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5th TID MR Lejanos Presentation On Motorcycle
5th TID MR Lejanos Presentation On Motorcycle
COMPETITIVENESS ROADMAP
“ P U T T I N G T H E N AT I O N O N M O T O R I Z E D T W O - W H E E L S ”
Outline of Presentation
2
1916
CBU Importation
1950
Import Control Law/ Foreign
Exchange Controls
Progressive Motor
Vehicle Program 1972
1987 MVDP
(MO136, MO157, MO160)
Amended MVDP
(MO346) 1996
In thousand
ASEAN 4 Production 2007 - 2012
PH
TH
17% 6
8%
MY
4%
9,000 ID
71%
8,000
7,000
ASEAN 4 PRODUCTION
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
-
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Indonesia 4,722,521 6,264,265 5,884,021 7,395,390 8,006,293 7,079,991
Malaysia 446,415 536,567 436,430 467,941 498,076 543,088
Philippines 671,588 734,666 756,228 903,722 1,052,566 1,045,915
Thailand 1,646,873 1,907,424 1,634,113 2,024,599 2,043,039 2,606,161
Source: FAMI
Philippine Motor Vehicle Registration
7
8,000,000 58%
7,000,000 56% 56%
6,000,000 54%
53%
5,000,000 53% 52%
Axis Title
51%
4,000,000 51% 50%
3,000,000 48% 48%
2,000,000 46%
1,000,000 44%
- 42%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
TOTAL MV 5,530,052 5,891,272 6,220,433 6,643,627 7,136,986 7,311,572
TOTAL MC 2,647,574 2,982,511 3,200,968 3,500,729 3,760,893 4,120,315
MC Share 48% 51% 51% 53% 53% 56%
Source: LTO
Historical Domestic Industry Sales
1,200,000 90.00%
85.6% 85.00%
1,000,000 84.2% 83.3%
84.3%
82.7%
81.8% 81.0% 80.00%
67.0% 65.00%
400,000
60.00%
200,000
55.00%
0 50.00%
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
LTO New Registrations 343,138 495,400 585,482 605,038 671,588 734,666 756,228 903,663 1,014,1 1,048,2
MDPPA Sales 257,401 409,704 492,883 517,702 549,106 594,989 637,792 753,111 731,095 702,597
Industry % Growth 44.4% 18.2% 3.3% 11.0% 9.4% 2.9% 19.5% 12.2% 3.4%
MDPPA % Share 75.0% 82.7% 84.2% 85.6% 81.8% 81.0% 84.3% 83.3% 72.1% 67.0%
Economic and Social Contributions
Logistics/
Foreign/ Shipping
Domestic Firms
Suppliers Raw 2nd 1st
Material OEM
Tier Tier Dealers
Supplier
Logistics/
Shipping
Firms
Core activities Supporting industries Marketing
Arms
11
Tiers : MNCs, Large firms
11
Tier 2 : SMEs
Motorcycle Manufacturing Industry Linkages
a fully-integrated
Iron & Steel automotive
Industry industry that will
impact allied
industries
Foundry Petrochem
Rubber
Forging Sector Industry
Injection/Molding
Metal casting Injection Electrical
Vacuum Forming Others
Tool & Die Molding Industry
Automotive Electrical
Autoparts Producers
Autmomotive Metal
Automotive Rubber
Parts Producers
Parts Producers
Producers
Consumers Manufacturers
Dealers/
Distributors
12
Parts Utilization vs Sales
13
7,000,000.00 800.00
123 128
123 128 700.00
6,000,000.00
600.00
Value in ThousandS PhP
5,000,000.00
118
118
Units in Thousands
500.00
4,000,000.00
84
No. of Suppliers 71 84
400.00
No. of Suppliers
70 71
3,000,000.00
300.00
2,000,000.00
200.00
1,000,000.00
100.00
- -
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
Value of Parts Purchased 2,969,774,839. 3,355,845,629. 3,684,798,610. 4,519,629,628. 5,931,076,826. 5,945,328,345.
Sales 517,705.00 553,143.00 594,989.00 637,792.00 753,111.00 731,130.00
13
Summary of ASEAN Fiscal Incentives
14
60 to 100 percent of
Various tax credits on Doubling of depreciation
qualifying capital
domestic breeding stocks rates for companies in Investment allowance of 25
credits
expenditure.
and genetic materials, as economic development percent for expenditures on
Accelerated depreciation of
well as for incremental zones or investing in priority infrastructure.
computer, technology, and
export revenue sectors
environmental protection
investments.
Summary of ASEAN Fiscal Incentives
15
for 5 years for new projects companies in economic for offshore companies in certain regions.
above certain ration of capital development zones or in Labuan. Dividend distributions during
equipment to workers. priority sectors. Dividend distributions during holidays are tax exempt.
holidays are from income tax
exempt.
2012 Motorcycle Density
16
Industry
Assemblers
17
Influence of Supply-side Factors
Banks and other
Assembly operation New products with new Growing 3S shops and financial institutions
sufficient to sustain features provide wider sales network in rural now offer financing
growth choices for consumers areas schemes
Promotion
Entry of and
Installed Consumer
New distribution
Capacity Finance
Players reach
Expansion plans IPR infringements and Warranty issues for Growing repossession
postponed due to lack of after-sales non compliant rate and delinquent
surge in cheap imports support products accounts
18
Dampeners of Growth
Redundant
government
processes
Under-
Road Safety developed
Issues local parts
sector
Unabated
Technical
IPR
Smuggling
violations
High
production
costs
19
Redundant
government
processes
Under-
Awareness Road Safety developed
Issues local parts
sector
Review Strengthen
Self-regulate Unabated Quick settlement
Technical
IPR
Smuggling
violations
High
production
Industry costs
Government
20
Drivers
Industry
Increasing Access to
Inadequate Governmen
Rising per urbanizatio Favorable
public t incentives
Capita GDP n& credit
transport
migration terms
Assemblers
Directions Population
Favorable Opportunit
of principal &
demograph y for brand
ENHANCE
brand possession
ics marketing
owners ratio
+
Influence of Supply-side Factors
Assembly operation New products with new Growing 3S shops
sufficient to sustain features provides and sales network in Banks now offer
growth consumer wider rural areas financing schemes
choices
-
Promotio
Entry of n and
Installed Consumer
New distributi
Capacity Finance
Players on reach
REDUCE
Dampeners
Road
Safety Redund
High Issues ant
product govern
ion ment
costs process
es
Unabat
Technical
ed IPR
Smuggli
Under- violatio
ng
develop ns
ed local
parts 21
sector
Factors that Motivate Growth
23
$6.00 5.89
5.29
$5.00 4.87
Thousands
4.61
4.40
$4.00 4.01 4.11 3.99
3.87 3.84
3.64
$3.00 3.08 2.95
2.64
2.44 2.27
$2.00 2.18 2.17 2.14
1.94 1.81 1.96 1.86 1.93 1.84
1.59 1.68
1.26 1.40 1.22
$1.00 1.05 1.01 1.06
1.02 1.14
1.09 1.20 1.07 1.13
0.77 0.97 0.89 0.84
0.74 0.56 0.64 0.73
0.40 0.42 0.44 0.49
$0.00
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
For developing countries, threshold where general preference of people gradually start to shift to 4W
is at 3000USD. Based on forecast, the Philippines is not expected to hit this level until 2019.
Industry Growth Forecast
2013-2015
24
1,600,000 25.00%
1,400,000
20.00%
1,200,000
1,000,000 15.00%
Units
800,000
Growth Rate %
600,000 10.00%
400,000
5.00%
200,000
- 0.00%
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
LTO 756,228 903,663 1,014,104 1,048,228 1,132,086 1,245,295 1,369,824
% GR 19% 12% 3% 8% 10% 10%
Industry SWOT / TOWS Analysis
25
27
Strategic Action for Growth
28
30