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  • 2.1. DTM Stage Explanations

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    Brandon Andreas
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    The document describes the five stages of the demographic transition model. Stage 1 populations have high birth and death rates and low, fluctuating populations, as seen in traditional rainforest tribes. Stage 2 populations have high birth rates and rapidly declining death rates, leading to rapid population growth, as in Afghanistan. Stage 3 populations experience rapidly declining birth rates and slowly declining death rates, resulting in slow population growth, as in Brazil. Stage 4 populations have low, fluctuating birth and death rates and a high, fluctuating population, as seen in the United States. Stage 5 populations have slowly decreasing birth rates and increasing death rates, leading to slow population decline, as in Germany.

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    The document describes the five stages of the demographic transition model. Stage 1 populations have high birth and death rates and low, fluctuating populations, as seen in traditional rainforest tribes. Stage 2 populations have high birth rates and rapidly declining death rates, leading to rapid population growth, as in Afghanistan. Stage 3 populations experience rapidly declining birth rates and slowly declining death rates, resulting in slow population growth, as in Brazil. Stage 4 populations have low, fluctuating birth and death rates and a high, fluctuating population, as seen in the United States. Stage 5 populations have slowly decreasing birth rates and increasing death rates, leading to slow population decline, as in Germany.

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    17 views5 pages

    2.1. DTM Stage Explanations

    Uploaded by

    Brandon Andreas
    The document describes the five stages of the demographic transition model. Stage 1 populations have high birth and death rates and low, fluctuating populations, as seen in traditional rainforest tribes. Stage 2 populations have high birth rates and rapidly declining death rates, leading to rapid population growth, as in Afghanistan. Stage 3 populations experience rapidly declining birth rates and slowly declining death rates, resulting in slow population growth, as in Brazil. Stage 4 populations have low, fluctuating birth and death rates and a high, fluctuating population, as seen in the United States. Stage 5 populations have slowly decreasing birth rates and increasing death rates, leading to slow population decline, as in Germany.

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    of 5

    Stage 1 Case Study: Traditional rainforest

    High fluctuating tribes

    Birth rate High  The only populations still in Stage


    Death Rate High 1 are traditional rainforest tribes.
    Population Low and fluctuating
     Such tribes live in Indonesia,
     Little health care, low life Brazil and Ecuador.
    expectancy and no birth control.
     Population fluctuates due to
    disease, famine and war.

    France’s population was in Stage 1


    before the Industrial Revolution.
     The tribes are only small and have
    no contact with the outside world.

     Birth rates and death rates


    remain high.
    Stage 2 Case Study: Afghanistan
    Early expanding
     Afghanistan is one of a very small
    Birth rate High number of countries in Stage 2.
    Death Rate Rapidly decreasing
    Population Rapidly increasing

     Improved standards of living,


    hygiene and access to health care
    reduce down the death rate.
     The country is extremely poor due
     Life expectancy increases.
    to war and instability.
     The gap between birth rate and
    death rate leads to a high natural
     It has one of the world’s highest
    increase in total population.
    birth rates at 46.2.
    The population of France was in Stage
     The death rate of 20 is much
    2 during the early Industrial
    lower, leading to a 2.6% annual
    Revolution (1760-1880).
    increase in population
    Stage 3 Case Study: Brazil
    Late expanding
     Most LEDCs are currently in Stage
    Birth rate Rapidly decreasing 3 – Brazil is a Newly Industrialised
    Death Rate Slowly decreasing Country (NIC) and becoming richer
    Population Slowly increasing very quickly, but still has a Stage
    3 population.
     The death rate continues to fall,
    albeit slowly.
     The birth rate falls quickly as
    birth control becomes available.
     It also becomes beneficial to have
    smaller families as children become
    more expensive (i.e. they go to  Being a Roman Catholic country
    school rather than working) – this the birth rate is still high, but is
    also leads the birth rate to fall. rapidly falling due to improved
     France was in Stage 3 from around living standards leading people to
    1880 to 1940. see the benefits of having smaller
    families.
    Stage 4 Case Study: USA
    Low fluctuating
     The richest country in the world
    Birth rate Low with the 3rd largest population.
    Death Rate Low
    Population High and fluctuating

     Low birth and death rates will


    fluctuate with economic situation
    (i.e. people have more children
    when jobs are plentiful and wages  Much of the USA’s population
    are high). growth today is due to
     France entered Stage 4 after immigration.
    WW2. The birth rate increased in  Most immigrants are from Catholic
    the 1960s when the economy Central America and are likely to
    ‘boomed’ and went down in the have high birth rates, but Asian
    1970s during a recession. Maybe immigrants are also entering the
    this will happen again? US in large numbers and tend to
    have lower birth rates.
    Stage 5 Case Study: Germany
    Natural decrease
     Germany is a highly developed
    Birth rate Slowly decreasing country.
    Death Rate Increasing slowly
    Population Slowly decreasing

     Death rates increase as the


    proportion of older people goes up
    due to longer life expectancies.
     Birth rates also fall as people
     Women becoming high-achievers in
    choose careers over family, or as
    their careers and an ageing
    economic uncertainty puts people
    population have caused the birth
    off having children.
    rate to fall below the death rate.
     Different countries have different
     The government has to deal with
    reasons for being in Stage 5.
    more elderly people and an ever
     Countries in Stage 5 include Japan,
    declining workforce to pay taxes.
    Italy and Germany.

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