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11/22/17

Introduction to Construction
Economics

Course : Construction Economics and Finance


(COTM 6021)

Denamo Addissie Nuramo

November 22/2017

Introduction to the course

The Construction Industry

Importance of Economics and Finance in the


Construction Industry

Market Structure in the Construction Industry

Engineering Economic Decision

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•  Full name
•  Academic background
•  Professional background
•  Expectations from this course
•  Future plans/vision

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•  a significant part of the total economy/ engine of economic


growth
•  responsible for the output of buildings and infrastructure
upon which most other economic activities depend
•  in newly developing countries, it can contribute as much as
15 to 20 per cent of GDP because it accounts for a
significant amount of investment during a country’s
development
•  typically accounts for 14–16 per cent of total annual
economic activity; on the narrower definition, it only
accounts for about 6–8 per cent – it is difficult to assess
and , in many cases it is under-reported
•  There is a relationship between the level of construction
activity and a country’s stage of development.
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The construction industry – narrowly defined

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The construction industry – broadly defined

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Parties traditionally supplying a construction project

the typical project process can easily become a series of ‘separate’


operations undertaken by various parties
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Activity 1
①  Discuss the graph below:

②  In many ways construction is quite distinct from other


sectors of the economy. What are the main distinct
characteristic of the construction industry in comparison
with other economic sectors?

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Construction has five distinguishing characteristics:

①  each project is regarded as a unique one-off product;


②  dominated by a large number of relatively small firms;
③  the general state of the economy influences demand;
④  prices are determined by tendering; and
⑤  projects are characterized by their ‘lumpiness’ in terms of
their scale and expense.

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•  Economics – is concerned with the allocation of scarce


resources

•  Economists argue that people must make careful choices


about:
–  what is made, how it is made and for whom it is made;
–  or in terms of construction, choices about what
investments are made, how these are constructed and on
whose behalf.

•  at its very simplest level, economics is ‘the science of


choice’.

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•  In a world of scarcity, for every want that is satisfied, some


other want, or wants, remain unsatisfied.

•  Opportunity cost - the value of the alternative forgone by


choosing a particular activity.

•  Whenever an economic decision is made there is a trade-


off between the use of one resource for one or more
alternative uses

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Competition for Scarce Resources

•  if a resource is used for one purpose it is denied to another.

•  competition for scarce resources:


1.  between alternative projects designed to serve the same
purpose,
2.  between projects which serve different purposes, and
3.  between engineering projects and other potential modes
of investment.

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Competition for Scarce Resources

•  decision on how to employ resources often lies with


politicians, administrators, bankers and others

•  if they are to make a wise choice they must be properly


informed not only of the comparative technical merits of
alternatives but also of their relative costs and benefits.

•  this responsibility rests with professional engineers

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•  Resources - the inputs used in the production of those


things that we desire.

•  Economists tend to refer to these resources as factors of


production to highlight the fact that only by combining
various factors can goods and services be produced.

•  Categories of factors of production: land, capital and labor


– and sometimes the entrepreneur

* Quantities
of each factor are needed to make any
good or service.
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•  Market Systems – the exchange arrangements of both


buyers and sellers for a particular good or service; eg.
building materials, housing, professional services, etc.

•  The recurrent feature of any market - the exchange of


information about factors such as price, quality and
quantity. Eg. Stock market in the Western economy,
construction market

•  ‘The construction industry is highly fragmented, with the


dominant firm being the small (local) contractor.’ The type
of construction – particularly in terms of its size and
complexity, its geographical location, and the nature of
the client – will define the market in each case.

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•  Markets in the construction industry - comprising those


firms that are willing and able to compete for a contract in a
specific geographical area.

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A complex set of markets for one building project

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Transaction costs which affect construction

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Economic Models
•  are simplified representations of the real world that we use
to understand, explain and predict economic phenomena.
•  Many of the processes in the construction industry do not
lend themselves easily to generalizations and models due
to:
–  the industry involves a large variety of interests and parties
that makes the process rather complex and plagued with
unwarranted assumptions about what is possible
–  economic analysis is only one of the disciplines contributing
to the process as a whole
–  there is a distinct lack of vision about the role of construction
in society and how it could better serve its clients

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•  The construction industry should favor models that prioritize


strategies aimed to improve sustainability, competitiveness,
productivity and value to clients
The circular flow model: a two sector economy

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Microeconomics and Macroeconomics

Microeconomics:
the study of individual decision-
making by both individuals and
firms
Economics
Macroeconomics:
the study of economy-wide
phenomena resulting from
group decision-making in the
entire markets; deals with the
economy as a whole.

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A model for construction economics: a new approach

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Economic Evaluation
•  aim - to secure the greatest benefit from the resources
available

•  an assessment of the costs and benefits of carrying out a


project as compared with doing nothing

•  if any of the proposed schemes are economic, and if they


are, to establish a priority ranking for the competing
proposals

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Financial Planning

•  movement of money both required for and arising from


the project.

•  is directed at assessing the cash inflows and outflows


during the life of the project and ensuring that the
financial implications of these cash flows are accounted
for – i.e. where the money will come from when it is
needed, and how you will service the debt interest and
repayments as they come due

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Need for Judgment


•  Planning relates to the future.

•  Even the most sophisticated forecasting techniques have


fundamental uncertainties associated with them

•  One major uncertainty is the way technology will change,


and this can have the most profound effect on the future
course of events

•  When it is necessary to make assumptions about the


technological capabilities and needs of the future, personal
judgment and experience are the best guides

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Project Life
•  in the economic analysis of a project, a limited period is
assigned as the useful life of the project.

•  the project components will have perished, or that the


project will have become obsolete, perhaps due to
advances in technology

•  the useful life assumed for the project determines the period
over which its economic viability has to be established

•  The useful life of a private sector project depends heavily on


predictions made about technological change; for public
works projects the useful life is normally not taken to be
more than 50 years

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Methods
Pay-back
This is one of the most used and trusted method because
of its simplicity in calculations and interpretation. Used
measure in this method is simply time it takes for return of
initial investment

Discounted pay-back
In discounted pay-back method we consider time-value of
money. This means that value of given sum changes over
time. For example 100BIRR today is more valuable than
100BIRR in 5 years.

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Large-Scale Engineering Projects

These typically:
•  require a large sum of investment
•  can be very risky
•  take a long time to see the financial outcomes
•  lead to revenue and cost streams that are difficult to
predict

All the above aspects (and some others not listed here)
point towards the importance of EEA

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The Four Fundamental Principles of


Engineering Economics

①  An instant dollar is worth more than a distant dollar


②  Only the relative (pair-wise) difference among the
considered alternatives counts
③  Marginal revenue must exceed marginal cost, in
order to carry out a profitable increase of operations
④  Additional risk is not taken without an expected
additional return of suitable magnitude

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Principle 1
An instant dollar is worth more than a
distant dollar…

66months
today monthslater
later

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Principle 2
Only the cost (resource) difference among
alternatives counts

6 months later

The data shown in the green fields are irrelevant items for decision
making, since their financial impact is identical in both cases
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Principle 3
Marginal (unit) revenue has to exceed marginal
cost, in order to increase production

6 months later

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Principle 4
Additional risk is not taken without a suitable
expected additional return

6 months later

A simple illustrative example. Note that all investments imply


some risk: portfolio management is a key issue in finance
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Economic Decision Components


Where economic decisions are immediate we need to
consider:
•  amount of expenditure
•  Taxes

Where economic decisions occur over a considerable period


of time we also need to consider:
•  interest
•  inflation

6 months later

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Thank you!

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