Professional Documents
Culture Documents
07 The Valuation of Security
07 The Valuation of Security
07 The Valuation of Security
TABLE OF CONTENTS
LEARNING OBJECTIVES ................................................................................... 2
ABSTRACT .......................................................................................................... 2
6.1 INTRODUCTION ............................................................................................ 3
6.2 BOND ............................................................................................................. 4
Page 1 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
At the end of this chapter, you will be able to:
• Explain and compute different valuation methods for bonds and shares
• Explain the key characteristics of securities.
ABSTRACT
This chapter looks at the different types of securities and that is bond and shares. The
characteristics of each type of securities are explained. Different valuation methods are discussed
and computational examples are shown.
Page 2 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
6.1 INTRODUCTION
Major securities that are traded in the capital market include bonds and stocks. One of the most
important types of securities to firms or investors is bond. Bond is a long-term contract used by
business and government to raise large sums of money. The holders of the bonds are promised
to make payments of interest and principal on a specific date. Stock, on the other hand, is a
certificate informing the holder the number of shares the holder owns in a company. The
certificate entitles the holder a profit sharing in the business, payable in the form of dividends.
There are two types of stock; preferred stock and common stock.
Page 3 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
6.2 BOND
One of the factors that make bonds appealing is that they pay a set amount of interest on a
regular basis. It also can provide investors with two kinds of return: current income (coupon
payments) and capital gains. Basically, there are four main types of bonds: treasury bonds,
corporate bonds, municipal bonds, and foreign bonds as shown in Figure 1.
Although all bonds have some common characteristics, they do not always have the same
contractual provision features. These differences affect the values and risk of the bonds. There
are four key features of a bond: par value, coupon interest rate, maturity date, and call provision.
The value of bond depends on three factors: (1) Market interest rate, (2) Terms of the contract,
and (3) Default risk.
Par Value
Par value is the amount owed to the issuer of the bond to the bondholder, and it is usually in
multiples of RM1000.It is also called face value.
Page 4 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
Most bonds no longer have actual coupons; rather the interest is deposited to the bondholders
account or it is left to accumulate.
Some bonds have zero coupons, called zero coupon bonds, are bonds that do not pay coupons
at all. However, these types of bonds are issued at a substantial discount below the par values.
Thus, it provides capital gain rather than interest income.
Floating rate bonds are bonds where the coupon payments vary over time with shifts in the
general level of interest rates.
Maturity Date
Maturity date is the date on which the last payment is due. Most bonds have original maturities
that are the maturity at the time the bond is issued, normally from 10 to 40 years. However, any
maturity date, even 100 years, is legally allowed.
Call Provision
Call provision is a feature in the bond that gives the issuing corporation the right to call the bond
for redemption before the maturity date. Issuer can refund if interest rates decline. The call
amount to be paid to the bondholder is usually greater than the par value of the bond. This is
known as a call premium.
Bonds are said to have call protection when deferred call occurs, that is bonds are not callable
until several years after they are issued.
In general, callable bonds pay higher coupons than standard coupon bonds to compensate for
the fact that the issuer reserves the right to call the bond back.
Apart from the above four key features of a bond, there are also several other features, as
explained below.
• Sinking fund
Sinking fund is a provision on bonds that requires the issuer to retire a portion of the bond
issue each year.
The idea of having sinking fund feature is to protect bondholder by ensuring that an issue
is retired in an orderly fashion. Company who fails to meet the sinking fund requirement
causes the bond to be thrown into default and hence force the company into bankruptcy.
Sinking fund feature on bonds can be done in two ways:
Page 5 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
1. Using the least-cost method where a percentage of the bonds are called for redemption
each year at par value by numbering the bonds serially. Those called bonds for
redemption are terminated.
Bonds with sinking fund are regarded as being safer than those without sinking fund
provision, because it has lower coupon rates.
• Convertible bond
Bonds with convertible provision allow the bond to be exchanged into common stock, at a
fixed price and at the option of the bondholder. Convertible bonds have lower coupon
rate than non-convertible bonds. Thus, offer investors capital gain.
• Warrant
Like convertible bonds, bonds with warrant provision give options to the bondholder to
buy common stock at certain price. Therefore, it offers lower coupon rate.
• Income bond
Income bonds are bonds where payments of interest are required only when earnings are
available for the payment. It is commonly issued by reorganization of a failed organization
or failing firm.
The market for newly issued stocks is referred to as the primary market. After the bond or stock
has been issued, investors can sell their bonds at any time until maturity. The market where
bonds are bought and sold (exchanged or traded) among investors is called the secondary
market.
Page 6 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
• When market interest rates rise, newly issued bonds pays a higher coupon rate than the
previous bonds. Therefore, investing in a newly issued bond is more attractive. The value
of the "old" bond falls because of the relatively low coupon rate.
• When market interest rates fall, the newly issued bonds pay a lower coupon rate than the
previous bonds. Bonds that were issued at a higher level of market interest rates are
therefore more attractive than newly issued bonds. The value of "old" bonds increases.
Thus, the higher the market interest rates, the less valuable the bond, and vise versa.
As mentioned above, an increase in interest rate will hurt bondholders because it will lead to a
decline in the value of a bond portfolio. A decrease in interest rate will also hurt the bondholders
because it will result to reduction in their income. This is known as reinvestment rate risk. For
example, consider a retiree who has a portfolio of bonds and lives off the income they produce.
The bonds, an average, have a coupon rate of 10 percent. Now suppose that interest rates
decline to 5 percent. Many of the bonds will be called, and as calls occur, the bondholders will
have to replace 10 percent bonds with 5 percent bonds. Even bonds that are not callable will
mature, and when they do, they will be replaced with lower-yielding bonds. Thus, our retiree will
suffer a reduction of income.
Take note that interest rate risk relates to the value of the bonds in a portfolio, while reinvestment
rate of risk relates to the income the portfolio produces.
Page 7 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
a. Coupon rate
Higher coupon bond has more value for an investor than the lower coupon bond and
should be more expensive than the lower coupon bond. However, if both bonds have the
same price you would prefer to buy the one that gives you the higher coupons.
When rate of return, kd higher than coupon rate, the bond is said sell at discount. When
this occur, the price of bonds will continue to rise, interest yield will always be positive
(grows smaller) and capital gain yield will always be positive as well.
However, bond is said sell at premium when rate of returns smaller than the coupon rate.
Therefore, price of bonds will continue to fall, interest yield will always be positive (grow
bigger) and capital gain yield will always be negative.
The higher the coupon rate, the more valuable the bond.
Page 8 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
b. Maturity date
Assume that you have two bonds that are similar in all respects except for the maturity
date. Which bond has more value? The answer depends on how high the market interest
rate is in comparison to the coupon rate.
o If the market interest rate were higher than the coupon rate, you would prefer to
receive the face value back quickly, in order to reinvest it at a better rate. In this case,
the shorter the time to maturity, the better.
o Conversely, if the market interest rate is lower than the coupon rate, the bond that
has the most coupon payments has higher value.
Default Risk
Issuer means the possibility of the bond issuer to pay back the principal and interest, called
default risk. If the issuer defaults, investors receive less than the promised return on the bond,
and vise versa. Therefore, investors need to value a bond's default risk before making a
purchase.
• If the default risk premium of a bond is high, the higher the bond's yield to maturity. The
default risk on treasury securities is zero, but default risk can be substantial for corporate
and municipal bonds.
• If both bonds were the same price you would choose the issuer in whom you have the
greatest confidence in debt repayment ability. For the same return, you want to minimize
your risk.
Another way to assess a bond's default risk is through its credit ranking, as shown below.
Single-A and triple-B are also strong enough bonds, called investment grade bonds. They are the
lowest rated bonds that many banks and other institutional investors are permitted by law to hold.
Page 9 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
The higher the credit ranking, the more valuable the bond. The lower the credit ranking, the
higher the coupon rate needs to be in order to compensate for the risk.
Bond with high-risk and high-yields are called junk bonds. These bonds have a significant
probability of going into default.
Page 10 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
or
Figure 6: Equation to find Value of Bond
Unlike the coupon interest rate, which is fixed, the bond's yield varies depending on current
market condition. In this situation, bond's yields can be valued in three situations:
1. Yield to maturity,
2. Yield to call, and
3. Current yield.
For example, on January 1, 1998, Deltacom Corporation Berhad issues a 10 percent coupon
interest rate, 10-year bond with a RM1, 000 par value that pays interest annually, at an issuing
price of RM1, 080. Find the yield to maturity for this bond.
Page 11 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
VB = INT(PVIFAkd, N) + M(PVIFkd, N)
Using trial and error approach, recall that the lower the discount rate (k d), the higher the present
value (VB), and the higher the discount rate, the lower the present value. If 10% coupon rate
would result RM1, 000 present value, then for RM1, 080 the value of kd is less than 10%.
Trying kd = 9%
Because the value of RM1, 134 at 8% return is higher than RM1, 080 and the RM1, 063.80 value
at 9% return is lower than RM1, 080 the bond's YTM must be between 8% and 9%. The YTM can
be estimated by using the internal rate of return (IRR) approach.
IRR = A + [ a X (B - A)]
(a-b)
where,
For example, Deltacom Corporation Berhad issued bonds with a RM1, 000 par value and 10
percent coupon rate. These bonds were called at a price of RM1, 100 when the 10 percent
Page 12 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
interest rate fell to 5 percent. The fallen in interest rate had risen the price of the bond to RM1,
494.93. The bond's YTC can be calculated using the formula below:
IRR = A + [a X (B - A)]
(a-b)
Assume that: A = 4%
B = 5%
a = RM1,554.25 - RM1,080 = + RM59.32
b = RM1 ,447.46 - RM1 ,080 = - RM47.47
Thus, YTC = 4%+ [ 59.32 X (5% - 4%)]
59.32-(-47.47)
= 4.56%
Page 13 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
However, current yield is not an accurate measure of the bond's total expected return because it
does not take into account of capital gains or losses when bond's is held until maturity.
Page 14 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
Basically, there are two types of stock, common stock and preferred stock. Both common and
preferred stock represent an ownership interest in a publicly held corporation. They represent a
legal claim on a company's assets and are traded by investors.
Preferred stock is a special form of ownership having a fixed periodic dividend that must be paid
prior to payment of any common stock dividends. Preferred stocks too have their own features,
which are:
• Restrictive covenants
Stocks with restrictive covenants provision are aimed to ensure the existence of the firm,
and most important, regular payment of the stated dividend.
• Accumulation
Most preferred stock is cumulative that is all dividends in arrears must be paid along with
the current dividend prior to the payment of dividends do common stockholders. If the
preferred stock is non-cumulative, the unpaid dividends no not cumulate. In this case,
only current dividend must be paid prior to paying dividends to common stockholders.
• Participation
Most preferred stocks are nonparticipating, which means preferred stockholders receive
only the specified dividend payments. The participating preferred stocks are only included
when the firm considers they needed funds badly.
• Callable
Preferred stock is generally callable. This means the issuer can retire outstanding stock
within certain period of time at a specified price, normally above the initial issuance price.
Preferred stocks can only be called after a few years since the issuance date.
Page 15 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
• Conversion
Preferred stocks usually contains conversion feature. It allows preferred stockholders to
change each share into a stated number of shares on common stock.
The risk of the stockholder is very different from the bondholder. The major concerns for the
bondholder are the degree of solvency of the borrower and changes in interest rates. The
stockholders however, more concern about dividend earned and capital gained.
Page 16 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
Assume that Deltacom Corporation Berhad paid a fixed dividend of RM1.15 per stock. Its stock
has a required rate of return, kps , of 13.4 percent.
Vps = DPS
kPS
= 1.15
13.4%
= RM8.58
Page 17 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
People typically buy common stock expecting to earn dividends plus a capital gain. Common
stocks can either be held privately or publicly. Firms that are small and their common stocks are
not actively traded; owned by only a few people are called privately owned or closely held
corporations. However, the companies are said publicly owned corporations when their stocks
are owned by a large number of stockholders. Both stockholders have a control over the firm's
operation.
• Proxy - a legal document giving one person the authority to act for another. In business,
it generally refers to the instructions given by a shareholder with regard to voting shares
of common stock.
• Proxy fight - an attempt by a person or group to gain control of a firm by getting
stockholders to grant that person or group the authority to vote their shares to replace the
current management.
• Takeover - An action whereby a person or group succeeds in ejecting a firm's
management and taking control of a company.
• Preemptive right - right of the current shareholders to purchase any new shares issued
in proportion to their current holdings. It is usually stated in every stockholders grant,
however, sometimes it can be excluded.
Figure 12 below shows the differences between preferred stock and common stock.
Figure 12: The Differences Between Preferred Stock and Common Stock
Page 18 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
Po = value of stock
Dt = dividend expected at the end of year t
ks = required rate of return on the stock
The time pattern of dividend not necessarily constant. It can fluctuate randomly or even zero for
several years. Therefore, valuation of common stock can be classified into three approaches: (1)
Constant growth, (2) zero growth, or (3) non-constant growth stock.
This model is only appropriate and meaningful for mature companies with stable history of growth
and in a situation where the required rate of return, k s, is greater than the growth rate, g.
The estimated dividend to be received can be calculated using the formula below.
Page 19 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
where,
For example, Deltacom Corporation Berhad just paid a dividend of RM1.15. Its stock has a
required rate of return of 13.4 percent, and investors expect the dividend to grow at a constant 8
percent rate in the future. Calculate the value of the constant growth stock.
P0 = RM1.15(1 + 8%)
0.134 - 0.08
= RM23.00
For example, Deltacom Corporation Berhad paid a dividend of RM1.15. Its stock has a required
rate of return of 13.4 percent and the dividends are not expected to grow at all in the future.
Calculate the value of zero growth stock.
P0 = D
ks
= RM1.15
13.4%
= RM8.58
Page 20 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
It is actually almost impossible to get an accurate forecast of the most profitable stock. However,
by using stock market equilibrium diagram we can at least estimate and buy stocks that give
more than the minimum return we want. The market equilibrium can be shown graphically using
the Security Market Line (SML).
SML is actually based on efficient market assumption which there are many small investors, each
having the same information and expectations (high returns and lower risk) with respect to
securities.
Investors believe that stock prices react rapidly and objectively to new information available. This
theory is called Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) theory.
There are three forms or level of information that lead price of stock to change, which are:
• Weak-form efficiency
• Semi strong-form efficiency
• Strong-form efficiency
Weak-form Efficiency
Where all information on past or history price movements fully reflected or incorporated current
market price. If this fact holds, trend analysis is useless for predicting future price changes and
will not allow an investor to earn abnormal returns.
Page 21 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
Strong-form Efficiency
The strong-form EMH stipulates that private or public (even insider information) information too, is
quickly incorporated by market prices and therefore cannot be used to reap abnormal trading
profits.
Besides that, most investors also belief that the marginal investors are the people who determine
the actual stock's price because their action in the stock trading reflects the current investors
trading behavior.
Page 22 of 23
Course Name: Principles of Finance
Chapter 5: The Security Valuation
ADDITIONAL MATERIALS
Hyperlinks
• Bond Valuation
http://www.teachmefinance.com/bondvaluation.html
• Stock Valuation
http://www.teachmefinance.com/stockvaluation.html
QUESTIONS
Refer to the EQ.
Page 23 of 23