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BNEF Overview and Proposal For PT PLN - Revised Without Summit
BNEF Overview and Proposal For PT PLN - Revised Without Summit
BNEF Overview and Proposal For PT PLN - Revised Without Summit
Research Examples
For PLN
Porlin Hemnusornnanon
October 2022
Contents
• Context
• About BNEF
• Commercial Option
1
Context BloombergNEF (BNEF) have compiled this deck following a
recent discussion between Pak Darmawan Prasodjo (PLN’s
PLN-BNEF background CEO) and Mr. Jon Moore (BNEF’s CEO).
2
About BNEF
3
BNEF
coverage
Strategies for a cleaner,
more competitive future
Source: BloombergNEF
4
BNEF
features
5
The BNEF Summit has been convening leaders in energy, industry,
transport, technology, finance and government since 2008, generating
ideas, delivering insight, and making the connections that help them
formulate successful strategies, capitalize on technological change and
shape a cleaner, more competitive future.
BNEF Summit
London New York
Energy | Finance | Technology Energy | Finance | Technology
October 11-12, 2022 (Hybrid) April 24-25, 2023 (Hybrid)
6
Community
Our focus is on generating ideas, delivering insight, and making the connections that
help formulate successful strategies, capitalize on technological change and shape a
cleaner, more competitive future.
#BNEF Summit
7
BNEF for the C-Suite
Energy and mobility is in transition. Organizations are in transition.
BNEF drives value through all levels of your organization.
CEO
• Meet peers across BNEF’s global client community
in facilitated discussions on your biggest questions
Quarterly
Round • Among BNEF’s 100s of quarterly publications,
Signposts
Tables Signposts gives you the must-know global trends
Note
and new insights of the quarter
BNEF App
on your
• Read the latest tailored news and insights on-the- iPad
go with the BNEF Client App /mobile
8
The BNEF website and mobile app
Invest in your people
BNEF.com at the fingertips of your work force: PLN employees can read and share on-
comprehensive library for research, data, tools and the-go, wherever you are, on BNEF App for
models iPad / mobile
9
BNEF Research for Energy transition
opportunities and challenges in power
Generation Markets / trading Networks Customers / solutions
● Renewables development ● Changing power and gas ● Integration of renewables and ● Demand-side and
and growth market economics distributed resources decentralized opportunities
● Energy storage and flexibility ● Impact of renewables and ● Digitalization of networks ● C&I energy services
● Fuel switching and role of gas storage ● Regulatory innovation ● Retail liberalization,
● Market design, revenue ● Role / impact of LNG ● Evolution of interconnection competition and strategies
models and PPAs ● Merchant renewables, power and transmission planning ● EV growth and infrastructure
● Coal and nuclear: economics price evolution and ● Transmission and distribution-● Heating and cooling solutions
and retirements cannibalization level flexibility ● Changing demand trends and
profiles
● Utility digitalization: technologies, applications and strategies ● M&A and strategic partnerships
● Liberalization and new entrants ● Market entry opportunities (geographical / new business lines)
● Transition strategies of utilities and oil and gas companies ● Innovation and new business models
● Evolving policy / regulatory landscape; market design and ● Decarbonization beyond power: hydrogen, sector coupling,
reform transport, buildings and industry
10
BNEF Research Key Coverage Elements
Technology and costs Economics and business models Forecasts
● Price surveys and indexes ● Levelized costs of electricity and capacity ● Medium-term forecasts for key sectors:
● Bottom-up cost analysis ● Asset valuation for generation and storage – Wind, solar, energy storage, electric
vehicles, demand-side technologies
● Manufacturing and materials ● Auction and tender analysis
● Long-term forecasts:
● Technology trends ● Analysis of revenue models
– Global power sector (NEO)
● Asset performance and digitalization ● Power system economics (NEO) – Global EV and road transport (EVO)
● Life-cycle emissions and recycling ● Coal and nuclear retirement monitor – Global LNG Outlook (GLO)
● Power and gas market outlooks
Country transitions and policy Strategy and competitive landscape Data sets & tools
● Global policy, regulatory and market- ● Company rankings, profiles and comparisons ● Technology and O&M costs
design analysis
● Bankability and tiering of suppliers ● Power and fuel pricing
● Country approaches to energy transition
● Investment, M&A and partnership strategies ● Generation and storage assets
● Infrastructure investments to integrate
● Market share and value-chain analysis ● Company data, investment and M&A
renewable energy
● Business model comparisons ● Country profiles and country data tools
● Climate adaptation and resilience
● Energy company transition strategies ● Power purchase agreements
● Impact of electrification
11
Commercial
Option
12
Pilot Engagement proposal for PLN
Commercials proposed: USD 538,000 * one-year initial term of engagement.
• Knowledge sharing series**
BNEF provides 100s of sharing sessions around the world each year. These range from small-scale sessions tailored to selected senior management to
multi-day programs for 100s of members of a company.
1. BNEF Analyst Day for PLN upper management and leadership
One day sharing sessions program consist of various topics dedicated for PLN Leaders. The program to be designed together wit h PLN team.
2. 4 knowledge sharing sessions in one year available for all PLN colleagues
Topic examples:
• Decarbonization pathways: getting on track for net zero
• Renewable power: current trends and future opportunities
• Levelized Cost of Electricity (LCOE) and power sector competition
• Grid Systems of the future
• Utilities Transition Scores – Why they matter?
• Electric vehicle charging infrastructure – what works?
Topics can be changed over the course of the program to support the client’s strategy and business planning. See more topic suggestions next slide.
• Full BNEF reading access to ALL PLN colleagues to support live session interactions
Complete access to BNEF publications and underlying research analyses and tools on clean energy, commodities, battery supply chain, advanced
transport, digital industry and innovation.
* Prices above are quoted for 2022 and do not include local tax as applicable. Prices will increase on January 1st, 2023. This price normally provides support to a target group of only 50 individuals.
13 This package is a pilot for that plus expanded all-access across PLN leadership and departments.
** Sharing sessions can be provided virtually or in person, case by case.
Sample topics for BNEF sharing session
Battery Technologies and Energy Storage: Understanding and Driving the Opportunity
14
Appendix
15
BNEF Solution
Overview &
Research Example
16
Research coverage: Solar
PV modules PV policy and build Technology and price
• Tier 1 PV Module Maker list (quarterly) • Major incentive plans • Annual module efficiency survey
and module bankability report • Auctions, and how the prices may be • Quarterly updates on manufacturing
(annually) achievable developments
• Trade war coverage • Commercial power purchase agreements • Inverters, monitoring
• Third party data on Chinese PV and unsubsidised demand • Self consumption of solar electricity from
exports, by company and country, and • Short-term installation forecasts for 121 rooftop systems
U.S. PV imports (monthly) countries • Solar inputs to biannual LCOE report
• Price of solar components (weekly)
• Annual PV O&M price survey
• Manufacturing capacity and margins
across the supply chain, supply curve
Interactions • Coming in 2020: Solar Project Performance
for polysilicon Analysis
• Solar and storage synergies
• Company fundamental data, Altman-Z • Realized power prices
scores, financials
• Co-located wind and solar plants
17
Research coverage: Wind
Current research, Planned 1H 2022 Policy
• 25-Fold Growth: EU Plans for Offshore Wind Supremacy (w | t)
Data & tools • Offshore Wind: Next Phase Markets in the U.S. (w | t)
38,446 (1,500GW) wind projects*, daily • The Offshore Wind Auction Boom (w | t)
• Wind Capacity Factor Tool (w | t) • Mitsubishi Paves the Way to Cheaper Japan Offshore Wind (w | t)
• Energy Project Valuation Model (w | t) • Offshore Wind Localization
• Turbine Market Shares (w | t) • Lease Auction Analysis (Scotwind, NY Bight)
• Wind Turbine Contracts (w | t)
• Company Peer Comparison Wind (w | t)
Tech
• Global Wind Supply Chain Footprint (w | t)
• Wind & Solar Secondary Market Investors, annual (w | t)
• 35MW Wind Turbines to Lower Material Demand (w | t)
New-build • Offshore Wind Digitalization
• Wind Turbine Price Index, biannual (w | t)
Operations
• Turbine OEM Market Shares, annual (w | t)
• O&M price index, biannual (w | t)
• Tomorrow’s Cost of Offshore Wind (w | t)
• Portfolio hunters (acquisitions), annual (w | t)
• Tomorrow’s Cost of Floating Wind (w | t) Market Outlooks
• Offshore Wind Farms: A Guide to Servicing (w | t)
• Offshore Wind Developer Ranking • Onshore, biannual (w | t)
• Repower or Life Extend: Wind's Retirement Plan (w | t)
• Equity Returns on Onshore Wind • Offshore, biannual (w | t)
• Floating Offshore Wind Servicing
Note: *As of July 1, 2021. (w | t) – (web | terminal). See bnef.com/core/sector/wind
18
Research coverage: Decentralized energy
Demand-side opportunities Energy storage Power systems & networks
• Platforms for aggregating demand-side • Energy storage versus gas peakers • Impact of decentralization on future grid
flexibility • Co-located renewable energy plus storage infrastructure and investment
• Virtual power plants, distributed energy • Ancillary service opportunities • Non-wires alternatives
resource management systems • Residential energy storage • Technical integration challenges
• Uptake of distributed energy technologies • Commercial and industrial storage • Network integration of renewables
• Company strategies and business models • Company strategies and business models • EV integration, infrastructure & approaches
• Energy as a service • Intersection with electric vehicle market • Market design and regulatory frameworks
• Retail supply, services and competition • Policy, regulatory approaches and impacts • Country flexibility rankings
• Tariff innovation • Technology and costs • Climate adaptation
• Policy, regulatory approaches and impacts • Policy and consumer backup power
approaches
19
Q4 2016
Research coverage: Batteries and Energy storage
Manufacturing and new
Lithium-ion batteries Metals and mining
technologies
• Costs, pricing, supply and demand • Supply and demand: lithium, nickel, • Manufacturer market shares
• Supply chain, mining and cobalt, graphite • Regional positioning and country
manufacturing • Market pricing, cost curves and rankings
• Manufacturer market shares forward pricing • Trade and policy impacts
• Company positioning and strategies • Sustainability and ethical practices • Next-generation lithium technologies,
• Chemistry developments and • Company strategies and financing adoption and industry disruption
chemistry mix forecasts • New mining and refining technologies • Industry-related carbon emissions
• End-of-life treatment and • Regional dynamics and competition • Non-lithium storage technologies
considerations
• Intersection with the stationary storage
market and EVs
Q4 2016
20
Research coverage: Electrified Transport
● Models, availability, sales and ● Costs, pricing, supply and ● EV charging infrastructure ● Passenger EV sales/model
market shares demand value chain, economics and availability trackers (global)
● Supply chain ● Market shares business models ● Automaker passenger EV
● Vehicle economics ● Company strategies and ● EV grid integration and power strategy tracker (global)
business models system impacts ● Public EV charging
● Company strategies
● Manufacturing trends ● Second-life battery deployment tracker (global)
● Policy, regulatory impacts and
applications ● National, regional and
outlook ● Competing chemistries and
emerging technologies ● Utility, oil and gas company municipal policy database
● Commercial EVs and fleet
activity and strategies (global)
economics ● Intersection with stationary
storage market ● Hydrogen refueling ● China NEV mandate
● Short to long term EV adoption
infrastructure compliance tracker
forecasts ● Long-term outlook
● Impact on energy markets ● Battery manufacturing
● Fuel-cell vehicles
database (global)
● Mild-electrification, light
● BNEF EV adoption and
weighting and other fuel
impacts outlook (global)
efficiency technologies
Source: BloombergNEF.
21
Advanced Transport Sector Page: here
Research examples: Electric Vehicle
Click on hyperlinks to go the relevant report/exec summary
• When Will EVs Be Cheaper Than Conventional Vehicles? • Southeast Asia Road Transport Electrification Outlook
• Hitting the EV Inflection Point in Europe • The Lifecycle Emissions of Electric Vehicles
• Get Paid to Charge with Vehicle-to-Grid • Volkswagen's Plan to Bridge the Tesla Charging Gap
22 April 2022
Research coverage: Sustainability
23 April 2022
Sustainability Sector Page: Click here
Research examples: Sustainability
Click on hyperlinks to go the relevant report/exec summary
• Corporate Net-Zero State of Play: Key Trends • Long-Term Carbon Offsets Outlook
• Corporate Net-Zero Targets Primer: Jump on the Bandwagon • Article 6: Friend or Foe for Voluntary Carbon Markets?
• Corporate Net-Zero Assessment Tool • Voluntary Carbon Offsets, The Next Great Commodity
Market
• Science-Based Targets Data Tool (1.5.0)
• Climate Policy Factbook: COP26 Edition
• RE100 Data Viewer
• G-20 Zero-Carbon Policy Scoreboard - Issue 2022
Sustainable Finance
BNEF Transition Scores
• Four Trends Shaping the Momentum in Sustainable Finance
• BNEF Utilities Transition Scores: Results & Analysis
• EU Taxonomy: How to Prepare Your Reporting
• BNEF Oil and Gas Transition Scores: Leaders and Laggards
• Climate Transition for Financials: The Buy Side
• BNEF Metals & Mining Transition Scores: Results & Analysis
• Sustainable Finance Market Outlook
• Assessing Company Transition Risk
24 April 2022
Research coverage: Commodities
Oil and Chemicals Gas and LNG Metal and Mining
• Oil and Chemical market analysis for the • Encompass all key market drivers – from • Coverage by commodity:
understanding for the key drivers of oil prices supply, contract and pricing, strategies and Base Metals: Copper, Nickel, Aluminium,
and market fundamentals in the short-terms technology, balance and trade flow to demand Minor Metals: Lithium, Cobalt, Manganese,
from weekly reports and short publication • Supply and Demand for Global LNG, country PGMs
• Long-term outlooks for strategic insights and and regional gas demand outlooks – China, Minerals: Rare Earths, Graphite
investment Japan, Korea, India, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Ferrous Metals: Iron, Steel, Coking Coal
• Gain insights on the important issues and Europe Demand: Battery chemicals and metal powders
themes shaping the outlook for oil demand, • Seasonal Gas Outlook – Summer and Winter • Supply and Demand forecasting, cost modelling
supply, prices and trade flows. outlooks and price projections, market shares, pricing data,
• Petrochemical markets outlooks • Monthly updates - import/exports, trade flows, short-term market updates
• Renewable Fuels – understand shipping, weather, forecast, and more • Long-term market outlooks
fundamentals, demands, supply and policy • Weekly & daily updates – LNG Trade Weekly, • Company Strategies and Business model
and targets EU Power and Gas, US storage estimates • Future technology evolution impact on demand
• Data & Tools - Proprietary data, tools and • Databases & Tools: Global LNG netback • National mineral policies and critical mineral
analytics covering a plethora of oil market calculator, EU & North Asia fuel-switching resource security
needs calculators, global LNG import/export project • Decarbonizing battery and EV embodied
database, LNG contracts database, and more material emissions
• Ethical supply chain tracking
• Recycling and secondary metals
• Low carbon base metals refining
25 April 2022
Q4 2016
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