Professional Documents
Culture Documents
Prof. Arif Anshory
Prof. Arif Anshory
id
DATA, RISET
DAN KEBIJAKAN
PENCAPAIAN SDGs
Arief Anshory Yusuf
SDGs Center Universitas Padjadjaran
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Economic research is getting more & more empirical,
particularly in development economics
Angrist, J., Azoulay, P., Ellison, G., Hill, R., & Lu, S. F. (2017). Economic research
evolves: Fields and styles. American Economic Review, 107(5), 293-97.
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Hubungan Riset dan kebijakan bisa dalam berbagai bentuk
Stunting and economic Smoking and
growth malnutrition
Boswell, C., & Smith, K. (2017). Rethinking policy ‘impact’: four models of
research-policy relations. Palgrave Communications, 3(1), 1-10.
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Stunting and economic growth
Research influencing policies
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Stunting and economic growth
Research influencing policies
Stunting and 2045 Indonesia’s aspiration
INCOME (GNI) PER CAPITA USD
14000
10000
8000
5.5% growth
6000
Upper middle income threshold; 4255
4000
2000
0
1969 1971 1973 1975 1977 1979 1981 1983 1985 1987 1989 1991 1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 2027 2029 2031 2033 2035 2037 2039 2041 2043 2045
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Research (not yet) Influencing Policies
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Policy/Politics drives research
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Policy ó Research (inter-dependent)
SDGs in Indonesia Network of SDGs Indicators
Source: Anna, Zuzy et al, SDGs Interlinkages
Analysis in Indonesia, Report to BAPPENAS
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Ke depan riset kebijakan (yang didukung data yang
valid) akan semakin relevan
“Wagner's Law. The earliest modern effort to
explain the growth of public expenditures was by
Adolph Wagner (1877, 1890) in a series of studies
on public finance in the late nineteenth century.
Wagner’s “Law of Increasing State Activity”
associates increases in real per capita income
during industrialization with the growth of the
public sector relative to the private sector. [..]
Wagner broadly attributed the growth in state
activity to exigencies (an expanded need for
law and order, education, socioeconomic
regulation, etc.) arising from the increased
complexity of industrialized society.”
Source: Larkey, P. D., Stolp, C., & Winer, M. (1981). Theorizing about the
growth of government: A research assessment. Journal of Public
Policy, 1(2), 157-220.
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Tidak ada dikotomi antara riset
kebijakan dan riset non-kebijakan
• Riset berorientasi kebijakan • Riset adalah riset. Jika itu riset empiris,
– Dimotivasi oleh pencarian memerlukan data-data yang valid.
penyelesaian masalah yang urgen • Standar uji validitas sebuah riset tidak
terutama jika peranan kebijakan berbeda baik itu pada riset berorientasi
pemerintah berperan penting.
kebijakan.
• Riset tidak berorientasi utama
• Bahkan riset yang akan jadi rekomendasi
kebijakan
kebijakan harus lebih teruji daripada riset
– Pure curiosity berorientasi publikasi akademis.
– Theoretical
– Contribute to scientific understanding
(literature)
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Mengapa riset yang akan jadi rekomendasi kebijakan harus
lebih teruji daripada riset berorientasi publikasi akademis.
Publikasi di jurnal ilmiah bisa dikoreksi bahkan Stakeholders kebijakan bisa jutaan orang, dan Peer reviews. Publikasi di jurnal. Atau
di-retraksi melibatkan ratusan trilyun rupiah uang methodology (model) yg sudah teruji (di jurnal),
pembayar pajak. Published researchers. Global partnership.
TANTANGAN: URGENCY/TIMING?
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Peran data (Statistics) dalam proses riset (termasuk riset SDGS) dan
perbaikan kebijakan
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sdgcenter.unpad.ac.id
TERIMA KASIH