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OH-02 5-31 To 6-02 (APP)
OH-02 5-31 To 6-02 (APP)
MEDIA RELEASE
MEDIA CONTACT:
John DiMauro
Comments@AmericanPoliticalPolling.com
Office: 513-317-2265
Summary data from this poll is being made available to media outlets in
southwest Ohio free of charge, while complete internal polling statistics are
available for a fee. APP’s next poll will focus on the First Congressional District
race and will be conducted in the next few weeks.
The majority of District 2 voters believe that George Bush is doing a poor job of
leading the country. Barack Obama has a slight lead over John McCain and
57.2% of voters feel the economy is the number 1 issue facing the country today.
Underscoring that point, 52.3% of the district feels that Ohio, which is one of 11
states in a confirmed recession, is headed in the wrong direction.
In the Congressional race, the Republican candidate, Jean Schmidt, has a solid
base of 23.8% registered Republicans district wide, yet as the incumbent running
for her third term, if the election were held today Schmidt would only receive
24.2% of the vote.
The Democrat candidate, Victoria Wulsin, has a solid base of 22.2% registered
Democrats district wide. If the election were held today Wulsin would receive
29.8% of the vote.
The Independent candidate, David Krikorian, enters the race with 13.4% of the
vote and a pool of 32.5% of undecided voters. Krikorian polled as high as 26.5%
in Pike and 16.7% in Brown.
Our survey indicates that this race is wide open and is a good fit for an
Independent candidate. In a 3-way race the three candidates need at least 34%
to win and five months is a long time.
The correlation of President George Bush’s low approval rating of 40% and
incumbent Republican Congresswoman Jean Schmidt’s low approval rating of
23% may be an indicator of what Republicans have to deal with this November.
Schmidt's job rating is low for a sitting Representative.
Survey Responses
1. Overall, 50.5% of district voters say President George Bush is doing poor
job of leading the country.
2. If the election were held today, 34.4% say they would vote for Democrat
Barack Obama.
3. If the election were held today, 32.9% say they would vote for Republican
John McCain.
4. Generally speaking, 52.3% of voters in OH2 say that Ohio is heading in
the wrong direction.
5. Generally speaking the number 1 issue is the economy at 57.2%
6. Republican Jean Schmidt’s job approval rating is 23%
7. Overall district voters are supportive of an Independent choice for
Congress
8. If the Congressional election were held today 32.5% of Voters are
Undecided, 29.8% would vote Democrat, 24.2% Republican, and 13.4%
would vote Independent
The poll has a margin of error of +/- 3.5 % with a 95% confidence interval.
APP is also available to conduct high quality public opinion polls for individual
campaigns and corporate clients. For detailed pricing information, please contact
John DiMauro at 513/317-2265.