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Terrorism in Historical Perspective
Terrorism in Historical Perspective
perspective
1. Session on October 10th
MID-TERM:
Data
Conclusions:
1. Terrorist attacks are highly concentrated in relatively few locations: major regions
differ enormously in terms of how common terrorism has been and the lethality of its
impacts
2. The regional distribution of terrorism has changed a good deal over the past four
decades
3. It is simplistic as well to consider the United States and Western Europe as an
especially likely target for terrorist attacks
4. It is overly simplistic to see terrorism as a problem that is especially tied to the Middle
East/North Africa
5. It is overly simplistic as well to see terrorism as a phenomenon that is essentially
related to religious terrorism
Since 9/11 white supremacists and other far-right extremists have been responsible
for almost three times as many attacks on US soil as Islamic terrorists
From 2009-2018 the far right has been responsible for 73% of domestic extremist-
related fatalities
From 2012-2017 the number of far-right extremist attacks more than doubled
Correlation between right wing terrorist attacks and trumps election
What is terrorism?
a) not a neutral word, not an objective concept, not a scientific (or merely descriptive) word
the point of view, the perspective of the various actors involved would be decisive: the use
of term would always imply a moral judgement
Terrorism is the “violence of which we do not approve” (It would always be the violence of
“the others”)
the decision to call someone or label some organizations “terrorist” would depend
largely on whether one sympathizes with or opposes the person/group/cause
concerned
A “war of words” (One man’s terrorist is another man’s freedom fighter):
- If one identifies with the victim of the violence: then the act is terrorism
- If one identifies with the perpetrator (or their cause), the violent act is
regarded in a more sympathetic, if not positive light: and it’s not terrorism
3) It is understandable, given the negative connotation of the term, that governments,
groups, or individuals reject the label “terrorist”
Few exceptions:
- Russian nineteenth-century anarchists proudly proclaimed themselves to be
terrorists
Since then (almost) no terrorist has ever acknowledged that he/she is a
terrorist
Slide 1
Not:
Not every political act of violence is terrorism- the difference between political murder
and terrorism is that they aim to instil fear- fear and audience is the real target
Slide 2
War is not terrorism because:
Requires two sides- while terrorism only requires one
War is a military strategy; terrorism is a psychological strategy (fear);
Slide 3
Mafia and mass shootings- mafias goal is business and personal interests, these attacks
are not politically motivated
IDEOLOGY
Why?
Groups and individuals that use terrorism to bring about revolutionary
social, economic, and political change
-very common: opposition to capitalism (and imperialism)
-they have been “diverging views on who would be the most important
revolutionary actors (e.g. workers, peasants or underclass) and how exactly
to make that revolution happen” (L. Malkki, in RHTC); as well on the
“future” .
When?
Especially: 1) end of XIXth century.
2) In the 1960’s-1980’s (but some groups, like Peru’s shining Path or the
17N in Greece had been active also in the first decade of the 21 st century)
Where?
1) Russia and western Europe;
2) Japan, north America and, above all, Latin America and Western Europe
(German and Italy).
Psychological/cultural traits
1) Terrorists are not madmen
On the contrary, research has clearly shown that terrorists, in general, are
normal people, neither psychopaths nor mentally deranged (“the outstanding
common characteristic of terrorists is their normality”-crenshaw)
2) A common trait. In particular, there “is a nearly universal element
*True believer 8Us army’s command and general staff College, in whittaker)
-integralistic/absolutist approach, no mediation/compromise
-terrorists don’t even consider that they may be wrong and that aothers views may
have some merit
*Group/cause is more important that the individual itself
*polarized “us versus them” (black and white) outlook (They aattribute only evil
motives to anyone outside their own group)
*And this enables them to dehumanize their victims
Some common (social) patterns
1) Terrosrists tend to be young people (under the age of thirty)
2) Any generalization about the social composition of the terrorist groups is
impossible
*Poverty and economic deprivation are the most important causes of
terrorism? - CAUSES OF TERRORISM
*Nevertheless, it could be possible to say that generally those who assume
leathership roles within terrosrist groups (as well as in “normal” political
organizations) tend to be drawn from the educated middle classes
*Russian People’s will in the 1870s-1880s
*European terrorists in the 1970s or Palestinian organizations (PLO or Hamas)
*But also, AlQaeda
-those young men who received training at al qaeda bases in Afghanistan may
have come from poor areas in various parts of the Muslim World;
-But this was certainly not true of al Qaeda founders and leaders : Bin Laden
and al-Zawahiri came from exceptionally prosperous family backgrounds
-the perpetrators of September 11th, 2001, atrocity in the United States were
middle class and well educated
3) And the role of women?
*three (crucial) preminary remarks:
A) Overcome the following de-historicized conventional wisdom (widespread up to
recent years9: “it is highly unusual for a woman to engage in a form of violence (i.e.
terrorism) that instead has to be associated almost exclusively with men”
*Actually, if we look at history, “women have been involved with the violence labbled
as terrorism for over a century, at minimum”
B) Overcome (de-historized) “gendered understandings of women’s involvement” in
terrorist activities, reified by parts of the media and by scholars: “terrorist women are
emotional and obsessive, not rational”, driven much more by personal cause rather
than political motivations or global motives, or terrorist women just nurture the men
*Actually, if we look at history, it is far more helpful
C) Women’s participation in Islamist- based jihad groups (for example AQ and ISIS)
(although organizations active in Chechnya and in Israel’s occupied territories have
been willing to employ females as suicide bombers)
*In that case, “conservative gender roles” (support)- ISIS
CONCLUSION.
Question:
*What social, political, cultural, economic conditions give rise to terrorism?
*Lessons from history, historical experience, and perspective (not a “theoretical
approach”)
3) Distinction between
-preconditions/conditions
More ‘structural’ causes that provide fertile ground for the emergence of
terrorism
-precipitants/trigger events
4) Distinction between macro factors and micro factors (and the boundaries
are not sharp)
-Paying attention to subjective perceptions as well as objective conditions
If poverty was a direct cause, then A) surely terrorism itself should be more
common in poorer regions and B)most terrorists could reasonably be expected
to come from poor backgrounds?
History reveals that… neither of these claims, however, are true
A) The poorest countries in the world, currently and in the past, (those in some
parts of Africa for example) suffer from a myriad of problems (also violent
crime, guerrilla or inter-tribal warfare) but terrorist violence is rarely on of
them.
- If we look at the list with th 10 countries which suffered the highest
levels of casualities as a result of terrorism during the years of
B) Further, it uis “widely recognised that relatively few terrorists come from the
most deprived backgrounds of their own communities”
- On the contrary, they are 2much more likely” to come from what
constitutes the “middle and upper classes of their communities”
- Groups as diverse as Hamas, Hizballah, ETA, the red army faction in
Germany, the Tamil Tigers in Sri Lanka, and Al-Qaeda “all share this
characteristic: that is, organizers and militants are likely to be recruited
from the better-educated and more advantaged members of their
respective group”
- Ex: Italian terrorism in the 70’s: the most important groups were based
and conducted most of their operations in the prosperous northern
cities and not in the mezzogiorno, the poorest area in the country
- Krueger and maleckova’s (2003) survey of 1,357 Palestinian adults in the
west bank and gaza found that support for terrorism against Israeli
civilians was stronger
Rather than considering “objective porverty” as a “direct cause” and the most
important single factor….
The perception of inequality/socioeconomic marginalization and /or relative
deprivation/impoverishment can be considered as “more important than poverty as a
source of terrorism”
5) And…
6) the rise (and the decline) of a mass movement- and how government
deals with it (both actions/inactions):
Why Russia?
During the second ½ of the 19th century, Russia was surely the “most backward
of the great states of Europe”
There were no elections, no representative assemblies, no legal
political parties or trade unions, and virtually no recognized civil
rights. The government relied on nobles, the army, the police
and censorship to preserve the status quo (Law).
Organized opposition fell into different categories:
Common objective (bring down the tzarist autocracy) and some common
elements
But… different ultimate goals and dif. Ideas about how to reach it
For an assessment…
1) On one hand, to the extent the anarchists wanted to show widespread fear to
the point of hysteria, they have “achieved their objective”
2) On the other hand, “none of this terrorist violence incited the masses to
revolution, and no governments collapsed as a result of the attempts”
Even before the turn of the century…
Right-wing (racist and anti-semitic) terrorism…
In the USA: After the Civil War, ku klux klan kkk, waged a terrorist campaign
throughout the south aimed at preventing newly freed slaves from exercising the right
to vote and the normal liberties available to U.S. citizens
In Imperial Russia: the ‘Black hundered’, a lossely linked group of anti-semites
(helped by the police), blamed the country’s jewish population for popular discontent
and for fomenting revolution: pogroms and killings
*
*
A brief histoty…
Two martyr events as triggering events…
The killing of benno ohnesorg on 2 june 1967
The nearly fatal attempt on rudy dutschke on April 11th 1968
B) As the mighty student movement died, following its most activist, even
violent peak, it spun off small but intensely violent movements
Muslim leaders throughout afg., Pakistan, Saudi Arabia, and elsewhere in the
muslim world called for a holy war aimed at expelling the Russian infidels from
the house of islam;
Thousands of young men throughout the arab world flocked to Afghanistan to
wage a guerrilla-style holy war (and with government blessing, young Muslim
immigrants were even recruited from American cities)
Both the USA and the Saudis provided help
The Afghan resistance was successful, but…. With an unexpected consequence
-Thousands of Arab veterans (so called “afghans”) returned to Algeria, Egypt, Saudi
arabia and the other middle eastern countries
3) (But huge dif. Between ISIS and AQ: next slide…) Struggle against the “false”
Muslim regimes (especially those in Saudi Arabia and in Egypt, and now Iraq
and Syria);
Replace these corrupt regimes with authentically Islamic ones
COMPARING AQ AND ISIS: different goals, different targets
Common traits, but a huge difference…
AQ “far enemy” strategy:
AQ primary enemy is the US, which it sees as the rrot cause of the
middle easts problems. By targeting the US, AQ believes it will
eventually induce the US to end support for these Muslim state regimes
and withdraw from the region altogether, thus leaving the regimes
vulnerable to attack them from within
ISIS “near enemy” strategy:
The Islamic state does not follow AQ “far enemy” strategy, preferring
instead the “near enemy” strategy, albeit on a regional level. As such,
the primary target of the Islamic state has not been the US, but rather
(more than AQ)- in order to purify the islam community
a) “apostate” regimes in the Arab world (esp. Iraq and Syria)
AQ: Tactics and strategies Al Qaeda has long used a mix of strategies to achieve its
objectives. To fight the US, AQ plots terrorism spectaculars to electrify the muslim
world (and get it to follow AQ’s banner) and to retreat from the muslim world
-AQ as long favored large-scale, dramatic attacks against strategic or symbolic targets
IS: tactics and strategies The Islamic states strategy is to control territory, steadily
consolidating and expanding its position;
Is terrorism endless?
A synoptic analysis of the devbate would reveal a widespread myth
Terrorism is endless- definitely not true
1) Terrorist campaigns do end
2) The average lifespan of a group that
How and why terrorism ends?
Some crucial “lessons from history”
1) Very often more than one element is at play:
-in fact, very often a combination of causes- even an intersection between
them- results
2) Pathways for decline have been (and can be) influenced by factors both
internal and external to campaign
Historical cases are remarkably consistent in demonstrating that:
-some of these processes of decline are set in motion by the state
-some by the group itself
-some by the audience
3) ffff
Examining how terrorist campaign have ended
+ although there are natural variations in the way specific groups/campaign end, its
possible to identify some common factors:
Defeat, repression, force
Decapitation (eliminating the leader) can be counterproductive- a source of
insp. For the next generations
Backlash, loss of support
Org own error (miscalculations in targeting, excessive violence, etc.)
Also governements can accelerate backlash…
A terrorist group ends because it uindergoes a strategic shift away to terrorism
The disappearance of some cultural/ social/ideological/economic conditions
and causes
Ex: Third wave (1960s-1980s)
ITALIAN TERRORISM
A relevant case
Us in the 70s: according to some scholars, between July 1977 and July 1979 evening
news of the main US networks (ABC,CBS and NBC) dedicated to the most important
Italian terrorist group (BR: leftwing) 141 stories
-They were the 50% of the news from or about Italy
-In the same period, the stories dedicated to the IRA were only 42
Italian terrorism was extremely…virulent
What makes the Italian case so relevant?
Long: lasted for almost 20 years- 1969 to 1988 (but some attacks even later)
Frequent: according to an analysis, in 1978 italy had a terrorist attack of some form
once every four hours (“a world record”)
Vast:
-657 denominations used by dozens of underground organizations (484: left-wing)
-thousands of militants involved in the “armed struggle”
-several areas of the country involved
Able to realize relevant attacks and to target relevant actors
(almost) unique:
-The terrorist challenge came from the entire spectrum of extreme ideological dissent:
from the right-wing terrorist (neofascists) and from revolutionary ones (Red Brigades,
above all)- and each of them…
Italian Terrorism- Three main phases
The black phase (1969-74)
The red phase (1974-79)
The final phase (1979-88): both (if red predominant…)
Dies irae- December 12, 1969
The (first) Black phase… (1969-1974)
-83% of all violent episodes (1969-1975)
Why: fear of communists and social protest (and mistrust of traditional anti-
communist political parties)
Fear of Détente
Goal: instil fear in order to weaken the institutions, overthrow
(in the light of this goal) Strategy and Tactics: not specific targets & massacres
No claim for the attacks: anonymous and tried to blame on the left (“faise flag”):
“strategy of tension”
External supports?