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THEEFFECTOFYAWERRORONTHERELIABILITYOFWINDTURBINEBLADES V2.0 RoozbehBakhshi
THEEFFECTOFYAWERRORONTHERELIABILITYOFWINDTURBINEBLADES V2.0 RoozbehBakhshi
THEEFFECTOFYAWERRORONTHERELIABILITYOFWINDTURBINEBLADES V2.0 RoozbehBakhshi
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PowerEnergy2016-59151
STRESS ANALYSIS
Cyclic loads create damage that accumulates over time. The
accumulated damage results in a fatigue failure mechanism. This
damage accumulation can be modeled using several methods.
Miner`s rule is the most common model for damage equivalent
stress. Through the use of S-N curves, the equivalent stress can
be transformed to the number of cycles to failure. S-N curves
depend on the components` material properties. Equation (2)
shows the mathematical form of an S-N curve.
Figure 2-Variation of loads with yaw error at blade root for wind
speeds of 8 m/s, using data from [11] 𝑁 = 𝐵𝜎 𝑚 (2)
where:
N: number of cycles to failure
B: coefficient depending of material properties
m: exponent depending on material properties
σ: equivalent stress
RELIABILITY OF BLADES
Reliability of wind turbine and its sub-assemblies can be Figure 5-Weibull distribution for blades failure before and after yaw
modeled using a two or three parameter Weibull distribution. error correction
Equation (6) shows the probability density function (pdf) of 3-
parameter Weibull distribution. COST MODEL
𝑇−𝛾
𝛽 𝑇−𝛾 𝛽−1 −( 𝜂 )𝛽
Yaw error reduction has multiple benefits: extra energy
𝑓(𝑇) = ( ) 𝑒 (6) production due to higher efficiency (Equation (1)), and fewer
𝜂 𝜂
where: maintenance events due to improved reliability. In this section
T: failure time we focus on cost benefits due to fewer maintenance events, i.e.,
β: shape parameter cost avoidances and the extra revenue generated due to
𝜂: scale parameter performance improvements.
γ: location parameter Each failure costs money. Maintenance could be corrective
(break-fix) or preventive (replace before failure). In either case,
The location parameter refers to failure free time. In many cases, an improved reliability extends the life of a component and
γ is assumed to be zero and Equation (6) turns into what is known results in fewer maintenance events over the total life cycle of
as a 2-parameter Weibull distribution. the wind farm (nominally 20 years). Component replacement is
Studies such as [12-14] studied field failure data for turbines only one of the contributors to the maintenance cost. Other costs
in Britain and Sweden while [15] performed reliability analysis include transportation cost, labor cost, inventory management
to generate to 2-parameter Weibull distributions for wind cost, power loss, etc.
turbines in Germany. The investigation in [15] was for the cases Our approach is to model the maintenance cost in a
that a failure of a blade occurred and the subsequent maintenance stochastic discrete-event simulator [17-19]. The analysis is
was a blade replacement. The data provided in [15] does not stochastic because the failures follow a probability distribution
specify the yaw errors, however, since the population is large (on and do not occur on pre-determined dates. The system
the order of 1000s of turbines), and the data goes back as far as considered is a wind farm consisting of individual wind turbines
1994 where LIDAR yaw correction was not common, it is where the state of each turbine (which is ‘functional’ or
assumed that the yaw error was the common 7 degrees ‘stopped’) only changes at discrete points in time. Failures and
mentioned in [2]. Here we use Weibull parameters calculated by their subsequent maintenance are events that change the state of
[15] in which blades follow a 2-parameter Weibull distribution the system.
with scale parameter (η)=10.323 years and shape parameter We focus only cost avoidance due to fewer replacements
(β)=1.042. In a Weibull distribution, the scale parameter (component costs) and do not include other maintenance costs
represent 63.2% unreliability, which is the same concept as the (labor, transportation, power loss, etc.). The average cost of a
Total Cost of
Purchase Cost ($) Maintenance Cost ($)
Ownership ($)
Figure 8-Histogram of cost benefits due to correction of yaw error
3,600,000 3,600,000 7,200,000 after 20 years
Considering only the cost avoidances due to blade In the best case scenario, the maximum cost benefit is about
replacement ($2 million from Figure 6), implementation of $5 million, which is less than the $7.2 million cost of ownership
LIDAR on every single turbine in a wind farm ($7.2 million from of the 30 LIDARs on 30 turbines for the whole operation period
Table 2) is not financially justified; however, LIDAR has other of the farm.
cost benefits. There is the extra revenue generation because of Considering all cost benefits and the best-case scenario,
performance improvements. As Equation (1) shows, the energy implementing LIDAR on every single turbine to avoid
production of a turbine has a direct relation with the yaw error of maintenance costs due to blade replacements does not have a
the turbine. Figure 7 shows the revenue generated by a wind farm financial justification. However, it is important to note that
over 20 years consisting of 30 turbines with a rated power of 6 LIDAR does not just affect the reliability of blades. It also
MW per turbine assuming the cost of electricity is $0.144 per concurrently affects the reliability of other critical and expensive
kWh of energy. components such as the gearbox and generator (component costs