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Opportunity Cost
Opportunity Cost
“Opportunity cost is the value of the next-best alternative when a decision is made; it's what
is given up,” explains Andrea Caceres-Santamaria, senior economic education specialist at
the St. Louis Fed, in a recent Page One Economics: Money and Missed Opportunities.
The Scoop on Scarcity
We can’t have everything we want in life. This is where scarcity factors in. Our unlimited
wants are confronted by a limited supply of goods, services, time, money and opportunities.
This concept is what drives choices—and, by extension, costs and trade-offs, Caceres-
Santamaria says.
She uses the example of deciding to buy a $7 smoothie at the mall. She notes that many
people would view the choice as a single one based on whether you want the drink.
Instead, she suggests wearing “a unique pair of ‘economist glasses’” to see the decision
differently, asking:
A student spends three hours and $20 at the movies the night before an exam. The
opportunity cost is time spent studying and that money to spend on something else.
A farmer chooses to plant wheat; the opportunity cost is planting a different crop, or
an alternate use of the resources (land and farm equipment).
A commuter takes the train to work instead of driving. It takes 70 minutes on the
train, while driving takes 40 minutes. The opportunity cost is an hour spent elsewhere
each day.
Is Opportunity Cost a Big Deal?
We might not consider lost studying time or $7 spent on a smoothie costly decisions, but
what about bigger choices—like the decision to stretch and buy a more expensive home
versus a starter home, or to spend $1,500 more on an upgraded trim package for your next
car?
Caceres-Santamaria describes how opportunity costs are neglected even more when making
higher priced purchases. Using the car-buying example, a consumer might default to
thinking of the relative value of the $1,500 upgrade to the base price of the car, say,
$18,500.
Rather than comparing the fancier configuration to the vehicle itself, it might be more
helpful to ask what else that $1,500 could buy outright.
It’s human nature: We grow impatient, tugged by the immediacy of a promised benefit
versus a payoff that’s possibly years down the road.
If seeing is believing, it’s worth looking at the future value of money—a concept many of us
have read about in retirement plan literature or heard from financial advisors.
The Future Value of Money
Example 1: The one-time windfall
Let’s say you got a surprise $4,000 windfall and want to use it for a getaway trip. Why not?
It’s found money, so there’s no loss to you—unless you think about the opportunity cost.
If you nixed the trip and plunked your money into an income-producing product that earned
an average annual interest rate of 3%, compounded monthly, you could find yourself with a
cool $5,397 in 10 years.
Notes: Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Created with Compound Interest Calculator on
Investor.gov
Wait another five years, and your funds could grow to $6,270. (Neither example factors in
the effects of inflation and taxes owed.)
That’s the added benefit in money terms. You’ll also want to consider the experiences that
an extra $1,400 or more—the future earnings on your $4,000—could make possible.
If you dropped the coffee (careful!), invested $54 per month and earned the same 3%,
compounded monthly, you’d have $7,619 to dunk your doughnut into in 10 years.
Notes: Chart is for illustrative purposes only. Created with Compound Interest Calculator on
Investor.gov
Too long to forego that regular mocha? Cutting the time frame in half to five years would
still give you $3,554 in savings. (Again, these sums don’t include the impact of inflation and
taxes.)
These examples are striking, especially when considering that a $4.49 caffè mocha habit
over time can dwarf the seemingly larger decision to splurge on a $4,000 getaway trip.
Want to test some of your own opportunity cost what-ifs? Caceres-Santamaria encourages
consumers to avoid “autopilot” mode when it comes to financial decisions. Start small—
even with a pack of gum—and brainstorm as many alternative uses for your money as you
can.