Name : Restri Ayu Safarina

NIM : 25422014
Resume Decision Making Analysis

 Definition
Decision analysis is an analytical technique based on the theory of that choice behavior can be
modeled as a gambling game that is a choice between alternative courses of action can be
dictated by the values and probabilities of the alternative outcomes of our actions.
 The Decision Making Theory
1. James A.F. Stoner (1961)
The decision making theory is an approach in decision making process or action selecting
process as a matter of problem solving
2. Johannes Supranto (1998)
Making a decision mean choosing one among various alternatives
3. Peterson (2009)
The decision making theory or also known as rational choice theory is a study about
preference uncertainty and various issues related to creating the most rational or optimum
options
4. Rick Griffin (2006)
The decision making is an action of choosing one among many alternatives
 Decision Making
1. Decision Making under Certainty (AHP)
2. Decision Making under Risk
3. Decision Making under Uncertainly
 Basic Concept
1. Decision making under certainty involves alternative actions by depending its payoffs on
(random) states of nature
2. Specifically, the payoff matrix of a decision problem with m alternative actions and n states
of nature
 The Difference with Under Risk
1. In the case of uncertainty, the probability distribution associated with the states sj, where
j=1, 2,....n is either unknown or cannot be determined.
2. Thus, this lack of information has led to the development of the 4 criteria for analyzing the
decision problem.
- Laplace
- Maximin-Minimax
- Savage
- Hurwicz
 The theory of Simon (1960) mentions several levels of decision making, by which he stated 4
stages, namely:
- Intelligence
- Design
 - Choice
- Implementation
 Conclusion:
- Decision making based on information and understanding of environmental conditions
related to decision making, perfect, imperfect, or partially leads to several categories
including certain decision making, uncertain condition decision making , and decision
- Uncertain Condition
Decision making under conditions of risk and uncertainty is more common in human life
because many things have non single influence factors so that if any changes occur in one
aspect, it will affect or have an impact on other aspects