Semester

Tahun
I II
2005 19,988 15,381
2006 8.788 8,777
2007 12,393 14,988
2008 18,176 16,124
2009 7,302 13,798
2010 16,487 16,641
2011 13,599 12,142
2012 15,129 19,092
semester I
Tahun Y X XY X^2 PERSAMAAN TREN
2005 19,988 -3.5 -69958 12.25 14338.3 a 13982.8
2006 8,788 -2.5 -21970 6.25 14236.5 b -101.8
2007 12,393 -1.5 -18589.5 2.25 14134.7 Y' 13982-101,8 x
2008 18,176 -0.5 -9088 0.25 14032.9
2009 7,302 0.5 3651 0.25 13931.1
2010 16,487 1.5 24730.5 2.25 13829.3
2011 13,599 2.5 33997.5 6.25 13727.5
2012 15,129 3.5 52951.5 12.25 13625.7
111,862 0 -4,275 42

semester II
Tahun Y X XY X^2 PERSAMAAN TREN
2005 15,381 -3.5 -53833.5 12.25 12724.75 a 14617.9
2006 8,777 -2.5 -21942.5 6.25 13265.65 b 540.9
2007 14,988 -1.5 -22482 2.25 13806.55 Y' 14.617,9 + 540,9 x
2008 16,124 -0.5 -8062 0.25 14347.45
2009 13,798 0.5 6899 0.25 14888.35
2010 16,641 1.5 24961.5 2.25 15429.25
2011 12,142 2.5 30355 6.25 15970.15
2012 19,092 3.5 66822 12.25 16511.05
116,943 0 22,718 42
A Rata-rata bergerak dan rasio data asli dengan nilai
Tahun Semester Data Asli Total Bergerak 2 Semester Rata-Rata Indeks Musim
2005 I 19,988
II 15,381 35,369 17684.5 87.0
2006 I 8,788 24,169 12084.5 72.7
II 8,777 17,565 8782.5 99.9
2007 I 12,393 21,170 10585 117.1
II 14,988 27,381 13690.5 109.5
2008 I 18,176 33,164 16582 109.6
II 16,124 34,300 17150 94.0
2009 I 7,302 23,426 11713 62.3
II 13,798 21,100 10550 130.8
2010 I 16,487 30,285 15142.5 108.9
II 16,641 33,128 16564 100.5
2011 I 13,599 30,240 15120 89.9
II 12,142 25,741 12870.5 94.3
2012 I 15,129 27,271 13635.5 111.0
II 19,092

B Pengelompokkan semester
Semester
Tahun
I II
2005 87.0
2006 72.7 99.9
2007 117.1 109.5
2008 109.6 94.0
2009 62.3 130.8
2010 108.9 100.5
2011 89.9 94.3
2012 111.0
rata rata 95.9 102.3
Jumlah 198.2

C FAKTOR KOREKSI
1.0089898

D D. Indeks Musim Semester dikalikan dengan faktor koreksi

I 96.7950349
II 103.204965
Tahun Semester Y T S TCI=Y/S CI=TCI/T C
2005 I 19,988 14339.1
II 15,381 12724.75 86.97447 17684.5 138.97719012
2006 I 8,788 14237.3 72.72125 12084.5 84.879155458 111.9282
II 8,777 13265.65 99.93738 8782.5 66.204822229 75.54199
2007 I 12,393 14135.5 117.0808 10585 74.882388313 70.54361
II 14,988 13806.55 109.4774 13690.5 99.159456924 87.02092
2008 I 18,176 14033.7 109.6128 16582 118.15843292 108.6589
II 16,124 14347.45 94.01749 17150 119.53343626 118.8459
2009 I 7,302 13931.9 62.34099 11713 84.073241984 101.8033
II 13,798 14888.35 130.7867 10550 70.860773692 77.46701
2010 I 16,487 13830.1 108.879 15142.5 109.48944693 90.17511
II 16,641 15429.25 100.4649 16564 107.35453765 108.422
2011 I 13,599 13728.3 89.94048 15120 110.13745329 108.746
II 12,142 15970.15 94.33977 12870.5 80.590977542 95.36422
2012 I 15,129 13626.5 110.953 13635.5 100.06604777
II 19,092 16511.05
Tahun Semester Y T S TCI=Y/S CI=TCI/T C I=(CI/C)*100
2005 I 19,988 14339.1
II 15,381 12724.75 86.97447 17684.5 138.97719012
2006 I 8,788 14237.3 72.72125 12084.5 84.879155458 111.9282 75.833593404
II 8,777 13265.65 99.93738 8782.5 66.204822229 75.54199 87.639765967
2007 I 12,393 14135.5 117.0808 10585 74.882388313 70.54361 106.15049802
II 14,988 13806.55 109.4774 13690.5 99.159456924 87.02092 113.94898369
2008 I 18,176 14033.7 109.6128 16582 118.15843292 108.6589 108.74248135
II 16,124 14347.45 94.01749 17150 119.53343626 118.8459 100.57848144
2009 I 7,302 13931.9 62.34099 11713 84.073241984 101.8033 82.583972894
II 13,798 14888.35 130.7867 10550 70.860773692 77.46701 91.472196577
2010 I 16,487 13830.1 108.879 15142.5 109.48944693 90.17511 121.4187003
II 16,641 15429.25 100.4649 16564 107.35453765 108.422 99.015462989
2011 I 13,599 13728.3 89.94048 15120 110.13745329 108.746 101.27954856
II 12,142 15970.15 94.33977 12870.5 80.590977542 95.36422 84.508614883
2012 I 15,129 13626.5 110.953 13635.5 100.06604777
II 19,092 16511.05
Penambahan Kendaraan pada tahun 2015 pada semester genap
Tahun Penjualan Mobil (Y) X XY X^2 Persamaan Tren
2005 15,381 -3.5 -53,833.5 12.25 a=
2006 8,777 -2.5 -21,942.5 6.25 b=
2007 14,988 -1.5 -22,482.0 2.25 Y' =
2008 16,124 -0.5 -8,062.0 0.25
2009 13,798 0.5 6,899.0 0.25 Prediksi penjualan mobil pada
2010 16,641 1.5 24,961.5 2.25 63,268,251
2011 12,142 2.5 30,355.0 6.25
2012 19,092 3.5 66,822.0 12.25
2013 4.5
2014 5.5
2015 6.5
Jumlah 116,943 22,717.5 42.00
maan Tren
14,617.9
540.9
14.617,9 + 540,9X

ksi penjualan mobil pada tahun 2015