Impact of Russian Invasion of Ukraine on Taiwan

This Rough draft is submitted in partial fulfilment of the project in “International

Business” for the requirement of the degree of B.B.A. L.L.B(Hons.)

Submitted to: Submitted by:

Dr. MD Safiullah ASHUTOSH RANJAN

Assistant Professor of Management Roll No. - 2812

B.B.A. LL.B.(Hons.)

Semester – 2nd

Chanakya National Law University, Patna

January, 2023

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 TABLE OF CONTENTS

Contents
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ......................................................................................................................................... 3
DECLARATION ...................................................................................................................................................... 4
1.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 5
1.1.1. Review of Literature .............................................................................................................................. 7
1.2 Present Study:- .............................................................................................................................................. 8
1.2.1. Research Objectives .............................................................................................................................. 8
1.2.2. Research Questions ............................................................................................................................... 8
1.3 Hypothesis ................................................................................................................................................. 8
1.4 Research Methodology.............................................................................................................................. 8
1.5 Scope & Limitation of Study ..................................................................................................................... 9
Bibliography:- .................................................................................................................................................... 10

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 ACKNOWLEDGEMENT

I would like to express my profound gratitude and deep regards to my guide, Dr. MD Safiullah,
Assistant Professor of Management, for assigning me the topic I was most interested in. It
was under his guidance that I structured my project and built on my abilities to research on the
subject.

I owe the present accomplishment of my project to everyone, who helped me immensely with
materials throughout the project and without whom I couldn’t have completed it in the present
way.

I would also like to extend my gratitude to my friends, family members and all those unseen hands
that helped me out at every stage of my project either financially, intellectually or emotionally.

Thank You,
Ashutosh Ranjan
Semester- 2nd
CNLU, Patna

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 DECLARATION

I hereby declare that the work reported in the B.B.A. L.L.B.(Hons.) project report entitled
"Russian Invasion of Ukraine on Taiwan" submitted at Chanakya National Law
University,
Patna is an authentic record of my work carried out under the supervision of Dr MD Safiullah.
I have not submitted this work elsewhere for any other degree or diploma. I am fully responsible for
the contents of my project report.

(Signature of the candidate)

Ashutosh Ranjan (2812)

B.B.A. LL.B.(Hons.)
2nd Semester
Chanakya National Law University, Patna

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1.1 Introduction

Ever since Russia invaded Ukraine on 24 of February 2022. The concern of people about the
Chinese invasion of Taiwan have increased. This was supplemented by tacit support of
Russia by the Peoples Republic of China. Analysts and Think Tanks all over the world are
trying to draw parallels between the Russia – Ukraine and China – Taiwan conflict.
Since the war broke out, the phrase “Ukraine today, Taiwan tomorrow” is heard frequently
in Taiwan, though the island’s authorities under Tsai Ing-wen are quick to emphasize
difference. A stretch of ocean provides a natural barrier, for example, and then there is the
island’s geopolitical position — hints that the U.S. would surely help defend it.

What are the similarities between Ukraine and Taiwan?

Both of them have large powers as neighbours. Putin has long viewed Ukraine as something
that should be under the rule of Moscow, and we know that ever since 1949, the Communist
Party in China has viewed Taiwan as a territory that should be under its rule, even though
the party has never ruled Taiwan before. Both Russia and China have much larger militaries.
Both are nuclear powers, which creates a nuclear deterrent, which then makes other powers
want to limit their military actions. Neither Ukraine nor Taiwan is a full treaty ally of the
U.S. The U.S. is not obligated to defend them with its own military. Both are partners of the
U.S., and the U.S. is defending Ukraine with sanctions and weapons. The U.S. does have an
obligation to provide weapons of a defensive nature to Taiwan. That’s in a congressional
resolution.

How are the stakes different in case of Taiwan and Ukraine?

One could argue that there would be much more economically at stake if a conflict were to
erupt over Taiwan because China’s place in the world economy is much greater than
Russia’s. It’s the world’s second-largest economy. It has very integrated ties economically
with countries all over the world, including the U.S. If China were to try something with
Taiwan and if the U.S. were able to form a sanctions coalition like it did against Russia,

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 China’s growth and development would be harmed to a much greater degree. Taiwan itself
economically is also much more integrated into the world economy. It’s a critical origin point
for semiconductors. If there were conflict in Taiwan, that fact in itself tells us there would be
much more disruption to the world economy.

The other big difference, militarily, is that Russia’s invasion of Ukraine is a land invasion. Russia was
able to deploy its conventional land forces, and even then, it didn’t fare very well. In Taiwan, if the
Chinese were to try to invade, it would have to undertake mainly a seaborne invasion with air support
and that would be very complicated to pull off. It requires a lot more in terms of planning, resources and
training. And on the other side, because Taiwan is an island, it would be harder for the U.S. and its allies
to supply Taiwan with weapons in the way that it is doing to Ukraine, across the border from Poland.

Keeping in mind the importance of Taiwan in global politics and the global supply chain
especially it’s role as a major semiconductor manufacturer any impact on Taiwan of
Russian invasion of Ukraine will have ramification for the whole world. Taiwan as a
country is of great significance to the world and it is in similar kind of situation that
Ukraine faced. Due to the unique Geo-political situation of Taiwan The war between
Russia and Ukraine will have a great impact on Taiwan.

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1.1.1. Review of Literature

1. Carol Landry, ‘The Taiwan Connection’, nytimes.com,

(August 2, 2022 ),
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/02/briefing/russia-ukraine-war-taiwan.html

This article explains what are the ramifications of the Russian Invasion of Ukraine on
Taiwan. It also tries to find out similarities and differences between the Russia-Ukraine
and China- Taiwan situation. This article also gives analysts opinion on the likelihood
of Chinese invasion of Taiwan.

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1.2 Present Study:-
1.2.1. Research Objectives

1.) To understand the significance of the impact of Russian invasion of Ukraine on Taoiwan.
2.) To study the similarities and differences of the Russia-Ukraine and China-Taiwan
situation.
3.) To do a comprehensive study of the changes in geo-political situation of Taiwan due to
the Russia-Ukraine war.

1.2.2. Research Questions

1.) What is the Significance Russian invasion of Ukraine?

2.) How has the Russian invasion of Ukraine impacted Taiwan?
3.) How should Taiwan manage it’s situation with China which have many similarities
with the Russia Ukraine situation ?

1.3 Hypothesis

In this project report, the researcher presumes that the Russian invasion of Ukraine have great
significance for Taiwan in light of the similar kind of situation it finds itself in with China .

1.4 Research Methodology

The researcher has adopted a purely doctrinal method of research. The study is based on
various primary and secondary sources of data collection such as websites of numerous
organizations, books, journals, articles and research papers.

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1.4.1. Mode of Citation

The researcher has followed the citation style as mentioned in the Bluebook 20th Edition.

1.5 Scope & Limitation of Study

The scope of the study of the researcher is to study about the impacts of Russian invasion of
Ukraine on Taiwan.

The limitation of the study is that it is more inclined to know about the impacts related to
economy, global supply chain and international business.

1.6 Tentative Chapterisation

1.6.1 Introduction

1.6.2 Russian invasion of Ukraine on Taiwan

1.6.3 Impacts of Russian invasion of Ukraine on Taiwan

1.6.4 Impacts on Global economy

1.6.5 Impacts on global supply chain

1.6.6 Impacts on international business of Taiwan

1.6.7 Conclusion

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Bibliography:-
Carol Landry, ‘The Taiwan connection’, nytimes.org , (August 2),2022,
Available at
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/08/02/briefing/russia-ukraine-war-taiwan.html , (Last visited on
January 15, 2023).

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