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Has Kazakhstan Caught Fire or Why Is This Country So Important For The Security of The Whole of Eurasia
Has Kazakhstan Caught Fire or Why Is This Country So Important For The Security of The Whole of Eurasia
His leadership consists of family clans whose members have become klepto-oligarchs who
are much more interested in investing in trophy real estate in London than in reforming a
country from which wealth has been stolen for decades.
We have witnessed the worst riots since Kazakhstan gained independence 30 years ago. The crisis now seems to
have subsided, but its effects could be decisive. Peaceful protests erupted in the western city of Zhanaozen. The
catalyst has been the radical rise in the price of liquefied natural gas, which is used by about 70 to 90% of cars in
the region. YURI VANETIK BLOG 3 BIOGRAPHY PRESS PHILANTHROPY VIDEOS CONTACT 3
He claims that the protests are secretly supported by outside forces, such as the Islamic State (terrorist
organization). Tokayev appeals to Russian-led security bloc for help to rid country of alleged foreign terrorists
President resigns ).
He also asked Russian troops from the military alliance of the former Soviet republics to intervene to restore order
on the basis of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), Russia’s version of NATO. Today, 2,500 Russian
servicemen are stationed in Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan’s state television reported the killing of 13 members of its
security forces.
It is worth noting that, to his surprise, Nazarbayev was not heard in public, although he retained a key role in
politics. Historically, Nazarbayev has worked with Presidents Gorbachev, Obama and Xi Jinping. He launched the
“One Belt, One Road” initiative, in which Kazakhstan provides a key land route for goods. Under the program, it is a
leading area of Chinese investment.
At the same time, the uprising in Kazakhstan could intensify opposition forces in
other authoritarian republics. The Turkmen gas export routes through Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, generated by
numerous revolutions, are closer to Almaty than to the new capital of Kazakhstan.
Russia’s response will certainly affect its relations with much of Eastern
Europe, especially Ukraine, where its armed forces are currently at the
border and not ready for further action in Kazakhstan. Instability in
Kazakhstan affects key gas markets, as Kazakhstan is the main route for
China’s annual natural gas consumption and 29% of its imports.
Pipelines are potential targets. The gas crisis will have global consequences,
as Beijing is likely to be forced to make up for the deficit in the liquefied
gas market with prices that have already reached record highs. Many other
markets may change dramatically.
The price of uranium has soared, given that Kazakhstan is the world’s largest producer of radioactive metal. The
Kazakh government, which recently advertised itself as a new financial hub, has lured bitcoin miners with cheap
energy. In fact, according to the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance, last year Kazakhstan became the world’s
second largest bitcoin mining center after the United States.
The protests are destabilizing an already volatile region where the United States and Russia are vying for influence.
The conversation in Washington turned sharply to what the United States could do in addition to calls from
Secretary of State Anthony Blinken to his Kazakh counterpart and statements by congressional leaders that they
were “deeply concerned.” First of all, the United States should expect that Russia is likely to deploy long-term
military bases in Kazakhstan and increase its influence in Central Asia in the near future.
Eastern Europe needs to revise its medium- and long-term agreements with CSTO members, as January 2022 has
once again clearly shown that the Organization shows instability and uncertainty about the country’s future.
Neighbors’ actions are aimed at undermining all possible democratic attempts of the embryos of civil society, and
the hope for fruitful relations with Moscow, Yerevan or Minsk is nothing more than an illusion. At the EU level, it is
necessary to reconsider the extent to which economic relations with China depend on the mediation of such
authoritarian countries – wouldn’t it be better to use alternative (Moscow) ways to be confident in the future?
YURI VANETIK BLOG 3 BIOGRAPHY PRESS PHILANTHROPY VIDEOS CONTACT 3
According to Yuri Vanetik: “Before that, we need to understand that the security architecture of Eurasia is
a project that can be postponed for a long time and not hope for Russia’s rationality – it will be the initiator
of a new flame rather than a safeguard. That is why it is time to review the real forces of influence in the
region, where Moscow will not withstand real competition, where it has not yet entered. Actions of this
kind must be seen by us without hesitation as a real threat that can be used against us without delay.
To sum up, measures to suppress any democratic manifestations in the country should not be tolerated or
perceived as a necessity to maintain the old prestige – another aggressive act in the post-Soviet space,
which ended successfully for the Kremlin, and now we have to offer a different vision of Eurasia. these are
competitive nuclei that must radically change the nature of relations in Asia over the next 10-15 years. ”
Authors:Mykola Volkivskyi International Political Scientist, President of the International Foundation “PIERWSZA
MIĘDZYNARODOWA FUNDACJA NA RZECZ ROZWOJU UKRAINY”
Artem Oliynyk, political scientist, research assistant at the Academy of Political Sciences of Ukraine
Yuri Vanetik
Yuri Vanetik is a private investor, business strategist, and philanthropist that brings many
years of experience across a variety of industries and he is the managing partner of Vanetik
International LLC, a management consulting firm in Nevada.
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