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The Journal of International Medical Research

2011; 39: 1142 – 1154

Marital Status and Risk for Late Life


Depression: a Meta-analysis of the
Published Literature
X-Y YAN1, S-M HUANG1, C-Q HUANG2, W-H WU1 AND Y QIN3
1
Department of Nephrology, The West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu,
China; 2Department of Geriatrics, The Third Hospital of Mianyang, Mianyang, China;
3
Department of Cardiology, The Third Military Medical University, Chongqing, China

This study assessed the relationship people had a higher risk for depression
between marital status and the risk for (odds ratio [OR], 1.55; relative risk [RR],
depression in people ≥ 55 years old. Using 1.36). Compared with married elderly
the Medline™, EMBASE™ and Cochrane people, the widowed elderly people (OR
Library databases, clinical studies that 1.49; RR 1.71), divorced people (RR 2.14)
published data on the association between and never-married people (OR 1.32) had a
marital status and risk of depression higher risk for depression. Among elderly
among individuals aged ≥ 55 years were unmarried people, widowed people had a
identified. A quantitative meta-analysis of higher risk for depression than those who
24 cross-sectional and eight longitudinal never married (OR 1.51). In conclusion,
studies was performed. Compared with being unmarried was an important risk
married elderly people, unmarried elderly factor for depression in elderly people.

KEY WORDS: DEPRESSION; RISK; MARITAL STATUS; OLD AGE; META-ANALYSIS

Introduction indicated that those with depressive


Depression is a major contributor to the symptoms, with or without depressive
healthcare costs associated with elderly disorder, had poorer functioning,
populations, and is projected to be the comparable with (or worse than) those in
leading cause of disease burden in such people with chronic medical conditions such
populations by 2020.1,2 The prevalence of as heart and lung disease, arthritis,
depression in subjects aged ≥ 65 years may hypertension and diabetes.5 – 7 In addition to
be as high as 40% in hospitalized and poor functioning, depression increased the
nursing-home settings, and 30% in perception of poor health, the utilization of
community settings.3 The prognosis of these medical services, and healthcare costs.7 – 9
depressive states is poor. For example, a Marital status is commonly viewed as a
meta-analysis of outcomes at 24 months risk factor for depression in the elderly, as
estimated that only 33% of subjects were shown by longitudinal and cross-sectional
well: 33% remained depressed and 21% had studies.10 – 12 In contrast, some studies have
died.4 Moreover, studies of depressed adults reached the opposite conclusion.13,14

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X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

Moreover, a previous systematic review and include elderly people were rejected. The
meta-analysis showed that the odds ratio literature search included three stages: (i) an
(OR) of unmarried status as a function of initial review of article titles to identify those
increased depression was not significant (OR that might be included; (ii) a review of titles
1.0, 95% confidence intervals [95% CI] 0.8, and abstracts of those articles identified in
1.3).15 Thus, it remains unclear whether the first stage, with papers failing to meet the
marital status is a risk factor for depression inclusion criteria being rejected; and (iii) a
in the elderly. reading of the full text of the articles that
Depression is a critically important issue survived the second stage. Articles that
for elderly people and those working with remained at the third stage were classified
them. As the elderly population increases, into four subgroups according to the
the number of depressive individuals is objective of the research programme: (i)
expected to rise.16,17 Thus, it is important to aetiology-related studies (the study of the
investigate the risk for depression in these causes or origin of disease and the factors
people. Although being unmarried is that produce or predispose toward a certain
generally viewed as a risk for depression in disease or disorder) or epidemiological
the elderly, this has not been confirmed. studies (the study of the causes, distribution,
Moreover, the relationship between marital and control of disease in populations); (ii)
status (including married, widowed, never- diagnostic studies (the study of the science
married and divorced) and risk for and practice of the diagnosis of disease in
depression in elderly people remains unclear. populations); (iii) therapeutic studies (the
Thus, the present meta-analysis was study of the treatment and cure of diseases in
conducted in order to measure the populations); and (iv) prognostic studies (the
magnitude and shape of the association study of the prediction of the course or
between marital status and depression in outcome of a disease in populations). The
people aged ≥ 55 years. search terms, search results and classification
of the literature have been reported
Patients and methods previously.18 Selection and classification of
SEARCH METHOD the literature were performed by four
This study was part of a best-evidence researchers (X.-Y.Y, C.-Q.H, W.-H.W, Y.Q.),
research project on depression in the elderly. and each article was selected and classified
Relevant literature was identified through by two researchers (X.-Y.Y, C.-Q.H),
searching Medline™ (from the beginning of independently, with any discrepancies being
1966), EMBASE™ (from the beginning of addressed through discussion. In this meta-
1980) and the Cochrane Library (from analysis, the magnitude and shape of the
January 1990 to August 2007). The search association between marital status and
terms (provided by the Cochrane Centre, depression in old age was measured, so that
Oxford, UK) included ‘depression’, ‘older’ only aetiology-related or epidemiological
and ‘clinical trials’. Literature selection was studies might be included.
based on studies that involved clinical trials,
depression (diagnostic criteria using formal INCLUSION CRITERIA
depression scales) and elderly subjects (≥ 55 Studies were included in the present meta-
years). Studies that were not clinical trials, analysis if they met the following inclusion
were unrelated to depression, or did not criteria: (i) a cross-sectional or longitudinal

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X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

study where all participants were ≥ 55 years each marital status group was extracted
(the age at the end of the follow-up for from each report. Every paper included in
longitudinal studies); (ii) original research the meta-analysis was read in full and the
reported in English; (iii) included complete data were extracted and cross-checked
information on the prevalence or incidence independently by two authors (X-Y.Y., C-Q.H.);
of depression in the different marital status discrepancies were resolved by discussion.
groups; and (iv) used an acceptable
definition of depression. The diagnostic STATISTICAL ANALYSES
category of depression, as applied by the Data were entered into the RevMan 4.2
authors of each study, was accepted and meta-analysis program (Cochrane
included the following: (i) the presence of Collaboration, Oxford, UK; http://www.cc-
depressive disorder, depressive symptoms, or ims.net/RevMan/current.htm). The meta-
psychological distress, as defined by scores analysis of the cross-sectional studies had the
above a cut point for an abnormality on a advantage of huge sample sizes and so could
standard mood scale; (ii) severity of readily show any association between
depressive disorder, depressive symptoms, or marital status group and prevalence of
psychological distress, as defined by scores depression, while the meta-analysis of
on a standard mood scale; and (iii) the longitudinal studies had the advantage of
presence of major depression or minor readily obtaining a causality conclusion. In
depression (or dysthymia) according to the the meta-analysis of cross-sectional studies
Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental for the prevalence rates of depression, ORs
Disorders (DSM)-IIIR, DSM-IV, or other and 95% CIs were calculated. Results were
standard psychiatric diagnostic criteria.19 summarized using conventional forest plots
and ORs, stratified by features of the studies
EXCLUSION CRITERIA included. In the meta-analysis of
Studies were excluded if they had any of the longitudinal studies for incidence rates of
following: limited to specific subject depression, relative risk (RR) and 95% CIs
characteristics (such as convenience were calculated. Results were summarized
sampling); retrospective recruitment; or if using conventional forest plots and RRs,
there was only an unstructured assessment stratified by features of the studies included.
of mood. Summary ORs and RRs were estimated using
a random-effects model. A P-value of < 0.05
DATA EXTRACTION AND CHECKING was considered to be statistically significant
For longitudinal studies, information about
the country of study, group size at baseline Results
and follow-up, age, proportion of men, The literature search identified 6420 articles
depression criteria, exclusion criteria at by the third stage of the search process and
baseline, length of follow-up, and number of these were classified into the four subgroups
incident cases of depression in each group according to the objective of the research
was extracted from each report. For cross- programme. Of these, 1027 studies were
sectional studies, information about the potentially aetiology or epidemiology
country of study, group size, age, proportion related. Abstracts from all 1027 papers were
of men, depression criteria, exclusion criteria reviewed and 899 were rejected as obviously
and the number of cases of depression in unsuitable: e.g. unrelated to marital studies.

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X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

The remaining 128 papers were read in full and two studies compared the risk for
and 96 were rejected for reasons including no depression between widowed and divorced
usable data or no recognized instrument subjects,31,41 between widowed and never-
used for the diagnosis of depression. The married subjects,31,41,43,46,48 and between
remaining 32 studies were included in the divorced and never-married subjects.31,41
meta-analysis, including eight longitu- Pooling these studies, widowed subjects had
dinal20 – 27 and 24 cross-sectional13,28 – 50 a higher risk for depression than those who
studies, the characteristics of which are had never married (OR 1.51, 95% CI 1.14,
summarized in Tables 1 and 2, respectively. 1.98, P = 0.004). There were non-significant
Publication bias was assessed using differences in the risk for depression between
funnel plots (Fig. 1). The funnel plot of the widowed and divorced subjects and between
ORs (under a fixed-effects model) was divorced and never-married subjects (OR
constructed from the 32 studies in Tables 1 1.42, 95% CI 0.57, 3.55; OR 1.02, 95% CI
and 2. In the absence of publication bias, the 0.44, 2.34 respectively).
points should be symmetrical about the A forest plot of RR from the eight
vertical line at the pooled ORs. The prospective longitudinal studies is shown in
reasonably symmetrical shape suggested the Fig. 3.20 – 27 After pooling these studies,
absence of publication bias. unmarried subjects had a higher risk for
A forest plot of the ORs from the 24 cross- depression than those who were married (RR
sectional studies is shown in Fig. 2,13,20 – 50 1.36, 95% CI 1.01, 1.84, P = 0.04). Of these
ordered by the marital status groups. In the eight longitudinal studies, four, three and
24 cross-sectional studies, there were 28 759 two studies compared the risk for depression
married and 24 044 unmarried subjects, and in married people with those
4065 and 4885 cases of depression in the widowed,20,21,23,27 never-married21,23,27 and
married and unmarried subjects, divorced,21,27 respectively. After pooling these
respectively. After pooling these 24 studies, studies, compared with married subjects,
unmarried subjects had a higher prevalence those widowed and divorced had higher risks
of depression than married subjects (OR for depression (RR 1.71, 95% CI 1.09, 2.68,
1.55, 95% CI 1.37, 1.74; P < 0.00001). P = 0.02; RR 2.14, 95% CI 1.45, 3.16, P =
Of the 24 cross-sectional studies, 12, six 0.0001; respectively), and there was no
and two studies compared the risk for significant difference in the risk for
depression in old married people versus depression between never-married and
those who were widowed,31,33,34,36,39 – 43,46 – 48 married subjects (RR 0.96, 95% CI 0.30,
never-married,29,31,41,43,46,48 or divorced,31,41 3.08). Three studies compared the risk for
respectively. After pooling these studies, depression among never-married, widowed,
widowed and never-married subjects were at and divorced people, and there were no
a significantly higher risk for depression significant differences among these three
than married subjects (OR 1.49, 95% CI 1.19, groups.21,23,27
1.87, P = 0.0006; OR 1.32, 95% CI 1.12, 1.55,
P = 0.0007 respectively), and subjects who Discussion
were divorced had a non-significantly higher This meta-analysis of 24 cross-sectional and
risk for depression than those who were eight prospective longitudinal studies
married (OR 1.23, 95% CI 0.57, 2.65). demonstrated that unmarried status was a
Of the 24 cross-sectional studies, two, five risk factor for depression in elderly people,

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TABLE 1:
Characteristics of the eight longitudinal studies included in the current meta-analysis of marital status and risk of depression20 – 27
Cases of
Exclusion incident
Baseline Age, Criteria for criteria at Follow-up, depression
Study n follow-up years Male,% depression baseline months n (%) Country
Mendes de Leon et al. 1046 731 ≥ 65 65 CES-D ≥ 20 – 36 77 (10.1) USA
199420
Forsell 200021 1777 903 ≥ 75 23 DSM-IV Depression, 36 29 (3.2) Sweden
criteria anxiety,
psychosis
Geerlings et al. 200222 325 234 55 – 85 48 CES-D > 16 Depression 36 40 (14.1) The
plus 5 points Netherlands

1146
above 5
Kennedy et al. 199023 1243 1243 ≥ 65 46 CES-D > 16 CES-D > 16 24 163 (13.1) USA
plus 5 points
above baseline
Meller et al. 199724 358 263 ≥ 85 GMS-AGECAT – 12 – Germany
Schoevers et al. 200025 3747 1940 65 – 84 38 GMS-AGECAT Depression 36 309 (14.1) The
criteria (level 3.5) Netherlands
X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.

Stek et al. 200626 334 141 ≥ 85 37 GDS-15 > 4 Cognitive 46 56 (39.7) The

Downloaded from imr.sagepub.com at GEORGETOWN UNIV MED CTR on May 27, 2015
impairment Netherlands
Turvey et al. 199927 – 5449 70 – 103 38 Modified CES-D ≥ 6 – 24 327 (6) USA
CES-D, Center for Epidemiologic Studies-Depression Scale; DSM-IV, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-IV; GMS-AGECAT, Geriatric
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

Mental State Schedule Automated Geriatric Examination for Computer Assisted Taxonomy; GDS-15: Geriatric Depression Scale.
TABLE 2:
Characteristics of the 24 cross-sectional studies included in the current meta-analysis of marital status and risk of depression13,28 – 50
Age Criteria for Exclusion Cases of
Study Country n Population (years) Male (%) depression criteria depression
Al-Shammari and Saudi Arabia 7970 Community > 60 62 GDS-30 ≥ 20 – 670
Al-Subaie 199928
Blay et al. 200729 Brazil 6961 Community > 60 34 Short Psychiatric – 2722
Evaluation Schedule
(six-item version) ≥ 20
Bergdahl et al. 200530 Sweden 242 Community ≥ 85 25 DSM-IV – 65
Blazer and Williams 198031 USA 997 Community ≥ 65 37.4 DSM-III-DIS-R – 147
Brody et al. 200132 USA 151 Community ≥ 60 32.4 SCID-IV – 49
Carnethon et al. 200733 USA 4681 Community ≥ 65 40.8 CES-D-10 ≥ 8 Diabetes –
Carpiniello et al. 198934 Italy 317 Community ≥ 65 38.7 BDI ≥ 10 – 31
Cassidy et al. 200435 Australia 278 Community ≥ 65 0 BDI ≥ 10 – 85
Chen et al. 200536 China 1600 Community ≥ 60 47.1 GMS-AGECAT – 95

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Chi et al. 200537 China 917 Community ≥ 60 47.5 GDS-15 ≥ 8 Cognitive
impairment 113
Chong et al. 200138 China 1500 Community ≥ 65 53.4 GMS-AGECAT – 287
Friedman et al. 200739 USA 926 Primary care ≥ 65 25.7 Mini International Cognitive 119
Neuropsychiatric impairment
Interview, major
depressive
Heok et al. 199640 China 1062 Community ≥ 65 43 GMS-AGECAT – 55
X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.

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Kivela et al. 198841 Finland 1235 Community ≥ 65 40.9 DSM-III – 330
McDougall et al. 200742 UK 2640 Institutional and ≥ 65 35.6 GMS-AGECAT – 346
non-institutional
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

settings
O’Hara et al. 198543 USA 3159 Non-institutionalized 65 – 105 37.1 CES-D ≥ 16 – 285
older adults
Sewitch et al. 200413 Canada 193 Emergency ≥ 65 43 GDS-15 > 5 – 76
department
TABLE 2 (continued):
Characteristics of the 24 cross-sectional studies included in the current meta-analysis of marital status and risk of depression13,28 – 50
Age Criteria for Exclusion Cases of
Study Country n Population (years) Male (%) depression criteria depression
Sonnenberg et al. The 3056 Community 55 – 85 48.4 CES-D ≥ 16 – 455
200044 Netherlands
Steffens et al. 199945 USA 3660 Community ≥ 65 44.2 CES-D scores, – 880
quartiles for
comparisons. The
highest versus
the others
Tsai et al. 200546 China 1200 Nursing homes ≥ 65 55.8 GDS-15 > 5 Cognitive 330
(Taiwan) impairment

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Tsai et al. 200547 China 364 Nursing homes ≥ 65 – GDS-15 > 8 Cognitive 98
(Taiwan and impairment
Hong Kong)
Tsai 200748 China 200 Care homes ≥ 65 65.5 GDS-15 > 8 Cognitive
(Taiwan) impairment
Walters et al. 200449 UK 13349 Community 75 – 102 38.7 GDS-15 > 6 – 1065
Wang et al. 199950 China 1421 Community ≥ 65 44.2 GDS-S score ≥ 8 Dementia, 191
chronic
X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.

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psychosis
GDS, Geriatric Depression Scale; DSM-IV, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders-IV; DSM-III-DIS-R, Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of
Mental Disorders-III-Distributed Input System Replacement; SCID-IV, Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV; CES-D, Center for Epidemiologic Studies-
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

Depression Scale; BDI, Beck Depression Inventory; GMS-AGECAT, Geriatric Mental State Schedule Automated Geriatric Examination for Computer Assisted
Taxonomy; SCL-90-R, the Symptom Checklist-90-R.
X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

0.0

0.2

0.4
SE (log OR)

0.6

0.8

0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 5.0 10.0


OR (fixed)

FIGURE 1: Funnel plot undertaken to assess publication bias in the 32 studies included in
the current meta-analysis of marital status and risk of depression (OR, odds ratio)13,20 – 50

and that the risk for depression among Thus, it is reasonable to assume that
elderly people who had never married was depression might negatively influence
significantly higher than that for elderly marital status, and that being depressed
married people, but was significantly lower might also reduce the chances of marrying a
than that for elderly widowed people. This suitable partner. In contrast, marital status
was a robust finding about the relationship can also have an effect on depression as
between marital status and the risk for shown by the present study. Based on the
depression among elderly people. meta-analysis of the longitudinal studies, we
In the 24 cross-sectional studies, it was conclude that, in elderly people, unmarried
unclear whether the subjects included were subjects had a higher incidence of depression
all having their first depressive episode after than married subjects.
the age of 55 years, or whether they had The observation that being unmarried was
experienced depression previously at a a risk factor for late depression might be
younger age. In contrast, in the eight explained by the fact that, compared with
longitudinal studies, the subjects included married people, unmarried elderly people
were all having their first depressive episode might experience more loneliness, poorer
after the age of 55 years. In the meta- social support, lower self-confidence and are
analysis of the cross-sectional studies, more likely to be living alone, all of which are
unmarried subjects had a higher prevalence commonly viewed as risk factors for depression
of depression than married subjects. It has in the elderly population.51 Compared with
been reported that depression doubles the widowed elderly people, however, those who
proportion of transitions from common-law had never married had a lower risk for
or married to separated or divorced status.51 depression. Being widowed is a negative life

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X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

Study OR (random) Weight OR (random)


or sub-category 95% CI % 95% CI
Others vs married
Al-Shammari and Al-Subaie 199928 3.75 1.59 (1.35, 1.87)
Bergdahl et al. 200530 0.63 1.80 (0.65, 4.93)
Blay et al. 200729 4.10 1.40 (1.27, 1.55)
Blazer and Williams 198031 2.44 1.59 (1.10, 2.29)
Brody et al. 200132 1.13 1.02 (0.51, 2.05)
Carnethon et al. 200733 3.84 1.63 (1.41, 1.89)
Carpiniello et al. 198934 1.10 2.71 (1.33, 5.54)
Cassidy et al. 200435 1.61 1.67 (0.97, 2.87)
Chen et al. 200536 2.14 1.73 (1.14, 2.63)
Chi et al. 200537 2.28 1.48 (1.00, 2.20)
Chong et al. 200138 3.01 1.79 (1.36, 2.36)
Friedman et al. 200739 2.28 1.00 (0.67, 1.48)
Heok et al. 199640 1.58 0.68 (0.39, 1.18)
Kivela et al. 198841 3.15 1.63 (1.27, 2.10)
McDougall et al. 200742 0.98 0.47 (0.22, 1.01)
O’Hara et al. 198543 3.17 2.28 (1.78, 2.94)
Sewitch et al. 200413 1.48 1.46 (0.82, 2.60)
Sonnenberg et al. 200044 3.51 2.80 (2.29, 3.42)
Steunenberg et al. 200612 2.93 2.34 (1.75, 3.12)
Tsai et al. 200546 3.05 1.47 (1.12, 1.92)
Tsai 200748 0.73 0.61 (0.24, 1.54)
Walters et al. 200449 3.92 1.57 (1.38, 1.80)
Wang et al. 199950 3.41 1.29 (1.04, 1.59)
Tsai et al. 200547 1.61 1.11 (0.65, 1.91)
Subtotal (95% CI) 57.83 1.55 (1.37, 1.74)
Total events: 4885 (other), 4065 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 90.91, d.f. = 23 (P < 0.00001), I 2 = 74.7%
Test for overall effect: Z = 7.28 (P < 0.00001)

Widowed vs married
Blazer and Williams 198031 2.38 1.65 (1.13, 2.40)
Carnethon et al. 200733 3.76 1.71 (1.45, 2.01)
Carpiniello et al. 198934 0.97 3.03 (1.40, 6.60)
Chen et al. 200536 2.05 1.97 (1.27, 3.05)
Friedman et al. 200739 2.13 0.84 (0.55, 1.29)
Heok et al. 199640 1.52 0.77 (0.44, 1.35)
Kivela et al. 198841 3.03 1.91 (1.45, 2.50)
McDougall et al. 200742 0.92 0.49 (0.22, 1.09)
O’Hara et al. 198543 3.10 2.25 (1.73, 2.92)
Tsai et al. 200546 0.90 2.00 (0.88, 4.51)
Tsai 200748 0.64 1.87 (0.69, 5.07)
Tsai et al. 200547 1.50 0.99 (0.56, 1.75)
Subtotal (95% CI) 22.89 1.49 (1.19, 1.87)
Total events: 931 (other), 1270 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 38.51, d.f. = 11 (P < 0.00001), I 2 = 71.4%
Test for overall effect: Z = 3.45 (P = 0.0006)

Never vs married
Blay et al. 200729 3.53 1.33 (1.09, 1.62)
Blazer and Williams 198031 0.83 1.30 (0.55, 3.06)
Kivela et al. 198841 2.04 1.07 (0.69, 1.66)
O’Hara et al. 198543 1.58 1.47 (0.85, 2.55)
Tsai et al. 200546 1.00 1.73 (0.81, 3.70)
Tsai 200748 0.67 1.46 (0.55, 3.85)
Subtotal (95% CI) 9.66 1.32 (1.12, 1.55)
Total events: 303 (other), 1618 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 1.57, d.f. = 5 (P = 0.91), I 2 = 0%
Test for overall effect: Z = 3.37 (P = 0.0007)

Divorced vs married
Blazer and Williams 198031 0.51 1.91 (0.61, 5.93)
Kivela et al. 198841 0.64 0.87 (0.32, 2.36)
Subtotal (95% CI) 1.16 1.23 (0.57, 2.65)
Total events: 9 (other), 200 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 1.05, d.f. = 1 (P = 0.31), I 2 = 4.6%
Test for overall effect: Z = 0.53 (P = 0.60)

0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 5.0 10.0


Favours treatment Favours control

FIGURE 2: Forest plot of the odds ratio (OR) for depression from the 24 cross-sectional
studies that compared the risk for depression between married and unmarried people
≥ 55 years of age13,28 – 50

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X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

Study OR (random) Weight OR (random)


or sub-category 95% CI % 95% CI
Widowed vs divorced
Blazer and Williams 198031 0.52 0.86 (0.28, 2.65)
Kivela et al. 198841 0.64 2.19 (0.80, 5.95)
Subtotal (95% CI) 1.16 1.42 (0.57, 3.55)
Total events: 227 (other), 9 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 1.49, d.f. = 1 (P = 0.22), I 2 = 32.7%
Test for overall effect: Z = 0.76 (P = 0.45)

Divorced vs never
Blazer and Williams 198031 0.37 1.46 (0.38, 5.69)
Kivela et al. 198841 0.58 0.81 (0.28, 2.35)
Subtotal (95% CI) 0.95 1.02 (0.44, 2.34)
Total events: 9 (other), 38 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 0.45, d.f. = 1 (P = 0.50), I 2 = 0%
Test for overall effect: Z = 0.04 (P = 0.97)

Widowed vs never
Blazer and Williams 198031 0.86 1.26 (0.55, 2.92)
Kivela et al. 198841 1.99 1.78 (1.14, 2.80)
O’Hara et al. 198543 1.61 1.53 (0.89, 2.62)
Tsai et al. 200546 0.55 1.15 (0.39, 3.43)
Tsai 200748 1.34 1.29 (0.69, 2.39)
Subtotal (95% CI) 6.35 1.51 (1.14, 1.98)
Total events: 419 (other), 108 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 1.19, d.f. = 4 (P = 0.88), I 2 = 0%
Test for overall effect: Z = 2.91 (P = 0.004)

Total (95% CI) 100.0 1.51 (1.38, 1.64)


Total events: 6783 (other), 7308 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 142.32, d.f. = 52 (P < 0.00001), I 2 = 63.5%
Test for overall effect: Z = 9.26 (P < 0.00001)
0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 5.0 10.0
Favours treatment Favours control

FIGURE 2 (continued): Forest plot of the odds ratio (OR) for depression from the 24
cross-sectional studies that compared the risk for depression between married and
unmarried people ≥ 55 years of age13,28 – 50

event and elderly people experience a huge Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied
change in their lifestyle following widowhood. Health Literature (CINAHL®) and PsycINFO®
This might be one of the reasons for the higher were not included. The literature was
risk for depression in elderly widowed people screened by reading the abstracts rather
compared with those who remain married or than the full text, which was also a
have never married. limitation. Additionally, the search was
Publication bias was assessed in this limited to articles published in English.
meta-analysis and the results suggest it was Finally, there was heterogeneity among the
absent. Although the present study included studies, which was perhaps related
attempted to adhere to the guidelines for to the different definitions of depression in
reporting meta-analyses of observational different studies, and the small study groups
studies, there were several limitations to the in some studies. Thus, the random-effects
review. First, journals were not hand- model, which has less precision than the
searched and no attempt was made to fixed-effects model, was used in this meta-
identify unpublished studies, raising the analysis and the results must therefore be
possibility that some studies have been interpreted with caution.
missed. Secondly, despite the extensive
literature search, only Medline™, EMBASE™ Conflicts of interest
and The Cochrane Library were included in The authors had no conflicts of interest to
the search; and other databases such as the declare in relation to this article.

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X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

Study RR (random) Weight RR (random)


or sub-category 95% CI % 95% CI
Others vs married
Mendes de Leon et al. 199420 5.14 2.75 (1.77, 4.27)
Forsell 200021 2.59 1.85 (0.71, 4.79)
Geerlings et al. 200222 4.31 2.10 (1.18, 3.74)
Kennedy et al. 199023 6.05 0.85 (0.63, 1.13)
Meller et al. 199724 5.25 1.29 (0.85, 1.97)
Schoevers et al. 200025 6.50 1.02 (0.83, 1.25)
Stek et al. 200626 4.90 0.79 (0.49, 1.28)
Turvey et al. 199927 6.38 1.71 (1.36, 2.15)
Subtotal (95% CI) 41.14 1.36 (1.01, 1.84)
Total events: 539 (unmarried), 515 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 37.71, d.f. = 7 (P < 0.00001), I 2 = 81.4%
Test for overall effect: Z = 2.03 (P = 0.04)

Widowed vs married
Mendes de Leon et al. 199420 5.14 2.75 (1.77, 4.27)
Forsell 200021 2.48 1.96 (0.73, 5.24)
Kennedy et al. 199023 6.00 1.01 (0.75, 1.36)
Turvey et al. 199927 6.37 1.79 (1.43, 2.26)
Subtotal (95% CI) 20.01 1.71 (1.09, 2.68)
Total events: 288 (unmarried), 248 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 16.16, d.f. = 3 (P = 0.001), I 2 = 81.4%
Test for overall effect: Z = 2.33 (P = 0.02)

Never vs married
Forsell 200021 1.84 1.53 (0.45, 5.20)
Kennedy et al. 199023 3.62 0.36 (0.18, 0.72)
Turvey et al. 199927 4.33 1.73 (0.98, 3.08)
Subtotal (95% CI) 9.79 0.96 (0.30, 3.08)
Total events: 25 (unmarried), 194 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 13.15, d.f. = 2 (P = 0.001), I 2 = 84.8%
Test for overall effect: Z = 0.07 (P = 0.94)

Divorced vs married
Forsell 200021 1.19 1.93 (0.39, 9.68)
Turvey et al. 199927 5.37 2.15 (1.44, 3.22)
Subtotal (95% CI) 6.56 2.14 (1.45, 3.16)
Total events: 29 (unmarried), 117 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 0.02, d.f. = 1 (P = 0.90), I 2 = 0%
Test for overall effect: Z = 3.81 (P = 0.0001)

Widowed vs divorced
Forsell 200021 1.44 1.01 (0.24, 4.26)
Turvey et al. 199927 5.47 0.83 (0.57, 1.23)
Subtotal (95% CI) 6.91 0.84 (0.58, 1.23)
Total events: 194 (unmarried), 29 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 0.07, d.f. = 1 (P = 0.80), I 2 = 0%
Test for overall effect: Z = 0.89 (P = 0.38)

Divorced vs never
Forsell 200021 1.20 1.26 (0.25, 6.31)
Turvey et al. 199927 3.89 1.24 (0.65, 2.39)
Subtotal (95% CI) 5.09 1.25 (0.68, 2.28)
Total events: 29 (unmarried), 17 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 0.00, d.f. = 1 (P = 0.99), I 2 = 0%
Test for overall effect: Z = 0.71 (P = 0.48)

Widowed vs never
Forsell 200021 2.50 1.28 (0.48, 3.41)
Kennedy et al. 199023 3.61 2.83 (1.39, 5.75)
Turvey et al. 199927 4.39 1.04 (0.59, 1.82)
Subtotal (95% CI) 10.50 1.54 (0.79, 3.01)
Total events: 265 (unmarried), 25 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 4.98, d.f. = 2 (P = 0.08), I 2 = 59.9%
Test for overall effect: Z = 1.28 (P = 0.20)

Total (95% CI) 100.0 1.38 (1.14, 1.68)


Total events: 1369 (unmarried), 1145 (married)
Test for heterogeneity: χ2 = 90.23, d.f. = 23 (P < 0.00001), I 2 = 74.5%
Test for overall effect: Z = 3.29 (P = 0.001)
0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 5.0 10.0
Favours treatment Favours control

FIGURE 3: Forest plot of the relative risk (RR) for depression from the eight
prospective longitudinal studies that compared the risk for depression between
married and unmarried people ≥ 55 years of age20 – 27

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X-Y Yan, S-M Huang, C-Q Huang et al.
Marital status and risk for depression: a meta-analysis

• Received for publication 3 February 2011 • Accepted subject to revision 18 February 2011
• Revised accepted 16 June 2011
Copyright © 2011 Field House Publishing LLP

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Author’s address for correspondence


Professor Song-Min Huang
Department of Nephrology, The West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Guoxuexiang 37,
Chengdu, Sichuan 610041, China.
E-mail: hsongm@medmail.com.cn

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