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Eng Econ Im 6
Eng Econ Im 6
Eng Econ Im 6
INSTRUCTIONAL MODULE
COLLEGE OF ENGINEEERING
Bayombong, Nueva Vizcaya
A future amount of money converted to its equivalent value now has a present worth
(PW) that is always less than that of the future cash flow, because all P/F factors have a value
less than 1.0 for any interest rate greater than zero. For this reason, present worth values are
often referred to as discounted cash flows (DCF), and the interest rate is referred to as the
discount rate. Besides PW, two other terms frequently used are present value ( PV ) and net
present value ( NPV ).
Up to this point, present worth computations have been made for one project or
alternative. In this chapter, techniques for comparing two or more mutually exclusive
alternatives by the present worth method are treated. Two additional applications are covered
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here—future worth and capitalized cost. Capitalized costs are used for projects with very long
expected lives or long planning horizons.
To understand how to organize an economic analysis, this chapter begins with a
description of independent and mutually exclusive projects as well as revenue and cost
alternatives.
A. Formulating Alternatives
The evaluation and selection of economic proposals require cash fl ow
estimates over a stated period of time, mathematical techniques to calculate the
measure of worth and a guideline for selecting the best proposal. From all the
proposals that may accomplish a stated purpose, the alternatives are formulated. This
progression is detailed in Figure 5–1. Up front, some proposals are viable from
technological, economic, and/or legal perspectives; others are not viable. Once the
obviously nonviable ideas are eliminated, the remaining viable proposals are fleshed
out to form the alternatives to be evaluated. Economic evaluation is one of the primary
means used to select the best alternative(s) for implementation.
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It is very easy to use the present worth method to choose the best project among
a set of mutually exclusive projects when the service lives are the same. One just
computes the present worth of each project using the MARR. The project with the
greatest present worth is the preferred project because it is the one with the greatest
profit.
An engineering economy study must be performed to determine which one to
choose among mutually exclusive alternatives and how much capital to invest
because of different levels of investment produce varying economic outcomes.
The selection algorithm given below will always yield the maximum total return
on the total amount invested.
Terminologies
I = the investment cost of a project
R = the measure of revenues present worth, EUAS, etc.) from the project.
If the extra benefits obtained by investing additional capital are better than those
that could be obtained from investment of the same capital elsewhere in the company
at the MARR, the investment should be made. If this is not the case, we obviously
would not invest more than the minimum amount of capital required, including the
possibility of nothing at all. Stated simply, our rule will keep as much as possible
invested at a rate of return equal to or greater than the
MARR.
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Rule 1. When revenues and other economic benefits are present and vary among the alternatives, choose the
alternative that maximizes overall profitability. That is select the alternative that has the greatest
positive equivalent worth at i = MARR and satisfies all project requirements.
Rule 2. When revenues and other economic benefits are not present or are constant among the
alternatives, consider only the costs and select the alternative that minimizes total cost. That is select the
alternative that has the least negative equivalent worth at i = MARR and satisfies all project requirements.
Case 1. Useful lives are the same for all alternatives and equal to the study
period.
• The most straightforward technique for comparing mutually exclusive alternatives when
all useful lives are equal to the study period is to determine the equivalent worth of each
alternative based on total investment at i = MARR. Then for investment alternatives, the
one with the greatest positive equivalent worth is selected. And in the case of cost
alternatives, the one with the least negative equivalent worth is selected.
Alternatives A and B are two mutually exclusive investment alternatives with estimated
net cash flows as shown. Useful life of each alternative is 4 years. The MARR = 10% per
year. Investment alternatives are those with initial (or front-end) capital investments that
produce cash flows from increased revenue, savings through reduced costs, or both.
Alternative
A B
Capital investment -$60,000 -$73,000
Annual revenues less expenses 22,000 26,225
Since the PWA is > 0 at i=MARR, it is the base alternative and would be selected
unless the additional capital associated with Alternative B is justified. In this case, Alternative
B is preferred because it has a greater PW value.
Alternativ A = $22,000 Alternativ A = $26,225
$13,000
The extra benefits obtained by investing the additional $13,000 of capital in B, have a
present worth of:
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Alternatives C and D are two mutually exclusive cost alternatives with estimated net
cash flows as shown over a three-year life. MARR at 10% per year. Cost alternatives are
those with all negative cash flows except for a possible positive cash flow element from
disposal of assets at the end of the projects‟ useful life. It occurs when the organization must
take some action and the decision involves the most economical way of doing it (e.g. the
addition of environmental control capability to meet new regulatory requirements).
End of Alternative
Year C D
0 - -
P380,000 P415,000
1 - -
P38,100 P27,400
2 - -
P39,100 P27,400
3 - -
P40,100 P27,400
3a 0 P26,000
a
Market Value
PW (10%) C = - P477,077
PW (10%) D = - P463,607
Alternative D is preferred to C because it has the lesser PW of costs. Hence the lower
annual expenses obtained by investing the additional P35,000 of capital in Alternative D has
a present worth of - 463,607 – (- P477,077) = P13,470. Therefore, the additional capital
invested in Alternative D is justified.
Case 2. Useful lives are different among alternatives and at least one do not
match the study period.
When the useful lives of mutually exclusive alternatives are different, the
repeatability assumption and co-terminated assumption maybe used.
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co-terminated assumption uses a finite (limited) and identical study period for all
alternatives. This planning horizon, combined with appropriate adjustments to the
estimated cash flows, puts the alternatives on a common and comparable basis.
Guidelines:
1. Useful life < Study period
a. Cost alternatives: contracting for the service or leasing the needed equipment
for the remaining years maybe appropriate or repeat part of the useful life of the
original alternative, and then use an estimated market value to truncate it at the
end of the study period.
b. Investment alternatives: Assumption used here is that all cash flows will be
reinvested in other opportunities available to the firm at the MARR to the end of the
study period.
2. Useful life > Study period: The most common technique is to truncate the
alternative at the end of the study period using an estimated market value, that
the disposable assets will be sold at the end of the study period at that value.
Sample Problem. The following data have been estimated for two mutually exclusive
investment alternatives, A and B, associated with a small engineering project for which
revenues as well as expenses are involved. They have useful lives of four and six years,
respectively. If the MARR = 10% per year, show which alternative is more desirable by using
equivalent worth methods. Use the repeatability assumption.
A B
Capital investment -3,500 -5,000
Annual revenue 1,900 2,500
Annual expenses -645 -1,020
Useful life (years) 4 6
Market value at end of 0 0
useful life
Alt. B.
PW (10%) = -5,000 – 5,000 (P/F, 10%, 6) + (2,500 – 1,020) (P/A, 10%, 12)
= $2,262
Based on the PW method we would select Alternative B because it has the larger
value.
Suppose that the above problem is modified such that an analysis period of 6 years is
used (co-terminated assumption) instead of 12 years.
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Alt. A.
FW (10%) = [-3,500 (F/P, 10%, 4) + (1,900 – 645) (F/A, 10%, 4)] (F/P, 10%, 2)
= $847
Alt. B.
FW (10%) = -5,000 (F/P, 10%, 6) + (2,500 – 1,020) (F/A, 10%, 6)
= $2,561
Based on the FW of each alternative at the end of the six-year stuffy period, we would
select Alt. B because it has the larger value.
Other Method
We shall say that project 1 dominates project 2 if I1 ≤ I2 and R1 ≥ R2. Clearly, a
dominated project can never be the best of a mutually exclusive set. Further, for any
two projects-a standard and a challenger-define the incremental rate of return of the
challenger as
∆𝑖∗ = 𝑅𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔𝑒𝑟 − 𝑅𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑
𝐼𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑙𝑙𝑒𝑛𝑔𝑒𝑟 − 𝐼𝑠𝑡𝑎𝑛𝑑𝑎𝑟𝑑
Step 1 Eliminate any project whose investment exceeds the budget.
Step 2 Arrange the surviving projects in ascending order of investment (break
any investment-ties arbitrarily). Now eliminate any project that is
dominated by another project; the candidates that remain will be in
ascending order both of investment and of return. Compute i* for each
candidate.
Step 3 Eliminate from further consideration any candidate having i* < MARR.
Step 4 From the surviving candidates, select as the standard that candidate
which has the smallest investment.
Step 5 Compute the incremental rate of return of the challenger that immediately
succeeds the standard in the list of candidates.
Step 6 If ∆𝑖∗ ≤ 𝑀𝐴𝑅𝑅eliminate this challenger from further consideration and
repeat step 5 for the next challenger; if ∆𝑖∗ > 𝑀𝐴𝑅𝑅, eliminate the old
standard from further consideration, replace it with this challenger as the
new standard, and repeat step 5.
Step 7 Select the one surviving candidate: it is the best alternative.
Example 1
The KLN Company is attempting to determine the economically best size of
processor machine for their facilities. The six alternative machine sizes which are
feasible. Each machine has a life of 100 years and no salvage value, so that i* = R/I.
The company has a total capital budget of P350 000 and a MARR of 15%. Which
machine should they buy?
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Let us examine the logic of the selection algorithm, on the assumption that the
company can realize 15% (the MARR) by implementing the do-nothing alternative.
Consider the first comparison in Table 9-4. Super costs A I = P100 000 more than
Regular, and yields A/R = P11 000 more per year. If the company chose Super, it Let
us examine the logic of the selection algorithm, on the assumption that the company
can realize 15% (the MARR) by implementing the do-nothing alternative. Super costs
A I = P100 000 more than Regular, and yields AR = P11 000 more per year. If the
company chose Super, it
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economically superior machine has the larger i*-value. Note however, that the eventual
winner, Delux, has a smaller i*-value than Regular. As we have seen, when purchase
prices differ, a mere comparison of i*-values is not decisive; one must also consider
what will be done with any funds left over from the purchase of the cheaper machine.
Example 2
Using a 10% interest rate, determine which alternative, if any, should be
selected, based on net present worth.
Alternative A B
First Cost P5,300 P10,700
Uniform Annual Benefit 1,800 2,100
Useful life 4 years 8 years
Solution
Alternative A:
Alternative B:
NPW = 2,100(P/A, 10%, 8) - 10,700
= $503.50
Select alternative A
Example 3.
Mantuer Manufacturing Company is attempting to determine the "best7'-sized
milling machine for their production shop. Five alternative sizes are available. Mantuer
has a budget of $250 000, and MARR = 15%. Which size machine should they
purchase? Assume that n = 100 years and that the ultimate salvage value is zero for
each machine.
This situation involves mutually exclusive projects. The selection algorithm gives:
Step 1 Eliminate Super Delux.
Step 2 See Table above.
Step 3 Eliminate Economy.
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In this case, $30 000 will be left over from the original $250 000 budget.
Remember:
The best project is the one with the minimum present worth of cost as opposed to the
maximum present worth. Two conditions should hold for this to be valid:
(1) All projects have the same major benefit, and
(2) the estimated value of the major benefit clearly outweighs the projects’
costs, even if that estimate is imprecise.
Therefore, the “do nothing” option is rejected. The value of the major benefit is
ignored in further calculations since it is the same for all projects. We choose the
project with the lowest cost, considering secondary benefits as offsets to costs.
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Republic of the Philippines
NUEVA VIZCAYA STATE UNIVERSITY
Bayombong, Nueva Vizcaya
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However, the present worth of any money invested at the MARR is zero, since
the present worth of future receipts would exactly offset the current disbursement.
Consequently, if an independent project has a present worth greater than zero, it is
acceptable. If an independent project has a present worth less than zero, it is
unacceptable. If an independent project has a present worth of exactly zero, it is
considered marginally acceptable.
Example 4
A mechanical engineer is considering building automated materials-handling
equipment for a production line. On the one hand, the equipment would substantially
reduce the manual labor currently required to move items from one part of the
production process to the next. On the other hand, the equipment would consume
energy, require insurance, and need periodic maintenance.
Alternative 1: Continue to use the current method. Yearly labor costs are $9200.
Alternative 2: Build automated materials-handling equipment with an expected
service life of 10 years.
Example 5
A university lab is a research contractor to NASA for in-space fuel cell
systems that are hydrogen and methanol-based. During lab research, three
equal-service machines need to be evaluated economically. Perform the
present worth analysis with the costs shown below. The MARR is 10% per year.
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Solution
These are cost alternatives. The salvage values are considered a “negative”
cost, so a + sign precedes them. (If it costs money to dispose of an asset, the
estimated disposal cost has a - sign.) The PW of each machine is calculated at
i = 10% for n = 8 years. Use subscripts E , G , and S .
The solar-powered machine is selected since the PW of its costs is the lowest;
it has the numerically largest PW value.
Selecting the maximum PWj means that this bundle has a PW value larger than
any other bundle. Any bundle with PW j = 0 is discarded, because it does not
produce a return of at least the MARR.
Example 6
The projects review committee of Microsoft has $20 million to allocate next year
to new software product development. Any or all of five projects in Table 12–1 may
be accepted. All amounts are in $1000 units. Each project has an expected life of
9 years. Select the project(s) if a 15% return is expected.
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purposes only and not for commercial distribution,”
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NUEVA VIZCAYA STATE UNIVERSITY
Bayombong, Nueva Vizcaya
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1. There are 25 = 32 possible bundles. The eight bundles that require no more
than $20,000 in initial investments are described in columns 2 and 3 of Table. The
$21,000 investment for E eliminates it from all bundles.
2. The bundle net cash flows, column 4, are the sum of individual project net cash
flows.
3. Use Equation for PW to compute the present worth for each bundle. Since the
annual NCF and life estimates are the same for a bundle, PW j reduces to
PWj = NCFj (P/A ,15%,9) - NCFj0
4. Column 5 of Table above summarizes the PWj values at i = 15%. Bundle 2 does not
return 15%, since PW2 < 0. The largest is PW7 = $10,908; therefore, invest $14
million in C and D. This leaves $6 million uncommitted.
This analysis assumes that the $6 million not used in this initial investment will return
the MARR by placing it in some other, unspecified investment opportunity.
VI. LEARNING ACTIVITIES
Additional Information
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-kcjunUmrKM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2tGcIELpeQU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NgmzrHpfK3Y
VII. EVALUATION (Note: Not to be included in the student’s copy of the IM)
VIII. ASSIGNMENT
(PS No. 6)Answer the following questions in a HANDWRITTEN FORM using the format
1. There are five projects have been identified for possible implementation by JTG company
that makes ice cube machine. The total present worth of the initial investment for each
project is shown. Determine which bundles are possible, provided the budget limitation
is (a) $34,000 and (b) $45,000.
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purposes only and not for commercial distribution,”
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2. Tilson Dairies operates several cheese plants. The plants are all old and in need of
renovation. Tilson’s engineers have developed plans to renovate all of them. Each project
would have a positive present worth at the company’s MARR. Tilson has $3.5 million
available to invest in these projects. The following facts about the potential renovation
projects are available:
3. The Clearwater Company has a budget of $500000 which can be spent on the five
independents projects. If MARR = 20%, how should the budget be allocated?
IX. REFERENCES
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purposes only and not for commercial distribution,”
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NUEVA VIZCAYA STATE UNIVERSITY
Bayombong, Nueva Vizcaya
INSTRUCTIONAL MODULE
SULLIVAN, William G., Bontadelli James A, and Wicks, Elin M.. 2000. Engineering
Economy. 11th Edition. McMillan Pub. Co., New York: (recommended text book)
KASNER, E. Essentials of Engineering Economy. New York: Mc. Graw-Hill Book Co.
RIGGS, J.L., D.D. BEDWORTH., and S.U. RANDHAWA, S.U.1998. 4th Ed. Engineering
Economics . New York: Mc Graw-Hill.
SEPULVEDA, J., SOUDER, W., GOTTFRIED, S.. Theory and Problems of Engineering
Economics. McGraw-Hill Companies:USA. 1984
THUESEN, G.J. and W.J. FABRICKY, W. J. Engineering Economy. New Jersey: Prentice
Hall, Inc. 1989.
Websites:
http://www.investopedia.com/terms/
www.eng.auburn.edu/~park/cee.html
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purposes only and not for commercial distribution,”
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