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Introduction To Finance - The Ba - Gies College of Business at The
Introduction To Finance - The Ba - Gies College of Business at The
1. Preface
2. Module 1 Introduction to Finance: The Basics
1. Module 1 Overview
1. Module 1 Overview
2. Three Legal Forms to Organize Firms
1. Introduction of the Three Legal Forms to Organize
Firms
2. The Sole Proprietorship
3. The Partnership
4. The corporation
5. The Hybrid Form
3. The Goal of Financial Management
1. The Goal of Financial Management
4. The Corporate Governance
1. The Corporate Governance
5. The Agency Problem
1. The Agency Problem
6. Module 1 Wrap Up
1. Module 1 Wrap Up
3. Module 2 Introduction to Finance: The Basics
1. Module 2 Overview
1. Module 2 Overview
2. Financials
1. Financials
3. Balance Sheet
1. Balance Sheet: Introduction
2. Balance Sheet: Fiscal Year
3. Balance Sheet: Other Topics
4. Income Statement
1. Income Statement
5. Cash Flow of the Firm
1. Statement of Cash Flow
6. Module 2 Wrap Up
1. Module 2 Wrap Up
4. Module 3 Introduction to Finance: The Basics
1. Module 3 Overview
1. Module 3 Overview
2. Standardized Statements
1. Standardized Statements
3. Financial Ratios
1. Financial Ratios: Introduction
2. Financial Ratios: Liquidity Ratios
3. Financial Ratios: Leverage Ratios
4. Financial Ratios: Turnover Ratios
5. Financial Ratios: Profitability Ratios
6. Financial Ratios: Market Value Ratios
4. Financial Planning
1. Financial Forecasting
5. Module 3 Wrap Up
1. Module 3 Wrap Up
5. Module 4 Introduction to Finance: The Basics
1. Module 4 Overview
1. Module 4 Overview
2. Present Value and Future Value
1. Present Value and Future Value
3. Net Present Value
1. Net Present Value
2. A P RAPR and E A REAR
4. Perpetuity and Annuity
1. Perpetuity
2. Annuity
5. Module 4 Wrap Up
1. Module 4 Wrap Up
Preface
Thank you for choosing a Gies eBook.
Lesson title
A link to the web-based videos for each lesson (You must be
online to view.)
Module 1 Overview
Media Player for Video
Focus - Slide 1
You may be curious. How they organize their business and why they
organize it that way? If you want to start a new business, what is the
best way to set it up?
Corporations - Slide 3
When you go to work, it's very likely that you work for a company.
Corporations provide a lot of employment opportunities for us. You
may wonder what is the government structure of the firm? Who are
the owners of the Corporation? Think about the goods and services
we use every day we buy groceries from either local stores or big
retailers such as Walmart or target. We shop online at Amazon. Our
computers are made by Apple, Dell or Hewlett-Packard. We watch
movies produced by Disney or the brothers or universal. We use
streaming services such as Netflix and Disney plus. We deposit our
money in a local bank or national banks such as Bank of America,
Chase Bank, or Citibank. The car we drive to work. Maybe Ford,
Toyota or Volkswagen. When we want to travel to other cities, we
may take on American Airlines or Delta airline flight. We may stay at
a local hotel or Hilton. All of these are examples of business. Is hard
for us to imagine a world without business. Some of the companies
even become American icons. Whenever we want to drink soft
drinks, we think about Coke. McDonald is almost equivalent to
hamburger and French fries. Hershey bars are just synonymous for
candy bars. We want to search for something from the Internet. We
just say Google it. The Thanksgiving Day Parade in New York City is
named after the Department store chain Macy's. These companies
not only satisfy our basic needs but also shape our life and our
culture.
In This Module - Slide 4
Transcript
A sole proprietorship
A partnership
A corporation
Transcript
Hello everyone, let's talk about starting a business. When you want
to start a new business, one decision you have to decide what form
of business to establish. This is a very important question because
the form of business determines which income tax return you must
file and how much liability protection you can get in case of failure.
There are three most important forms to organize your business, so
proprietorship, partnership, and Corporation. In the preceding videos
we will talk about each form and also discuss the relationship among
them three.
Transcript
Advantages - Slide 8
Easy to form
Few government regulations
No corporate income tax
Transcript
But this structure also has this down size. The biggest disadvantage
is the unlimited personal liability. Since there's no legal separation
between you and your business, you can be held personally liable
for the debts and obligations such as lawsuits of a business. This
risk extends to any liabilities incurred as a result of employee
actions. If the business goes broke, you need to pay any debt using
your personal belongings such as your car and your home. Your
company and the personal finances are tangled with each other.
Another point is limited life. The life of the company depends pretty
much on the owner. It is limited by the life of the owner. When the
owner quiz or sells the business, the business will be disrupted. And
the value of the company won't worth the same as before.
Customers trust the original owner and this kind of trust may not
transfer easily to a new owner. Because of the unlimited liability and
the limited life of the business, this kind of business is hard to raise
money. Sole proprietors often face challenges when trying to raise
money. You can sell stock in the business which limits investor
opportunity. Banks are also hesitant to lend to a sole proprietorship.
Because of perceived additional risk when it comes to repayment if
the business fails. As a result, the proprietor has to raise capital by
typing savings using credit cards or borrowing from family members.
All these pros and cons are the result of no distinction between the
business and the owner. You are entitled to all profits and are
responsible for all your business debts, losses and liabilities. You
along are ultimately responsible for the business success and
failures.
Sole Proprietorships - Slide 10
Transcript
Finally, I want to share some statistics with you since they are small
businesses, the sole proprietorship dominates all business forms in
terms of numbers, is more than 70%. However, is only a small
fraction in terms of profit. Just 20% of the total profit of the
USbusiness economy.
The Partnership
Media Player for Video
Partnership - Slide 11
Transcript
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On the other hand, the partners who directly commit misconduct will
take personal responsibility. There unlimited liability means there's
no place to shield themselves from liability. Other auditors who are
not directly involved will be protected from liability risks.
The corporation
Media Player for Video
Corporation (1 of 4) - Slide 17
Transcript
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Public companies: when the size of the firm grows, and its shares
are traded in public markets such as the NYSE or NASDAQ.
Transcript
Eventually, when the firm grows and knew shares are issued to raise
additional capital. The shares will be widely treated in stock
exchanges. Such corporations are called public companies. Most
known corporations are public companies. The process of converting
a private company to a public company is called initial public offering
or IPO.
Advantages - Slide 21
Unlimited life
Easy to transfer ownership
Limited liability
Transcript
Double taxation
Complex legal requirements
Transcript
Transcript
Transcript
This slide is the same as slide 24, but with number of votes per
share (one-to-one) circled.
Transcript
This slide shows the article 4 and article 5 headers of the articles of
incorporation circled.
Transcript
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This slide shows logos for the following large corporations: Google,
Walmart, Microsoft, Starbucks, McDonald’s, Apple, Disney, Nike,
Target, Hilton, and Coca-Cola.
Transcript
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Here are some statistics about corporations. There are only 20% of
business organized as corporations. But they contribute more than
70% of the profits. As the corporations are much larger than sole
proprietorship and partnerships, they also hire more employees than
other formats of businesses.
Combine benefits
Transcript
Transcript
I'll see is a relatively new form compared with three traditional forms
of organizing a business, but it is growing very fast. More and more
businesses adopt this hybrid form because of its benefits.
LLC (2 of 2) - Slide 32
Transcript
First, I'll see enjoys the benefits of limited liability just like over
Corporation. Owners of our C are protected from personal liability for
business debts and claims. The maximum amount they can lose is
the money invested in the company. In addition to that, I'll see also
enjoys the tax advantages of a partnership. From I'll see is business
income is passed through to its owners who just need to pay
personal taxes. Except in some very Special Situations.
Legal Documents - Slide 33
Transcript
To form our see you need to file articles of organization under state
law. Corporations founding document is articles of Corporation.
When a business is formed as our C is, business name usually has
the abbreviation LLC. So that is future creditors and customers
realized that they are doing business with a limited liability company
instead of a sole proprietorship or partnership, and they realize all
the risks they are in facing. On top of that. Our CSoften have an
operating agreement. This is an optional document, but it's very
important to have this document in place, especially for an LLC with
multiple owners. The operating agreement specifies the rights and
responsibilities of owners. How to divide profits and losses and how
to transfer ownership? This document is Compara Bulto a
corporation's bylaws. The owners of our seas are called members.
Members may include individuals and entities, such as partnerships
and corporations.
Owners - Slide 34
Transcript
Transcript
Lack of uniformity with state laws: LLCs have businesses that span
several states, which may not receive the same treatment.
Transcript
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LLC's are not able to issue stock. Most of the capital comes from its
members or borrowed from others. Is not a good choice for a
business considering raising large amount of capital and expanding
its business in the future.
The Goal of Financial Management
Another question is. Which years profit do you have in mind? If you
are thinking about next year's profit. Managers can always maximize
it by delaying maintenance and training. These actions will boost the
short term profit. But what harm long term growth? There's no
consensus as of what the appropriate time Horizon of profit
maximization is. This goal is not as clear as maximizing current
share price. Here I want you to think about your question.
Stakeholders - Slide 41
Transcript
Transcript
Toms is a shoe company famous for its one for one business model.
Based on this charitable donation model. For each pair of Toms
Shoes purchased by its customers, a pair of new shoes is given to a
child in the developing world. The intention of the model is to help
children in poverty. But they also received some criticism about
whether this giving is effective or not. What is the impact on the local
shoe industry and whether this model is sustainable or not?
TOMS Business Model (2 of 2) - Slide 47
Transcript
Later on, the company's model for giving has evolved. If you buy a
pair of shoes. Consumers were given a wide variety of choices.
Giving shoes is only one option, but consumers can also choose
other causes they want to support, such as Clearwater prescription
glasses, medical treatment and others donating part of their profit to
various charities will certainly sacrificed short-term profit, but this will
attract more customers and create loyalty in the long run. But how
much social responsibility should the business take? Is a question
you may want to think about as you run your own business.
The Corporate Governance
Their rights are mainly two parts. The first one is the voting right. As
shareholders are owners in a company, they can vote on important
corporate issues, such as electing directors and merger and
acquisition decisions. Besides voting, they are also entitled to enjoy
the benefits of the business success. The benefits come in the form
of dividends. In general, we can summarize the rights of
shareholders as voting rights, and cash flow rights.
Committees - Slide 54
Executive committee
Audit committee
Compensation committee
Nominating committee
Transcript
For a traditional board, there are at least four basic committees: the
executive committee, audit committee, compensation committee,
and the nominating committees. For most companies, they have
more committees than that depending on the needs of the boards
and special considerations. Now, let's talk about the four committees
one by one. The executive committee is composed of a small group
of Board Directors. The executive committee meets more often and
set the priorities for the whole Board to discuss. The members of the
audit committee are independent outside Directors. They oversee
the company's internal control and the financial reporting and
disclosures. The compensation committee determines the pay
package for top executives. The nominating committee is
responsible for nominating new board members.
Transcript
1. Board of Directors
2. Chairman of the board & Chief Executive Officer (CEO)
3. President & Chief Operating Officer (COO)
4. Vice President & Chief Financial Officer (CFO)
a. Treasurer
Cash Manager and Credit Manager
capital Expenditures and Financial Planning
b. Controller
Tax Manager and Cost Accounting
Financial Accounting and Data Processing
Transcript
Direct costs
Indirect costs
Transcript
Transcript
Lost opportunities
Transcript
Managerial compensation
Replace management
Transcript
Transcript
For example, the chief executive is granted with 50,000 options: the
right to purchase shares at the current market price (e.g.,
$50/share).
Transcript
The option can be exercised 5 years (i.e., at the end of his tenure)
Transcript
So he has to wait for five years until he can exercise the option. If the
company's stock rises above $50.00 for share five years later. Let's
say $7070.00 for share at that time.
Managerial Compensation (4 of 4) - Slide 65
Only when the stock price at Year 5 rises above $50, the chief
executive would get the compensation.
Transcript
The earned $20 per share or $1,000,000 in total from the stock
options. If the share price drops below $50, then he earns nothing.
From this example, you can tell the CEO's personal benefit is tide up
with the shareholders interest so that executives will work in the best
interest of shareholders. One extreme example of the agency
problem is ENRON.
ENRON (1 of 2) - Slide 66
Transcript
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Transcript
Transcript
Module 1 Wrap Up
Media Player for Video
Partnership - Slide 72
Transcript
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All else combines a lot of benefits of three basic forms. All else offers
personal liability protection to its owners. And it doesn't need to pay
corporate taxes. Therefore, the number of limited liability companies
are growing faster than three basic structures. Then we focused our
attention on corporations. We discussed the goal of financial
management.
The Goal of Financial Management - Slide 75
Transcript
For public companies, the goal is to maximize the current value per
share of the existing stock. We also discussed whether this goal
conflict with other goals. Such as employees, safety, customer
satisfaction and social responsibility. Another topic is corporate
governance.
Corporate Governance - Slide 76
Transcript
Transcript
Module 2 Overview
Media Player for Video
Introduction - Slide 1
Transcript
Transcript
Suppose you are a parent of a high school student and you are
curious about your student's academic performance in school. One
way is to take a look at their transcript. It is an official document that
summarizes a students coursework and grades. The transcripts will
also be used in their college applications, scholarship applications
and others. Financial statements can be thought of as a transcript for
a company. There are official documents that summarize the
financial performance of the company. Financial statements are used
by investors, creditors, researchers and anyone who is interested in
the company. You need some basic knowledge to read a student's
transcript. What are the classes? Are the easy classes or hard
classes? What is the credit assigned to each class and what do the
grades stand for? Follow the same logic. You also need to know
some basic knowledge in order to read financial statements.
Three Basic Financial Statements - Slide 3
Transcript
For example, what are the academic interests of the student? And
how creative the student is. When you use financial statements to
evaluate the financial performance of the company, you also need to
bear in mind that you should not be restricted by financial
statements. You need to see the whole picture of the business.
Financials
Financials
Media Player for Video
In the United States, the accounting rules that are used to prepare
financial reports are called Generally Accepted Accounting Principles
(GAAP).
Transcript
Transcript
In other countries of the world, like the European Union and more
than 140 countries, they use a different set of rules which are called
International Financial Reporting Standards.(IFRS). There are some
differences between these two sets of accounting standards, but the
people are working to make these two standards more consistent
with each other. Since 2007, the SEC allows foreign companies to
prepare their financials using IFRS.
Financial Information - Slide 8
Company website
Transcript
Another question you may have is where can I get the information on
financials? There are two places - one is through the company's
website. Most large public companies publish their financial reports
on their websites. You just need to visit the company's home page
and click a tab called investors or investor relations.
Target Investment Example (1 of 8) - Slide 9
This slide shows the investors portion of Target's website where their
stock quote and financial news is listed.
Transcript
You should be able to find all the financial reports there. Here's an
example from Target Corporation, so this is the Target website for
investors, and if you want to check the findings then you can click
the tab investors and when you click the tab, you can see a bunch of
menus over here like what is the corporate overview, stock
information, annual reports and corporate governance.
Target Investment Example (2 of 8) - Slide 10
Transcript
And here, if you want to check the annual report you can just click
the annual reports.
Target Investment Example (3 of 8) - Slide 11
This slide shows the top of an article of Target's 2019 annual report
on their website.
Transcript
And then you will see this is the most recent corporation annual
report. And if you scroll down a little bit, you will see the historical
information.
Target Investment Example (4 of 8) - Slide 12
Transcript
Let's use one year as an example. So let's click the 2017 annual
report.
Target Investment Example (5 of 8) - Slide 13
This slide shows the first page of an annual report showing only the
Target logo.
Transcript
The first page of the report is the logo of the company, and when you
Scroll down a little bit you will see some financial highlights like the
sales numbers, the EBIT numbers, net earnings, and diluted
earnings per share.
Target Investment Example (6 of 8) - Slide 14
Transcript
We will talk about these concepts in the later chapters. When you
scroll down a little bit more, then you can see the total sales - 23%
comes from beauty and household essentials, and 20% comes from
food and beverage. So on and so forth and then followed by a letter
by the CEO and chairman. And after that is the financial summary of
the company.
Target Investment Example (7 of 8) - Slide 15
This slide shows the start of the Financial Summary and the 10-K
form for Target.
Transcript
If you scroll down a little bit more, then you will see the 10K form.
Target Investment Example (8 of 8) - Slide 16
Transcript
So this is the financial report, and if you are interested in the financial
report you can also click the download button to download it to your
local computer so that you can use it in the future. Another place you
can get the financials is the SEC's website.
Financials Information (1 of 4) - Slide 17
Company website
SEC website
Transcript
Transcript
Transcript
EDGAR information
Transcript
Now I want to show you how to use the system to search for files
you need.
EDGAR Navigation (1 of 7) - Slide 21
This slide shows the SEC's website with the mouse with the mouse
focused on a link for company filings.
Transcript
So if you go to the SEC's website and in the home page you will find
to the upper right corner, you can click a tab which is called company
filings. If you click that then you will be directed to this web page. So
this is the EDGAR company filings web page.
EDGAR Navigation (2 of 7) - Slide 22
This slide shows the SEC website: company filings tab, with a
search box to search the database for companies.
Transcript
Transcript
And you will get a web page look like this. So these are all findings
by Target Corporation and you can see a number of findings. South
eight form 8K form is the current report, so they have the findings.
Name the format that description the finding date and also the file
number. And suppose I'm interested in a 10 Q quarterly report.
EDGAR Navigation (4 of 7) - Slide 24
This slide shows a Target quarterly report that was clicked on from
the EDGAR database that lists all documents available for viewing
from this particular report.
Transcript
Transcript
So this is the 10 Q form and you can scroll down to see the
information of the 10 Q form.
EDGAR Navigation (6 of 7) - Slide 26
This slide shows the same Target 10-Q report from slide 25 but in a
different document location showing a portion of financial
statements.
Transcript
This slide shows the search of the filings with a filter open to filter
results of the filings searched.
Transcript
Let's go back to the search filings, and suppose you are interested in
some specific information or specific date. You can also filter your
result. For example, I'm only interested in the 10K form, so I can just
put 10K over here and then search it. And now you can see all the
filings are 10K filings over here and now you have accumulated all
the 10K forms filed by Target during past years.
Form 10-K: Annual Report - Slide 28
Transcript
Transcript
Transcript
The form 8K, also called the current report, must be filed if there are
any major changes to a business or significant events that were not
covered in the 10K or 10 Q reports. What is considered as a
significant event or material event? Some examples, such as the
sudden departure of the CEO , acquisition, bankruptcy or changes in
corporate governance. The public company generally must file a
current report on form 8K within four business days to provide an
update to previously filed quarterly reports and annual reports.
These reports are often important to their shareholders because they
contain information that will affect the share price.
Balance Sheet
Transcript
Transcript
This slide shows the same image as slide 32: an image of Target
Corporation's Balance sheet from 2019 to 2020.
Transcript
This slide shows a zoomed image of the same image as slide 32: an
image of Target Corporation's Balance sheet from 2019 to 2020,
showing Current Assets and Fixed Assets.
Transcript
Let's take a look at the left hand side of the balance sheet. The
assets of the company are listed on the left. The assets can be
divided into current assets and fixed assets. Current assets are the
assets that can be converted into cash within a year. Fixed assets
have a life longer than one year. The current assets include three
major components. First, cash and equivalents refer to cash or
assets that can be converted into cash immediately. Cash
equivalents include bank accounts, money market funds, commercial
paper and Treasury bills. It is followed by accounts receivable. We
can also call it receivables for short. It is the amount of money owed
to a company by its customers who purchased goods or services on
credit. Inventory includes raw materials, work in progress and
finished products. Other current assets include prepaid expenses.
For example, a company purchased the insurance that will cover the
next 12 months. It paid $500,000 up front for the insurance policy.
This amount belongs to a prepaid expenses and the company will
book $500,000 as other current assets.
Transcript
If we sum up these items, we get the total current assets. 12.9 billion
dollars in 2020 and 12.5 billion dollars in 2019. Fixed assets are
composed of tangible assets and intangible assets. Property, plant,
and equipment are tangible assets because they have physical
forms. The net property plant and equipment is the amount after
deducting depreciation. Intangible assets have no physical form.
Some examples include trademarks, patterns and copyrights. The
sum of tangible assets and intangible assets is equal to total fixed
assets. Total fixed assets increased from 28.77 billion dollars in 2019
to 29.88 billion dollars in 2020. Total assets are calculated as the
sum of current assets and fixed assets. Total assets are 42.78 million
in 2020 and 41.29 billion dollars in 2019. The assets are listed in
descending order of liquidity. Most liquid assets are listed on top and
least liquid assets at the bottom. Let's take a look at the right hand
side of the balance sheet.
The Balance Sheet (6 of 7) - Slide 36
This slide shows a zoomed image of the same image as slide 32: an
image of Target Corporation's Balance sheet from 2019 to 2020,
showing Current Liabilities and Shareholder Equity.
Transcript
It shows the company's liabilities and equity. From the right hand
side you can tell how the company's assets are financed. The
liabilities are the companies dEBT and other financial obligations. It
is composed of two parts - current liabilities and long-term liabilities.
Current liabilities are the liabilities you have to fulfill within a year. A
company buys goods or services from its suppliers, but has not paid
yet. This amount will be booked as accounts payable. Current
liabilities also include accrued expenses, employee wages not paid
or interest not paid. Long-term liabilities are liabilities that are due
more than one year from the date of the balance sheet. It includes
long-term loans, deferred tax liabilities, and pension liabilities. The
increase from 14.98 billion dollars in 2018 to 16.46 billion dollars in
2020. Let's take a look at the equities part. When a company issues
common stocks and receives more than the par value of the stocks,
the par value part is booked as common stocks and the surplus part
is booked as paid-in capital. The retained earnings, the accumulated
earnings that is retained by the company at the end of the fiscal year,
when we sum up the above items together, we get total stockholders
equity. 11.83 billion dollars in 2020 and around 11.3 billion dollars in
2019. This is also called the book value of the equity. It is quite
different from the equity value traded in the stock market. Total
liabilities and equities are the sum of the current liabilities, long-term
liabilities and stockholders equity.
The Balance Sheet (7 of 7) - Slide 37
This slide shows the same image as slide 32: an image of Target
Corporation's Balance sheet from 2019 to 2020.
Transcript
When you compare the left hand side with the right hand side of the
balance sheet, you will find that the value of the total assets is equal
to the value of total liabilities and shareholders equity.
Balance Sheet Identity - Slide 38
Transcript
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Transcript
Transcript
Most state governments (46 states) fiscal year runs from July 1 of
current year to Jun 30 of the following year
Transcript
Transcript
Transcript
For about 65% of the public traded companies in the United States.
The fiscal year is the same as the calendar year. If they want to
change the fiscal year later, they have to get the approval from the
IRS and file An 8-K report with the SEC.
Corporate Fiscal Year - Slide 45
Transcript
Target
Transcript
For big companies, the ends of their fiscal years are different from
each other. Let's take a look at some examples of public companies.
When you check their annual 10K reports, the end of their fiscal year
is listed on the first page of the report.
Fiscal Year Examples (2 of 3) - Slide 47
This slide shows an official form 10-K showing that the end of
Target's fiscal year is February 1st, 2020.
Transcript
This slide shows an official form 10-K showing that the end of
Walmart's fiscal year is January 31st, 2020.
Transcript
Walmart ends its fiscal year at the end of January. Here is the 10-K
form for Walmart. In 2020, it ends on January 31st. The next fiscal
year begins from February 1st. Walmarts fiscal year is consistent
with other large retailers, because by that time they have already
sold out their holiday inventories, collected their receivables and
realized their profits, this is a perfect time to report their financials to
their shareholders.
Transcript
In this part of the lesson, we want to talk about the several questions
we need to pay attention to when we study the balance sheet.
Liquidity (1 of 3) - Slide 50
Liquidity: the ease with which an asset can be converted into cash
without significant reduction in its value
Transcript
The first one is liquidity. Liquidity evaluates how easily assets can be
converted into cash without significant reduction in value. When we
compare current assets with fixed assets, current assets are much
more liquid than fixed assets because they can be converted into
cash within one year or less.
Liquidity (2 of 3) - Slide 51
Within current assets, cash and cash equivalents are the most liquid
because they're already cash. The liquidity of accounts receivable is
higher than inventory. Holding receivables are much closer to cash
than holding inventory, because sales have already been made. The
company just needs to collect the bills from their customers. If a
company wants to get immediate cash, it can sell the receivables to
a factoring company. About 75% of the receivables value will be paid
immediately and the remaining part is rebated once the factor
collects payments from clients.
Liquidity (3 of 3) - Slide 52
Fixed assets are much harder to convert into cash. Some examples
of fixed assets include real estate, vehicles, equipment, assembly
lines and patents. A lot of them are highly specific assets and cannot
be used elsewhere, so their resale values are low. Suppose the
company expects to pay its utility bill, pay its suppliers or employees
in the near future. The easiest way to meet that obligation is to use
cash. They need to prepare enough liquid assets in their hands, at
least enough to fulfill their near term obligations. Liquidity is also
important in case of emergency and unexpected expenses.
Otherwise they have to sell their real estate or equipment to pay their
bills. This is not an efficient way to run a business. We talked a lot
about the importance of liquidity for a company. One question I want
you to think about is -
Question - Slide 53
Should the company hold a lot of liquid assets? The answer is that a
company needs to hold an appropriate level of liquid assets. But too
much liquid assets can be bad for business. In order to understand
the question a little bit better, we need to weigh the benefits and
costs of holding liquid assets.
The benefit of holding liquid assets is that the more liquid a firm's
assets, the less likely the firm is to experience problems meeting
short term obligations. Even if in an economic downturn a company
with a lot of liquid assets would be able to pay its creditors easily
without liquidating its fixed assets. The company won't be sued by its
creditors or suppliers for unpaid bills. However, holding liquid assets
has its downsides.
The rate of return from liquid assets is much lower than fixed assets.
Fixed assets define the nature of the business. A business is
valuable because it produces goods and services with the
investments in fixed assets. By investing in liquid assets, the firm
sacrificed opportunity to invest in more profitable investment
vehicles. The most important lesson here is to achieve a balance
between current assets and fixed assets. A company needs to
prepare enough liquid assets to run day-to-day operations smoothly
without sacrificing its ability to generate revenues in the long run.
Here, I want you to think about one question. What's the implication
of liquidity in your personal financial management? This liquidity
topic will also shed light on how you manage your personal finance.
You should have some liquid savings in your bank account to pay
monthly bills and handle unexpected expenses. How much liquid
savings to have is appropriate? One advice to you is to keep about
three to six months of monthly expenses. However, sitting on too
much cash is a terrible choice because the average bank checking
account is paying almost nothing. The return of cash does not keep
up with the retail inflation. Although you won't have any trouble
paying your bills, your purchasing power is reduced. With enough
cash to pay your bills. You should also invest part of your money in
fixed assets such as a house or apartment, furniture, appliances, a
car and your education or entertainment. These assets are not very
liquid. But they make you happy. Increase your productivity and
boost your human capital. Now we want to introduce another
concept. Net working capital.
Net Working Capital (1 of 2) - Slide 56
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Assets shown on the balance sheet at their original cost adjusted for
depreciation and amortization
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The current price at which buyers and sellers would trade their
assets in the marketplace
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This slide shows a line graph from Yahoo Finance depicting the price
of Target shares between June 2019 and May 2020.
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The graph shows you Target's share price information for the past
year. The stocks price is fluctuating between the range of $80.00 per
share and $120.00 per share. The market cap is in the range of $40
billion dollars to 60 billion dollars, which is much higher than the
book value 11.8 billion dollars. Target's market value is greater than
its book value, which means investors trust the earnings capability of
Target and believe the company is worth more than its book value.
Income Statement
Income Statement
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Let's take a look at the cash flow statement. Here you may wonder,
since we already have the balance sheet and income statement.
Why do we need an additional statement? The balance sheet is a
summary of a company's assets, liabilities, and owners equity at a
certain time. The income statement shows the company's revenues
and expenses during a period of time.
The Statement of Cash Flows - Slide 67
Transcript
The cash flow statement fills the gap between the balance sheet and
income statement by showing how much cash is generated or spent
operating, investing and financing activities for a specific period of
time. I would like to explain about different perspectives of a financier
and accountant. A financier cares more about the cash inflows and
cash outflows of a company, because cashflows determine the value
of a business.
Financiers vs. Accountants - Slide 68
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1 $5,000 $1,000
2 0 $1,000
3 0 $1,000
4 0 $1,000
5 0 $1,000
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The financier sees a cash outflow at the very beginning and no cash
flows in the following years. For accountants, they spread out the
cost of $5000 evenly in the five years. The depreciation expense in
each year is $1000 according to the straight line depreciation
method. Here we want to explain why cash flow analysis is so
popular in finance.
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The operating activities part start with net income, 3.28 billion
dollars, which is the bottom line of the income statement. Then we
need to adjust for all the non cash items accordingly. First, we add
back depreciation and amortization which is 2.6 billion dollars.
Because depreciation expense is not a cash outflow, when we
calculate the net income, we deduct it as an expense and now we
need to add it back. We also add other non cash items such as
share based compensation expense, 147 million dollars, and 178
million dollars of deferred income taxes. In addition to that, we need
to adjust for cash flows generated by operating assets and liabilities.
For example, Target's inventory decreased 505 million dollars during
the year. This decrease in inventory is considered a cash inflow of
Target because cash is freed up from inventory and available to be
used elsewhere. Change in other assets brings a cash inflow of $18
million. There is 140 million cash inflow from change in accounts
payable and 199 million dollars cash inflow from change in accrued
and other liabilities. This reflects a net increase in charged expenses
which have not been paid by Target. Overall, Target generated 7.12
billion dollars of cash flow from operating activities for the period
ending February 1st, 2020.
Statement Example (2 of 3) - Slide 73
Transcript
The last part of the statement of cash flows is the cash flows from
financing activities. Target raised 1.74 billion dollars by issuing long-
term dEBT, paid back 2.7 billion dollars of previously issued long-
term dEBT to its creditors. It paid out 1.33 billion dollars as
dividends, its shareholders and the repurchased 1.57 billion dollars
from existing shareholders. The company also received $73 million
in cash from stock option exercise. Therefore, the total cash required
for financing activities is 3.15 billion dollars. This reflects the cash
flow to Targets creditors and shareholders. Now we put these three
parts together and calculate the net change in cash and cash
equivalents. Target has total cash inflows of 1.02 billion dollars in
fiscal year 2019. We also want to link this information with the
balance sheet. At the beginning of fiscal year 2019, that is February
2nd, 2019, cash and cash equivalents stood at 1.56 billion dollars.
With cash inflows added during the year. The new cash and cash
equivalence is 2.58 billion dollars. This perfectly matches the
numbers in the balance sheet. When we combine the information
from the statement of cash flows with the balance sheet and the
income statement, we have a better understanding of the company's
financial situation.
Module 2 Wrap Up
Module 2 Wrap Up
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Financials - Slide 75
10-K
10-Q
8-K
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Company's website
SEC website
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Liquidity
Net working capital
Book value vs. market value
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Assets are listed based on their liquidity. Well, liabilities are listed
according to their due days. We learn a how to calculate the net
working capital based on the balance sheet. We also talked about
the difference between book value and market value. All the values
in the balance sheet are book values. They might be quite different
from their market values.
Income Statement - Slide 80
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Module 3 Overview
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Financial Models
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We'll cover topics such as how to derive common size balance sheet and
common size income statement. How to compare the financial performance
of the company over years and compare one company with another.
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There are some commonly used financial ratios. Each group of the ratios
tell us different aspects of a company. Some financial ratios tell us whether
a company campaigns that or not and others show us whether a company
is profitable or not. We'll explore these ratios in this model. In addition to
that, we want to forecast what will happen in the future. We want to use
financial statements to make predictions so that we can make better
management decisions.
Standardized Statements
Standardized Statements
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Compare financial statements over a period of time for the same company.
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over time for the same company. For example, Target is growing and the
size is larger over years. The total assets increase and total revenues
increases as well. Only based on absolute dollar values of financial
statements is hard for us to tell whether the performance of Target improves
or not. The same logic applies when we want to compare a company
Financial Comparisons (3 of 5) - Slide 6
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Common size income statements are calculated by dividing each line item
by total revenue. Working with percentages instead of total dollars.
Standardized statement make it much easier to compare financial
information as the company grows. They are also useful tools for comparing
companies of different sizes within the same industry.
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we can tell the current assets, fixed assets and total assets all increase.
However, we are not sure about the structural change of each item. Total
liabilities and shareholders equity also,
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When we use each line item divided by the total assets of that year, we get
the common size balance sheets for Target.
Current Assets - Slide 13
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We can see that there is a small decrease in total current assets in terms of
proportion. Current assets represent the 30.16% of total assets in 2020
compared with 30.32% a year earlier.
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There is a 2.5% drop in the fraction of current liabilities, which is bigger than
the drop in current assets. From this comparison, we can tell Target is in a
better position to pay its current liabilities.
Long-Term Liabilities - Slide 16
Transcript
Here is the common size income statement for Target. All percentages are
calculated using total net revenue as the base. For example, the
percentage of cost of sales is 70.24%, which is calculated using 54.86
million dollars of cost of sales divided by total net revenue, 78.11 billion
dollars. It represents that the direct cost of sales accounts for about 70.24%
of total net revenue. In addition, the selling, general and administrative
expenses accounts for 20.78% of total net revenue. About .6% of sales are
used to pay interest. And 1.16% are used to pay taxes. The net income is
4.2% of total revenue. Common size income statements enables us to
compare trends and changes in our business. Common size financial
statements are also used to compare companies within the same industry.
We pulled common size income, statement of Target and Walmart side by
side and study the difference between these two companies. Walmart's
total revenue 523.96 billion dollars is much larger than Target's 78.11 billion
dollars total revenue. When we compare the common size income
statement, we notice that Target's cost of sales as a percentage of total
revenue is 5% lower than Walmart, generating a higher gross margin
percentage. Target's selling, general, and administrative expenses is
slightly higher than Walmart. Target's interest expenses and tax
percentages are also a bit higher than Walmart. Target's net income
percentage is 1.36% higher than Walmart, which means for each dollar of
sales, Target generates more net income than Walmart.
Financial Ratios
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Using the miles traveled divided by how many gallons of gasoline used?
We get a racial called MPG. If the car has a high MPG number. It means we
can save a lot of money on gasoline and produce less pollution. Just the
MPG example when we use financial ratio analysis, we need to know how
the ratio is calculated. What is measures? A high value is better or a loan
value is better. And how to improve the value through financial
management? In order to evaluate the performance of the company, we
need to compare them with something. There are two major ways of
comparison.
Time-Trend Analysis - Slide 21
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One way is to perform time trend analysis. Which means we compare the
performance of a company with this past to see whether there's any
improvement or not. Another way to perform peer group analysis.
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Financial ratios can be divided into several categories. Short term liquidity
ratios we should measures the liquidity of a company. Long-term solvency
ratios, which evaluates financial leverage of a company. As I turn over
ratios, which tells us the efficiency of Asset Management. Profitability ratios
and market value ratios.
Current ratio
Quick ratio
Cash ratio
Operating cash flow ratio
Transcript
We want to start our ratio analysis from liquidity ratios. Liquidity ratios
evaluate a company's ability to pay its short term liabilities. Several
common liquidity ratios include current ratio, quick ratio, cash ratio, and
operating
Current Ratio - Slide 26
Transcript
cash flow ratio. The current ratio is a ratio of a company's current assets to
its current liabilities. The ratio measures a company's ability to pay its short
term liabilities using cash, accounts receivable, and inventory. We calculate
the current ratio using the balance sheet information of Target and Walmart
for the fiscal year 2020.
Current Ratio Comparison - Slide 27
Target and Walmart Current Ratio
2020 Data ($ Total Current Total Current
Current Ratio
millions) Assets Liabilities
$12,902
Target $12,902 $14,487 $14,487
= 0. 89
$61,806
Walmart $61,806 $77,790 $77,790
= 0. 79
Transcript
Target's current ratio is .89, which means for each dollar in current, liabilities
Target has $0.89 to pay off its debt. Walmart has $0.79 in current assets for
each dollar of current liabilities. When we compare the current ratio of
Target and Walmart, we find that Target's current ratio is higher than
Walmart, which means is liquidity is better. When we use current ratio to
make comparisons, there's one problem we need to be aware of. Current
assets are made of three major parts, and their liquidities are quite different.
Cash and cash equivalents are the most liquid asset within the current
assets family, then followed by accounts receivable. Inventory is the least
liquid current asset. Suppose there are two companies and they have
exactly the same current ratio, but the one with more inventory and another
one maintains large accounts receivable. Of course, the liquidities of these
two companies should not be the same. This is why we want to introduce
another liquid ratio in addition to current ratio. The second liquidity ratio we
want to introduce is the quick ratio.
Current liabilities
Transcript
Which is also called acid test ratio. It can be calculated as the sum of cash,
marketable securities, and accounts receivable, divided by current liabilities.
The numerator can also be considered as current assets without inventory
and prepaid expenses. Since their liquidity is not as good as cash and
accounts receivable.
Quick Ratio Comparison - Slide 30
Target and Walmart Quick Ratio
2020 Cash and Total
Accounts
data ($ cash current Quick ratio
receivable
million) equivalents liabilities
$2,577 + $962
Target $2,577 $962 $14,487 $14,487
= 0. 24
$9,465 + $6,284
Walmart $9,465 $6,284 $77,790 $77,790
= 0. 20
Transcript
We calculate the quick ratio for Target and Walmart, and we find that
Target's quick ratio, .24, is higher than Walmart's .2, indicating Target is in a
better position to pay its current liabilities using the more liquid portion of its
current assets. Another observation is that the quick ratio of these two
companies are much lower than their current ratios because inventory and
prepaid expenses are more than half of their current assets. Quick ratio is a
more conservative measure of liquidity then current ratio and it is more
useful when inventory percentage is high.
Current liabilities
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A company's cash ratio is the ratio of cash and cash equivalents to its
current liabilities. It is considered as the most conservative liquidity ratio
because it only considers cash and near cash financial securities. This ratio
is used more often to evaluate a company in financial distress because at
that time the company is very hard to convert its accounts receivables and
inventory into cash in a short period of time.
$9,465
Walmart $9,465 $77,790 $77,790
= 0. 12
Transcript
We compute the cash ratio for Target and Walmart. Target's cash ratio, .18,
is higher than Walmart's .12, which means Target's proportional cash
balance is more adequate than Walmart. When we study the cash ratio of a
company, we also need to realize that there is a trade off of holding too
much cash. Although creditors are happy to see the company holding a lot
of cash, because they can be paid off, cash and near cash securities have
low returns compared with other assets. Financial managers need to keep
appropriate level of cash balance based on the nature of the industry and
company characteristics.
Current liabilities
Transcript
$7,177
Target $7,117 $14,487 $14,487
= 0. 49
$25,255
Walmart $25,255 $77,790 $77,790
= 0. 32
Transcript
Target's operating cash flow ratio, .49, is higher than Walmart's .32, which
indicates a higher capacity to pay his current liabilities out of its operating
cash flow. Combining the current ratio, the quick ratio, the cash ratio, and
the firms operating cash flow ratio, you can generate a pretty solid view of a
company's ability to pay its short term bills. These are commonly used
metrics that lenders often look at in the long approval process.
Total assets
Transcript
coverage ratio. The total debt ratio is a ratio of total liabilities to total assets.
Here we use a very broad version of debt, which includes all current
liabilities and long-term liabilities. But in some other versions, the total debt
doesn't include items such as accounts payable and accrued expenses.
When you use this ratio, you also need to investigate whether they use the
broad version of or the narrow version.
Total Debt Ratio Comparison - Slide 37
Target vs. Walmart Total Debt Ratio
Total
2020 Data ($ Total
Shareholders' Total Debt Ratio
millions) Assets
Equity
$42,779 − $11,833
Target $42,779 $11,833 $42,779
= 72. 34%
$236,495 − $81,552
Walmart $236,495 $81,552 $236,495
= 65. 52%
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Total assets
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$42,779
Target $42,779 $11,833 $11,833
= 3. 62
$236,495
Walmart $236,495 $81,552 = 2. 90
$81,552
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Is it good to have a high leverage ratio? Our answer is the leverage ratio
should be within the appropriate range, and this range varies by industry
and company. In order to understand how much leverage is appropriate,
Benefits of Using Debt - Slide 41
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we need to know the benefits and costs of using debt. Using debt helps a
company to lower its taxes because interest payments are tax deductible.
However, dividends paid to shareholders are not tax deductible and come
from after tax next income. Therefore, the cost of debt financing is usually
lower than equity financing. Using debt also benefit existing shareholders
because of the financial leverage. The company finances its operations
using debt. Shareholders keep any remaining prophets after paying
interest. Given the same amount of equity investments, using more debt will
help shareholders to boost their investment returns. On the other hand,
Cons of Using Debt - Slide 42
Financial distress
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EBIT
Interest expense
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$21,468
Walmart $21,468 $2,410 $2,410
= 8. 90
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Target's interest coverage ratio is 9.95, which means the interest expense is
covered 9.95 times over. Walmart's interest coverage ratio, 8.9 times, is
lower than Target, but still higher than the industry average. We can argue
that both companies have no problem paying their debt out of their
earnings. Normally the interest coverage ratio is used by creditors to
determine the riskiness of a company's debt. A common view is that the
interest coverage ratio should be at least 1.5. If a company's earnings is
less than 1.5 times the interest payments, the company might be struggling
paying its debt.
Inventory turnover
Days' sales in inventory
Total asset turnover
Transcript
In this part we want to talk about asset turnover ratios. With the help of
these ratios, we can tell whether a company uses its assets efficiently or
not. There are three commonly used the asset turnover ratios. The
inventory turnover ratio, days' sales in inventory and total assets turnover.
Inventory
Transcript
Inventory turnover ratio is the ratio of cost of goods sold to inventory. Cost
of goods sold comes from the income statement and it is measured during
the fiscal year while inventory is from the balance sheet and it is measured
Which Inventory To Be Used? - Slide 47
Transcript
For both Target and Walmart, they use the average inventory to compute
the inventory turnover because any extreme values will be smooth. From
you can see that Target sold off or turned over the entire inventory 5.93
times during the year. Now, I want you to use the information on Walmart to
calculate its inventory turnover by yourself.
$394,605
Walmart $394,605 $44,269 $44,435 ($44,269 + $44,435)/2
= 8. 90
Transcript
OK, here's the answer. Walmart sold its inventory 8.9 times during the year.
This means Walmart sells its inventory at a faster speed than Target.
Normally, retailers favor a high inventory turnover because holding
inventory incurs high holding costs, such as storage costs, insurance, and
opportunity costs of the money tied up in the inventory. A low inventory
turnover may indicate either the company has weak sales or it is holding too
much inventory.
365 days
Inventory turnover
Transcript
Days' sales in inventory is the inverse of inventory turnover times 365 days.
It measures the average time a company can turn its
Selling Inventory Timeframe - Slide 51
Target vs. Walmart Inventory Timeframe
2020 Data ($ millions) Inventory turnover Days' sales in inventory
365 days
Target 5.93 = 62 days
5.93
365 days
Walmart 8.90 = 41 days
8.90
Transcript
Audi AG 66.58
Ferrari NV 81.93
Daimler AG 83.43
Volkswagen AG 88.52
the auto industry. This table presents the days in inventory for big
automakers in the world and industry medium value. You can see that there
is a lot of variations among the automakers. For example, Ford has a 33
day supply, which is pretty good compared to other automakers. If the days
in inventory is short, it automaker converts the inventory into cash easily,
and the inventory is more liquid. Well Volkswagen's days in inventory is 89
days. Each company's data can be compared to the industry data. 74 days
to decide whether it is better than the industry average or not.
Total revenues
Total assets
Transcript
Total asset turnover is defined as the ratio of total revenues to total assets.
Total revenues come from the income statement, while total assets from the
balance sheet. Just like the inventory turnover case, we need to decide
which asset value to use. The beginning value, ending value, or average
value. The practice used by Target and Walmart is to use average assets,
but in other industries this may not be the
$523,964
Walmart $523,964 $219,295 $236,495 ($219,295 + $236,495)/2
= 2. 30
Transcript
case. Targets total asset turnover is 1.86, which means for every dollar in
assets, Target generates 1.86 dollars in total revenues. Walmart's total
asset turnover is higher than that of Target's, which indicates its more
efficient at generating revenues from its assets. Both values are higher than
their industry average level.
Gross profit
Total revenues
Transcript
The formula for gross profit margin is gross profit divided by total revenues.
Gross profit is expressed as a company's total revenues minus the cost of
goods sold, also called Cox.
Gross Profit Margin Comparison - Slide 57
Target vs. Walmart Gross Profit Margin
2020 Data ($ Gross Total Gross Profit
millions) Profit Revenues Margin
$23,248
Target $23,248 $78,112 $78,112
= 29. 76%
$129,359
Walmart $129,359 $523,964 $523,964
= 24. 69%
Transcript
Target's gross profit margin is 29.76%, which is higher than Walmart's gross
profit margin, 24.69%. The industry average gross profit margin is about
24% for retail industry. Gross profit margin is good at evaluating how a
company controls its direct cost of operations because the cost of goods
sold is a measure of direct costs required to produce goods or services, not
including overhead costs such as utilities, management wages, and rent.
However, gross profit margin cannot capture the whole picture of a
company's profitability. We need other indicators to help us. Net profit
margin is the most widely used metric of profitability. Sometimes people just
call it profit margin.
$14,881
Walmart $14,881 $523,964 $523,964
= 2. 84%
Transcript
Net income
Total assets
Transcript
$3,281
Target $3,281 $41,290 $42,779 ($41,290 + $42,779)/2
= 7. 81%
Net income
Total equity
Transcript
$14,881
Walmart $14,881 $79,634 $81,552 ($79,634 + $81,552)/2
= 18%
Transcript
ROE. Overall, we think Target is doing a better job than Walmart based on
the ROE value. But at the same time we are curious what causes the
difference in their performance. We want to explore the story behind the
ROE numbers.
Net Income
ROE =
Total Equity
We also want to talk about the relationship between ROE and ROA. If we
multiply the ROE numerator and denominator by total assets at the same
time and then manipulate the equation, we derive the relationship that ROE
equals to ROA times equity multiplier. In other words, ROE is different from
ROA because of the financial leverage. As long as a firm has debt, ROE will
always be higher than ROA. If the company uses a lot of debt, ROE will be
higher than ROA. Otherwise, these two metrics will be close
to each other. We can further multiply the right hand side of the equation
with total revenues in the numerator and denominator. After some
manipulation we decompose the ROE into the product of three
components: net profit margin, total asset turnover and the equity multiplier.
This formula is called DuPont Identity. Because it was first adopted by the
DuPont Corporation to evaluate performance of its corporate divisions.
Transcript
The DuPont Identity shows us that the ROE is determined by three factors.
The first one is the net profit margin. It evaluates the operation efficiency of
a company. The second one is total asset turnover, which measures the
asset use efficiency. The last one, equity multiplier, it measures the financial
leverage of a company.
DuPont Identity Comparison - Slide 66
Target vs. Walmart Net Profit Margin
2020 DuPont Total Asset Equity Return on
Data Identity Turnover Multiplier Equity
In this table, we present the result of DuPont Identity for both Target and
Walmart. One small thing is the ROE number is a little bit off because we
use the ending values to calculate the equity multiplier while we use the
average values in total asset turnover. When we compare Target and
Walmart using the DuPont Identity, we find that Target achieved a higher
ROE mainly because it has a higher net profit margin and it uses more debt
than Walmart. Although Walmart manages its assets more efficiently, the
earnings from each sale is low. Here comes a question. How can we
improve the net profit margin? There are two ways you can think of:
increase prices and reduce costs.
Increasing prices seems easy, but your customers may switch to your
competitors if they can buy the same product with a lower price. Unless a
company has pricing power and has a lot of loyal customers, increasing
prices will harm the business instead of increasing revenues. Another way
is to reduce costs, but you have to make sure that you can do so without
sacrificing the quality of goods and services. Some common practices,
including using the latest technologies to automate the production process
and checking for unnecessary expenses. Another question I want you to
think about is Can we improve a company's ROE by increasing leverage? If
you take a look at DuPont Identity, it seems that we can improve the ROE
by increasing equity multiplier. If a company issues more debt instead of
equity, the equity multiplier will increase. At the same time, the interest
payments will also go up. The net profit margin will go down as a result.
Overall, we don't know the ROE will increase or decrease because of these
two opposite effects. Here you may also notice that a lot of financial ratios
are linked with each other. You need to pay attention to their relationship
when we use them.
Transcript
In this lesson, I want to show you 2 market value ratios, P/E ratio and
market capitalization. In order to get these ratios, we also need current
information from the stock market. The values may have already changed
when you learn this part, but I will show you where to get the information
and how to interpret them. For investors, P/E ratio is a key variable that
they want to look at.
P/E Ratio - Slide 69
Transcript
The P/E ratio is calculated by dividing our company current share price by
its earnings per share. It measures how much investors are willing to pay
for each dollar in current earnings. Here comes the question. Where can we
get real time stock price information? One place is Yahoo Finance. Click the
link here and then search for Target Corporation
Real-Time Stock Price Information - Slide 70
https://finance.yahoo.com
Search Target stock ticker "TGT"
Transcript
using stock ticker TGT. You will get directed to this web page.
Transcript
The current price is listed in red at the very top. 122.33 dollars as of May
29th, 2020. The earnings per share is 6.36 dollar per share. When you use
P/E ratio, there's one thing you need to pay attention to. When the firms
earning is negative, you can no longer use the P/E ratio because it doesn't
make any sense. Sometimes P/E ratio is high, not because its shares price
is high, but its earnings is close to 0. You need to interpret the P/E numbers
carefully and dig a little bit deeper to investigate its earnings.
Exercise - Slide 72
Please find today's P/E ratio for Target and Walmart and compare them.
Transcript
Here is an exercise for you to practice. Please visit Yahoo Finance and
check the most recent information about P/E ratio for both Target and
Walmart and compare which one achieves a higher P/E ratio. As an
investor, which one would you rather pay a higher price for based on its
current earnings?
This slide shows a Yahoo stock page for Target Corporation. The Market
Cap on the page is circled and is referenced by the resulting value from the
formula calculation above, which is 61.155 billion dollars.
Transcript
The market cap is calculated as the current price per share multiplied by the
number of shares outstanding. Market cap measures. How much are
companies worth in the stock market and investors perception of its future
prospects? For Target this is 122.33 dollars per share, times 499.92 million
shares outstanding, which equals to 61.155 billion dollars. We can divide
the companies into three groups based on their market cap. We call a
company large cap
Transcript
when is market value is 10 billion dollars or more. Large cap firms often are
established companies within an industry with high reputation, a steady
growth, and constant dividend payments. Investing in these companies will
generate a pretty safe return for investors.
Mid-Cap Firm - Slide 75
Transcript
Mid cap companies have a market value between 2 billion and 10 billion
dollars. These companies are still growing and expanding its risks and
return are considered as moderate.
Transcript
Small cap companies are businesses with a market value of 300 million
dollars to 2 billion dollars. These are young companies or companies in
emerging industries. There are very vulnerable to business cycles,
especially economic downturn. Meanwhile, they deliver the highest return
among these three groups because of their growth potential. This
represents a wonderful choice for those risk loving investors.
Financial Planning
Financial Forecasting
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In this lesson, we want to talk about financial planning. We can also use
financial statements to calculate financial ratios. Another application of
financial statements is to use them to forecast what is going to happen in
the future. We want to introduce you a commonly used method to do that. It
is called percentage of sales approach. The underlying assumption of this
approach is that many items in the income statement and balance sheet will
experience a proportional increase as sales increase.
Income Statements - Slide 78
Transcript
We start our analysis from income statement. First, we calculate each item
as a percentage of sales. This step is very similar to what we have done in
the common size income statement analysis. There's one thing I want to
mention. The income tax expense 21.69% is calculated as a percentage of
EBT, earnings before income taxes, not a percentage of sales. This number
represents the effective tax rate of Target. Next, we assume that the sales
growth is 7% next year. This information is derived from analysts forecast.
You can also check the information through Yahoo
Income Statement Components - Slide 79
Finance. The new total net revenue will grow to 83.58 billion dollars. It is the
total net revenue of 2020, 78.112 billion dollars times 1 plus 7% increase.
The new cost of sales is calculated as 70.24% times the new sales number.
This makes sense because when sales increase, the associated costs
should also increase to support the sales growth. The gross profit is the
total net revenue minus the gross sales. The selling, general, and
administrative expenses. Depreciation and amortization will also be a
proportion of the new sales value. We use gross profit minus these two cost
items to derive the operating income. And EBIT is the same as operating
income because there is no other income. Here, we assume the interest
expense is the same as before, because without issuing new debt, the
interest expense won't increase. EBT is calculated as EBIT minus the
interest expense and taxes are derived by EBT times the effective tax rate,
21.69%. The taxes for the next year will increase from 909 million dollars to
980 million dollars because of the increase in pretax income. The new net
income will increase from 3.281 billion dollars to 3.536 billion dollars. Now
we have finished the pro forma income statement. We are also interested in
how the net income is distributed. Based on the retention ratio of 2020,
59.2% are kept in the company for future investments. We assume the
retention ratio will be the same for next year. The retained earnings will be
59.2% times the new net income, 3.536 billion dollars, which is 2.094 billion
dollars. This number will also be used in the pro forma balance sheet. We
start to work with the balance sheet now.
Balance Sheet Components - Slide 80
For the left hand side of the balance sheet, we express all items as a
percentage of sales of 2020. We assume that current assets and fixed
assets need to keep pace with the sales so that sales increase can be
achieved. This is a very strong assumption. If the company still has some
extra capacity. They may not need to invest in that much in fixed assets,
and they can still increase their sales. When you collect more information
about the production capacity of the company, you can make further
adjustments. But here, we just use this assumption to simplify our analysis.
The projected assets are calculated using the percentage times the new
sales level. For the right hand side of the balance sheet, only two accounts
increase accordingly with sales, accounts payable and accrued expenses,
because you will have more orders with your suppliers. Other items won't
change automatically with sales, unless the company issues more debt or
equity. The other items will be the same as before. One thing we also need
to take care of is the retained earnings. From the pro forma income
statement, Target generates more retained earnings, and this needs to be
added to the current retained earnings. The retained earnings will be
increased by 2.094 billion dollars. All the other items in the liabilities and
equities part will be the same as before. We take a look at the newly
generated pro forma balance sheet and notice that total assets is 45.774
billion dollars. Well, total liabilities and equities is 45.875 billion dollars. The
projected total liabilities and equity is higher than the projected assets,
meaning Target will generate a surplus of 102 million dollars with a 7%
increase in sales. There's no need to obtain upside financing to support the
growth level. For some other companies, if the projected total assets
exceed total liabilities and equity, it means the company needs to seek
external financing. The profit generated by the sales growth itself is not
enough to support its growth.
Module 3 Wrap Up
Module 3 Wrap Up
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Transcript
They are grouped into five categories. The liquidity ratio evaluates the
ability of the company to pay its short term liabilities. We focus mainly on
the upper part of the balance sheet. A company's suppliers and short-term
creditors will pay a lot of their attention to these ratios because they want to
be paid on time. The solvency ratio or leverage ratio measures a company's
capability of paying its long term liabilities. We learned total debt ratio,
equity multiplier, an interest coverage ratio. Long-term creditors, such as
bondholders care a lot about these ratios. We measure the asset use
efficiency using asset turnover ratios. Inventory turnover ratio focus on the
short term asset use, while total asset turnover ratio shows us a big picture
of how a company uses its assets. For investors of a company, they care
more about the profitability ratios and the market ratios because these
ratios tell us about earning capability of a company and its market
performance. One useful tool to compare the performance of two
companies is the DuPont Identity. It decomposes the ROE into three
components and examine each part to see whether a company can make
improvement or not.
Transcript
Module 4 Overview
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Transcript
Hello, in this module let's discuss the time value of money. First, let's think about
some important financial decisions we make in our life. For most of us, we begin
our career in our 20s, and then we consider buying a car or even at home.
During the initial years of our job, it's difficult to buy a car or home since our
savings would be little. One thing we are sure of is that we can accumulate
enough wealth in our lifetime through our hard work. Yet we wouldn't want to
delay our purchases until we're old. So what we can do is borrow money from a
bank to finance the purchases of both car and home. In this case, financial
institutions, like banks, help us to shift some our future earnings to the present,
so that we can purchase a home worth hundreds of thousands of dollars.
Savings - Slide 2
Transcript
When we have a job and receive our salary, we don't want to spend all our
income. We also want to save some money for retirement. We deposit a portion
of our salary into a savings account such as 401K plan. Some employers may
also make matching contributions.
We want to allocate some of our current income to the retirement plan because
we want to maintain our standards of living even after we retire. Making
contributions to the retirement account will help us to shift some of our current
earnings to the future so that we can retire, worry free. In addition to the
retirement savings, we also want to make some investments if we have some
extra money. There are a bunch of investment options for us to choose from,
such as stocks, bonds, money markets and others. But our investment goal is
straightforward. We want to sacrifice a part of our current consumption in
exchange for greater future rewards.
Transcript
From all these daily examples you can see they have something in common.
With the help of financial institutions, we move cash flows either from present to
the future or from future to present so that we can smooth our consumption. If
we want to know how to allocate cash flows across time, we have to value the
tradeoffs between today's dollars and future dollars. This is the time value of
money. In this module, let's get introduced to the concept of present value and
future value. How to convert the present value to future value and vice versa?
To deal with a single cash flows as well as multiple cash flows and how to
calculate the net present value.
Perpetuity and Annuity - Slide 5
Transcript
Next, let's study the compounding frequency. Financial institutions may pay
interest annually semi annually, monthly or daily. So how do we compare the
value of investments if we received different quotes of interest rates from
various financial institutions? How do we convert a stated annual interest rate to
an effective annual interest rate? Lastly, let's study two special categories of
cash flows, perpetuity and annuity. Using these analysis tools, we should be
able to value the cash flows generated by a lot of financial instruments. You can
consider this module as the foundation of financial asset valuation.
Present Value and Future Value
Transcript
The time value of money is an idea that a dollar today is worth more than a
dollar tomorrow. This is the case because you can earn interest on your money.
Present Value and Future Value - Slide 7
If you invest $1,000 today at 5% interest rate for one year, what will your
investment grow to?
Transcript
Suppose I offer you two options; one is to receive $1000 now and another is to
receive $1000 one year later. Of course you want the $1000 right now because
you can deposit your money into a bank and get more than $1000 one year
later. But the question is, how much more will you get? Now let's discuss the
concepts of the present value and future value. Suppose you invest $1000 now
and the interest rate is 5%. What is the investment value one year later?
Future Value Calculation - Slide 8
Future Value Calculation Table
Interest Payment $1,000 × 5% = $50
Total $1,050
Transcript
The ending value is composed of two parts. The first part is interest payments
using the original $1000 times 5% interest rate. You get the interest payment
$50. You'll also receive the $1000 principle repayment, so your investment will
grow to 1050 in total.
Transcript
You can also derive the value using the original $1000 investment times 1 + 5%
interest rate. Today's the investment of $1000 is called the present value and
$1050 is called the future value because it is expressed as future dollars.
Time Value Timeline - Slide 10
This slide depicts a timeline in the following format: Today: Year 0, PV, next it
states Year 1, FV, and an arrow is pointing from year 0 to year 1. Above the
arrow, it states 1+r.
Transcript
More generally, if the interest rate is R for a given period and the present value
is PV, the future value, FV, can be calculated using the formula. Future value
equals to present value times one plus interest rates R. We also draw the
timeline here to show you the time associated with each value.
Transcript
Now we want to ask an alternative question. Suppose you want to have $1000 a
year from today and the interest rate is 5%. How much should you invest today?
$1,000
= $952. 38
1 + 5%
Transcript
You can also solve this question by rearranging the formula we just developed.
Using the future value $1000 divided by 1 plus the interest rate 5%, you get
$952.38.
Present Value Calculation (2 of 2) - Slide 13
FV
PV =
1 + r
FV = Future Value
PV = Present Value
Transcript
This is the amount of money you need to invest today to be able to achieve your
investment goal of receiving $1000 in one year. The value of $952.38 is called
the present value of 1000. We can also generalize this relationship as present
value equals to a future value divided by 1 plus the interest rate R.
Present Value Timeline - Slide 14
This slide depicts a timeline in the following format: on the left, it states Today:
Year 0, PV, on the right, it states Year 1, FV, and an arrow is pointing from the
content on the right to the content on the left. Above the arrow, it states 1+r.
Transcript
Suppose you know the future value. We can use this formula to derive the
present value. This process is called discounting. The interest rates R is also
called the discount rate.
Transcript
Until now, we analyze the one period case, which is the simplest, but in real life
we need to deal with multiple periods. For example, we want to know how much
our investment of 1000 will grow to after five years, if the interest rate is 5%.
This slide contains a timeline with incremental markings for Years 0–5. The
monetary values for Years 0–2 are $1,000, $1,050, and $1,102.50 respectiviely.
For each hop to an incremental year, it indicates that it multiplies the current
value by (1 + 5%). This formula is explicitly written out for Year 0 to 1 as follows:
$1,000 × (1 + 5%)
Transcript
To answer that question, at the end of year one, the investment will grow into
$1050, which equals to 1000 time 1 plus 5%. The investment at the end of year
one, $1050, will be reinvested during year 2, and also earn an interest of 5%.
Therefore, the ending value of the investment at the end of year 2 will be 1000
times 1 plus 5% to the power of 2. By following this process we need to get the
investment value at the end of year five that equals to 1000 times 1 plus 5% to
the power of 5, which is $1276.28.
The general formula for the future value of an investment over multiple periods:
T
FV = PV (1 + r)
FV = Future Value
PV = Present Value
From the description of the investment process. You may notice that you earn
interest on your initial investment $1000 and you will also earn interest on the
interest you earned previously. This process is called compounding. The general
formula for the future value of an investment over multiple periods is equal to the
present value times one plus interest rate R to the power of T. T is the
appearance of time.
FV
PV = T
(1 + r)
Transcript
If we know the future value at period T, we can also derive that the present value
equals the future value divided by 1 plus interest rate R to the power of T. We
want to use an example to show you how to use the formula
Example - Slide 19
Suppose you want to prepare $100,000 for your child's college tuition 10 years
from now. An investment opportunity offers you an interest rate of 8%.
Transcript
If we know the future value at period T, we can also derive that the present value
equals the future value divided by 1 plus interest rate R to the power of T. We
want to use an example to show you how to use the formula
This slide depicts a timeline for the Years 0–10, with years 4–9 implicitly
declared with an ellipsis between increments 3 and 10. Above Year 10, the
value $100,000. An arrow from Year 10 points to the following formula:
$100,000
PV = 10
= $46, 319. 35
(1 + 8%)
Transcript
In order to answer this question, we need to identify that the future value is
$100,000. The appropriate interest rate is 8%, and the number of periods is 10
years. By discounting the required ending investment value of $100,000 to the
present, we will yield a present value of $46,319.35.
Net Present Value
In the previous lesson, we have learnedhow to work on single cash flow, such
as how to convert cash flow from present to the future value and vice versa.
Now,we want to add a new levelof reality to our analysis. We want to know how
to dealwith a stream of cash flows. Suppose a project generates a stream of
cash flows. $50,000 one year from now, $60,000 at the end of year two, and
$20,000 at the end of year three. If the interest rate is 8%, andthe initial
investment needed is $100,000, do you think it is worthwhileto invest in this
project? In order to solve this question, we cannot simply sum up allthe future
cash flows directly and then compare them with the initial outlay. Cash flows at
different points in time cannot be compared directly because their units are
different. For example, you have 10Euros and $12, you cannot argue that $12 is
worth more than 10 Euros because 12 is greater than 10. You have to convert
them to the same currency and then compare which one yields more value.
What we want to do here is to convert all the future values into the same unit,
the present value,and then compare them. One nice thing about the
presentvalue is that they are all expressed in current dollars, so we can add
them up.
This slide depicts a timeline at the top right with years 0–3. Above years 1, 2,
and 3 are the values $50,000, $60,000, and $20,000 respectiviely. Year 0 is
-$100,000. The years 1, 2, and 3 point to the following formulas, respectiviely.
$50,000
PV = = $46, 296. 30
1
((1 + 8%))
$60,000
PV = 2
= $51, 440. 33
(1 + 8%)
$20,000
PV = 3
= $15, 876. 64
(1 + 8%)
Transcript
First, we convert the cash flow in year one into the present value by dividing
$50,000 by 1 plus the interest rate to the power of 1. The present value is
$46,296.30. We repeat this process for the cash flows in year two and year
three and get the corresponding present values. Then, we sum up all these
present values and deduct the initial cost of $100,000 to compute the total
present value as $13,613.27. Because this value is positive, the project's
discounted cash flows are more than enough to pay his initial cost. This project
is worth taking. What we have done can be generalized using mathematical
formulas.
To calculate the present value of a stream of future cash flows extending over a
number of years, use the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) formula.
C1 C2 CT T Ct
PV = + +. . . + = ∑ t
(1 + r) 2 T t=1
(1 + r) (1 + r) (1 + r)
Transcript
The present value of a stream of future cash flows can be calculated by dividing
each cash flow by 1 plus interest rate, r to the power of the corresponding time
period. And then sum up all the discounted cash flows. This formula is called the
Discounted Cash Flow formula, also called DCF. DCF is a widely used toolin
financial valuation.
To find the Net Present Value (NPV) we add the (usually negative) initial cash
flow:
T Ct
NPV = C0 + ∑
t=1 t
(1 + r)
Transcript
If we take initial cashflow into consideration, we get the Net Present Value
(NPV) of a project. In most cases, the initial cash flow is negative because a
company needs to purchase equipment, build factories, hire employees, and
build up an inventory to start a new project. After the project is established,
positive cash flows will be generated through making goods or providing
services. Once you have the net present value number, you can make your
decision.
Net Present Value (NPV) - Slide 25
Transcript
The decision rule is that you should accept projects with positive NPV and reject
those projects with a zero, or a negative NPV. You can think of the decision rule
as a cost-benefit analysis. The present value of cash inflows can beconsidered
as the benefits of a project. Well, the cash outflows,are the cost of a project. If
the net present value is positive, it means the total benefits fromthe project
outweigh the costs. Projects with positive NPV increase the earnings of the
company and also create value for shareholders.
Net Present Value Excel Sheet Example - Slide 26
Now, let's work on the Excel spreadsheet. First, we need to label the time
periods clearly. So, we label the time. This is 0, 1, 2, and 3 because we have
three years in total. In the second column,we enter our cash flows. The cash
flow information looks like this. For the first year, we have $100,000 of cash
outflow. In the second year, we have $50,000 of cash inflow. And the second
year, $60,000, the third year, $20,000. We have listed all the cashflows in the
second column. We also need to enter the information of the discount rate. The
discount rate, in this case, is 8%. In order to calculate the net present value of
this project, we can use the function called the net present value. The first
argument of the function is the discount rate, 8%. Then we use a comma. Then
we need to include all the cash flows from year one to year three and then a
parenthesis. This is the net present value. But don't forget we need to add the
initial outlay at the very beginning of the project. The net present value of this
project equals to $13,613.27. This number matches what we have done before.
Here, I also want to bring one question to your attention. When we use the net
present value function, a lot of students put all the cash flowsin the net present
value function. They do it like this. They use the net present value function, and
then they use the rate and followed by all the cash flows. All the cash flows and
then do it like this. This is the wrong way to do it because the initial cash flow is
already expressed as the present value. We cannot put it in the net present
value formula. This is the right way to do it. This is the right way to do it and this
is the wrong way to do it. In this example, we useda discount rate of 8%. But we
didn't explain why wepicked 8% instead of 4% or 10%. What is the reasoning
behind it?
Discount Rate - Slide 27
The discount rate r is also called the rate of return, hurdle rate, or opportunity
cost of capital.
Transcript
The discount rate has other names such as the rate of return, hurdle rate, or
opportunity cost of capital.
The return of a forgone investment option with the same level of risk
Transcript
Transcript
Some projects are riskier, like developing new products or expanding the
business into a whole new market. There are a lot of uncertainties with the cash
flows. So, we need to use a higher discount rate to adjust for the risk. Other
projects are pretty safe, such as renovating an existing facility. We should use a
low discount rate for low-risk projects. Suppose you believe the project is as
risky as an investment in the stock market and that the stock investment offers a
15% expected return.
Net Present Value Excel Sheet Example Revisited -
Slide 30
Transcript
This time, we change the discount rate from 8% to 15%. When we change the
discount rate to 15%, the net present value will be changed automatically to
around $2,000. You can see that when the discount rate increases, the net
present value decreases a lot compared to our previous case. The net present
value is still positive, meaning the project is still worthwhile to explore, but it's
not as attractive as the previous case.
Internal Rate of Return - Slide 31
Transcript
C1 C2 C3 CT
0 = C0 + + + +. . . +
2 3 T
1 + IRR
(1 + IRR) (1 + IRR) (1 + IRR)
Transcript
Internal rate of return, IRR, can be thought of as a project's inherent growth rate,
so the IRR is the discount rate that sets MPV to 0.
Transcript
The decision rule of using IRR is to accept the project if the IRR is higher than
the required rate of return. This makes sense because it means that the return
from this project is higher than the return from other available investment
opportunities with the same level of risk.
Ranking Multiple Projects - Slide 34
Transcript
If there are multiple projects foryou to choose from and you have to pick one,
just pick the one with the highest IRR. Solving for IRR manually is very tedious,
but it's pretty easy to solve the equation using an Excel spreadsheet.
Let's use the previous example and solve for the project's IRR. In this Excel
spreadsheet, let's use the previous example and solve for the project’s internal
rate of return. And in this example, we list all the cash flows in the second
column, and we list the time in the first column. In order to calculate the internal
rate of return, we just use the function, internal rate of return, followed by all the
cash flows from the beginning to the end, and this is the internal rate of return.
The internal rate of return 16% is higher than the discount rate, so we can argue
that this project is a good one and we need to go ahead with the project.
Normally, the decision you made using IRR, will be the same as using their net
present value, just like in this example. Both methods are very popular among
financial managers.
Transcript
This slide shows an image of the Citi website and their Citi Simplicity Credit
Card. The page details the features of the card, like the Purchase Rate, which
mentions the APR, Balance Transfer Rate, and Annual Fee.
Transcript
Suppose you buy a certificate of deposit from a bank. The interest payment may
occur daily, monthly or semi annually, depending on which bank you choose.
Some banks pay continuously, the compounded interest rate, which means you
aren't interested at every moment. Let's take a look at some real world
examples and see how to deal with the compounding frequency problem. When
we apply for credit cards, there is a very important term for us to consider, which
is called the annual percentage rate, APR. Here are some example quotes used
by different credit cards. The APR is the rate of the loan based on a person's
credit history. If you have an excellent credit score, you may get a 10% APR.
For a person with a bad credit score, the credit card company may charge a
25% APR.
Annual Percentage Rate (APR) - Slide 38
Annual percentage rate (APR): the rate that a bank is required to quote on
loans it extends
APR is a simple interest rate that does not consider compounding.
Transcript
APR is the rate that a bank is required to quote the loan it offers to borrowers.
APR is a simple interest rate without considering compounding that equals the
periodic interest rate times the number of compounding periods in a year.
APR - Slide 39
What would the end of year payment be if you were offered an APR of 15%
compounded monthly on a $1,000 loan?
Transcript
How do you understand APR? Suppose you have just applied for a new credit
card and the APR is 15% compounded monthly. We want to investigate how
much you need to pay back one year later if you borrow $1000 now. You cannot
use $1000 times 1 plus 15% and say the final repayment is $1150, because the
APR is not compounded annually.
12
15%
$1000(1 + ) =
12
Transcript
First, we need to divide 15% by 12 to get the monthly interest rate. And then let
the $1000 compound and that monthly rate for 12 times a year. The end of the
year payment should be $1160.75.
End of Year Value - Slide 41
Compounding an investment m times per year for T years with stated interest
rate r provides the end of year wealth:
mT
r
FV = PV (1 + )
m
Transcript
In general, the end of year value can be expressed as the present value times
one plus the annual percentage rate are divided by compounding periods M and
to the power of M times the number of years T.
Transcript
Let's take a look at how to use the formula to compare different loan options.
Suppose you want to apply for a three year loan and there are three options
from different financial institutions. The first offers you a 18% APR compounded
daily, while the second offers you an APR of 18% compounded monthly, and the
third offers an APR of 18.5% compounded semiannually. Which one is the best
choice for you?
365
) $171,578
Transcript
From the appearance, the first one and the second one have exactly the same
APR. But they are compounded differently. The third choice charges you a
higher APR, but the compounding frequency is low. Let's work on the numbers.
The first choice is 18% compounded daily, so you need to use 18% / 365 to get
the daily interest rate and compound for each day within three years. If you take
out $100,000 loan, the ending value you need to pay back is $171,578. As you
repeat the process for option two and option three, you will find that the third
choice is the cheapest option, because you just need to pay back $170,031.
The Effective annual rate (EAR) of interest is the true annual rate that would
give us the end of investment wealth.
Transcript
The lesson from this example is that you need to care about the APR as well as
compounding frequency when you take out a loan. The compounding frequency
can also make a big difference. The higher the compounding frequency, the
more interest you need to pay. That's bad news for a person who want to borrow
money. But for an investor who to make investments, a higher compounding
frequency is great news because they can earn interest more frequently, and
their ending value will be higher. APR is an interest rate without considering
compounding. It is not convenient for us to compare different APR offers directly.
In real life, we are also interested in the real rate of return on investment
considering the effect of compounding interest. The concept is called the
effective annual rate, EAR, also called effective annual yield, EAY, or annual
percentage yield, API. Based on the EAR, we can calculate the end of
investment values directly. The major difference between the APR and EAR is
whether they consider compounding or not.
If the stated annual interest rate r is compounded m times a year, the Effective
annual rate (or effective annual yield) is as follows:
m
r
EAR = (1 + ) − 1
m
Transcript
If we were given the value of APR, we can convert it into EAR using the
equation like this. EAR equals to 1 plus annual percentage rate R divided by the
compounding frequency M and to the power of M minus one.
12
18.0% 12 (1 +
18%
12
) − 1 19.56%
18.5% 2 (1 +
18.5%
) − 1 19.36%
2
Transcript
Let's use the previous three offers to see what the corresponding EAR for each
option is. The first option, 18% APR compounded daily, is equivalent to 19.72%
compounded annually. 18% compounded monthly is the same as 19.56%
annual interest rate. And the third option, 18.5% compounded semiannually, is
the same as 19.36% compounded annually. Using the relationship, you can
convert any APR into EAR and vice versa. Using the EAR, you can compare the
offers directly, because all of them are annualized interest rates. Since 19.36%
is the lowest EAR among these three options, this is the best choice for a
borrower. From lenders perspective, the first choice is the best one because it
provides the highest return.
Transcript
Where r is the stated annual interest rate, T is the number of years, and e is the
base of natural logarithms i.e., 2.71828
Transcript
evenly spread out the whole year without stopping. The future value of an
investment after T years can be expressed as the present value times E to the
power of stated interest rate R times T years. E is the base of natural log which
equals to 2.71828.
Certificate of Deposit - Slide 49
Transcript
Suppose you invest $10,000 in a certificate of deposit, CD, for three years.
Suppose you invest $10,000 in a CD (certificate of deposit) for three years. The
CD pays 8% annual interest compounded continuously.
Here, I would like to explain a little bit about the CD. A CD works like this: You
deposit a certain amount of money for a fixed term, such as one year, three
years, or five years. The bank offers a higher interest rate than a regular savings
account, but you are expected to hold it until maturity. If you want to withdraw it
early, you are subject to a penalty. This CD pays 8% annual interest,
compounded continuously, so what would be the value of your investment at the
end of year 3?
rT 0.08×3
FV = PV × e = $10, 000 × e = $12, 712. 49
Transcript
Perpetuity
Media Player for Video
Perpetuity - Slide 52
Transcript
In this lesson, we will discuss some special patterns of cash flows. If cash flows
follow a special pattern, we can use shortcut formulas that will save us a lot of
work. The first one is called perpetuity. A perpetuity is a constant stream of cash
flows that lasts forever.
Stream of Cash Flows - Slide 53
This slide depicts a timeline with years 0-3. Years 1, 2, and 3 are also labeled C.
Transcript
If you pay close attention to the cash flow, you will find that the cash flows are
constant, the time interval between two cashflows are equal, and the first the
cash flow occurs at time one. These characteristics can help us to identify
whether a stream of cash flows is perpetuity or not.
C C C
PV = + 2
+ 3
+. . .
(1 + r) (1 + r) (1 + r)
Transcript
If a stream is perpetuity, the present value of the cash flows can be written as
the sum of each cash flow discounted to the present. Notice all the cash flows
are future values and there's no cash flow at time 0. There are infinite terms in
this geometric series. But the good news is that the sum is a finite number,
which equals to the cash flow C divided by interest rate R. Here, we also
assume the discount rate is constant throughout time.
When you deposit the $100, the interest it earns each year will be: $100 × 8% =
$8
When you deposit the $100, the interest it earns each year will be: $100 × 8% =
$8 This slide depicts a timeline with years 0-3. Year 0 is labeled with $100.
Years 1, 2, and 3 are each labeled with $8.
Transcript
To understand the meaning of this shortcut, imagine that you deposit $100 in a
bank at an interest rate of 8%. At the end of year one, you will have $108.00 in
your bank account. You then withdraw $8.00 and reinvest the remaining $100
for another year. At the end of each following year, you withdraw the same
amount of money of $8.00 and the reinvest $100. You just create opportunity all
by yourself.
Perpetuity Interest Payment - Slide 56
Transcript
In this example, the cash flow is $8.00 and the interest rate is 8%. Then the
present value of all cash flows is just $100. To generalize the relation, suppose
you deposit a fixed amount of money C over R, in a bank. Then the interest
payment in each period will be this amount of money times the interest rates
are, which is just the amount of cash flow C.
British Consol Bonds (1 of 2) - Slide 57
Perpetual bonds
An investor is entitled to receive an annual interest payment from the British
government forever
Transcript
A real world example of a financial instrument with perpetual cash flows is the
British issued bonds called console bonds. By investing in the consoles, an
investor is entitled to receive annual interest payments from the British
government forever.
This slide depicts a timeline with years 0–3. Years 1, 2, and 3 are each labeled
with £50.
Transcript
Investors are interested in perpetual bonds because they provide a steady and
reliable cash flow on a regular schedule. Now, we want to see how to value a
console bond. Suppose the British government issued the console bonds that
pay £50 of interest each year forever with an appropriate discount rate of 3.5%.
What would be the price of the console bond?
£50
PV =
C
r
=
3.5%
= £1, 429
Transcript
To solve the price of the console bond, let's use the cash flow amount, which is
50 pounds divided by the appropriate discount rate of 3.5%, and the derived
value, which is 1429 pounds.
Growing Perpetuity - Slide 60
Transcript
Sometimes the cash flows of perpetuity are not all fixed. They increase at a
constant rate with time. We call this pattern a growing perpetuity. The basic
valuation rule is also the sum of all the present value of cash flows. There are
infinite number of cash flows in the future, but fortunately we have a shortcut
formula for growing perpetuity.
Present Value of Cash Flow with Constant Growth
Rate - Slide 61
C
PV =
r−g
Transcript
Suppose the cash flow is C at time one that increases at a constant growth rate
G with the appropriate discount rate R. The present value of the growing
perpetuity can be expressed as C divided by R minus G.
Transcript
To use the growing perpetuity formula. You have to make sure that the discount
rate is higher than the growth rate. Otherwise, the formula will not make any
sense. Let's look at an example of how to work with growing perpetuity.
Suppose there is a mature firm that expects to generate 1.5 million dollars of
cash flow next year. And the cash flows are expected to grow at a rate of 5%
each year forever. If we adopt a discount rate of 10%, what is the value of this
firm?
This slide depicts a timeline with years 0–3. Year 1 is labeled: $1.50. Year 2 is
labeled: $1.50(1.05). Year 3 is labeled: $1.50(1.05)2. A key shows the units for
the values as $ millions. Above years 1–3, it shows the following 3 values or
formulas:
$1.50
$1.50×(1.05)
2
$1. 50 × (1. 05)
Transcript
First, let's use a timeline to show the future cash flows of the firm. The first cash
flow 1.5 million dollars occurs at the end of year one. Year 2 cash flow is 1.5
million dollars times one plus the growth rate 5%. And third year cash flow is 1.5
million dollars times 1 + 5% to the power of 2, so on so forth until infinity.
$1.5 million
PV = = $30 million
10%−5%
Transcript
We can tell that the cash flows are growing perpetuities. Let's use the growing
property formula and plug in the numbers. The first cash flow, 1.5 million dollars,
divided by the discount rate, 10%, subtracted by 5% growth rate, gives us the
firm value of $30,000,000. We can use this number as a ballpark estimate of the
value of a business. In reality, there are a lot of uncertainties we should be
aware of. For example, the next year's cash flow may not be 1.5 million dollars,
the discount rate and growth rate may change overtime, and the company may
not last forever. This exercise is still helpful because some numbers are better
than no number. At least we will get a rough idea about the value of business.
Annuity
Media Player for Video
Annuity - Slide 65
A stream of equal cash flow for a given number of periods. Its payments stop
after T periods
Transcript
In this lesson, let me introduce you to another special pattern of cash flows
called annuities. An annuity is a stream of cash flows that last for a given
number of periods.
Transcript
This is a timeline that shows the cash flows of an annuity. We can tell that it
looks a lot like perpetuity. The only difference between the perpetuity and
annuity is whether the cash flow will stop at some point or not.
This slide shows 3 timelines, one for Annuity, one for Perpetuity A, and one for
Perpetuity B. The timeline for Annuity covers years 0–t, and the timelines for
Perpetuity A and Perpetuity B cover years 0–t+1. Each of the ticks in each
timeline are labeled C.
Transcript
To derive the present value of an annuity, let's start from what we have learned
before. We can see an annuity as the difference between two perpetuities. The
first one, Perpetuity A, is an ordinary perpetuity that starts at time one. Another
one, Perpetuity B, is a perpetuity that starts at time T plus one. We can also call
it a delayed perpetuity.
Present Value of Perpetuity A - Slide 68
This slide depicts a timeline for Perpetuity A over years 0–t+1. Each tick in the
timeline is labeled C. The following formula is also included:
C
PVA =
r
Transcript
If we can get the present value of these two perpetuities, the annuity can be
valued. The present value of perpetuity A is just C over R.
Transcript
This slide shows 3 timelines: one for Annuity, one for Perpetuity A, and one for
Perpetuity B. The Annuity timeline is over years 0–t, and the timelines for
Perpetuity A and B are over years 0–t+1. Each of the tick marks is labeled C.
The following formulas correspond to the Annuity, Perpetuity A, and Perpetuity B
timelines, respectively.
C C 1
PV = PVA − PVB = − [ t
]
r r
(1 + r)
C
PVA =
r
C 1
PVB = [ t
]
r
(1 + r)
Transcript
C C 1
Present Value of Annuity = − [ t
]
r r
(1 + r)
C 1
PV = [1 − t
]
r
(1 + r)
1
1−
t
(1 + r)
PV = C[ ]
r
Transcript
The annuity formula can also be simplified into this equation. The first part is the
periodic payment C and the second part, in the parenthesis, is called the annuity
factor.
Annuity (1 of 3) - Slide 72
You are looking to buy a car and applying for auto loans from your local bank.
Transcript
Let's use an example to understand how annuity works. Suppose you are
looking to buy a car and applying for auto loans from your local bank.
Annuity (2 of 3) - Slide 73
Based on your excellent credit score, the local bank charges you an APR of
3.6% compounded monthly.
Transcript
Annuity (3 of 3) - Slide 74
According to your income, the maximum amount you can pay is $600 per month
for three years, and payments are scheduled at the end of each month. In this
case, no down payment is required.
Transcript
According to your income, the maximum amount you can pay is $600 per month
for three years, and the payment is scheduled at the end of each month. In this
case, there's no need for a down payment. How much is the car that you can
afford?
Future Value of Annuity - Slide 75
$600 1
PV = [1 − 36
]= $20, 445
0.3% (1 + 0.3%)
Transcript
Transcript
If you feel this is too much math for, you can also try to solve the question using
Excel spreadsheet. In this example, you need to enter three values in the Excel
spreadsheet. The first one is the discount rate, and for the discount rate we
need to use the APR which is .036 divided by 12 month so that we can get the
monthly discount rate. So the monthly discount rate is .3%. And the next column
is the number of periods. So for the number of periods we need to use 12 times
three years. OK, so the total number of periods equals to 36, and for the
periodic payment, we use -600, because for each month we need to pay $600.
So we have three arguments over here, and using these three arguments, we
can calculate the present value. And in order to calculate the present value, we
use an Excel function PV so equals to the present value, and the first argument
is the monthly discount rate. And the second argument is the number of periods
of payments. And the third argument is the periodic payment and then
parenthesis. So our present value equals to $20,445. And you will find out that
this value is exactly the same as the present value of annuity we calculated
before.
Suppose you would like to buy a house that costs $350,000. You plan to make a
20% down payment using your savings and take out a 30-year fixed-rate
mortgage to finance the remaining part. Your local bank charges you an APR of
4.5% compounded monthly.
Transcript
Transcript
To solve this question, we first use the APR, 4.5%, divided by 12, to determine
the monthly interest rate, .375%. Then, we compute the total amount of the loan,
which is 80% of the house price, because you have already paid 20% as down
payment. Then we set up the annuity equation.
Present Value of Annuity Formula - Slide 79
C 1
PV = $280, 000 = [1 − 360
]
0.375% (1 + 0.375%)
C = $1,419
Transcript
The left hand side is the amount of the loan, $280,000, and the right hand side
is the annuity formula with all the numbers plugged in. The only unknown in this
equation is the monthly payment. Solving this equation, we get the monthly
payment of $1,419.
Present Value with Excel Spreadsheet - Slide 80
Transcript
Transcript
Now, let's talk about growing annuity. A growing annuity looks just like growing
perpetuity, but with an ending point.
This slide shows a timeline for years 0–t. Above the years 1, 2, 3, and t, the
following formulas, respectively.
C
C×(1+g)
2
C × (1 + g)
t−1
C × (1 + g)
t
C 1+g
PV = [1 − ( ) ]
r−g 1+r
Transcript
Suppose the initial cash flow at time 1 is C. The cash flow rolls at a constant
growth rate G, and the appropriate discount rate is R. To value a growing
annuity, we discount each cash flow to the present, and then sum them up. The
formula can be simplified like this. If you want to understand it better, try to prove
this formula or yourself. You would need to create the two growing perpetuities.
One start at time 1 and the other start at time T plus one. The difference
between the present value of two growing perpetuities is just the value here.
Transcript
Let's see an example of a growing annuity. Suppose you get a job offer and the
starting salary is $100,000 a year paid at the end of each year. The salary is
expected to rise by a constant rate of 3% each year, and you are going to work
for 40 years. What is the present value of this job offer if the discount rate is
8%?
This slide shows a timeline for the years 0–40. There are ticks for the years 0, 1,
2, and 40. Above years 1, 2, and 40 are the following values or formulas,
respectively:
$100,000
$100,000×(1.03)
39
$100, 000 × (1. 03)
Transcript
To evaluate the job offer, we need to collect all the inputs from the question. The
initial cash flow at time 1 is $100,000, the growth rate is 3%, discount rate 8%,
and the time horizon 40 years.
40
$100,000 1+3%
PV = [1 − ( ) ] = $1, 699, 691
8%−3% 1+8%
Transcript
By plugging in these values into the growing annuity, we get the present value of
this job offer as around 1.7 million dollars. When you have multiple job offers,
you can use this method to compare them and decide which one is more
attractive financially. Of course, salary is not the only thing you need to consider.
You also need to think about the one that provides more opportunities for your
future growth and the one that helps to achieve your career goals.
Module 4 Wrap Up
Module 4 Wrap Up
Media Player for Video
Transcript
In this module, we learned what time value of money is. First, we introduced two
basic concepts, present value and future value. For any cash flows, you should
be able to convert it from the present value to the future value, and vice versa.
This is the basic skill we need to master before we do any tricks. Based on that,
we learned the net present value.
Net Present Value (NPV) - Slide 87
Transcript
Transcript
Alternative criterion to judge a project is the internal rate of return. It is the return
that equates the cash inflows and
APR vs. EAR - Slide 89
Transcript
cash outflows. If the internal rate of return is higher than the opportunity cost of
capital, then the investment has a positive net present value. The net present
value and internal rate of return are basic tools for us to make financial
decisions. We also learn the difference between the annual percentage rate and
the effective annual rate. The APR is the rate financial institutions quote. It is the
rate without considering compounding. The effective annual rate is the
equivalent interest rate, compounded annually. For any APR, you need to know
how to convert it to an EAR. The last part of the module is devoted to special
patterns
Perpetuity and Annuity - Slide 90
Transcript
of cash flows, such as perpetuity and annuity. We talked about how to identify a
perpetuity, a growing perpetuity, an annuity, and a growing annuity, how to
compute the present values of these cash flows, how to use the Excel
spreadsheet to derive values, and some real world examples? Overall time
value of money has wide applications in our daily life. You will use time value of
money when you apply for a credit card, apply from auto loan, apply for a
mortgage, save for your child's college education, compare multiple job offers,
create your retirement plan, and make any investments. Whenever you make
important financial decisions in the future, I hope you can use what we have
learned in this class to make a better decision.