SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.938097
R Square 0.880026
Adjusted R 0.86503
Standard E 2.09834
Observatio 10

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 258.3758 258.3758 58.68135 5.959E-05
Residual 8 35.22424 4.40303
Total 9 293.6

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 48.06667 1.433439 33.53241 6.83E-10 44.76115 51.37218 44.76115 51.37218
t 1.769697 0.23102 7.660375 5.959E-05 1.236965 2.302429 1.236965 2.302429

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Sale ($000)
Residuals
1 49.83636 0.163636
2 51.60606 0.393939
3 53.37576 -2.375758
4 55.14545 -1.145455
5 56.91515 3.084848
6 58.68485 3.315152
7 60.45455 -2.454545
8 62.22424 -1.224242
9 63.99394 0.006061
10 65.76364 0.236364
Year t Sale ($000) Sale^ Sale^MA Predicted Sale ($000) Sale^Es 0.8 1
2005 1 50 49.84 #N/A 49.84 50 50.00 50
2006 2 52 51.61 51 51.61 50 50 50
2007 3 51 53.38 51.5 53.38 51.0 51.6 52
2008 4 54 55.15 52.5 55.15 51.0 51.1 51
2009 5 60 56.92 57 56.92 52.5 53.4 54
2010 6 62 58.69 61 58.68 56.3 58.7 60
2011 7 58 60.45 60 60.45 59.1 61.3 62
2012 8 61 62.22 59.5 62.22 58.6 58.7 58
2013 9 64 63.99 62.5 63.99 59.8 60.5 61
2014 10 66 65.76 65 65.76 61.9 63.3 64

difference difference difference difference^2 difference difference^2

0 1 0.16 0.03 1 0.03
0 -0.5 0.39 0.15 0.25 0.16
-2 1.5 -2.38 5.65 2.25 5.64
-1 3 -1.15 1.31 9 1.31
3 1 3.08 9.51 1 9.52
3 -2 3.32 10.99 4 10.99
-2 1.5 -2.45 6.03 2.25 6.02
-1 1.5 -1.22 1.50 2.25 1.50
0 1 0.01 0.00 1 0.00
0 0 0.24 0.06 0 0.06
0 8 0.00 0.00 64 0.00
35.22 87 35.22
3.52 8.70 3.52
 0.3
50.00
50
50.6 Sale ($000)
50.7
70
51.7
60 f(x) = 1.76969696969697 x + 48.0666666666667
54.2 R² = 0.880026422260755
56.5 50
57.0 Sale ($000)
58.2 40 Linear (Sale ($000))
59.9 30

20

10

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Sale ($000)
Linear (Sale ($000))
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.938097
R Square 0.880026
Adjusted R 0.86503
Standard E 2.09834
Observatio 10

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 258.3758 258.3758 58.68135 5.959E-05
Residual 8 35.22424 4.40303
Total 9 293.6

Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
Intercept 48.06667 1.433439 33.53241 6.83E-10 44.76115 51.37218 44.76115 51.37218
t 1.769697 0.23102 7.660375 5.959E-05 1.236965 2.302429 1.236965 2.302429

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation
Predicted Sale ($000)
Residuals
1 49.83636 0.163636
2 51.60606 0.393939
3 53.37576 -2.375758
4 55.14545 -1.145455
5 56.91515 3.084848
6 58.68485 3.315152
7 60.45455 -2.454545
8 62.22424 -1.224242
9 63.99394 0.006061
10 65.76364 0.236364
Year t Sale ($000)Y-trend lin MA (2) MA(3) MA(4) Reg Exsmoothin 0.8
2013 1 50 50 #N/A #N/A #N/A 50 50 50
2014 2 52 52 51 #N/A #N/A 52 51 50
2015 3 51 53 52 51 #N/A 53 51 52
2016 4 54 55 53 52 52 55 53 51
2017 5 60 57 57 55 54 57 56 53
2018 6 62 59 61 59 57 59 59 59
2019 7 58 60 60 60 59 60 59 61
2020 8 61 62 60 60 60 62 60 59
2021 9 64 64 63 61 61 64 62 61
2022 10 66 66 65 64 62 66 64 63
2023 11 68 66 65
2024 12 69

Sale ($000)
70
f(x) = 1.76969696969697 x + 48.0666666666667
60 R² = 0.880026422260755

50

40

30

20

10

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
0.25
50
51
51
51
54
56
56
57
59
61