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P2 U.8 21 May 12
P2 U.8 21 May 12
Financial Decision
Making
Section C. Decision Analysis and Risk Management
(25% Level C)
U.8
Introduction
Relevant Cost
The concept of relevant cost arises when the decision maker must choose between two or more options. To
determine which option is best, the decision maker must determine which option offers the highest benefit,
usually in dollars. Thus, the decision maker needs information on relevant costs.
Sunk Cost
Sunk costs are costs that have been incurred or committed in the past and are therefore irrelevant because the
decision maker no longer has discretion over them.
For example, if a company purchased a new machine without warranty that failed the next day, the purchase
price is irrelevant for the present decision to replace or to repair the machine.
Avoidable vs. Committed (establish the current level of operating capacity/ typically fixed costs)
Avoidable costs are those that may be eliminated by not engaging in an activity or by performing it more
efficiently. An example is direct materials cost, which can be saved by ceasing production.
Committed costs
• Committed costs are Costs which are governed mainly by
by past decisions that established the present
levels of operating and organizational capacity and which only change slowly in response to small
changes in capacity.
• Committed costs are those which are required as a result of past decisions and cannot be altered in the
short run.
• Committed costs arise from holding property, plant, and equipment.
Examples are insurance, real estate taxes, Long-term lease payments, and depreciation. They are by nature
long-term and cannot be reduced by lowering the short-term level of production.
Cost-Volume-Profit assumptions
The inherent simplifying assumptions of CVP analysis are the following:
a. Cost and revenue relationships are predictable and linear. These relationships are true over the
relevant range of activity and specified time span. For example, reductions in prices are not
necessary to increase revenues, and no learning curve effect operates to reduce unit variable labor
costs at higher output levels.
b. Total variable costs change proportionally with volume, but unit variable costs are constant over
the relevant range. Raw materials and direct labor are typically variable costs.
d. Fixed costs remain constant over the relevant range of volume, but unit fixed costs vary indirectly
with volume. The classification of fixed versus variable can be affected by the time frame being
considered.
g. The revenue (sales) mix is constant, or the firm makes and sells only one product.
h. All costs are either fixed or variable relative to a given cost object for a given time span. The longer
the time span, the more likely the cost is variable.
j. Revenues and costs vary only with changes in physical unit volume. Hence, volume is the sole
revenue driver and cost driver.
The assumptions under which CVP analysis operates primarily hinge on certainty.
However, many decisions must be made even though uncertainty exists. Assigning probabilities to
the various outcomes and sensitivity (“what-if”) analysis are important approaches to dealing with
uncertainty.
Margin of safety
A measure of risk. It is the excess of budgeted revenues over breakeven revenues (or budgeted units
over breakeven units).
Sensitivity analysis
examines the effect on the outcome of not achieving the original forecast or of changing an
assumption.
A simpler calculation is to divide fixed costs by the unit contribution margin (the unit contribution to
coverage of fixed costs).
In practice (because they have multiple products), companies usually calculate breakeven point
directly in terms of revenues using contribution margin percentages. Recall that in the GMAT
Success example,
That is, 40% of each dollar of revenue, or 40 cents, is contribution margin. To break even,
contribution margin must equal fixed costs of $2,000. To earn $2,000 of contribution margin, when $1
of revenue earns $0.40 of contribution margin, revenues must equal
The contribution income statement with per unit amounts is an integral part of breakeven
analysis.
8.2.APPLICATIONS
1. Target operating income (TOI). An amount of operating income, either in dollars or as a
percentage of sales, is frequently required.
Assume the targeted operating income is $1,200, the question now, How many units must be sold
to generate enough CM to cover FC and TOI???
A variation of this problem asks for net income (an after-tax amount) instead of operating income (a
pretax amount). In this case, the computation requires converting the target net income to target
operating income by dividing the target net income by one minus the income tax rate.
To make net income evaluations, CVP calculations for target income must be stated in terms of target
net income instead of target operating income. For example, Emma may be interested in knowing the
quantity of units she must sell to earn a net income of $960, assuming an income tax rate of 40%.
In other words, to earn a target net income of $960, Emma’s target operating income
is $1,600.
We can calculate the breakeven volume for each of these products would be,
RC HS
CM $4.0 $5.0
units 10000 15000 25000
40% 60%
CM x sales mix $1.6 $3.0 $4.6
FC $94,000.0 20,434.78
Thus the breakeven will be 8,174 for round cakes and 12,261 for heart-shaped cakes.
If the product sales mix were to change to three heart-shaped cakes for each round cake, the
breakeven volume for each of these products would be
RC HS
CM $4.0 $5.0
units 6250 18750 25000
MIX 25% 75%
CM x sales mix $1.0 $3.8 $4.8
FC $94,000.0 19,789.47
If we multiply the mix % by the total breakeven we can arrive to 4,947 units for round cakes, and
14,842 for heart-shaped cakes.
Feedback: The correct answer is: 4,948 round cakes, 14,843 heart-shaped cakes.
The breakeven volume occurs when the contribution margin of the two types of cakes are equal to the fixed costs of $94,000. Assume that the product
mix is 3 heart-shaped cakes for each round cake, so heart-shaped cakes account for ¾ of the product mix and round cakes account for ¼ of the product
mix.
Unit contribution margin = price – variable cost per unit
Unit contribution margin, round cake = $12 - $8 = $4
Unit contribution margin, heat-shaped cake = $20 - $15 = $5
Let x = total volume, and an equation can be created to set contribution margins for the two cakes equal to total fixed costs, as follows:
(Contribution of round cakes)(product mix, rounds)(total volume) + (contribution of heart-shaped cakes)(product mix, hearts)(total volume) = total fixed
costs
($12 – $8)(1/4)x + ($20 – $15)(3/4)x = $94,000
$4x + $15x = $376,000
$19x = $376,000
x = 19,790 total cakes (actually, it’s 19,791 total cakes, since ¼(19,790) = 4,947.5 rounded to 4,948 for round cakes and ¾ (19,790) = 14,842.5 rounded
to 14,843 for heart-shaped cakes.
4,948 round cakes + 14,843 heart-shaped cakes = 19,791 total cakes
a. $60,000.
b. $80,000.
c. $110,000.
d. $200,000.
If Carson wants to achieve a net income of $1.3 million next year, its sales must be
a. 62,000 units.
b. 70,200 units.
c. 80,000 units.
d. 90,000 units.
Product C Product F
Selling price per unit $10 $15
Variable cost per unit $8 $10
Expected sales (units) 20,000 5,000
Total projected fixed costs for the company are $30,000. Assume that the product mix would be the
same at the breakeven point as at the expected level of sales of both products. What is the projected
number of units (rounded) of Product C to be sold at the breakeven point?
a. 2,308 units.
b. 9,231 units.
c. 11,538 units.
d. 15,000 units.
Total fixed costs for the socket wrench product line is $961,000. If the company’s actual experience
remains consistent with the estimated sales volume percentage distribution, and the firm desires to
generate total operating income of $161,200, how many Model No. 153 socket sets will MetalCraft
have to sell?
a. 26,000.
b. 54,300.
c. 155,000.
d. 181,000.
a. $891,429.
b. $914,286.
c. $2,080,000.
d. $2,133,333.
Eagle Brand has 1,000 lbs. of raw materials which can be used to produce Products X and
Y.
Which one of the alternatives below should Eagle Brand accept in order to maximize
contribution margin?
a. 100 units of product Y.
b. 250 units of product X.
c. 200 units of product X and 20 units of product Y.
d. 200 units of product X and 50 units of product Y.
a. Quantitative analysis emphasizes the ways in which revenues and costs vary with the option
chosen. Thus, the focus is on incremental revenues and costs, not the totals of all revenues and
costs for the given option.
b. EXAMPLE: A firm produces a product for which it incurs the following unit costs:
Direct materials $2.00
Direct labor 3.00
Variable overhead .50
Fixed overhead .50
Total cost $6.00
1) The product normally sells for $10 per unit. An application of marginal analysis is necessary if a
foreign buyer, who has never before been a customer, offers to pay $5.60 per unit for a special
order of the firm’s product.
a) The immediate reaction might be to refuse the offer because the selling price is less than the
average cost of production.
2) However, marginal analysis results in a different decision. Assuming that the firm has idle
capacity, only the additional costs should be considered.
a) In this example, the only marginal costs are for direct materials, direct labor, and variable
overhead. No additional fixed overhead costs would be incurred.
b) Because marginal revenue (the $5.60 selling price) exceeds marginal costs ($2 materials + $3
labor + $.50 variable OH = $5.50 per unit), accepting the special order will be profitable.
3) If a competitor bids $5.80 per unit, the firm can still profitably accept the special order while
underbidding the competitor by setting a price below $5.80 per unit but above $5.50 per unit.
2. Caution always must be used in applying marginal analysis because of the many qualitative factors
involved.
a. Qualitative factors include
1) Special price concessions place the firm in violation of the price discrimination provisions of the
Robinson-Patman Act of 1936.
2) Government contract pricing regulations apply.
3) Sales to a special customer affect sales in the firm’s regular market.
4) Regular customers learn of a special price and demand equal terms.
Disinvestment decisions are the opposite of capital budgeting decisions, i.e., to terminate an
operation, product or product line, business segment, branch, or major customer rather than start
one.
a. In general, if the marginal cost of a project exceeds the marginal revenue, the firm should
disinvest.
b. Four steps should be taken in making a disinvestment decision:
1) Identify fixed costs that will be eliminated by the disinvestment decision, e.g., insurance on
equipment used.
2) Determine the revenue needed to justify continuing operations. In the short run, this amount
should at least equal the variable cost of production or continued service.
3) Establish the opportunity cost of funds that will be received upon disinvestment .
4) Determine whether the carrying amount of the assets is equal to their economic value. If not,
reevaluate the decision using current fair value rather than the carrying amount.
c. When a firm disinvests, excess capacity exists unless another project uses this capacity
immediately. The cost of idle capacity should be treated as a relevant cost.
If the decision is between selling the product “as-is” or processing it further, presumably in order to
sell it for a higher price, the decision is based on the incremental operating income that is
attainable beyond the “as-is” point. This kind of situation may be encountered when dealing with
joint costs or obsolete inventory.
Joint Costs
A joint cost is the cost of a production process that yields more than one product. For example, the
processing of petroleum yields crude oil, gas and raw liquid propane gas. The further processing of the
crude oil may yield heating oil, lubricating oil and various petrochemicals. With joint costs, the place in
the production process where the various products become individually identifiable is called the
splitoff point. Costs incurred up to the splitoff point are joint costs. Costs incurred after the splitoff
point are separable costs.
Pricing
Establishment of the selling price for their product is one of the most critical decisions that a company
will make. If the price is too high, the company runs the risk of not selling enough product and losing
money. If the price is too low, there is the risk that the company will not cover all of its costs and will
also lose money.
This decision is even more critical for start-up companies as they usually do not have a large cash
reserve to cover any mistakes in the short-term.
In general, the price of a product or service is dependent upon its demand and supply.
Short-Run Pricing
Short-run pricing is opportunistic and more responsive to changes in demand than long-run
pricing.
In short-run pricing decisions, fixed costs are frequently irrelevant, because they cannot be changed in
the short term. The cost of a special order will be only the variable costs associated with its
production, since the fixed costs will not increase because of the special order.
Availability of production capacity plays an important part in short-term pricing, as well. If a company
has unused capacity, it will be more likely to price its products aggressively in order to make use of
that capacity than it would be if it were operating at 100% capacity. Another consideration in short-
run pricing is competitors and what they are bidding. If bidding on a one-time special order, the
company would want to bid a price that covers its incremental costs but is lower than competing bids.
Long-Run Pricing
To determine a long-run price that will be stable over time and also earn the desired long-run return,
a company must know its long-run costs, including all costs involved in the production and sale of the
product. This incorporates fixed costs and indirect manufacturing costs.
There are two approaches to setting long-run prices: (1) a market-based approach, or (2) a cost-
based approach, also called cost-plus. The market-based approach starts with the customer and
competitor, and then looks at costs. The cost-based approach looks first at costs and considers
Target pricing is an important form of market-based pricing. A target price is a price based on
knowledge of customer perception of the value of the product or service and what customers are
willing to pay, as well as knowledge of competitors’ responses.
Steps in establishing a target price and a target cost are:
1) The company develops a new product that meets the needs of potential customers.
2) The company estimates the price that potential customers will be willing to pay, based on
customers’ perceived value for the product, as well as projected sales at that price. Prices that
customers will be willing to pay and projected sales come from marketing department input, which
may be determined through market research or other marketing techniques.
Pricing would also be based on expected responses from competitors. This information could come
from competitors’ customers, suppliers and employees. Or it may be derived by means of reverse
engineering, which is the process of taking apart competitors’ products and analyzing them to
determine design, materials and technology used.
3) The target price then determines what the target cost per unit needs to be in order to earn the
target operating income per unit. The target cost per unit is the target price minus the target
operating income per unit.
Calculation of the target cost must include all future costs, both variable and fixed. But the target cost
is only that: a target to shoot for. The target cost may be lower than the company’s actual current
costs. The company must then find ways to reduce costs such as seeking cost concessions from
suppliers.
4) Value engineering is performed, which is an evaluation of all the business functions in the value
chain with the objective of reducing costs while satisfying customer needs. This may lead to design
improvements, materials specification changes or modifications in manufacturing methods.
In value engineering, management distinguishes between a value-added cost and a non-value-
added cost. If a value-added cost were eliminated, it would reduce the product’s value, or
usefulness, to customers. Since value-added costs cannot be eliminated, value engineering seeks to
reduce their costs by improving efficiency.
On the other hand, if a non-value-added cost were eliminated, it would not reduce the value or
utility of the product. A non-value-added cost is a cost the customer is not willing to pay for. Examples
of non-value-added costs are costs for expediting, re-work and repair; and these are costs that can be
reduced through improvements to the manufacturing process.
Locked-in costs must also be recognized in value engineering. For example, direct materials costs
per unit are locked in (or designed in) at an early stage in the development of a product, and they
are difficult to reduce later. Scrap and re-work costs may be locked in by a faulty design. For example,
in the software industry, costly and difficult-to-fix errors that appear during coding and testing are
already locked in by bad design at the beginning. The costs may not have been incurred yet, but they
will be. If the costs have not been locked in early, costs can be reduced right up to the time they are
incurred, and the costs may be reduced by improved operating efficiency and productivity measures.
However, when locked in costs are a factor, the key to reducing them is in the product design, and
value engineering must focus on making innovations and modifications at this early stage.
a. $60,000.
b. $80,000.
c. $110,000.
d. $200,000.
Cool Compartments Inc. has offered to sell 20,000 ice-makers to Refrigerator Company for $28 per
unit. If Refrigerator accepts Cool Compartments’ offer the plant would be idled and fixed overhead
amounting to $6 per unit could be eliminated. The total relevant costs associated with the manufacture
of ice-makers amount to
a. $480,000.
b. $560,000.
c. $600,000.
d. $680,000.
Approach X Set a selling price of $36 and have the firm’s sales staff sell the product at a 10%
commission with no advertising program. Estimated annual sales would be 10,000 units.
Approach Y Set a selling price of $38, have the firm’s sales staff sell the product at a 10%
commission, and back them up with a $30,000 advertising program. Estimated annual sales would be
12,000 units.
Approach Z Rely on wholesalers to handle the product. Edwards would sell the new product to the
wholesalers at $32 per unit and incur no selling expenses. Estimated annual sales would be 14,000
units.
Rank the three alternatives in order of net profit, from highest net profit to lowest.
a. X, Y, Z.
b. Y, Z, X.
c. Z, X, Y.
d. Z, Y, X.