Professional Documents
Culture Documents
R2S National Sustainability Screen 0211 v0.6
R2S National Sustainability Screen 0211 v0.6
Contents:
- - - - - - - Overview Economy Lens Theme Lens Sector Lens Finance Sector Review: Banks Solutions Requirements Methods & Data
Overview
Employ findings as indicators of the sustainability challenges Route2 will face within RSAs corporate world (and begin the search for solutions) Provide initial screen and focus for our future investment activities
Agriculture Construction Finance Manufacturing Mining Transport & Communications Wholesale & Retail TOTAL
NOTES: The screen excluded the contributions of Households and the Public Sector; *Estimated employment numbers for the entire industry NOT the listed entities included within the screen
Theme
Climate Change (-ve) Water Scarcity (-ve) Waste (-ve) Pollution (-ve) Biodiversity (+ve)
Driver(s)
Greenhouse Gas Emissions Fresh Water Consumption Solid Waste Releases: landfilled, incinerated and radioactive Toxic Releases: to Land, Air and Water (as classified by the US EPA Toxic Release Inventory) Ecosystem Service Provisions: derived from land use (and non use) Disease: economic cots of AIDS; abatement through education and treatment Employment: economic benefits of employment (beyond wage) Crime: economic cost of crime (impact on growth); abatement through policing
Human
Social
NOTE: (-ve) refers to negative themes / external costs; (+ve) refers to positive themes / external benefits NOTE: Themes are not definitive, rather a representative sample. Please take the following analysis as a demonstration of the potential of the Route2 Sustainability model.
Finance is the star sector Finance has a relatively low exposure to natural capital themes, high exposure to human capital benefits (derived from its large employee base) and significant (relatively) contribution to the economy (revenue, tax receipts and employment) Manufacturing carries the highest risk Manufacturing has the largest exposure to the natural capital themes (not offset by the benefit of its significant employee base) Agriculture is heavily exposed to the natural capital themes but contributes less (relatively) to the RSA economy (and therefore sits in the bottom left quadrant)
Top 3 Sectors
Manufacturing (27%) Wholesale / Retail (20%) Finance (19%) Agriculture (49%) Manufacturing (39%) Mining (5%) Manufacturing (23%) Wholesale & Retail (16%) Finance (16%) Finance (27%) Mining (22%) Manufacturing (22%) Mining (51%) Manufacturing (22%) Transport & Communications (9%) Transport & Communications (26%) Manufacturing (26%) Waste(15%) Agriculture (45%) Manufacturing (28%) Mining (21%) Manufacturing (55%) Mining (21%) Agriculture (7%)
R 9 bn
(benefit)
R -4 bn
(cost)
R -23 bn
(cost)
R -56 bn
(cost)
R -197 bn
(cost)
R -206 bn
(cost)
R -544 bn
(cost)
Economy Lens
Economy Lens
Overview
This section is the consolidation of all 308 entities rolled up to draw insights at a national level (excluding the direct impact of Government and Private Households) As with the entire SA Screen output, the focus is on the 8 major sustainability themes (ranked by estimated financial impact within each capital good stock) The analysis is performed across the supply chain from the direct actions of the relevant corporate to the actions of their suppliers (1st tier), their suppliers suppliers (2nd tier) and further up the chain (Other tiers) The implications of the listed entities actions (both their external benefits and external costs net externalities) is measured in Rand impact and often in the analysis made relative to the profit of that sector or corporate entity.
Private & Confidential
Economy Lens
Direct Impacts
Direct External Costs R -297bn Net Direct Externalities R -144 bn Direct External Benefits R 154 bn
CRIME UNEMPLOYMENT AIDS BIODIVERSITY POLLUTANTS WASTE CLIMATE WATER -R102 590 -R87 380 -R74 223
-R16 116
Million Rand
Economy Lens
Total Supply Chain Impact
Indirect External Costs R -1040 bn Net Indirect Externalities R -750 bn Indirect External Benefits R 290 bn
CRIME UNEMPLOYMENT AIDS BIODIVERSITY POLLUTANTS -R543 556 WASTE CLIMATE WATER -R205 841 -R196 558
-R56 892
Million Rand
Economy Lens
Theme Total Impact by Value Chain Origin [%]
Water Scarcity Waste Unemployment Pollutants Disease Crime Climate Change Bio-diversity -100% -80% -60% Direct -40% First Tier -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%
Second Tier
Other Tiers
Economy Lens
Theme Total Impact by Value Chain Origin [%]
Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct -100% Bio-diversity -80% Climate Change -60% Crime -40% Disease -20% Pollutants 0% Unemployment 20% Waste 40% Water Scarcity
Economy Lens
Net Externalities as % of Profit
- 241 % Grand Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct -250% Bio-diversity -200% Climate Change -150% Crime Disease -100% Pollutants -50% Unemployment 0% Waste 50% Water Scarcity
Economy Lens
Sustained Profit Waterfall [Million R]
Net Income TOTAL R311bn Net Externalities
M A N U F A C T U R I N G C O N S T R U C T I O N
Sustained Profit
R400 000 R300 000 R200 000 R100 000 R0 -R100 000 -R200 000 -R300 000 -R400 000 -R500 000
Million Rand
F I N A N C E M I N I N G W H O L E S A L E & R E T A I L T R A N S P O R T & C O M M S M A N U F A C T U R I N G C O N S T R U C T I O N A G R I C U L T U R E F I N A N C E M I N I N G W H O L E S A L E & R E T A I L T R A N S P O R T & C O M M S
A G R I C U L T U R E
TOTAL R -440 bn
Economy Lens
Sustained Profit Waterfall - Notes
Sustained Profit is a measure of the corporates profit / loss after accounting for its net externalities The chart shows how the corporates that make up the listed entity screen (bucketed by sector) build to the sum of traditional profit (reported annual operating income) and then how that traditional profit pictures falls to a sum sustained profit / loss number (again bucketed by sector) This analysis can be taken to a higher resolution i.e. corporates within a sector or business units within a corporate or products within a business unit This lens should be used as a high level indication of sustainability of the economy, a sector within that economy, a corporate within that sector, a business unit within that corporate etc. or for benchmarking purposes (i.e. corporates within a sector)
Private & Confidential
Economy Lens
Exposure Matrix
INCREASING EXPOSURE TO MAJOR THEMES
CONSTRUCTION Rev: R129bn Tax: R2bn Emply: 650k Ext Costs: R11bn WHOLESALE/ RETAIL Rev: R438bn Tax: R5bn Emply: 2,089k Ext Costs: R10bn FINANCE Rev: R1,183bn Tax: R19bn Emply: 1,404k Ext Costs: R10bn
TRANSPORT/ COMMS Rev: R394bn Tax: R12bn Emply: 531k Ext Costs: R66bn
MINING Rev: R829bn Tax: R34bn Emply: 407k Ext Costs: R185bn
AGRICULTURE Rev: R217bn Tax: R8bn Emply: 479k Ext Costs: R121bn
MANUFACTURING Rev: R659bn Tax: R9bn Emply: 1,652k Ext Costs: R349bn
Economy Lens
Exposure Matrix - Notes
The matrix is used to identify issues / opportunities by showing the relative importance of a sector to RSA as measured by revenue, tax payments and employment against the relative exposure of that sector to the 8 major sustainability themes This lens can be used as a high level indicator of where the risks / opportunities lie (in this case for the economy) as external costs become internalised or as a high level screen investment tool to identify sectors over / under exposed to certain themes (with the relevant x axis metric) Higher resolution can easily be applied revealing corporates within sectors, business units within corporates and products within business units
Theme Lens
Theme Lens
Overview
This section reviews the 8 major sustainability themes (ranked by estimated financial impact within each capital good stock) 5 themes emerge and charts each major industry sectors exposure level to the themes (in Rand and relative terms by sectors) The themes are ranked from the most beneficial theme to the most damaging theme A higher resolution lens can be applied to corporates within sectors, business units within corporates and products within business units and helps to identify where the largest exposures are an initial screen to target more detailed analysis
Theme Lens
Unemployment By Sector: R 271 bn
Agriculture
Agriculture 6% Construction 7% Manufacturing 27%
Construction
Mining
Mining 13%
Finance
Manufacturing
Theme Lens
Biodiversity By Sector: R 9 bn
Transport & Comms Construction 2% Wholesale & Retail 2% Finance 2% Transport & Comms 1%
Finance
Mining 5%
Construction
Agriculture 49%
Mining
Manuing 39%
Manufacturing
Agriculture
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
Theme Lens
Disease (AIDS) By Sector: R -4 bn
Manufacturing Agriculture -5% Wholesale & Retail Manufacturing -23% Construction -12%
Finance
Mining
Transport & Comms -12% Wholesale & Retail -16% Mining -16%
-1 000
- 800
- 600
- 400
- 200
Theme Lens
Crime By Sector: R -23bn
Finance Construction -4% Agriculture -5%
Mining Finance -27% Manufacturing Transport & Comms -10% Wholesale & Retail -12%
Agriculture
Construction
-7 000
-6 000
-5 000
-4 000
-3 000
-2 000
-1 000
Theme Lens
Climate Change By Sector: R -56 bn
Mining Construction -1% Finance -4% Wholesale & Retail -5% Agriculture -6% Transport & Comms Transport & Comms -9% Mining -51% Wholesale & Retail
Manufacturing
Agriculture
Manufacturing -22%
Finance
Construction
-35 000
-30 000
-25 000
-20 000
-15 000
-10 000
-5 000
Theme Lens
Waste By Sector: R -197 bn
Transport & Comms Agriculture -3% Construction -3%
Finance
Mining
Mining -15%
Construction
Finance -15%
Agriculture
-60 000
-50 000
-40 000
-30 000
-20 000
-10 000
Theme Lens
Water (Scarcity) By Sector: R -206 bn
Construction -1% Agriculture Transport & Comms Finance -2% -3% Wholesale & Retail -2%
Manufacturing
Mining -21%
Finance
Construction
-100 000
-80 000
-60 000
-40 000
-20 000
Theme Lens
Pollution By Sector: R -206 bn
Manufacturing Finance -3% Construction -4% Transport & Comms -5% Wholesale & Retail -7%
Mining
Agriculture Agriculture -7% Manufacturing -55% Transport & Comms Mining -21%
Construction
Finance
-350 000 -300 000 -250 000 -200 000 -150 000 -100 000 -50 000
Sector Lens
Sector Lens
Overview
This section takes a look at the 7 macro industry sectors and charts exposure levels according to supply chain origin (from direct to the final tier) and to each of the 8 major sustainability themes Each sector also has the net externalities in Rbn and net externalities as a % of the relevant sectors net income The macro industry sectors are ranked from the sector with the lowest level of net external costs to the sector with the highest level of net external costs A higher resolution lens can be applied to corporates within sectors, business units within corporates and products within business units and helps to identify where the issues / opportunities lie within the supply chain and the relative importance of the issues / opportunities both to one another and relative to the traditional financial measure (profit) this initial screen can then be used to target more detailed
Sector Lens
Finance: R -10 bn / -13%
Grand Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct -100% Bio-diversity -80% -60% -40% Crime -20% 0% 20% Unemployment 40% Waste 60% 80%
Climate Change
Disease
Pollutants
Water Scarcity
Sector Lens
Wholesale / Retail: R -10 bn / -65%
Grand Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct -500% Bio-diversity -400% -300% -200% -100% 0% 100% Unemployment 200% Waste 300% 400%
Climate Change
Crime
Disease
Pollutants
Water Scarcity
Sector Lens
Construction: R -11 bn / -176%
Grand Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct -600% Bio-diversity -500% -400% -300% Crime -200% Disease -100% Pollutants 0% 100% 200% Waste 300% 400%
Climate Change
Unemployment
Water Scarcity
Sector Lens
Transport & Communications: R -66 bn / -145%
Grand Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct -250% Bio-diversity -200% Climate Change -150% Crime -100% Disease -50% Pollutants 0% 50% Waste 100% Water Scarcity
Unemployment
Sector Lens
Agriculture: R -121 bn / -392%
Grand Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct
-500% Bio-diversity
-200% Pollutants
-100% Unemployment
0% Waste
Sector Lens
Mining: R -185 bn / -178%
Grand Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct -250% Bio-diversity -200% Climate Change -150% Crime Disease -100% Pollutants -50% Unemployment 0% Waste 50% Water Scarcity
Sector Lens
Manufacturing: R -349 bn / -999%
Grand Total
Other Tiers
Second Tier
First Tier
Direct -1400% Bio-diversity -1200% -1000% -800% -600% -400% -200% Unemployment 0% Waste 200% 400%
Climate Change
Crime
Disease
Pollutants
Water Scarcity
-200 000
-400 000
-600 000
-800 000
-1000 000
Million Rand
Corporate Consumer
-50 000
-100 000
-150 000
-200 000
Million Rand
-100 000
-200 000
-300 000
-400 000
-500 000
-600 000
-700 000
Million Rand
Manufacturing Transport
Wholesale Banks Finance Retailers Services Other Mining Government Construction Electricity Transport Manufacturing Agriculture
-1,41 -1,76
-3,10
-4,84
Suppliers
e.g., Sainsburys
Lona Chingfords
Customers
Riverside
Product LCI Tables: Life Cycle Inventory [LCI] data sets (e.g. EcoInvent, US DoE LCI databases).
Company Data: Company disclosures - concerning supplier expenditures, product recipes and Inputs environmental flows
Company Data
IO Table: Other national mixed (Financial and Physical) IO models (to enable true multi regional modeling) Environmental (in) flows of commodity groups and specific process (made explicit by the LCI tables) Monetary values for environmental flows
Non Market Factor Inputs (e.g. Greenhouse Gas Assimilation) Non Market Factor Weightings (e.g. Monetary Values)
Ecosystem Dynamics
3. Valuation Techniques
Hedonic Pricing Contingent Valuation
Avertive Behavior
Labor
Property
Travel Cost
Choice Experiment
Abatement Cost
Contingent Ranking
Remediation Cost
Contingent Rating
Value Transfer
Paired Comparisons
Source
Bloomberg Company websites Statistics South Africa Synthesis of published research Route2 proprietary integrated hybrid models Combination of 1-5 / Route2 Sustained Value Management TM framework
Thank you