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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

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List of top four problems on PERT.
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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

(i) Draw the PERT network for the project.


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(ii) Prepare the activity schedule for the project.


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(iii) Determine the critical path.

(iv) If a 30- week deadline is imposed, what is UPLOAD AND SHARE


the probability that the project will be finished
within the time limit?

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

If the project manager wants to 99% sure that Generative Manufacturing Process and its
Types | Manufacturing Science
the project is completed on the schedule date,
how many weeks before that date should he
start the project work?

Solution:

The network diagram for the given data is


shown in fig. below. The earliest time and
variance of each activity is computed by using
the formula.

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

(ii) Calculation activity duration and scheduling


times.

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

(iii) The critical path of the project is 1-2-4-5 -6,


critical activities being A, D, G and H.

The expected project length is the sum of


duration of each critical activity. Expected
project length = 5 + 15 + 4 + 5 = 29 weeks.

Variance project length is obtained by summing


variance of each critical activity.

(Iv) The required probability can be determined


by finding the area under the normal curve to
the left of X = 30

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Now, the probability of completing the project


within the 30 week deadline is

(v) If the project start T weeks before the due


date, the X will represent the ordinate under
normal curve to the left of which 99% of area
lies.

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

The area between n and X- being 99-50 or 49%


and Z – value corresponding to this is 2033
(From table)

Example 2:

A small project consisting of ten


activities has the following
characteristics:

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

Determine the critical path

Solution:

Network for the given project is drawn


below:

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

Value of expected time for each activity is


shown in following Table:

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Time [Earliest & latest] are calculated as


follows:
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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

As we can see there are two critical paths along


which E-values and L-values are similar, but the
longest network of critical activities is known as
critical path.

Critical path is 1-2-3-6-7-8

Expected length of critical path is = 6 + 3 + 4 +


2 + 2 = 17 weeks

Example 3:

Product manager has planned a list of activities


culminating in the inaugurate launch of the new
products.

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

These are given in the table below:

What is the probability that product manager


will be able to complete the language launch
within 80 days-time?

Solution:

Network diagram for given problem is


shown in following fig:

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Expected time value for each activity of given


network is listed in table below along with three
variance.

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

Value of earliest & latest time is


calculated on the basis of expected time
te as follows:

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

Value of earliest & latest time is


calculated on the basis of expected time
te as follows:

Hence critical path along with E-value and L-


value are same i.e., 1- 2-4-5-6-7- 8-9 Expected
project duration is 172.83 days

Variance of project length = Sum of variance of


each critical activity = 6.25 + 0.44 + 32.11
+100+1.36+.44+0= 140.6

For Z = -2.77 Probability of completing the


project with 80 days-time i.e., 0.3%.

Example 4:

A Project is composed of seven activities whose


time estimates are listed in the following table.

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

Activities are simplified by this beginning (1)


ones ending (j) Node member.

Calculate expected project length.

Solution:

Calculation of expected time for each


activity is shown in following table:

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

E- Values and L- values are calculated on


the basis of expected time are as follows:

Network diagram for given project along


with E-values and L-values is shown by
following Fig:

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3/9/23, 4:26 PM Top 4 Problems on PERT | Network Analysis | Networking

Critical path for the above network 1-3-5-6


shown by double lines; along with E- values and
L-values are same.

Expect project length will be = 4 + 6+ 7 = 17


weeks.

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