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Session 9,10-Mommies Simulation Analysis and Debrief
Session 9,10-Mommies Simulation Analysis and Debrief
S Sentinels J
T
F N P
Diplomat
Feeler INtuition Perceiver
Check understanding
Group-Strategies (preferred ways of doing things)
People Social
Confident Improvement Mastery Engagement
I I E E
A T A T
Roles Group
Mommies show –Simulation background
Producer
Syndicate Market – relation between number of reruns,
ratings & ad revenue
Expectation of Show Ratings based
7
on research Of target audience
4
3
2M 4M 6M 8M 10M 12M
Expected Ad Revenue
Mommies show –Negotiation
Expected Ad revenue
Syndicate
channel profit
Syndicate Negotiated Syndicate
channel cost channel share
Mommies show (MS) –Negotiation issues
Junior
show
Charles:Seller
David:Buyer
Poll Analysis Mommies show
1.2
USD MN
0.8
NHL Player Salary as % Team revenue
0.6
per player
0.4 80
0.2 70
0 Percentage 60
93-94 94-95 95-96 96-97 97-98 98-99 99-00 00-01 01-02 02-03 03-04
50
40
30
20
10
0
93-9494-9595-9696-9797-9898-9999-0000-0101-0202-0303-04
NHL Revenue trend 1993-2004
NHL lockout 2004-5
NHL Negotiations December 2004
Salary cap 39 MN
Sal. Cap. 55% Team rev.
NHL Mgmt Player Association
Sal Cap 52MN
No Sal link to Team Rev.
Players expected Ad
revenue share To
increase over a period
57%
75%
NBA NHL
Framing
Systematic NHL Player Salary as % Team
Bias
Vividness revenue per player 2004
Irrationality
Bias
Commitment
bias
Reactive
devaluation
Two mountaineer team who lost everything in avalanche
–find and fight for one rope
80
60
40
20
0
Reagan-US President Independent analyst Gurbachav-Russia
Premier
Logrolling (the
trading of favours, or
quid pro quo)can
lead to Pareto
Improvements
Personal Experience
Satish Called up Client 2 days after agreement & requested 40% advance
Satish: 300K needed to deliver project on time -loans
would take min 3 month;
Would help attracting angel investors (Future Proj.)
Satish proposed 1 Yr free support in return
Client agreed: Satish saves 18% interest;
client gets software in time and 1 year free support
PSS: 40% advance, 1 year free support
Mommies show: Licensing fees- 6 Episodes
Charles
$3.5MN $9.6 MN
$ 4 MN $ 6.5MN
David
Charles David
Lowest Price $3.5MN Highest Price $ 6.5MN
Highest Price $9.6 MN Lowest Price $ 4 MN
Target Price $7MN Target Price (vary) $ 5 MN