BANK OF INDIA 2020 4181166 8575755.35534935 193564 14770558
UNION BANK OF INDIA 2020 612166.8 1563682.18886463 27099.34 2471094
959092
2814445
ALLAHABAD BANK 2630048 0
0 5 10
BANK OF BARODA 2814445
PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 2630048
STATE BANK OF INDIA 6935204
UNION BANK OF INDIA 1745436
 Chart Title

9000000

8000000

7000000

6000000

5000000
Column D
Linear (Column D)
Linear (Column D)

4000000

3000000 f(x) = 39945.9338309368 x + 1233670.75919598

R² = 0.0737308422874074

2000000

1000000
1000000

0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50
 Investments_x000D_
Advances_x000D_
Banks Year Other Inc Total Assets
HDFC BANK 2011 423506.3 543830 19575.95 1141872.61596502
HDFC BANK 2012 466731.9 784661.5 26111.76 1454299.10490398
HDFC BANK 2013 448036.2 961934.1 30449.57 1700623.57388579
HDFC BANK 2014 494902.1 1116262 30248.07 1935198.09656712 4500000
HDFC BANK 2015 624370.1 1251649 37043.65 2164282.96291552 4000000
HDFC BANK 2016 665872.8 1430143 43140.16 2388330.13542537 3500000 f(x) =
HDFC BANK 2017 680877.5 1705698 50096.97 2767391.92017564 3000000 R² = 0
HDFC BANK 2018 836921.2 2017192 67200.9 3259026.83978144 2500000
HDFC BANK 2019 1108486 2629728 60857.66 4193106.20252448 2000000
HDFC BANK 2020 1170651 3027119 67120.63 4715284.88919214 1500000
1000000
GROWTH 0.124532664198507
500000
0
0 1 2

3399688
 Chart Title
4500000
4000000
3500000 f(x) = 336763.104705136 x + 649976.860045914
3000000 R² = 0.9338225194196 Column F
2500000 Linear (Column F)
Linear (Column F)
2000000
1500000
1000000
500000
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
pvt ps

AXIS BANK 0.597 ALLAHABAD BANK 0.636

HDFC BANK 0.602 ALLAHABAD BANK 0.62
ICICI BANK 0.565 BANK OF BARODA 0.601
KOTAK MAHINDRA BANK 0.605 PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 0.599
YES BANK 0.562 PUNJAB NATIONAL BANK 0.633
STATE BANK OF INDIA 0.62
UNION BANK OF INDIA 0.645

2.931 4.354
0.645