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3.MODULE 2.1 Shelter Needs Assessment
3.MODULE 2.1 Shelter Needs Assessment
Assumptions:
1. There are 4,287 households occupying danger areas
2. There are 4,105 households targeted for relocation.
3. 182 households will not be relocated because _____________________.
LSP Worksheet No. 1-2
Assumptions:
4.There are 1,203 households affected by road widening
project.
TOTAL
Assumption:
6. There is 0 households affected by court order for demolition and
eviction.
LSP Worksheet No. 1-4
TOTAL 104
Assumption:
7. There are 104 households living in private property owned by LMC
Corporation that have threats of demolition/eviction.
LSP Worksheet No. 1-5
5. Those not affected by 1,2,3 & 4 and whose land owners are willing to
sell property to occupants
Name of HOA Location Land No. of Sex of HH Head Target Year of
Owner of Families/H relocation/
occupied lot Hs No. of No. of implementation
Males Females
Brgy. 1 LGU 119
Brgy. Lantad S. Ledesma 538
Brgy. Balaring Ramon 215
Margarito
Brgy. E. Caridad 459
Lopez Magbanua
Brgy. LGU 1,145
Mambulac
San Rafael Brgy. 5 Gina 89
HOAI Adriano
Sunset View Brgy. Rizal Mario 41
HOAI Samillano
TOTAL 2,606
Assumption:
8. There are 2,606 informal settler households whose land owners are
willing to sell the property to them. These can be applied for under
CMP.
LSP Worksheet No. 1-6
6. Potential for displacement due to climate change Sex of HH Head Target Year of
Potential Cause Location Land Owner No. of No. of No. of relocation/
of Displacement of occupied Families/H Males Females implementation
lot Hs
Sea Level Rise Brgy. Public land 1,439
Mambulac
Sea Level Rise Brgy. Public land 157
Guimbalaon
Sea Level Rise Brgy. Public land 1,121
Guinhalaran
TOTAL 2,717
Assumption:
9. There are 2,717 households along the shorelines that can be potentially affected by sea level
rise in the future. They are targeted for relocation in 2022 in case the proposed sea wall is not
built.
LSP Worksheet No. 1-7
POPULATION PROJECTION
Data as Base 1st Planning 2nd 3rd
of Year Period Planning Planning Year X – Latest census year
Latest Period Period Year A – Base Year
Census Year B – first year of 1st Planning
Year X Year A Year B Year C Year D Year E Period
2015 2017 2018 2020 2023 2027 Year C – last year of 1st Planning
2020 2021 2022 2024 2027 2031 Period
HH 120,999 123,847 125,296 128,245 132,799 139,124 Year D – last year of 2nd Planning
Population Period
No. of 26,889 27,522 27,844 28,499 29,511 30,916 Year E - last year of 3rd Planning
Households Period
Average 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5
HH size
Housing 26,541 27,138
stock
DEFINITIONS:
Household population is the population
enumerated in private households during a
census (number of people belonging to a
household during the census). This figure is
derived from PSA.
Given:
Solution:
Formula:
Doubled-up Households = Housing Stock x Percentage of HH per Dwelling Unit
Given:
Households = 27,522
Housing stock in base year = 27,138
Household per Dwelling Unit in base year = 1.0131 or 1.31% of Housing
Stock
Solution:
Note. The estimate for future displacement need should not include any
household affected by a disaster where the house is lost but where it would be
possible to rebuild the dwelling unit in the same place.
Housing Stock is also known as occupied dwelling units. Census data on this
can be secured from PSA. However, the number of housing stock for the base
year is oftentimes not available (unless it falls on a censal year). Then, just
make an estimate by subtracting the number of homeless households from the
number of households and dividing this by number of households per dwelling
unit (see box below for illustration).
Formula:
Base Year Housing Stock = No. of households in base year – Homeless
Household per dwelling unit
Given:
Solution:
Solution:
POPULATION PROJECTION
Formula: P 2 = P1 (1 + r) nth
• doubled-up HHs
• displaced units
• homeless HHs/individuals
LSP Worksheet No. 2
BASIC DATA AND PROJECTIONS
POPULATION PROJECTION
Data as Base 1st Planning 2nd 3rd
of Year Period Planning Planning
Latest Period Period
Census Year X – Latest census year
Year X Year A Year B Year C Year D Year E Year A – Base Year
2015 2017 2018 2020 2023 2027 Year B – first year of 1st Planning
HH 120,999 123,847 125,296 128,245 132,799 139,124 Period
Population
Year C – last year of 1st Planning
No. of 26,889 27,522 27,844 28,499 29,511 30,916
Period
Households
Average 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 Year D – last year of 2nd Planning
HH size Period
Housing 26,541 27,138 Year E - last year of 3rd Planning
stock Period
BACKLOG
(ACCUMMULATED NEEDS)
LSP Worksheet No. 3-1
NEW HOUSING UNITS NEEDED
New units needed due to BACKLOG
ACCUMMULATED NEEDS (Backlog) Total Annual Program Period
Doubled-up (1.31 % of HS) 356 51 2016-2022 (7yrs)
Homeless 28 14 2014-2015 (2 years)
Displaced 8,025 2013-2022 (10 yrs)
Brgy. 1 154 702 2013
DISPLACED households
Brgy. 2 274
Brgy. Lantad
Household Size 909
4.5 Homeless 454 2020
28
Housing Stock 27,138
455 2021
Brgy. Balaring 515 515 2022
Brgy. E. Lopez 759 759 2023
Brgy. Hawaiian 1,893 946 2024
947 2025
Brgy. Mambulac 1,439 1,439 2026
Brgy. Guinhalaran 1,121 1,278 2027
Brgy. Guimbalaon 157
TOTAL BACKLOG 8,409
SUMMARY OF NEW UNITS NEEDED DUE TO
BACKLOG AND FUTURE NEED
Total New
Units Needed
LSP Worksheet No. 3-1
Year Doubled-up Displaced Homeless Population Annual Total Total for the
Increase planning
period
2018 702 325 1,027 2,691
2019 530 14 326 870
2020 454 14 326 794
2021 50 455 337 842 2,893
2022 51 515 337 903
2023 51 759 338 1,148
2024 51 946 351 1,348 6,219
2025 51 947 351 1,349
2026 51 1,439 351 1,841
2027 51 1,278 352 1,681
11,803
Total New
Units Needed
Backlog
Year Doubled- Displaced Homeless Future Annual Total for
up Need Total the
planning
period
2013 702 325 1,027 2,691
2014 530 14 326 870
2015 454 14 326 794
2016 50 455 337 842 2,893
2017 51 515 337 903
2018 51 759 338 1,148
2019 51 946 351 1,348 6,219
2020 51 947 351 1,349
2021 51 1,439 351 1,841
2022 51 1,278 352 1,681
11,803
INSTRUCTIONS:
1) SOLVE FOR:
- Total new units needed due to backlog and
future need
- Summary of new units needed
Upgrading Needs
2. SET TARGETS TO ADDRESS
UPGRADING NEEDS
Upgrading Needs
Definition Upgrading need is defined as the
need for improving land tenure status, e.g.
provision of minimum security of tenure as in
a written contract to possessing a title to the
land; access to basic services, e.g. macadam
road to paved road; and house condition, e.g.
from semi-permanent to permanent
structure.
Worksheets to be filled-up
Worksheet 4-1 TENURE UPGRADING
Assumption:
16. Households with Adequate Tenure refer to those that possess legal
instruments (title, mortgage papers, deed of sale, contract to sell, deed
of donation) over the land they occupy, making them formal settlers.
Those who do not enjoy this are targeted for Tenure Upgrading and they
total to 2,710.
Location % of housing Total Annual
stock
10.00 2,710
Brgy. Mambulac 1,145 572
573
Brgy. E. Lopez 459 459
Brgy. Lantad 538 538
Brgys. 1, 119 568
Brgy. 5 89
Brgy. Rizal 41
Brgy. Balaring 215
Brgy. Ginhalaran 104
Base Year Housing Stock = 27,138
2. Infrastructure Upgrading Needs
Assumptions:
17. Adequate power supply means there is/are legitimate power provider(s) in the
area that can provide power connections & services to households anytime they
apply for such connection and service. Households located in areas not yet
served by these providers are targeted for upgrading of power facility.
18. Households without power connections but are residing in areas served by power
providers are not considered as needing upgrading.
Assumptions:
19. Adequate potable water supply is water from the local water district,
licensed commercial water re-filling stations, and level III water system.
Households not having access to all or any of these service.s
20. Adequate potable water supply means there is/are legitimate water
provider(s) in the area that can supply potable water and/or provide
connections & services to households anytime they apply for such
connection and service. Sources of potable water are the local water
district, licensed commercial water re-filling stations, and level III water
system. Households located in areas not yet served by these providers are
targeted for upgrading of access to potable water.
21. Households not getting potable water from these sources but are residing
in areas served by these providers are not considered as needing
upgrading.
2-2. HHs w/o adequate potable water supply
Location % of housing stock Total Annual Program Period
19,012 2022-2027
Brgy. Rizal 1,349 3,475 2022
Brgy. Lantad 892
Brgy. Mambulac 1,234
Brgy. Balaring 70.05 1,527 3,809 2023
Brgy. 2 986
Brgy. 5 1,296
Brgy. Balaring 1,069 3,098 2024
Brgy. Guinhalaran 1,439
Brgy. Milibili 590
Brgy. Bonbon 1,367 3,401 2025
Brgy. Poblacion 2,034
Brgy. 6 502 2,877 2026
Brgy. 7 450
Brgy. 8 408
Brgy.9 209
Brgy. Tanque Datiles 331
Brgy. Tanque Isla Bonita 347
Brgy. Cuadra 351
Brgy. Baybay 279
Alba Village Dinginan 207 2,352 2027
Sitio Luyo, Culasi 573
Brgy. Libas 37
Brgy. Bolo 1,100
Brgy. Banica-Asis 379
BLISS Cagay 56
Assumption:
22. HHs with adequate sanitary facility refer to those that have, at the very
least, 1 water-sealed toilet, exclusively used by 1 HH, with a depository.
Those who do not enjoy this are targeted for sanitary facility upgrading
Assumption:
23. Adequate drainage system, at the minimum, is one that is compliant
with BP 220 standards which is concrete lined canal with adequate
capacity and with load bearing cover. Households occupying areas that
do not have this kind of drainage system are targeted for upgrading.
4,356 2022-2025
Brgy. 5 16.05 796 1,003 2022
Alba Village Dinginan 207
Brgy. Bolo 206 1,075 2023
Brgy. Balaring 869
Brgy. Banica-Asis 179 1,283 2024
Brgy. 6 445
Brgy. 7 659
Brgy. Guinhalaran 939 995 2025
BLISS Cagay 56
Assumption 26:
• Structures needing upgrading refer to unacceptable housing units such as
dilapidated or condemned housing structures which do not have proper roofing,
walling and flooring materials.