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Ultimate Guide To SIP in Pakistan Ebook Final
Ultimate Guide To SIP in Pakistan Ebook Final
GUIDE TO
DOING SIP IN
PAKISTAN
What to expect
from this EBook?
Why do you need a plan / SIP?
Our peak work and salary years will soon be behind us,
We will be less relevant for the companies we work for,
As each day passes, we can save less because of high
inflation and increase in taxes
The government doesn’t have money to help us in our
bad years
When we need cash in an emergency and we don’t have
it saved, the banks will screw us with exorbitant loan
rates (as high as 40% per year – Rs40,000 on a mere
Rs100,000 loan)
We have so many big expenses lined up like marriage (if
you are young), new car, child’s education, children
marriage and taking care of our parents’ medical bills
It’s like when we are thinking to buy our first car. So many
different variants and features and opinions to choose from.
The same goes for investing!
In your lifetime, you will just need to save and invest for
three goals:
Your lifestyle goals (like marriage or children
education, or a new car or a new house)
Your difficult times like emergency expenses (family
hospitalizations, job loss, etc.) and
For your old age expenses
You want to make just enough with the least risk so that
you can cover up for all three needs!
After 12 Months-
Rs240,000 Rs240,000 45,865
Feb 26th 2021
The numbers show that you would have made 21% extra
return vs a lump-sump investor given he held his nerves
and didn't sell his investments when market was coming
down everyday!
It doesn't matter which time frame you look at, but if the
market is acting like a roller coaster, it will always save
you money and come back faster!
Tiny investments becoming huge in the long term
InvestKaar’s Advice:
Don’t go all in! SIP isn’t supposed to work that way. Your
absolute investable amount has nothing to do with SIP.
Example:
Savings
Expenses Rs20,000
Rs80,000
Salary
Rs100,000
InvestKaar’s Advice:
Example:
Hot Stocks of 2016-2017 - them now
2014-2016
Stock From 2016 till today
Performance
Also, if you are into long term and don’t need the cash right
now - why do you even care what’s happening today?
InvestKaar’s Advice:
Second, stop trying to time the market! You don’t have to!
If, for instance, your timing gets wrong and you lose out on
just 5% of return in the sixth month out of sixty months in
total, your expected Rs3.7mn becomes Rsxx – that’s a loss
of xx%.
Did you know that most of your returns depends only if you
have stayed invested in best few days in a year?
During the rally from 2012 to 2016 a 25% or more of any
stocks' return came in only 5 days - we just don't know
which days they would be!
InvestKaar’s Advice:
The day you get your salary, take the SIP amount out and
put it in the market or a mutual fund.
How much?
Your average savings over the last 3 months. For even
better results ideally increase the amount as your
salary/income increases!
Now we dive deep into specifics
Management /
Sponsors 75%
Financials
25%
Why?
Why?
ONE NUMBER
FOR
MANAGEMENT
Do they look out for minority shareholders?
These are not the companies we can bet our retirements on.
These are for their own retirements! :p
Technical Assistance or Royalty Fees
This is taken out from sales and not profits. This even
applies when the company is in losses which means that
their returns are already out before the profit is calculated.
For long term SIP type investing, you need to check who are
the auditors of the company.
Its always better to have one of the top four audit firms to
audit the chosen company.
REVEUE
DEBT TO EQUITY
GROWTH
SIP SCREENING
...and the other 25%! - Financial health!
With the qualitative side being discussed, let’s now look at
the financial screening criteria for companies in your SIP.
One will find so many ratios that its really hard to take note
of. Few will recall the old value investing ratios by Benjamin
Graham to be the base for screening companies while some
will argue that in this time and age, growth should be given
the most priority.
To us, the following ratios matter the most. But before going
into the details, let us clarify that you will be lucky to find a
company that will perfectly fit the eligibility criteria – it rarely
happens. Some will look expensive in one criterion while
looking cheaper in the other.
Decent margins are good but since they widely differ across
industries, its difficult to put a reference number to it.
That is when ROE comes into play. This is the number which
should be the most important to investors as it determines the
growth in stock prices.
Yes, in a few years they will have to take debt and hold off on
dividends for expansion purposes but their operating cash flows
have to be sustainably positive.
ONLY
DIVIDENDS
Debt to equity - shouldn't be way off
But if done right, this debt will bring more profits in the future
and when done wrong they can make the company bankrupt.
Debt levels
close to industry
FOR INSLAMIC INVESTORS
For investors looking to start their SIP in Islamic only stocks, all
the above criterion will hold true for you except for debt / loan
levels.
PSX has a dedicated page for it where you see all the eligible
companies listed there. These companies are updated on a
quarterly basis.
For your SIP also, you will have to do the same. We would
advice you to run these criteria all over again and mark a new
company - if you have got hold of it, you will not have a problem
taking out another company like before, again
Our WhatsApp group’s choice of SIP stocks
All of this theory is OK! But how about actual examples from the
stock market so that readers can relate better.
Lets go!
Rev
Growth Net Cashflow D/E Dividend
Company ROE
(4-yr Margins Positive? Ratio Yield
average)
LUCKY
26% 12% 13% YES 50% 0%
CEMENT
CITI
38% 4% 10% YES 39% 4%
PHARMA
MILLAT
6% 12% 72% YES 13% 9%
TRACTORS
ENGRO
16% 18% 35% YES 96% 26%
POLYMER
PAKISTAN
7% 39% 38% YES 0% 14%
OILFIELDS
Rev
Growth Net Cashflow D/E Dividend
Company ROE
(4-yr Margins Positive? Ratio Yield
average)
MARI
PETROLEU 27% 41% 34% YES 0% 11%
M
TARIQ
18% 9% 19% YES 72% 9%
GLASS
INDUS
18% 7% 29% YES 0% 10%
MOTOTS
ATTOCK
8% 2% 20% YES 0% 12%
PEROLEUM
JUBILEE
LIFE NM 5% 20% NO 0% 2%
INSURANCE
How to look at these numbers?
This indicates the absolute best amongst the
category
Together
A 40% income
tax Break!
Retireme
Mutual nt
Fund Investme Total
Monthly Tax Monthly Monthly Monthly
Investment nt for Monthly
Income Rate Tax Savings Savings
for 20% tax another Savings
rebate 20% tax
rebate
Rs1,200,0
Rs500,000 19.2% Rs95,833 Rs1,200,000 Rs19,166 Rs19,166 Rs38,333
00
We hope you like the E-book and our effort in putting it all
together for you.
Give us a shout out and keep recommending us to friends,
family!