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Monetary Policy Activity
Monetary Policy Activity
Real GDP refers to the actual financial situation of a country or region, whereas potential
GDP is an estimate that is frequently reset each quarter by real GDP. Potential GDP
cannot increase further because it is dependent on a constant inflation rate, whereas real
GDP can. The output gap is the difference between the current real GDP level and the
potential GDP level. The economy is working above its sustainable capacity and is likely
to experience inflation when the production gap is positive, or when GDP is higher than
potential. The production gap is negative when GDP is below potential. When
determining the potential GDP of a country, the long-run is a theoretical concept in which
all markets are in equilibrium and all prices and quantities have fully adjusted and are in
equilibrium. The short-run, where there are certain restrictions and markets are not
completely in equilibrium, contrasts with the long-run. Real-time output, or the country's
actual GDP, takes place in the short run. Contrary to the short-run curve, which only
takes into account changes in aggregate demand and a transient shift in the total
production of the economy, the long-run curve is fully vertical. The long term is a period
4. Interest rates usually fall early in a recession, then later rise as the economy recovers.
This means that the adjustable rate for a loan taken out during a recession is more likely
to rise once the downturn ends. To help accomplish the recessions phase, the Fed
employs various monetary policy tools in order to suppress unemployment rates and re-
inflate prices. These tools include open market asset purchases, reserve regulation,
discount lending, and forward guidance to manage market expectations. Interest rates
typically decline during recessions as loan demand slows, bond prices rise and the central
bank eases monetary policy. During recent recessions, the Federal Reserve has cut short-
term rates and eased credit access for municipal and corporate borrowers.
5. The Zero Bound Interest Rate (ZBIR) is a macroeconomic problem that occurs when the
short-term nominal interest rate is at or near zero, causing a liquidity trap and limiting the
central bank's capacity to stimulate economic growth. A central bank's weapons for
stimulating the economy may become ineffective if short-term interest rates are "zero-
bound," or hit zero. At least, that is the conventional wisdom, but the assumption has
been tested in the recent past and found faulty. Central Bank's action in pushing interest
rates below zero seemed to have had modest success, or at least not worsened the
situation. …For consumers and investors, these are the ultimate safe-haven investments.
They pay a minimal amount of interest but there's virtually no risk of the loss of
principal.