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    The document discusses the theory of "turnings" - 80-100 year cycles in history composed of four seasons or phases: High, Awakening, Unraveling, and Crisis. Each turning shapes the generation born during that phase. The current turning began in the late 1960s with an Awakening period and may be entering a Crisis phase. Examples of previous turnings include the Reformation, Civil War, and World Wars I and II periods. The theory aims to understand history through recurring generational cycles rather than a linear progression.

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    The document discusses the theory of "turnings" - 80-100 year cycles in history composed of four seasons or phases: High, Awakening, Unraveling, and Crisis. Each turning shapes the generation born during that phase. The current turning began in the late 1960s with an Awakening period and may be entering a Crisis phase. Examples of previous turnings include the Reformation, Civil War, and World Wars I and II periods. The theory aims to understand history through recurring generational cycles rather than a linear progression.

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    © All Rights Reserved
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    265 views13 pages

    The Fourth Turning An American Prophecy William Strauss Neil Howe - Compress

    Uploaded by

    mag
    The document discusses the theory of "turnings" - 80-100 year cycles in history composed of four seasons or phases: High, Awakening, Unraveling, and Crisis. Each turning shapes the generation born during that phase. The current turning began in the late 1960s with an Awakening period and may be entering a Crisis phase. Examples of previous turnings include the Reformation, Civil War, and World Wars I and II periods. The theory aims to understand history through recurring generational cycles rather than a linear progression.

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    of 13

    THE FOURTH TURNING

    An American Prophecy
    William Strauss
    Neil Howe
    1997
    WHAT IS A TURNING?
    • A FOUR CYCLE PHASE OF HISTORICAL
    TIME

    • COVERING 80-100 YEARS (A SAECULUM)

    • ROUGHLY EQUAL TO A FULL HUMAN LIFE

    • INCLUDING FOUR GENERATIONS


    WHAT IS A “TURNING”?
    CHARACTERIZED BY SUCCEEDING
    “SEASONS”

    1. GROWTH AND STRENGTH (HIGH)

    2. AWAKENING AND MATURATION

    3. ENTROPY AND UNRAVELING

    4. CRISIS AND DESTRUCTION


    WHAT IS A “TURNING”?

    GENERATIONS SHAPED BY SEASON OF


    BIRTH

    • Prophet generation born during HIGH


    • Nomad generation born during
    AWAKENING
    • Hero generation born during
    UNRAVELING
    • Artist generation born during CRISIS
    WHAT IS A “SAECULUM”?
    • ANCIENT ETRUSCAN (BellaToscana!) TERM
    • ADOPTED BY THE ROMANS
    • A FULL FOUR PHASE HUMAN LIFE
    – Childhood (Spring)
    – Rising Adult (Summer)
    – Middle Age (Fall)
    – Elder (Winter)
    • HENCE “AN AGE” – History in your bones!
    HISTORIOGRAPHICAL
    INTERLUDE
    HOW SHALL WE THINK ABOUT
    TIME?

    CIRCLE o
    LINE

    SPIRAL
    “Turnings” of the “War Cycle”

    • Overture: Italian Wars (1491-1525)


    • 1st Cycle:(Phillip II Imperial Wars (1568-
    1609)
    • 2nd Cycle: War of Sp. Succession(1672-
    1713)
    • 3rd Cycle: French Rev./Napoleonic(1792-
    1815)
    • 4th Cycle: WWI-WWII (1914-1945)
    AWAKENING CYCLE

    • Protestant Reformation (1530s-1540s)


    • Puritan Awakening (1630s-1640s)
    • Pietist Awakening (1740s-1750s)
    • Evangelical-Utopian Awakening (1830s-
    40s)
    • New Age Awakening (1960s-1970s)
    Modern American Life Cycle

    • Childhood: 0-20 --receiving, acquiring


    • Young Adult (21-41) –serving, testing
    • Midlife (42-62) power; managing, applying
    • Elderhood (63-83) leadership; transferring
    • Late Elder (84+) dependence;
    remembering
    Generations and WWII
    Birth Years
    PROGRESSIVE 1843-1859 W. Wilson
    MISSIONARY 1860-1882 FDR
    LOST 1883-1900 Eisenhower
    G.I. 1901-1924 JFK
    SILENT 1925-1942 M. DUKAKIS
    BOOM 1943-1960 BILL CLINTON
    13TH/XER 1961-1981 TOM CRUISE
    MILLENNIAL 1982-2002 CLASS 2000
    GENERATIONS COMING OF AGE
    • PROGRESSIVE: 1876 Edison,
    Westinghouse
    • MISSIONARY: 1896 Populism Wm J. Bryan
    • MISSIONARY:1918 Doughboys; Paris
    • G.I.: 1935CCC/WPA
    • SILENT: 1954McCarthy/ Cold War
    • BOOMERS: 1969Woodstock
    • 13th/Xer: 1992Media Discover Xers
    • MILLENNIAL 2001 9/11?__________
    GENERATIONS AND
    ARCHETYPES
    Prometheus Dionysus Apollo
    Epimetheus
    Spring Summer Fall Winter
    Traditional Agnostic Dogmatic Innovative
    Reason Intuition Feeling
    Sensation
    NT SP NF SJ
    Hero Artist Prophet Nomad
    G.I. Silent Boom 13th/Xer
    WHERE DO WE GO FROM
    HERE?

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