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Report Title Here Gonzales Polls, Inc.

GONZALES POLL
TERM LIMITS

January 2023
Embargoed until TIME, DATE 1|Page
Embargo: 12:01 am Tuesday, January 17th, 2023 Gonzales Polls

Table of Contents
Background and Methodology ............................................................................................ 3

Synopsis ............................................................................................................................... 4

Fox 45/Gonzales Term Limits Poll – Results ..................................................................... 5

Appendix A: Data Tables ..................................................................................................... 6


QUESTION: Term Limits ......................................................................................... 6
QUESTION: Term Limits - Intensity........................................................................ 8

Appendix B: Maryland Poll Sample Demographics ......................................................... 10

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Background and Methodology

Patrick E. Gonzales graduated magna cum laude from the University of


Baltimore with a degree in political science.

His career in the field of public opinion research began in the mid-1980s as an
analyst with Mason-Dixon Opinion Research. During this time, Mr. Gonzales
helped develop, craft and implement election surveys and exit polls for television
and radio in the Baltimore-Washington D.C. metro area.

Mr. Gonzales has polled and analyzed well over a thousand elections in Maryland
and across the country since that time. Furthermore, he and his associates have
conducted numerous market research projects, crafting message development
plans and generating strategy blueprints for businesses and organizations
throughout the state.

Over his 35 years conducting public opinion polls, Patrick Gonzales has been
widely recognized by his peers for his ability to conduct unbiased surveys, and
analyze the results in an impartial, evenhanded manner.

Mr. Gonzales appears frequently on radio and television in the Baltimore-D.C.


region as a guest commentator.

Elizabeth Gonzales Byers is Director of Marketing and Social Media for Gonzales
Research. She can be contacted at elizabeth@gonzalesresearch.com

This poll was conducted by Gonzales Research & Media Services from
January 9th through January 14th, 2023. A total of 823 registered voters in
Maryland were queried by live, person-to-person telephone interviews, including
both landline and cell phone numbers. A cross-section of interviews was
conducted throughout the state.

The margin of error (MOE), per accepted statistical standards, is a range of plus
or minus 3.5 percentage points. If the entire population was surveyed, there is
a 95% probability that the true numbers would fall within this range.

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Synopsis
“The further a society drifts from truth the more it will hate those
who speak it.”
― George Orwell

Office-bearers and consultant class profiteers don’t like them, but Maryland
voters overwhelmingly favor term limits in the Free State.

Statewide, 76% support having term limits for all politicians, while only 18%
oppose term limits. Black or white, male or female, young or old…Marylanders
all say they want limits on the length of time politicians can hold a particular
office.

Even among Democrats, the party that’s turned the government dole into a
cottage industry, 70% support term limits.

We suspect the robust backing of term limits indicates a frustration for a great
many who perceive a government that’s increasingly turned a deaf ear to its
constituents.

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Fox 45/Gonzales Term Limits Poll – Results

Among Maryland voters, 76% support having term limits for all politicians in the state
(57% “strongly” support and 19% “somewhat” support), while only 18% oppose term
limits (9% “strongly” oppose and 9% “somewhat” oppose), with 6% offering no
opinion.

Eighty-six percent of Republicans support term limits (70% “strongly” support), as do


81% of independents.

Among African American voters, 77% support having term limits for all politicians in
Maryland.

Term Limits in MD Support Oppose N/A

Democrats 70% 23% 7%


Republicans 86% 10% 4%
Independents 81% 15% 4%

White 76% 19% 5%


African American 77% 16% 7%

Women 74% 19% 7%


Men 79% 16% 5%

Under 50 73% 22% 5%


50 and older 78% 15% 7%

Support for term limits for


Maryland politicians falls
below 70% in no demographic
sub-group

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Appendix A: Data Tables


QUESTION: Term Limits Do you support or oppose having term limits for all
politicians in Maryland?

TERM LIMITS Number Percent


Support 627 76.2 %
Oppose 148 18.0 %
No answer 48 5.8 %
Total 823 100.0 %

N=823 TERM LIMITS


Support Oppose No answer

PARTY

Democrat 312 104 31


69.8% 23.3% 6.9%

Republican 190 21 10
86.0% 9.5% 4.5%

Unaffiliated 125 23 7
80.6% 14.8% 4.5%

N=823 TERM LIMITS


Support Oppose No answer

RACE/ETHNICITY

White 380 98 23
75.8% 19.6% 4.6%

African 188 39 17
American 77.0% 16.0% 7.0%

Other/No 59 11 8
answer 75.6% 14.1% 10.3%

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N=823 TERM LIMITS


Support Oppose No answer

GENDER

Female 321 85 29
73.8% 19.5% 6.7%

Male 306 63 19
78.9% 16.2% 4.9%

N=823 TERM LIMITS


Support Oppose No answer

REGION

Eastern Shore 76 16 4
79.2% 16.7% 4.2%

Baltimore 51 18 6
City 68.0% 24.0% 8.0%

Baltimore 211 46 19
Suburbs 76.4% 16.7% 6.9%

Washington 240 53 14
Suburbs 78.2% 17.3% 4.6%

Western 49 15 5
Maryland 71.0% 21.7% 7.2%

N=823 TERM LIMITS


Support Oppose No answer

AGE

18 to 39 129 35 10
74.1% 20.1% 5.7%

40 to 49 131 43 6
72.8% 23.9% 3.3%

50 to 59 154 31 13
77.8% 15.7% 6.6%

60 and older 213 39 19


78.6% 14.4% 7.0%

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QUESTION: Term Limits - Intensity Do you support or oppose having term limits for
all politicians in Maryland…is that strongly or somewhat support/oppose?

TERM LIMITS INTENSITY Number Percent


Strongly support 469 57.0 %
Somewhat support 158 19.2 %
Somewhat oppose 73 8.9 %
Strongly oppose 75 9.1 %
No answer 48 5.8 %
Total 823 100.0 %

N=823 TERM LIMITS INTENSITY


Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly
support support oppose oppose No answer

PARTY

Democrat 226 86 44 60 31
50.6% 19.2% 9.8% 13.4% 6.9%

Republican 154 36 11 10 10
69.7% 16.3% 5.0% 4.5% 4.5%

Unaffiliated 89 36 18 5 7
57.4% 23.2% 11.6% 3.2% 4.5%

N=823 TERM LIMITS INTENSITY


Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly
support support oppose oppose No answer

RACE/ETHNICITY

White 285 95 43 55 23
56.9% 19.0% 8.6% 11.0% 4.6%

African 136 52 21 18 17
American 55.7% 21.3% 8.6% 7.4% 7.0%

Other/No 48 11 9 2 8
answer 61.5% 14.1% 11.5% 2.6% 10.3%

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N=823 TERM LIMITS INTENSITY


Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly
support support oppose oppose No answer

GENDER

Female 228 93 30 55 29
52.4% 21.4% 6.9% 12.6% 6.7%

Male 241 65 43 20 19
62.1% 16.8% 11.1% 5.2% 4.9%

N=823 TERM LIMITS INTENSITY


Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly
support support oppose oppose No answer

REGION

Eastern Shore 56 20 7 9 4
58.3% 20.8% 7.3% 9.4% 4.2%

Baltimore 35 16 10 8 6
City 46.7% 21.3% 13.3% 10.7% 8.0%

Baltimore 160 51 22 24 19
Suburbs 58.0% 18.5% 8.0% 8.7% 6.9%

Washington 182 58 28 25 14
Suburbs 59.3% 18.9% 9.1% 8.1% 4.6%

Western 36 13 6 9 5
Maryland 52.2% 18.8% 8.7% 13.0% 7.2%

N=823 TERM LIMITS INTENSITY


Strongly Somewhat Somewhat Strongly
support support oppose oppose No answer

AGE

18 to 39 92 37 20 15 10
52.9% 21.3% 11.5% 8.6% 5.7%

40 to 49 98 33 22 21 6
54.4% 18.3% 12.2% 11.7% 3.3%

50 to 59 123 31 10 21 13
62.1% 15.7% 5.1% 10.6% 6.6%

60 and older 156 57 21 18 19


57.6% 21.0% 7.7% 6.6% 7.0%

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Appendix B: Maryland Poll Sample Demographics

PARTY Number Percent


Democrat 447 54.3 %
Republican 221 26.9 %
Unaffiliated 155 18.8 %
Total 823 100.0 %

RACE/ETHNICITY Number Percent


White 501 60.9 %
African American 244 29.6 %
Other/No answer 78 9.5 %
Total 823 100.0 %

GENDER Number Percent


Female 435 52.9 %
Male 388 47.1 %
Total 823 100.0 %

AGE Number Percent


18 to 39 174 21.1 %
40 to 49 180 21.9 %
50 to 59 198 24.1 %
60 and older 271 32.9 %
Total 823 100.0 %

REGION Number Percent


Eastern Shore/Southern MD 96 11.7 %
Baltimore City 75 9.1 %
Baltimore Suburbs 276 33.5 %
Washington Suburbs 307 37.3 %
Western Maryland 69 8.4 %
Total 823 100.0 %

Regional Groupings

Eastern Shore/Southern MD – includes Calvert, Caroline, Cecil, Dorchester, Kent, Queen Anne’s, St.
Mary’s, Somerset, Talbot, Wicomico, and Worcester counties
Baltimore City – includes Baltimore City
Baltimore Suburbs – includes Anne Arundel, Baltimore, Harford, and Howard counties
Washington Suburbs – includes Charles, Frederick, Montgomery, and Prince George’s counties
Western Maryland – includes Allegany, Carroll, Garrett, and Washington counties

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