ASSIGNMENT 4

UDIT GUPTA
Question 1:
Given below are the results by keeping Electricity constant at (2.9 kWh/h per kg/h acid in)
and generating 50 random values for Succinate/Glucose yield and the corresponding Succinic
MSP values. The Mean and Standard Deviation of MSP for Succinic Acid has been reported
below the table.

Na-Suc/Glu Succinic MSP

(mol/mol) ($ per kg SA)

1.05 1.45
1.41 1.46
1.30 1.46
1.26 1.46
1.32 1.39
1.27 1.49
1.05 1.45
1.35 1.45
1.32 1.47
1.41 1.46
1.38 1.50
1.18 1.46
1.06 1.45
1.42 1.45
1.28 1.45
1.26 1.49
1.20 1.41
1.32 1.50
1.32 1.40
1.18 1.43
1.47 1.44
1.38 1.48
1.49 1.46
1.26 1.42
1.24 1.42
1.23 1.38
1.27 1.47
1.22 1.48
1.62 1.44
1.36 1.47
1.32 1.45
1.28 1.41
 1.40 1.46
1.41 1.42
1.28 1.46
1.27 1.46
1.09 1.46
1.22 1.46
1.23 1.47
1.38 1.38
1.30 1.39
1.37 1.46
1.27 1.44
1.31 1.43
1.37 1.43
1.37 1.44
1.25 1.44
1.40 1.45
1.16 1.44
1.48 1.45

Mean = 1.45
Standard Deviation = 0.027883681

Question 2:
Given below are the results by keeping Succinate/Glucose yield constant at (1.3 Sodium
Succinate/Glucose yield) and generating 50 random values for Electricity demand and the
corresponding Succinic MSP values. The Mean and Standard Deviation of MSP for Succinic
Acid has been reported below the table.

Electricity
Succinic MSP
(kWh/h per kg/h
($ per kg SA)
acid in)
3.36 1.41
2.97 1.52
3.24 1.44
2.96 1.43
2.75 1.51
2.28 1.53
3.21 1.46
3.12 1.48
2.41 1.46
2.62 1.44
3.44 1.43
2.83 1.42
2.76 1.39
2.77 1.45
2.88 1.39
 3.22 1.49
2.60 1.36
2.55 1.48
3.09 1.40
2.98 1.32
2.64 1.45
2.57 1.49
3.30 1.45
2.86 1.49
3.84 1.46
3.01 1.44
2.73 1.36
2.50 1.44
3.21 1.39
2.98 1.36
2.54 1.29
2.52 1.41
2.92 1.34
3.18 1.41
2.73 1.40
3.22 1.46
2.61 1.34
2.90 1.38
3.27 1.49
3.47 1.47
2.69 1.46
3.55 1.38
2.49 1.56
2.20 1.52
3.00 1.43
2.91 1.47
2.98 1.46
3.00 1.38
3.13 1.50
3.06 1.43

Mean = 1.43
Standard Deviation = 0.057087987
Question 3:
Given below are the results by generating 50 random values for Succinate/Glucose yield and
for Electricity demand and the corresponding Succinic MSP values. The Mean and Standard
Deviation of MSP for Succinic Acid has been reported below the table.

Electricity
Na-Suc/Glu Succinic MSP
(kWh/h per kg/h
(mol/mol) ($ per kg SA)
acid in)
2.74 1.41 1.41
2.77 1.39 1.47
2.58 1.37 1.52
3.04 1.19 1.47
3.03 1.44 1.39
2.69 1.17 1.45
2.11 1.25 1.50
2.80 1.29 1.38
3.25 1.36 1.43
2.45 1.26 1.45
3.19 1.16 1.38
3.28 1.30 1.44
2.70 1.42 1.42
2.62 1.41 1.58
1.96 1.33 1.53
2.42 1.34 1.49
2.47 1.19 1.48
2.66 1.23 1.37
2.68 1.27 1.39
3.30 1.35 1.49
3.04 1.18 1.53
1.94 1.25 1.42
2.76 1.42 1.51
2.95 1.17 1.41
2.96 1.37 1.43
2.16 1.32 1.35
2.83 1.32 1.38
3.56 1.45 1.44
2.80 1.56 1.38
3.27 1.31 1.43
2.78 1.50 1.39
2.73 1.33 1.61
3.09 1.20 1.43
2.05 1.31 1.38
3.07 1.33 1.35
3.31 1.40 1.38
3.02 1.40 1.55
 3.19 1.41 1.43
2.73 1.47 1.43
2.64 1.11 1.41
3.67 1.24 1.47
2.45 1.22 1.45
3.24 1.23 1.60
2.98 1.23 1.49
2.94 1.40 1.46
2.34 1.26 1.46
2.33 1.46 1.49
2.82 1.31 1.42
4.32 1.29 1.46
3.45 1.21 1.48

Mean = 1.45
Standard Deviation = 0.06176763

The Mean that has been calculated in the 1st and 3rd scenarios are equal, whereas its lowest in
the 2nd scenario. Looking into the Standard Deviation, we see that it’s the highest in 3rd
scenario and the lowest in the 1st scenario. Hence, we can derive that the 3rd scenario has the
highest uncertainty as it has the highest standard deviation whereas the 1st scenario has the
lowest uncertainty as it has the lowest standard deviation.