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Economies MDPI Journal About Rooftop PV
Economies MDPI Journal About Rooftop PV
1 Article
23 1. Introduction
24 Climate change has become a concern of the global community, as he Paris
25 agreement gathers nations to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions in the effort of
26 limiting global temperature rise below 2 degrees Celcius or further 1.5 degrees Celcius
27 (UN website). One of the prominent way to achieve this target is to reduce the use of
28 fossil fuel and utilizing low emissions source in energy sectors as emissions from this
29 sector is projected to contribute more than any other land based sectors in 2030
30 (Hidayatno et al., 2020). This efforts looks promising as in 2020 renewables account for
31 more than 80% power capacity addition in which more than 90% of that capacity is for
32 wind and solar energy including rooftop solar PV (IRENA, 2019).
33 Rooftop solar PV is expected to plays important role in reducing green house
34 emission from energy sectors in the future especially with sufficient policies and
35 supportive measures (IRENA, 2019). While in developed countries rooftop solar has
36 significant capacity contribution in their electricity system (i.e. Australia with 14.7 GW
37 rooftop PV compared to 32 GW peak load), developing countries such as Indonesia still
38 have low rooftop solar capacity compared to its peak electricity load. Nevertheless, the
39 progress on rooftop PV adoption in Indonesia looks promising with installation number
40 jumped more than 700% from 2018 to late 2020 as shown in Figure 1.
2,542
3,000
2,441
2,346
2,249
2,209
2,151
2,500
1,868
1,779
1,673
1,580
2,000 1,533
1,435
1,329
1,210
1,059
1,500
975
934
1,000
681
641
624
609
591
553
524
499
472
458
426
414
399
372
351
500
0
41
42 Figure 1. The number of Rooftop PV customers in Indonesia per August 2020 (PLN, 2020).
58 the rooftop for certain house type (Faiers & Neame, 2006). In addition to that the trust
59 issue and inadequate nature of the contractor worker labor force also discourage
60 homeowner to purchase solar PV rooftop (Knudsen, 2002).
61 In the light of supporting rooftop PV uptakes in Indonesia as one of the way to
62 achieve Indonesian renewable energy targets of 23% in 2025, several studies has been
63 carried out regarding the rooftop PV including calculation of grid parity for Rooftop PV
64 (Haryadi et al., 2019), effects of PV penetrations on the electricity grid (Tambunan et al.,
65 2020), and evaluation on current policies and suggestion to increase PV adoption in
66 Indonesia (Hidayatno et al., 2020; Tarigan, 2018). However, it is still hard to find
67 research which specifically describing rooftop PV customer’s backgrounds, and reasons
68 of Indonesian customers to adopt and not to adopt rooftop PV.
69 This study aims to examine how interest are Indonesian customers in installing
70 rooftop PV together with the background of the interested customers. Reasons for
71 installing and not installing rooftop PV is also examined to evaluate the determinant
72 factor of PV installation for Indonesian customers. This paper is organized as follows:
73 Section 1 provides the background and importance of the study, section 2 explains the
74 data collected and research methods, section 3 provide the results of data anlysis
75 together with the associated discussions, and finally section 4 offers the conclusions.
77 2.1. Data
78 We used primary data through conducting survey to the existing and potential
79 Rooftop PV users in 2020 separated in Jakarta, Banten, West Java, East Java, and Bali
80 province. We did survey to those area because based on data recorded by PLN (2020),
81 around 92.64% or 2,355 out of 2,542 Rooftop PV users in Indonesia are in those area.
82 Spesifically, there are 755 users in Jakarta, 673 users in West Java, 632 users in Banten,
83 199 users in East Java, and 96 users in Bali. Using 95% of significance level and 6% of
84 margin error from 117 million of population on those area, we sample size
85 recommended is 267. However we got potential users in order to analyse the impact of
86 demographic background to the probability of respondents that are interesting in
87 installing Rooftop PV in their home. Meanwhile, using the 95% of significance level and
88 10% of margin error from 2,355 rooftop pv users, the sample size recommended is 93
89 and we got 121 respondents of rooftop PV users in order to know the reasons of using
90 Rooftop PV.
91
Li=ln ( )
Pi
1−Pi
=β 1 + β 2 Agei + β 3 Gender i + β 4 Educi + β 5 Loc i+ β 6 Housei + β 7 Electric
(1)
,
116 On the equations above, the dependent variables show public interest in using Rooftop
117 PV. In contrast, independent variables are age, gender, educational levels (educ),
118 location (loc), size of house (house), electrical power (electric), occupation (occup), and
119 income (in natural logarithm).
120 Furthermore, in order to investigate the reasons why the existing users use
121 Rooftop PV, we utilize EFA. According to Field (2013) and Mulaik (2009), EFA is utilized
122 to identify the component of the underlying factors. In term of the factor extraction
123 method, we used Principal Component Analysis (PCA) with Varimax rotation. This is
124 because it can optimize the combination of indicators on one factor, so the explanation
125 about the component of the factor becomes clear. We also used the scree cut-off points in
126 determining the total factor according to Cattell (1966) and extracting the eigenvalue of
127 the factors that are more than 1 (one) according to Kaisar rule (Kaiser, 1960). Moreover,
128 the Kaiser-Meyer-Olkin (KMO) was also utilized to determine the appropriateness of
129 data for analysis (Kaiser, 1970).
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130 We asked 23 questions to the existing users regarding the reasons of using Rooftop
131 PV. They answered according to the Likert scale 1 (strongly disagree) to 4 (strongly
132 agree). The motives statements were including 1) want to reduce the air pollution, 2)
133 want to contribute in conserving on non-renewable fossil energy, 3) want to save the
134 foreign exchange reserve, 4) want to implement the Green Energy, 5) because the solar
135 power is a sustainable source of energy, 6) they still use rooftop PV even though they
136 know it is expensive, 7) they still use rooftop PV even though they know it is currently
137 still imported from abroad, 8) want to be the person/industry who started the movement
138 for the use of rooftop PV in Indonesia, 9) want to give an example to their community on
139 the benefits of rooftop PV, 10) want to influence their community to be interested in
140 installing rooftop PV, 11) want to follow the current trend, 12) because it is easy to find it
141 in their area, 13) because it is in accordance with the modern society, 14) because it
142 reflects the culture in my neighborhood, 15) because it is considering the technology that
143 is popular today, 16) because the surrounding society is used to using it, 17) due to the
144 influence of friends/other industries, 18) because it is influenced by my role and status in
145 society, 19) because adjusting the budget, 20) because it adapts to the economic situation,
146 21) because it reflects self-identity, 22) because it is practical and easy to find, and 23)
147 because of the perception of advertising.
188 Table 2. The Logit Estimation, Odds Ratio, and Marginal Effect.
202 marginal effect result we know that the respondents that become living on the city’s
203 outskirts, the probability of installing rooftop PV will increase by 0.311 points.
204 In addition, if income increases by one percent, then the odds in favor of installing
205 rooftop pv increase by 2.135 or about 113.5 percent. From the marginal effect result we
206 know that for a 1% increase of the income, the probability of installing rooftop PV will
207 increase by 0.097 points or a 100% increase in an income makes the probability of
208 installing rooftop PV by 9.7 points. It makes sense because the price of roof PV in
209 Indonesia is categorized as luxury goods. Thus, the higher the income of the
210 respondents, the greater the probability in installing Rooftop PV at their home.
211
Factor 1: Because it is easy to find it in their area (Q12), because it is in accordance with the modern
Cultural society (Q13), because it reflects the culture in my neighborhood (Q14), because the
surrounding society is used to using it (Q16), because it is influenced by my role and status
Factor 2: Want to reduce the air pollution (Q1), want to contribute in conserving on non-renewable
fossil energy (Q2), want to implement the Green Energy (Q4), because the solar power is a
Envorinment
sustainable source of energy (Q5), want to be the person/industry who started the movement
Awareness
for the use of rooftop PV in Indonesia (Q8)
Factor 3: Want to follow the current trend (Q11), because it is considering the technology that is
popular today (Q15), because it reflects self-identity (Q21), because of the perception of
Technological
advertising (Q23)
Knowledge
Factor 4: They still use rooftop PV even though they know it is expensive (Q6), they still use rooftop
PV even though they know it is currently still imported from abroad (Q7), due to the
Loyalty
influence of friends/other industries (Q17)
244
245 Factor 1 was the culture and surrounding environment encouring someone to use
246 rooftop PV. In this factor, the reason that has the highest loading value is that rooftop PV
247 is easily found in residences or industrial locations and the surrounding environment
248 already uses rooftop PV. The lifestyle of rooftop PV that develops in the surrounding
249 environment seems to influence a person's behavior to also follow using rooftop PV. The
11 Economies 2021, 9, x FOR PEER REVIEW 10 of 14
250 second factor illustrates the reasons for concern and environmental awareness that one
251 wants to contribute to a better environment such as reducing air pollution, saving fossil
252 energy, green energy and sustainable energy. Some of these things are the background
253 of respondents to use rooftop PV. This is reinforced by the mean of each question which
254 is 3.2. The third factor illustrates the knowledge of current emerging technological
255 trends to be the reason for the use of rooftop PV. The fourth factor is loyalty which is
256 respondents generally choose to keep using rooftop PV even though the price is still
257 relatively expensive.
258 Despite of asking their reasons, we also questioned the weaknesess of installing
259 rooftop PV. Overall, both the household and industrial respondents answered that the
260 main weaknesess of installing rooftop PV that the price of the rooftop PV installation is
261 relatively costly. Rooftop PV is considered expensive by the customers because two
262 main reasons, i.e., the limited availability of supporting materials and the maintenance
263 of rooftop PV. Rooftop PV service providers have to import the PV materials from
264 abroad, such as China and Germany. Besides, they also stated that the participants did
265 not intend to adopt due to its dependency and its frequent overheating in the usage.
266 Furthermore, we also asked several questions for understanding the customers’
267 satisfaction of rooftop PV in Indonesia both from household and industrial respondents.
268 First, we asked about how long they can get their payback time when they had used
269 rooftop PV. From the household costumers, the results showed that most respondents
270 (40%) got 6 until 10 years of return period, 38% of them answered 1 until 5 years, and the
271 longest period was 11 until 20 years after installing the rooftop PV (from 8%
272 respondents). The similar results also indicated from the industrial respondents which
273 were 6 until 10 years was 33%, 1 until 5 years was 30%, 10 to 20 years was 22% and more
274 than 20 years was 15%. Therefore, generally the return period of installing rooftop PV in
275 Indonesia was around 6 until 10 years. It is inline with the respondents anwers
276 regarding the rooftop PV economic life. Most of household respondents or 50%
277 answered that their rooftop pv’s economic life was 10 to 20 years, even 24% said more
278 than 20 years. In industrial respondents, 30% answered around 10 until 20 years
279 although 22% said less than 10 years.
280 Second, we asked about the comparation between the benefit and cost analysis of
281 using rooftop PV. From the household and industrial respondents, most of them (77%
282 and 63% respectively) said that the benefits received and the costs incurred of installing
283 rooftop PV was proportional and quite comparable. Specifically, they stated that the
284 benefits of installing rooftop PV were cost savings. There were 69% of household and
285 55% of industrial respondents claimed to be more efficient after installing rooftop PV.
286 Another benefit was the anticipation or backup of electrical energy if using rooftop PV.
287 In addition, a small percentage answered that using rooftop PV is able to accommodate
288 large loads, investments, environmentally friendly, and so on. From the benefits that
12 Economies 2021, 9, x FOR PEER REVIEW 11 of 14
289 have been spelled out can provide the view that using rooftop PV is able to reduce the
290 cost of electricity in the long run.
291 Third, we questioned about the quality of rooftop PV they have installed. From the
292 household and industrial respondents, there were 77% of them said that their rooftop
293 PV worked well, 3% worked very well, and 10% worked quite well. According to the
294 reparation frequency, they said that there were less than 3 times in a month. From the
295 existing duration-making choices, the majority of respondents chose the smallest option.
296 This means that there is not much need for improvement every month and it can be said
297 that rooftop PV treatment is easy to do. This is strengthened by the cost that must be
298 incured by respondents every month for rooftop PV. Most respondents or 44% said less
299 that IDR 300,000 or USD 21.16 of the options used as repair costs that must be incurred
300 by rooftop PV users.
301 Finally, we also confirmed the overall satisfaction about installing rooftop PV. Most
302 of the respondents both from household and industrial answered that they were satisfy
303 with their rooftop PV (77% was satisfied and 17% was very satisfied). Therefore, the
304 respondents were interested and happy with rooftop PV instead of complaining its
305 weaknesess.
306
328 rooftop PV were the expensive price, the depence on the weather, the need for a large
329 installation area, the materials that are less environmentally friendly (difficult to recycle),
330 and the frequent overheating of the device.
331 Regarding customer satisfaction with Rooftops PV, most of the respondents from
332 both households and industries answered that they were satisfied with their Rooftops
333 PV. consumers say that the benefits they get are comparable to the required installation
334 costs and generally the return period of installing rooftop PV in Indonesia was around 6
335 to 10 years. The majority of consumers also said that if the Rooftop PV worked well and
336 did not need to do a lot of repairs every month so consumers did not need to spend a lot
337 of money on it.
338 Strengthening policy connectivity and coordination between energy and the rest of
339 the economy will draw maximum systemic benefits from the energy transformation.
340 There are several policy recommendations that can be applied based on the analysis
341 results: 1) reduce the cost of installing PV Rooftops. Decreasing the price of rooftop PV
342 per year and government subsidies on rooftop PV prices have an impact on the
343 increasing rate of adoption of rooftop PV, 2) provide education to increase awareness
344 and concern for the environment, and 3) provide long-term stability of policy
345 instruments. Policymaking needs to minimise swings from strong supportive
346 measures to aggressive curbs.
347
348
349 Abbreviations
350 kWh kilo Watt-hour
351 LCA Life Cycle Assessment
352 PLN Perusahaan Listrik Negara
353 PV Photovoltaics
354 USD United States Dollar
355 VA Electrical power unit used for the apparent power in an electrical circuit
356 WTP Willingness to Pay
357
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