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Zscore 3
Zscore 3
Standard deviation and the Z-score are two such fundamentals. Z-scores can
help traders gauge the volatility of securities. The score shows how far away
from the mean—either above or below—a value is situated. Standard
deviation is a statistical measure that shows how elements are dispersed
around the average, or mean. Standard deviation helps to indicate how a
particular investment will perform, so, it is a predictive calculation.
A firm grasp of how to calculate and utilize these two measurements enables
a more thorough analysis of patterns and changes in any data set, from
business expenditures to stock prices.
KEY TAKEAWAYS
Standard deviation defines the line along which a particular data point
lies.
Z-score indicates how much a given value differs from the standard
deviation.
The Z-score, or standard score, is the number of standard deviations a
given data point lies above or below mean.
Standard deviation is essentially a reflection of the amount of variability
within a given data set.
Bollinger Bands are a technical indicator used by traders and analysts
to assess market volatility based on standard deviation.
Z-Score
The Z-score, or standard score, is the number of standard deviations a given
data point lies above or below the mean. The mean is the average of all
values in a group, added together, and then divided by the total number of
items in the group.
To calculate the Z-score, subtract the mean from each of the individual data
points and divide the result by the standard deviation. Results of zero show
the point and the mean equal. A result of one indicates the point is one
standard deviation above the mean and when data points are below the
mean, the Z-score is negative.
In most large data sets, 99% of values have a Z-score between -3 and 3,
meaning they lie within three standard deviations above or below the mean.
In investing, when the Z-score is higher it indicates that the expected returns
will be volatile, or are likely to be different from what is expected.
A Bollinger Band® is a technical indicator used by traders and analysts to
assess market volatility based on standard deviation. Simply put, they are a
visual representation of the Z-score. For any given price, the number of
standard deviations from the mean is reflected by the number of Bollinger
Bands between the price and the exponential moving average (EMA).1
Standard Deviation
Standard deviation is essentially a reflection of the amount of variability within
a given data set. It shows the extent to which the individual data points in a
data set vary from the mean. In investing, a large standard deviation means
that more of your data points deviate from the norm, so the investment will
either outperform or underperform similar securities. A small standard
deviation means that more of your data points are clustered near the norm
and returns will be closer to the expected results.
The standard deviation can be visualized as a bell curve, with a flatter, more
spread-out bell curve representing a large standard deviation and a steep, tall
bell curve representing a small standard deviation.