THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Course: Engineering Probability and Statistics

School of Industrial Engineering and Management

FINAL EXAMINATION

LOGISTICS AND SUPPLY CHAIN MANAGEMENT Duration:

120 minutes
Dean of School of Lecturer: Student ID: Date:
Industrial Engineering Dec, 2019
and Management: Dr. Phan Nguyen Ky Phuc
Name:

Dr. Nguyen Van Hop Ms. Nguyen Thi My Hanh

INSTRUCTIONS:
1. This is an open book examination.
2. Calculator and dictionary are allowed. Student takes 2 decimal digits in calculation.
3. Laptop, mobile phone, discussion and materials transfer are strictly prohibited.
Total pages: 05 (including this page)

Question 1: (15 pts)

The time to repair an electronic instrument is a normally distributed random variable measured in
hours. The repair times for 16 such instruments chosen at random are as follows:

a) Set up appropriate hypotheses and test for investigating this issue. Use .

b) Construct a 95 percent confidence interval on mean repair time.

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 THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Course: Engineering Probability and Statistics
School of Industrial Engineering and Management

Question 2: (15 pts)

The following are the burning times (in minutes) of chemical flares of two different formulations.
The design engineers are interested in both the mean and variance of the burning times

a) Test the hypothesis that the two variances are equal. Use .

b) Assumed that two variances are equal, test the hypothesis that the mean burning times are
equal. Use .

Question 3: (20 pts)

The tensile strength of Portland cement is being studied. Four different mixing techniques can be
used economically. A completely randomized experiment was conducted and the following data
were collected: Analyze the data from this experiment (use α=0.05) and draw conclusions.
Technique Tensile Strength
1 3129 3000 2865 2890
2 3200 3300 2975 3150
3 2800 2900 2985 3050
4 2600 2700 2600 2765

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 THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Course: Engineering Probability and Statistics
School of Industrial Engineering and Management

Question 4: (20 pts)

A study was performed on wear of a bearing y and its relationship to x1 oil viscosity and x2 load.
The following data were obtained:

No y X1 X2
1 160.7045105 100 114
2 206.0939375 132 134
3 270.5334385 151 98
4 154.106724 99 95
5 128.9484191 84 104
6 201.2957487 122 100
7 137.9861501 91 119
8 236.2158622 150 130

The result after making analysis is given as follow:

ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 9262.99772
Residual
Total 18659.18791

Standard
  Coefficients Error
Intercept 35.86725182 15.51762953
X1 2.022718328 0.076818746
X2 -0.772485225 0.13596799

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 THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Course: Engineering Probability and Statistics
School of Industrial Engineering and Management

a) Filling the blank of ANOVA table and make the proper conclusion
b) Write down the regression model and calculate the value of y at x1 = 2 and x2 =100
c) Conduct the proper test to consider whether some inputs can be excluded from the model.
Question 5: (15 pts)
The school of Industrial Engineering and Management would like to add a module into the
curriculum to help students increase their scores. Scores of 10 random students collected before
and after the module is applied are shown below:
Student Pre – module score Post – module score
1 77 72
2 80 81
3 69 68
4 73 73
5 73 75
6 72 70
7 75 73
8 77 75

a. At 5% level of significance, should the school still add the module in the curriculum?
b. Construct the 99% confidence interval for µ1 - µ2 = µd from these data.
Question 6: (15 pts)
The following data indicate the effect of mixing on temperature of wood pulp

Hours of mixing Temperature of wood pulp

2 21
4 27
6 29
8 64
10 86
12 92

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 THE INTERNATIONAL UNIVERSITY (IU) Course: Engineering Probability and Statistics
School of Industrial Engineering and Management

a. Write the regression equation to show the relationship between dependent variable and
independent variable
b. Estimate the expected temperature of the wood pulp when we use 20 hours of mixing.

GOOD LUCKS!