Nama : Octavianus Pandu Prastia Kurniawan

NIM : 2022130095
Prodi S1 Menejemen Administrasi
TUGAS STATISTIKA PERTEMUAN KE 14
LOG KUADRAT
X Y X log Y log X square Y square
XY X^2 Y^2
NILAI TUKAR SUKU BUNGA Nilai Tukar Suku Bunga Nilai Tukar Suku Bunga
2076 20 41520 4309776 400 3.317227349 1.301029996 4309776 400
2006 20 40120 4024036 400 3.302330929 1.301029996 4024036 400
2040 19 38760 4161600 361 3.309630167 1.278753601 4161600 361
1745 20 34900 3045025 400 3.241795431 1.301029996 3045025 400
1683 23 38709 2832489 529 3.226084116 1.361727836 2832489 529
1700 22 37400 2890000 484 3.230448921 1.342422681 2890000 484
1639 19 31141 2686321 361 3.214578954 1.278753601 2686321 361
1583 15 23745 2505889 225 3.199480915 1.176091259 2505889 225
1603 16 25648 2569609 256 3.204933522 1.204119983 2569609 256
2980 12 35760 8880400 144 3.474216264 1.079181246 8880400 144
19055 186 347703 37905145 3560

n = 10

SUMMARY OUTPUT Regrsi Sederhana Jadi pendekatan yang paling baik adalah Regresi Sederhana dikarenakan nilai yang lebih besar
R Square 0.281847902 diantara perhitungan regresi LOG dan Kuadrat
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.530893494 Regresi LOG
R Square 0.281847902 Persamaan Linier R Square 0.268242899
Adjusted R Square 0.19207889
Standard Error 378.4933354 Regresi Kuadrat
Observations 10 R Square 0.280636732

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 449784.8606 449784.9 3.1397 0.114350899
Residual 8 1146057.639 143257.2
Total 9 1595842.5

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 3150.440239 712.7157879 4.420332 0.00223 1506.914685 4793.965793 1506.914685 4793.965793
SUKU BUNGA -66.93227092 37.77386121 -1.77192 0.11435 -154.0389511 20.17440924 -154.0389511 20.17440924

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted NILAI TUKAR Residuals

1 1811.794821 264.2051793
2 1811.794821 194.2051793
3 1878.727092 161.2729084
4 1811.794821 -66.79482072
5 1610.998008 72.00199203
6 1677.930279 22.06972112
7 1878.727092 -239.7270916
8 2146.456175 -563.4561753
9 2079.523904 -476.5239044
10 2347.252988 632.747012

Regresi LOG
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.517921711
R Square 0.268242899 Persamaan Linier
Adjusted R Square 0.176773261
Standard Error 0.07595631
Observations 10

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 0.016919168 0.016919 2.93259 0.125164461
Residual 8 0.046154888 0.005769
Total 9 0.063074056

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 3.912723037 0.374876961 10.43735 6.2E-06 3.048255214 4.77719086 3.048255214 4.77719086
Suku Bunga -0.507480407 0.296342296 -1.71248 0.12516 -1.190846967 0.175886153 -1.190846967 0.175886153

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Nilai Tukar Residuals

1 3.252475806 0.064751544
2 3.252475806 0.049855123
3 3.263780639 0.045849528
4 3.252475806 -0.010680374
5 3.221672841 0.004411275
6 3.231469829 -0.001020907
7 3.263780639 -0.049201686
8 3.315879766 -0.116398852
9 3.301655738 -0.096722216
10 3.365059699 0.109156565

Regresi Kuadrat
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.529751575
R Square 0.280636732 Persamaan Linier
Adjusted R Square 0.190716323
Standard Error 1722956.658
Observations 10

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 9.26478E+12 9.26E+12 3.12095 0.115278436
Residual 8 2.37486E+13 2.97E+12
Total 9 3.30134E+13

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95% Lower 95.0% Upper 95.0%
Intercept 6864301.989 1823238.768 3.764895 0.00551 2659905.85 11068698.13 2659905.85 11068698.13
Suku Bunga -8634.234518 4887.431903 -1.76662 0.11528 -19904.6727 2636.20366 -19904.6727 2636.20366

RESIDUAL OUTPUT

Observation Predicted Nilai Tukar Residuals

1 3410608.181 899167.8188
2 3410608.181 613427.8188
3 3747343.327 414256.6726
4 3410608.181 -365583.1812
5 2296791.928 535697.0717
6 2685332.482 204667.5183
7 3747343.327 -1061022.327
8 4921599.222 -2415710.222
9 4653937.952 -2084328.952
10 5620972.218 3259427.782