Econometría I

Regresión simple
Prof. Joel Turco

Educación Salario
n X Y x y xy
1 6.00 4.46 -6.00 -4.22 25.31
2 7.00 5.77 -5.00 -2.90 14.52
3 8.00 5.98 -4.00 -2.70 10.78
4 9.00 7.33 -3.00 -1.34 4.03
5 10.00 7.32 -2.00 -1.36 2.71
6 11.00 6.58 -1.00 -2.09 2.09
7 12.00 7.82 0.00 -0.86 0.00
8 13.00 7.84 1.00 -0.84 -0.84
9 14.00 11.02 2.00 2.35 4.70
10 15.00 10.67 3.00 2.00 6.00
11 16.00 10.84 4.00 2.16 8.65
12 17.00 13.62 5.00 4.94 24.70
13 18.00 13.53 6.00 4.86 29.14

SUMA 156.00 112.77 0.00 0.00 131.79

MEDIA 12.00 8.67

Coeficientes varianza error esta t-calculado t-teorico

beta1 -0.014 0.765 0.875 -0.017 2.201
beta2 0.724 0.005 0.070 10.406 2.201

grados libe 11.00

nivel signifi 0.05
sigma^2 0.88
sima 0.94

SCT 105.1
SCE 95.4
SCR 9.7

R2 0.908 F-STAT 108.29

R2 0.908 P-VALOR F 0.0000005
R2 0.908
 x^2 y^2 Ye û û^2 X^2 ye ye^2
36.00 17.79 4.33 0.13 0.02 36.00 -4.34 18.88
25.00 8.44 5.05 0.72 0.51 49.00 -3.62 13.11
16.00 7.27 5.78 0.20 0.04 64.00 -2.90 8.39
9.00 1.80 6.50 0.83 0.69 81.00 -2.17 4.72
4.00 1.84 7.23 0.09 0.01 100.00 -1.45 2.10
1.00 4.37 7.95 -1.37 1.87 121.00 -0.72 0.52
0.00 0.73 8.67 -0.86 0.73 144.00 0.00 0.00
1.00 0.70 9.40 -1.56 2.45 169.00 0.72 0.52
4.00 5.51 10.12 0.90 0.81 196.00 1.45 2.10
9.00 4.00 10.85 -0.17 0.03 225.00 2.17 4.72
16.00 4.67 11.57 -0.73 0.54 256.00 2.90 8.39
25.00 24.41 12.30 1.32 1.74 289.00 3.62 13.11
36.00 23.58 13.02 0.51 0.26 324.00 4.34 18.88

182.00 105.12 112.77 0.00 9.69 2054.00 0.00 95.43

p-value (prob) erro de est I-infer I-sup

0.987 1.925 -1.939 1.911 beta1 no es significativo por lo tanto el intercepto es cero
0.000 0.153 0.571 0.877 beta2 es significativo y tambien la variable Educ explica al salario
A mayor educacion mayor salario
Con el P valor Si una persona aumenta la educacion en un año su salario aumentaria
p-valor<0.05 rechaza la Hipotesis nula
t-calculado>1.96 rechaza la nula
10.41 >1.96 rechazala la nula
 Chart Title
16.00

14.00

12.00 f(x) = 0.724096703296703 x − 0.0144527472527471

R² = 0.90779144019973
10.00

8.00

6.00

4.00

2.00

0.00
4.00 6.00 8.00 10.00 12.00 14.00 16.00 18.00 20.00

epto es cero
duc explica al salario

ño su salario aumentaria en 0.7 soles por hora

 N (X) E (Y) S x y
1 6 2 -4 -4.33
2 8 5 -2 -1.33
3 16 12 6 5.67
SUMA 30 19 0 0
MEDIA 10 6.333

Coeficientes varianza error esta t-calculado

beta1 -3.310 288.857 16.996 -0.195

beta2 0.964 2.434 1.560 0.618

grados libe 1.00

nivel signifi 0.05
sigma^2 136.31
sima 11.68

SCT 52.7
SCE 219.2
SCR 136.3

R2 4.162 F-STAT 1.61

R2 - 1.588 P-VALOR F 0.23096947
R2 1.000
 xy x^2 y^2 Ye û û^2 X^2
17.33 16 18.78 -7.17 9.17 84.03 36
2.67 4 1.78 0.96 4.04 16.29 64
34 36 32.11 6.00 6.00 36.00 256
54 56 52.667 -0.202 19.202 136.315 356.000

t-teorico p-value (proberro de estima I-infer I-sup

12.710 0.878 216.017 -219.326 212.707

12.710 0.648 19.830 -18.866 20.794

Con el P valor
p-valor<0.05 rechaza la Hipotesis nula
t-calculado>1rechaza la nula
10.41 >1.96 rechazala la nula
ye ye^2
-13.5 182.25
1.0 0.93
6.0 36.00
-6.536 219.180