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Residential Sales Report

A RESEARCH TOOL PROVIDED BY THE AUSTIN BOARD OF REALTORS

July 2011
At the height of summer, we're finally beginning to move beyond comparisons
to the 2010 incentive market. Even so, sudden changes in sales volumes are
likely due to factors occurring at this time last year. Qualified buyers may find
more attractive opportunities now than during either of the recent tax credits.
Interest rates should hold their ground around five percent, though the shift in
the federal credit rating could change that. Some indicators suggest improving
conditions, but lets see jjust how were faring
g locally.
y
New Listings in the Austin region decreased 14.1 percent to 3,156. Pending
Sales were up 39.3 percent to 2,286. Inventory levels shrank 22.8 percent to
11,300 units, but consumers are still finding terrific opportunities. Strong
affordability is partly driving purchase demand.
Prices softened a bit. The Median Sales Price declined 9.3 percent to $191,975.
Days on Market increased 5.2 percent to 74 days. Absorption rates improved as
Months Supply of Inventory was down 16.1 percent to 6.7 months.
Second quarter GDP growth was just 1.3 percent after a meager 0.4 percent
gain in the first quarter. We added 117,000 new jobs in July, a stronger gain
than expected after an embarrassing June. Even though a budget deal has
been reached, several challenges persist. Changes to Fannie, Freddie and the
mortgage interest deduction are still in play. As consumers absorb distressed
inventory and labor market conditions improve, the wheels of recovery grind on.

Quick Facts
+ 22.9%

- 9.3%

- 22.8%

Change in
Closed Sales

Change in
Median Sales Price

Change in
Inventory

Market Overview
New Listings
Pending Sales
Closed Sales
Days On Market Until Sale
Median Sales Price
Average Sales Price
Percent of List Price Received
Housing Affordability Index
Inventory of Homes for Sale
Months Supply of Inventory

2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Click on desired metric to jump to that page.

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | 1

Market Overview
Key market metrics for the current month and year-to-date.

Key Metrics

Historical Sparklines

New Listings
7-2008

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

7-2009

7-2010

23,420

- 14.5%

1,641

2,286

+ 39.3%

13,321

14,017

+ 5.2%

1,654

2,033

+ 22.9%

12,692

12,330

- 2.9%

70

74

+ 5.2%

68

81

+ 18.4%

$211,555

$191,975

- 9.3%

$188,000

$190,000

+ 1.1%

$275,446

$258,763

- 6.1%

$243,682

$253,769

+ 4.1%

93.1%

93.5%

+ 0.4%

94.1%

93.1%

- 1.1%

144

169

+ 17.2%

159

170

+ 7.0%

14,633

11,300

- 22.8%

--

--

--

8.0

6.7

- 16.1%

--

--

--

7-2011

Months Supply
of Homes for Sale
7-2008

27,384

7-2011

Inventory of Homes for Sale


7-2008

- 14.1%

7-2011

Housing Affordability Index


7-2008

3,156

7-2011

Percent of Original
List Price Received
7-2008

3,674

7-2011

Average Sales Price


7-2008

+/

7-2011

Median Sales Price


7-2008

YTD 2010 YTD 2011

7-2011

Days on Market Until Sale


7-2008

+/

7-2011

Closed Sales
7-2008

7-2011

7-2011

Pending Sales
7-2008

7-2010

7-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 2

New Listings
A count of the properties that have been newly listed on the market in a given month.

July

Year To Date

3,689

3,674

27,384
24,305

3,156

2009

-0.4%

-14.1%

2010

2011

2009

23,420

+12.7%

-14.5%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

3,280

2,978

-9.2%

September

3,015

2,683

-11.0%

October

3,015

2,543

-15.7%

November

2,483

2,083

-16.1%

December

1,969

1,795

-8.8%

January

3,318

2,784

-16.1%

February

3,493

2,668

-23.6%

March

4,679

3,968

-15.2%

April

4,960

3,753

-24.3%

May

3,464

3,542

+2.3%

June

3,796

3,549

-6.5%

July

3,674

3,156

-14.1%

12-Month Avg

3,429

2,959

-13.7%

Historical New Listing Activity


5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 3

Pending Sales
A count of the properties on which contracts have been accepted in a given month.

July

Year To Date
2,286

2,086

12,964

14,017

13,321

1,641

2009

-21.3%

+39.3%

2010

2011

2009

+2.8%

+5.2%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

2,045

1,529

-25.2%

September

1,922

1,398

-27.3%

October

1,839

1,424

-22.6%

November

1,251

1,293

+3.4%

December

1,108

1,164

+5.1%

January

1,479

1,450

-2.0%

February

1,795

1,574

-12.3%

March

2,429

2,043

-15.9%

April

2,873

2,117

-26.3%

May

1,445

2,285

+58.1%

June

1,659

2,262

+36.3%

July

1,641

2,286

+39.3%

12-Month Avg

1,791

1,735

-3.1%

Historical Pending Sales Activity


3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 4

Closed Sales
A count of the actual sales that have closed in a given month.

July

Year To Date

2,285

12,692

12,330

11,744

2,033
1,654

2009

-27.6%

+22.9%

2010

2011

2009

+8.1%

-2.9%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

1,975

1,686

-14.6%

September

1,959

1,425

-27.3%

October

1,969

1,346

-31.6%

November

1,745

1,340

-23.2%

December

1,519

1,573

+3.6%

January

993

1,059

+6.6%

February

1,264

1,225

-3.1%

March

2,011

1,781

-11.4%

April

2,252

1,853

-17.7%

May

2,307

2,063

-10.6%

June

2,211

2,316

+4.7%

July

1,654

2,033

+22.9%

12-Month Avg

1,822

1,642

-8.5%

Historical Closed Sales Activity


3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000

500
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 5

Days on Market Until Sale


Average number of days between when a property is listed and when an offer is accepted in a given month.

July

Year To Date
73

70

74

81

77
68

2009

-3.6%

+5.2%

2010

2011

2009

-11.9%

+18.4%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

73

72

-1.5%

September

69

77

+12.3%

October

72

88

+22.8%

November

75

86

+15.0%

December

79

92

+15.6%

January

79

88

+11.9%

February

72

93

+28.6%

March

69

92

+32.9%

April

66

81

+22.3%

May

62

76

+22.2%

June

67

72

+8.3%

July

70

74

+5.2%

12-Month Avg

70

81

+15.9%

Historical Days on Market Until Sale


100

90

80

70

60

50

40
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 6

Median Sales Price


Median price point for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

July

Year To Date
$186,990

$188,000

$190,000

$211,555
$191,975

$186,500

2009

+13.4%

-9.3%

2010

2011

2009

+0.5%

+1.1%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

$185,000

$194,000

+4.9%

September

$183,000

$188,731

+3.1%

October

$179,000

$190,000

+6.1%

November

$174,000

$179,500

+3.2%

December

$186,000

$189,000

+1.6%

January

$175,000

$184,500

+5.4%

February

$180,745

$185,000

+2.4%

March

$178,000

$182,000

+2.2%

April

$185,000

$189,900

+2.6%

May

$186,000

$193,000

+3.8%

June

$198,000

$198,425

+0.2%

July

$211,555

$191,975

-9.3%

12-Mo. Median

$185,000

$190,000

+2.7%

Historical Median Sales Price


$220,000
$210,000
$200,000
$190,000
$180,000
$170,000
$160,000
$150,000
$140,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 7

Average Sales Price


Average sales price for all closed sales, not accounting for seller concessions, in a given month.

July

Year To Date
$275,446
$258,763

$238,247

2009

$236,694

+ 15.6%

- 6.1%

2010

2011

2009

$243,682

$253,769

+ 3.0%

+ 4.1%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

$235,796

$257,321

+9.1%

September

$234,565

$241,609

+3.0%

October

$232,209

$255,409

+10.0%

November

$231,094

$243,559

+5.4%

December

$248,772

$245,024

-1.5%

January

$233,052

$241,053

+3.4%

February

$233,103

$237,568

+1.9%

March

$230,812

$241,053

+4.4%

April

$228,668

$259,847

+13.6%

May

$236,487

$260,360

+10.1%

June

$265,235

$262,815

-0.9%

July

$275,446

$258,763

-6.1%

12-Month Avg

$240,468

$251,913

+4.8%

Historical Average Sales Price


$280,000
$270,000
$260,000
$250,000
$240,000
$230,000
$220,000
$210,000
$200,000
$190,000
$180,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 8

Percent of Original List Price Received


Percentage found when dividing a propertys sales price by its original list price, then taking the average for all properties sold in a given month,
not accounting for seller concessions.

July

Year To Date

93.9%

2009

93.1%

93.5%

-0.9%

+0.4%

2010

2011

93.0%

2009

94.1%

93.1%

+1.2%

-1.1%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

94.1%

92.4%

-1.8%

September

94.0%

91.9%

-2.2%

October

93.8%

91.2%

-2.7%

November

93.9%

91.3%

-2.8%

December

93.1%

91.5%

-1.8%

January

93.1%

91.6%

-1.7%

February

93.5%

92.3%

-1.3%

March

94.4%

92.6%

-1.9%

April

94.8%

93.4%

-1.4%

May

94.8%

93.4%

-1.4%

June

94.1%

93.8%

-0.3%

July

93.1%

93.5%

+0.4%

12-Month Avg

94.0%

92.6%

-1.5%

Historical Percent of Original List Price Received


99.0%
98.0%
97.0%
96.0%
95.0%
94.0%
93.0%
92.0%
91.0%
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 9

Housing Affordability Index


This index measures housing affordability for the region. An index of 120 means the median household income was 120% of what is necessary
to qualify for the median-priced home under prevailing interest rates. A higher number means greater affordability.

July

Year To Date
170

169
149

3 4%
-3.4%
2009

159
149

144

2010

+17 2%
+17.2%
2011

+7 0%
+7.0%
2009

Prior
Year

Current
Year

August

153

157

+2.5%

September

156

161

+3.2%

October

159

161

+1.3%

November

165

170

+2.7%

December

151

160

+6.2%

January

162

168

+4.1%

Month

+7 0%
+7.0%

2010

2011

+/

February

157

167

+6.3%

March

160

171

+7.1%

April

154

166

+7.7%

May

154

167

+8.5%

June

149

165

+10.2%

July

144

169

+17.2%

12-Month Avg

155

165

+6.4%

Historical Housing Affordability Index


180

170

160

150

140

130

120
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 10

Inventory of Homes for Sale


The number of properties available for sale in active status at the end of a given month.

July
14,633
12,464
11,300

2009

-3.4%

-22.8%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

12,036

13,949

+15.9%

September

11,526

13,229

+14.8%

October

11,162

12,394

+11.0%

November

10,869

11,324

+4.2%

December

9,870

9,992

+1.2%

January

10,509

10,072

-4.2%

February

11,170

10,253

-8.2%

March

12,198

11,141

-8.7%

April

13,094

11,791

-10.0%

May

13,772

11,954

-13.2%

June

14,337

11,889

-17.1%

July

14,633

11,300

-22.8%

12-Month Avg

12,098

11,607

-3.1%

Historical Inventory of Homes for Sale


15,000
14,000
13,000
12,000
11,000
10,000
9,000
8,000
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 11

Months Supply of Inventory


The inventory of homes for sale at the end of a given month, divided by the average monthly pending sales from the last 12 months.

July
8.0
7.5
6.7

2009

-3.4%

-22.8%

2010

2011

Month

Prior
Year

Current
Year

+/

August

7.3

7.8

+7.4%

September

6.9

7.6

+10.0%

October

6.5

7.3

+11.2%

November

6.2

6.8

+9.6%

December

5.6

6.0

+6.6%

January

6.0

6.0

+0.6%

February

6.3

6.1

-2.9%

March

6.8

6.7

-0.5%

April

7.1

7.3

+2.7%

May

7.1

7.7

+7.3%

June

7.7

7.3

-5.0%

July

8.0

6.7

-16.1%

12-Month Avg

6.8

6.9

+2.2%

Historical Months Supply of Inventory


9

3
1-2004

1-2005

1-2006

1-2007

1-2008

1-2009

1-2010

1-2011

All data comes from the ABOR Multiple Listing Service. Provided by the Austin Board of REALTORS. Powered by 10K Research and Marketing. | Click for Cover Page | 12

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