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YURI VANETIK BLOG 3 BIOGRAPHY PRESS PHILANTHROPY VIDEOS CONTACT 3

HAS KAZAKHSTAN CAUGHT FIRE OR Search

WHY IS THIS COUNTRY SO IMPORTANT


FOR THE SECURITY OF THE WHOLE OF
R EC EN T POSTS
Leadership in technology is
EURASIA? a key factor in any modern
conflict or war!
by Yuri Vanetik | Feb 2, 2022 | Politics & Policy | 0 comments

Political strategist from the


USA Yuri Vanetik: The world
has realized that Ukraine is
a great country!

Yuri Vanetik says whether


Ukraine needs a law on
lobbying

High Court’s Dissent Gives


Hope to Media Smear
Victims

Why Sanctions Don’t Hurt US

Originally published with BrandStory by Mykola Volkivsky & Artem Oliynyk

A Muslim republic with a large percentage of Russia’s population, Kazakhstan


has so far avoided unrest, as in other parts of Asia.

His leadership consists of family clans whose members have become klepto-oligarchs who
are much more interested in investing in trophy real estate in London than in reforming a
country from which wealth has been stolen for decades.

We have witnessed the worst riots since Kazakhstan gained independence 30 years ago. The crisis now seems to
have subsided, but its effects could be decisive. Peaceful protests erupted in the western city of Zhanaozen. The
catalyst has been the radical rise in the price of liquefied natural gas, which is used by about 70 to 90% of cars in
the region. YURI VANETIK BLOG 3 BIOGRAPHY PRESS PHILANTHROPY VIDEOS CONTACT 3

The protests quickly escalated into anti-government riots sparked by outrage


against Nursultan Nazarbayev, a strong former ruler who has ruled since
Kazakhstan became a sovereign state. The current president of Kazakhstan,
Kasim-Zhomart Tokayev, may have been nothing more than a puppet of
Nazarbayev.

He claims that the protests are secretly supported by outside forces, such as the Islamic State (terrorist
organization). Tokayev appeals to Russian-led security bloc for help to rid country of alleged foreign terrorists
President resigns ).

He also asked Russian troops from the military alliance of the former Soviet republics to intervene to restore order
on the basis of the Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO), Russia’s version of NATO. Today, 2,500 Russian
servicemen are stationed in Kazakhstan. Kazakhstan’s state television reported the killing of 13 members of its
security forces.

Why did the uprising take place?


Yuri Vanetik recently wrote an article about this for the well-known American newspaper NewsMax

According to him: “One of the answers is that the organically


generated gas protests gave the state elites in the intelligence
and security apparatus (known under the Soviet term”
Kamitechiki “) the opportunity to organize a seizure of power,
devoid of any ideological agenda. These forces decided to stage
a coup, but failed. “
The Russians and Chinese were initially neutral, as they saw no
change in policy, regardless of who won. There are many other
theories, including the assumption that the uprising was
initiated by the Russians, Tokayev himself (to get rid of his
dependence on his mentor Nazarbayev) or extremist Muslim
militants. These explanations are not unfounded, but less
convincing.

It is worth noting that, to his surprise, Nazarbayev was not heard in public, although he retained a key role in
politics. Historically, Nazarbayev has worked with Presidents Gorbachev, Obama and Xi Jinping. He launched the
“One Belt, One Road” initiative, in which Kazakhstan provides a key land route for goods. Under the program, it is a
leading area of ​Chinese investment.

Why is the uprising in Kazakhstan important?


Kazakhstan is under Russia’s influence. The military intervention of the Collective Security Treaty Organization is the
first case of its defense, an act that has far-reaching implications for the geopolitical agenda. This interaction is an
opportunity for Russia. The crisis in Kazakhstan could upset the balance of power in Eurasia. Serious instability is
both a threat and an opportunity for the Kremlin: as in the case of Ukraine, Kazakhstan is home to a large ethnic
Russian minority.
A more democratic government will be a challenge not only for Moscow but
also for other dictators in Central YAsia.
U R IA Vmore
A N EMoscow-friendly
TIK B L O G 3regimeB Icould
OGRAPHY PRESS PHILANTHROPY VIDEOS CONTACT 3
undermine further expansion of Chinese influence. The Moscow-dominated
regime is also likely to affect Russia’s relations with other Central Asian states
concerned about Russian aggression.

At the same time, the uprising in Kazakhstan could intensify opposition forces in
other authoritarian republics. The Turkmen gas export routes through Kazakhstan and Kyrgyzstan, generated by
numerous revolutions, are closer to Almaty than to the new capital of Kazakhstan.

Russia’s response will certainly affect its relations with much of Eastern
Europe, especially Ukraine, where its armed forces are currently at the
border and not ready for further action in Kazakhstan. Instability in
Kazakhstan affects key gas markets, as Kazakhstan is the main route for
China’s annual natural gas consumption and 29% of its imports.
Pipelines are potential targets. The gas crisis will have global consequences,
as Beijing is likely to be forced to make up for the deficit in the liquefied
gas market with prices that have already reached record highs. Many other
markets may change dramatically.

The price of uranium has soared, given that Kazakhstan is the world’s largest producer of radioactive metal. The
Kazakh government, which recently advertised itself as a new financial hub, has lured bitcoin miners with cheap
energy. In fact, according to the Cambridge Center for Alternative Finance, last year Kazakhstan became the world’s
second largest bitcoin mining center after the United States.

Kazakhstan is also valuable to the United States because it has become


important to American energy companies because Exxon Mobil and Chevron
have invested tens of billions of dollars in western Kazakhstan. are seen as a
counterweight to Russian influence .
As the unrest escalated, oil production at Kazakhstan’s main Tengiz field declined. Unrest in Kazakhstan may be
seen by newcomers to politics as isolated and beneficial, but Kazakhstan was recently considered one of the fathers
of geopolitics by Sir Harold Makin, who remarked that Kazakhstan was likely to be just the first domino in a series
of landmark and revolutionary events.

The protests are destabilizing an already volatile region where the United States and Russia are vying for influence.
The conversation in Washington turned sharply to what the United States could do in addition to calls from
Secretary of State Anthony Blinken to his Kazakh counterpart and statements by congressional leaders that they
were “deeply concerned.” First of all, the United States should expect that Russia is likely to deploy long-term
military bases in Kazakhstan and increase its influence in Central Asia in the near future.

Eastern Europe needs to revise its medium- and long-term agreements with CSTO members, as January 2022 has
once again clearly shown that the Organization shows instability and uncertainty about the country’s future.
Neighbors’ actions are aimed at undermining all possible democratic attempts of the embryos of civil society, and
the hope for fruitful relations with Moscow, Yerevan or Minsk is nothing more than an illusion. At the EU level, it is
necessary to reconsider the extent to which economic relations with China depend on the mediation of such
authoritarian countries – wouldn’t it be better to use alternative (Moscow) ways to be confident in the future?
YURI VANETIK BLOG 3 BIOGRAPHY PRESS PHILANTHROPY VIDEOS CONTACT 3

According to Yuri Vanetik: “Before that, we need to understand that the security architecture of Eurasia is
a project that can be postponed for a long time and not hope for Russia’s rationality – it will be the initiator
of a new flame rather than a safeguard. That is why it is time to review the real forces of influence in the
region, where Moscow will not withstand real competition, where it has not yet entered. Actions of this
kind must be seen by us without hesitation as a real threat that can be used against us without delay.

To sum up, measures to suppress any democratic manifestations in the country should not be tolerated or
perceived as a necessity to maintain the old prestige – another aggressive act in the post-Soviet space,
which ended successfully for the Kremlin, and now we have to offer a different vision of Eurasia. these are
competitive nuclei that must radically change the nature of relations in Asia over the next 10-15 years. ”

Authors:Mykola Volkivskyi International Political Scientist, President of the International Foundation “PIERWSZA
MIĘDZYNARODOWA FUNDACJA NA RZECZ ROZWOJU UKRAINY”

Artem Oliynyk, political scientist, research assistant at the Academy of Political Sciences of Ukraine

Yuri Vanetik
Yuri Vanetik is a private investor, business strategist, and philanthropist that brings many
years of experience across a variety of industries and he is the managing partner of Vanetik
International LLC, a management consulting firm in Nevada.

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