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MFT PRES 406 EN RBI Conference Interpreting India Data in The Context of The Global Market 2011 02
MFT PRES 406 EN RBI Conference Interpreting India Data in The Context of The Global Market 2011 02
Session
I:
Interpre-ng
India
Data
in
the
Context
of
the
Global
Market
Pune
|
February
2011
Session
1:
The
Global
Prac-ce
of
Micro-‐credit
Pricing
The Price Curve
The Cost Curve
Review of global pricing data
What factors cause prices to decrease?
Overview of India pricing data
Comparison of India data to other
countries
A
Fundamental
Issue:
There
is
no
one
price
for
all
loans:
Prices
vary
according
to
loan
size,
changing
drama-cally
as
loan
size
decreases
A
Fundamental
Issue:
Costs
are
rela-vely
flat…
Whereas
Income
is
directly
propor-onal
Costs
are
rela4vely
flat
rela4ve
to
loan
size.
It
costs
nearly
as
much
to
make
a
$100
loan
as
a
$1000
loan.
Income
is
generated
as
a
percentage
of
the
loan
amount
and
therefore
highly
correlated
to
loan
size.
For
a
given
interest
rate,
there
is
a
point
where
income
from
a
single
loan
will
be
equal
to
the
costs
of
that
loan.
This
is
the
“breakeven
point”.
If
an
ins4tu4on
wants
to
deliver
smaller
loans
at
the
same
interest
rate,
they
will
lose
money.
What
must
they
do
if
they
want
to
make
these
smaller
loans
financially
sustainable?
They
need
to
raise
the
interest
rate,
say
from
30%
to
40%.
As
the
loan
size
decreases,
the
interest
rate
must
con4nue
to
increase
in
order
to
have
a
viable
loan
product.
We
can
create
a
graph
correla4ng
loan
size
to
financially
sustainable
interest
rates
and
it
forms
a
dis4nct
curve.
(Note
that
figures
and
interest
rates
in
this
curve
serve
only
as
examples
and
are
not
figures
specific
to
the
microfinance
industry.)
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Average
Loan
Balance
per
Borrower
(USD)
2004
Average
Global
Balance:
187
USD
Weighted
Average
Yield:
31.14
%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Average
Loan
Balance
per
Borrower
(USD)
2005
Average
Global
Balance:
222
USD
Weighted
Average
Yield:
29.85
%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Average
Loan
Balance
per
Borrower
(USD)
2006
Average
Global
Balance:
291
USD
Weighted
Average
Yield:
25.17
%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Average
Loan
Balance
per
Borrower
(USD)
2007
Average
Global
Balance:
428
USD
Weighted
Average
Yield:
22.61
%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Average
Loan
Balance
per
Borrower
(USD)
2008
Average
Global
Balance:
570
USD
Weighted
Average
Yield:
23.86
%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Average
Loan
Balance
per
Borrower
(USD)
Time
Series:
2003-‐2008
Morocco
Country
Average
Loan
Balance
and
Weighted
Average
Weighted
Average
Poreolio
Yield
Poreolio
Yield
2003-‐2008
35%
(nominal)
30%
25%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Average
Loan
Balance
(USD)
Time
Series:
2003-‐2008
Morocco
Country
Average
Loan
Balance
and
Weighted
Average
600
(nominal)
30%
400
20%
200
10%
0
0%
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
Year
33
CMAC
Sullana
(Peru)
Operating
Average
loan
Yield
on
gross
Year expense/
loan
ROA balance
per
portfolio
(real)
portfolio borrower
2003 35.52% 17.01% 4.36% 614
2004 31.90% 13.99% 5.02% 1,082
2005 32.65% 12.85% 5.88% 1,340
2006 28.54% 12.58% 5.16% 1,646
2007 26.84% 10.85% 5.50% 1,942
2008 26.48% 10.97% 4.02% 2,557
34
Rela-on
of
Scale
and
Efficiency
Rela-on
of
Scale
and
Efficiency
Rela-on
of
Scale
and
Efficiency
Rela-on
of
Scale
and
Efficiency
Transparent Pricing Data
39
Cambodia
Data
Bosnia
Data
Ecuador
Data
Bolivia
Data
Kenya
Data
India Pricing Data
45
Pricing
Defini-ons
Text
Security
Interest
Fees
Insurance
Deposit
APR
India
(Interest
+
X
X
X
Fees
+
Deposit)
APR
(Interest
+
Fees
+
X
X
X
Insurance)
APR
(Including
Security
X
X
X
X
Deposit)
Malegam
Recommenda-on
for
X
X*
X
Interest
Rate
Calcula-on
Type
of
Ins-tu-on
Price
Range
by
Organiza-on
Type
APR
India
prices
Average
APR
India
by
Ins-tu-on
Type
Min
of
Max
of
Average
of
APR
India
APR
India
APR
India
Type
of
Ins-tu-on
(Interest
+
Fees
+
(Interest
+
Fees
(Interest
+
Fees
Deposit)
+
Deposit)
+
Deposit)
5,000
4,000
Pricing
Amount
(Rupee)
0 26.00% +
Fees
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50
Net
Loan
B alance Interest
R ate
B alance Security
D eposit
26.00% +
Insurance
Total
Financial
Cost
to
the
Client 100 Transparency
Index
26.00% +
Taxes
Total
Cost
(less
Sec.Dep.
int): R1,378 in
50
2-‐wk
periods,
or
….. R717 in
1
year
Avg
net
loan
balance: R2,756 which
is
55%
of
original
loan
amount +
Security
26.00%
Client
Breakeven
Point: 3.85 Years
until
total
loan
cost
equals
the
avg
loan
balance Deposit
Negative
Net
Balance
for: 0 2-‐wk
periods,
which
i s…. 0% %
of
loan
term
6,000 Title
Loan
Balance
and
Pricing
5,000
4,000
Pricing
Amount
(Rupee)
0 27.83% +
Fees
0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 44 46 48 50
Net
Loan
B alance Interest
R ate
B alance Security
D eposit
27.83% +
Insurance
Total
Financial
Cost
to
the
Client 54 Transparency
Index
27.83% +
Taxes
Total
Cost
(less
Sec.Dep.
int): R1,522 in
50
2-‐wk
periods,
or
….. R792 in
1
year
Avg
net
loan
balance: R2,590 which
is
52%
of
original
loan
amount +
Security
27.83%
Client
Breakeven
Point: 3.27 Years
until
total
loan
cost
equals
the
avg
loan
balance Deposit
Negative
Net
Balance
for: 0 2-‐wk
periods,
which
i s…. 0% %
of
loan
term
6,000 Title
Loan
Balance
and
Pricing
5,000
4,000
Pricing
3,000
Amount
(Rupee)
59
Efficiency
–
India
/
Bolivia
Prices
–
India
/
Bolivia
Efficiency
–
India
/
Philippines
Prices
–
India
/
Philippines
Efficiency
–
India
/
Cambodia
Prices
–
India
/
Cambodia
Efficiency
–
India
/
Bangladesh
Prices
–
India
/
Bangladesh
Conclusions
Transparent
pricing
is
a
prerequisite
for
responsible
pricing
• Individual
product
pricing
is
essen4al,
and
it
is
alainable
if
we
work
together