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Financial Management

MINI MBA Program


DAY 03 | 10 Mar 2022
Mini MBA
BINUS BUSINESS
– BINUS SCHOOL
BUSINESS
Executive
SCHOOLEducation
Executive Education 2022

Financial Management
Session Day Topic Learning Focus
• Basic Concept of Financial
Management
1 Intro to Financial Management
Day 1 • Accounting vs Finance
Gatot Soepriyanto • Maximizing Shareholder Wealth
8 Mar 2022 • Balance Sheet
Understanding Financial
2 • Incomes Statement
Statements
• Statement of Cash Flows
• Fixed Cost & Variable Costs
3 Cost Structures • Direct Material, Direct Labor and
Manufacturing Overhead
Day 2
Gatot Soepriyanto • Liquidity Ratios
9 Mar 2022 • Debt Management Ratios
4 Financial Ratio Analysis (Solvency)
• Asset Management Ratios
• Profitability Ratios
• Time Value of Money Concept
Capital Budgeting
5 • Discounted Cash Flows
Day 3 (Investments Decision Analysis)
• Cost of Capital (WACC)
Humprey Tjia
10 Mar 2022 • Payback Period
Capital Budgeting
6 • Net Present Value
(Investments Decision Analysis)
• Internal Rate of Return
Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 2

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Intro to Capital
Budgeting
• Financial Statements
• Balance Sheet
• Income Statement
• Financial Decision Making

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 3

BS & PL

BALANCE SHEET

Current Assets
Current Liabilities
▪ Cash
▪ Short-Term Debt
▪ Receivable
▪ Account Payable
▪ Inventory

Fixed Assets Long-Term Debt


▪ Tangible fixed assets
▪ Intangible fixed assets Shareholders’ Equity

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 4

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
BS & PL
INCOME STATEMENT

Net Revenues

-/- Cost of Revenues

Gross Profit

-/- Selling expenses


-/- General & administrative expenses
-/- Total Operating Expenses

Income from Operations

+/+ Interest income


-/- Interest expense & other financial charges
-/+ Others
Other Income (Expenses)

Income before Taxes

-/- Income tax

Net Income

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 5

Financial Decision Making


• Working Capital Management

• Capital Budgeting

• Capital Structure (& Dividend Policy)

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 6

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Session 5

CAPITAL BUDGETING (1)


(Investment Decision
Analysis)
Basic Finance Concept
• Time Value of Money
• Discounted Cash Flow/ DCF
• Weighted Average Cost of Capital/
WACC

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022

Present and Future Value


Future Value
Amount to which an
investment will grow
after earning interest

Present Value
Value today of a
future cash
flow
Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 8

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Future Values

Future Value of $100 = FV

FV = $100  (1 + r ) t

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 9

Future Values

FV = $100  (1 + r ) t

Example - FV
What is the future value of $100 if interest is
compounded annually at a rate of 7% for two years?

FV = $100  (1.07)  (1.07) = 114.49


FV = $100  (1 + .07) 2 = $114.49

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 10

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Future Values with Compounding

1800
1600 0%
1400 5%
10%
1200
FV of $100

15%
1000
Interest Rates
800
600
400
200
0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years
Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 11

Present Value

Present Value = PV

PV = discount factor  C1

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 12

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Present Value

Discount Factor = DF = PV of $1

DF = 1
(1+ r ) t

Discount Factors can be used to compute the present value of any cash flow.

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 13

Present Value
• PV formula has many applications. Given any variables in
the equation, you can solve the remaining variable. Also, you
can reverse prior example

PV = DF2  C2
PV = 1
(1+.07 ) 2
114.49 = 100

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 14

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Present Values with Compounding

120
Interest Rates
100
0%
5%
80
PV of $100

10%
60 15%

40

20

0
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Number of Years

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 15

Valuing an Office Building


Step 1: Forecast cash flows
Cost of building = C0 = 370,000
Sale price in Year 1 = C1 = 420,000

Step 2: Estimate opportunity cost of capital


If equally risky investments in the capital market
offer a return of 5%, then
Cost of capital = r = 5%

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 16

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Valuing an Office Building

Step 3: Discount future cash flows

C1
PV = (1+r ) = 420 , 000
(1+ .05 ) = 400,000
Step 4: Go ahead if PV of payoff exceeds investment

NPV = 400 ,000 − 370 ,000


= 30 ,000

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 17

Discounted Cash Flows/ DCF

For multiple periods, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF)


formula is:

PV0 = C1
(1+ r ) 1 + (1+Cr2 ) 2 + .... + (1+Crt )t

T
NPV0 = C0 +  (1+Crt )t
t =1

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 18

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
DCF – application of NPV

- $370,000

$20,000 $ 420,000

Present Value Year


0 1 2
Year 0
-$370,000
20,000/1.12 = $17,900
420,000/1.122 = $334,800
Total = - $17,300

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 19

Short Cuts
• Sometimes there are shortcuts that make it very easy to
calculate present value of asset that generates cash in
multiple periods. These tools allow us to cut through
calculations quickly.

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 20

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Short Cuts

Perpetuity – a financial concept that refers to cash flow


that is generated (theoretically received) forever

cash flow
Return =
present value
C
r=
PV

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 21

Present Values

Example
What is present value of $1 billion every year for eternity if
you estimate discount rate at 10%??

PV = $1 bil
0.10 = $10 billion

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 22

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Present Values

Example - continued
What if the investment/ project does not start making
money for 3 years?

PV = $1 bil
0.10  ( ) = $7.51 billion
1
1.103

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 23

Short Cuts
Annuity - An asset that pays fixed amount every year for a
number of years

Asset Year of Payment Present Value


1 2…..t t+1
Perpetuity (first C
payment in year 1) r

C  1
Perpetuity (first payment  
 r  (1 + r )
t
in year t + 1)

Annuity from year  C   C  1 


  −   
t 
1 to year t  r   r  (1 + r ) 

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 24

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Present Values

Example
Tiburon Autos offers you “easy payments” of $5,000 per year for 5
years. If interest rate is 7% p.a. what is the cost of the car?

5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000


Year
Present Value 0 1 2 3 4 5
at year 0
5,000 / 1.07 = 4,673
5,000 / (1.07 ) = 4,367
2

5,000 / (1.07 ) = 4,081


3

5,000 / (1.07 ) = 3,814


4

5,000 / (1.07 ) = 3,565


5

Total NPV = 20,501

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 25

Short Cuts

Annuity - An asset that pays fixed amount every year


for a number of years

1 1 
PV of annuity = C   − t
 r r (1 + r ) 

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 26

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Annuity Short Cut
Example
You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per month.
You are not required to pay any money up front or at the
end of your agreement. If your opportunity cost of capital
is 0.5% per month, what is the cost of the lease?

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 27

Annuity Short Cut

Example - continued
You agree to lease a car for 4 years at $300 per
month. You are not required to pay any money up
front or at the end of your agreement. If your
opportunity cost of capital is 0.5% per month,
what is the cost of the lease?

 1 1 
Lease Cost = 300   − 48 
 .005 .005(1 + .005) 
Cost = $12,774.10

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 28

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Annuity Short Cut

Example
The state lottery advertises a jackpot prize of $295.7
million, paid in 25 installments over 25 years of $11.828
million per year, at the end of each year. If interest rates
are 5.9% what is the true value of the lottery prize?

 1 1 
Lottery Value = 11.828   − 25 
 .059 .059(1 + .059) 
Value = $152,600,000

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 29

FV Annuity Short Cut

Future Value of an Annuity – Future value of an asset


that pays fixed amount every year for a number of
years

 (1 + r )t − 1
FV of annuity = C   
 r 

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 30

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Annuity Short Cut

Example
What is the future value of $20,000 paid annually in the
following 5 years, assuming your investment returns 8%
per year?

 (1 + .08)5 − 1
FV = 20,000   
 .08 
= $117,332

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 31

Constant Growth Perpetuity

C1
PV0 =
r−g
g = the annual growth rate of the
cash flow

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 32

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Constant Growth Perpetuity

NOTE: This formula can be used


to value a perpetuity at any point
in time

C t +1
C1 PVt =
PV0 =
r−g r−g

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 33

Constant Growth Perpetuity

Example
What is the present value of $1 billion paid annually in
perpetuity, assuming rate of return of 10% and constant
growth rate of 4%?

1
PV0 =
.10 − .04
= $16.667 billion

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 34

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Effective Interest Rates

Effective Annual Interest Rate - Interest rate that is


annualized using compound interest.

Annual Percentage Rate - Interest rate that is


annualized using simple interest.

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 35

Effective Interest Rates


Example
Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the Effective Annual
Rate(EAR)? What is the Annual Percentage Rate (APR)?

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 36

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Effective Interest Rates
Example
Given a monthly rate of 1%, what is the Effective Annual
Rate(EAR)? What is the Annual Percentage Rate (APR)?

EAR = (1 + .01)12 - 1 = r
EAR = (1 + .01)12 - 1 = .1268 or 12.68%

APR = .01 x 12 = .12 or 12.00%

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 37

Company’s Cost of Capital


• A firm’s value is sum of the value of its various assets

Firm value = PV(AB) = PV(A) + PV(B)

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 38

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Company’s Cost of Capital

BALANCE SHEET

Current Assets
Current Liabilities
▪ Cash
▪ Short-Term Debt
▪ Receivable
▪ Account Payable
▪ Inventory Cost of Debt

Fixed Assets Long-Term Debt +/+


▪ Tangible fixed assets
▪ Intangible fixed assets Shareholders’ Equity Cost of Equity

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 39

Company Cost of Capital

• A company’s cost of capital can be compared to the


CAPM required return

SML
Required
return 3.8
Company Cost of
Capital
0.2

0
Project Beta
0.5

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 40

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Company Cost of Capital

rassets = COC = rdebt ( VD ) + requity (VE )

V = D+E IMPORTANT
D = Market Value of Debt E, D, and V are all
E = Market Value of Equity market values of
Equity, Debt and Firm
Value

rdebt = YTM on bonds


requity = rf + B(rm − rf )

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 41

Weighted Average Cost of Capital

 WACC is the traditional view of capital


structure, risk and return.

WACC = (1 − Tc )rD ( VD ) + rE (VE )

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 42

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Capital Project Adjustments
1. Adjust the Discount Rate
• Modify the discount rate to reflect capital structure,
bankruptcy risk, and other factors.

2. Adjust the Present Value


• Assume an all equity financed and then make adjustments to
value based on financing.

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 43

After Tax WACC

Tax Adjusted Formula

D  E
WACC = rD  (1 − Tc)    +  rE  
V   V

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 44

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
After Tax WACC
Example - Sangria Corporation

The firm has a marginal tax rate of 35%. The cost of


equity is 12.4% and the pretax cost of debt is 6%.
Given the book and market value balance sheets,
what is the tax adjusted WACC?

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 45

After Tax WACC

Example - Sangria Corporation - continued

Balance Sheet (Book Value, millions)


Assets 1,000 500 Debt
500 Equity
Total assets 1,000 1,000 Total liabilities

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 46

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
After Tax WACC
Example - Sangria Corporation - continued

Balance Sheet (Market Value, millions)


Assets 1,250 500 Debt
750 Equity
Total assets 1,250 1,250 Total liabilities

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 47

After Tax WACC


Example - Sangria Corporation - continued

Debt ratio = (D/V) = 500/1,250 = .4 or 40%

Equity ratio = (E/V) = 750/1,250 = .6 or 60%

D  E
WACC = rD  (1 − Tc)    +  rE  
V   V

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 48

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
After Tax WACC

Example - Sangria Corporation - continued

D  E
WACC = rD  (1 − Tc)    +  rE  
V   V

WACC = .06  (1 − .35)(.40) + .124(.60)


= .090
= 9.0%

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 49

After Tax WACC

Example - Sangria Corporation - continued

The company would like to invest in a perpetual


crushing machine with cash flows of $1.731 million per
year pre-tax.

Given an initial investment of $12.5 million, what is the


value of the machine?

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 50

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
After Tax WACC
Example - Sangria Corporation - continued
The company would like to invest in a perpetual
crushing machine with cash flows of $1.731 million per
year pre-tax. Given an initial investment of $12.5
million, what is the value of the machine?

Cash Flows
Pretax cash flow 1.731
Tax @ 35% 0.606
After-tax cash flow $1.125 million

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 51

After Tax WACC


Example - Sangria Corporation - continued
The company would like to invest in a perpetual
crushing machine with cash flows of $1.731 million per
year pre-tax. Given an initial investment of $12.5
million, what is the value of the machine?

C1
NPV = C0 +
r−g
1.125
= −12.5 +
.09
=0

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 52

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
After Tax WACC
Example - Sangria Corporation – continued
Perpetual Crusher project

Balance Sheet - Perpetual Crusher (Market Value, millions)


Assets 12.5 5.0 Debt
7.5 Equity
Total assets 12.5 12.5 Total liabilities

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 53

After Tax WACC


Example - Sangria Corporation – continued
Perpetual Crusher project

After tax interest = rD (1 − TC ) D = .06  (1 − .35)  5 = .195

Expected equity income = C − rD (1 − TC ) D = 1.125 − .195 = 0.93

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 54

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
After Tax WACC
Example - Sangria Corporation – continued
Perpetual Crusher project

expected equity income


Expected equity return = rE =
equity value
0.93
= = .124 or 12.4%
7.5

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 55

After Tax WACC


• Preferred stock and other forms of financing must be
included in the formula

D  P  E 
WACC = (1 − Tc)  rD  +   rP  +   rE 
V  V  V 

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 56

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
After Tax WACC
Example - Sangria Corporation - continued
Calculate WACC given preferred stock is $25 mil of total
equity and yields 10%.

Balance Sheet (Market Value, millions)


Assets 125 50 Debt
25 Preferred Equity
50 Common Equity
Total assets 125 125 Total liabilities

 50   25   50 
WACC = (1 − .35)  .08  +   .10  +   .146 
 125   125   125 
= .1104
= 11.04%

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 57

Exercises
• If the present value of $600 expected to be received one year from
today is $400, what is the one-year discount rate?
A. 15%
B. 20%
C. 25%
D. 50%

• If the one-year discount factor is 0.90, what is the present value of


$120 to be received one year from today?
A. $100
B. $96
C. $108
D. None of the above

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 58

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Exercises
• You would like to have enough money saved to receive an $80,000 per
year perpetuity after retirement so that you and your family can lead a
good life. How much would you need to save in your retirement fund to
achieve this goal (assume that the perpetuity payments starts on the day
of retirement. The interest rate is 10%)?
A. $1,500,000 C. $800,000
B. $880,000 D. None of the above

• The market value of Charcoal Corporation's common stock is $20 million,


and the market value of its risk-free debt is $5 million. The beta of the
company's common stock is 1.25, and the market risk premium is 8%. If
the Treasury bill rate is 5%, what is the company's cost of capital?
(Assume no taxes.)
A. 15%
B. 14.6%
C. 13%
D. None of the above

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 59

Discussions
• The after-tax weighted average cost of capital (WACC) is calculated
using the formula:
A. WACC = (rD) (D/V) + (rE) (E/V) where: V = D + E
B. WACC = (rD) (1 - TC ) (D/V) + (rE) (E/V) where: V = D + E
C. WACC = (rD) (D/E) + (rE) (E/D)
D. none of the above

• What is the present value of the following cash flow at a discount rate of
9%?
Year 1: $ 100,000 Year 2: $ 150,000 Year 3: $ 200,000
A. $372,431.81
B. $450,000
C. $405,950.68
D. None of the above

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 60

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Session 6

CAPITAL BUDGETING (2)


(Investment Decision
Analysis)
Decision Making Tools
• Net Present Value/ NPV
• Internal Rate of Return/ IRR
• Payback Period (& Discounted Payback Period)
• Profitability Index/ PI
• Accounting Rate of Return/ ARR

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022

Capital Budgeting Decision


• Every possible investment/ project shall be evaluated, and
the one that generates optimum net cash flow for company is
the one that shall be selected
• Noting that a company has limited resources – hence should
prioritise and choose → Capital Rationing decision

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 62

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Net Present Value 

NPV = PV - required investment

C1
NPV = C0 +
1+ r

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 63

Risk and Present Value


• Riskier projects require higher rate of return
• Higher required rate of return will lower PVs

PV of C1 = $420,000 at 5%
420,000
PV = = 400,000
1 + .05

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 64

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Risk and Present Value

PV of C1 = $420,000 at 12%
420,000
PV = = 375,000
1 + .12

PV of C1 = $420,000 at 5%
420,000
PV = = 400,000
1 + .05
Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 65

Risk and Net Present Value

NPV = PV - required investment

NPV = 375,000 - 370,000


= $5,000

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 66

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Net Present Value Rule
• Accept investment/ project that generates positive NPV

Example
Use the original example. Should we accept the
project given a 10% expected return?

420,000
NPV = -370,000 + = $30,000
1.05

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 67

Payback Period 
• The payback period of a project is the number of years
required before the cumulative forecasted cash inflow
equals the initial outlay.

• The payback rule is to only accept project(s) that (a) has the
shortest payback period, and (b) payback period/ ‘break-
even’ time is in the desired time frame

• The main weakness of this method is primarily because it


ignores ‘Time Value of Money’ – and hence present value of
future cash flows.

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 68

This presentation material is strictly for class discussion purpose only, and can not be used, copied and
distributed for other purposes.
Payback Period
Example
Examine three projects below – threshold: project will
payback period of 2 years or less

Payback
Project C0 C1 C2 C3 NPV@ 10%
Period
A - 2000 500 500 5000
B - 2000 500 1800 0
C - 2000 1800 500 0

Mini MBA – BINUS BUSINESS SCHOOL Executive Education 2022 69

Payback Period
Answer
One will make mistake if these are evaluated using threshold
of payback period of 2 years or less

Payback
Project C0 C1 C2 C3 NPV@ 10%
Period
A - 2000 500 500 5000 3 + 2,624
B - 2000 500 1800 0 2 - 58
C - 2000 1800 500 0 2 + 50

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Internal Rate of Return 
Example
You can purchase a turbo powered machine tool gadget for
$4,000. The investment will generate $2,000 and $4,000 in
cash flows for two years, respectively. What is the IRR of
this investment?

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Internal Rate of Return


Example
You can purchase a turbo powered machine tool gadget for
$4,000. The investment will generate $2,000 and $4,000 in
cash flows for two years, respectively. What is the IRR on
this investment?

2,000 4,000
NPV = −4,000 + + =0
(1 + IRR )1 (1 + IRR ) 2
IRR = 28.08%

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Internal Rate of Return

2500
2000
1500
IRR=28%
1000
NPV (,000s)

500
0
-500 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 10
0
-1000
-1500
-2000
Discount rate (%)

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Internal Rate of Return Rule


• Accept investment/ project that generate rate of return larger
than than its cost of capital (or opportunity cost)

Example
In the project listed below, the foregone
investment opportunity cost is 12%. Should we
do the project?
profit 420,000 − 370,000
Return = = = .135 or 13.5%
investment 370,000

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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 1 - Lending or Borrowing?
• With certain cash flows (as noted below), NPV of a project
decreases as discount rate increases

• This is contrary to normal relationship between NPV and


discount rate

Project C0 C1 IRR NPV @ 10%


A − 1,000 + 1,500 + 50% + 364
B + 1,000 − 1,500 + 50% − 364

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Internal Rate of Return


Pitfall 2 - Multiple Rate of Return
• Certain cash flows profile can generate two different discount
rates/ IRR.

• The following cash flow generates NPV=$A 253 million at


both IRR% of +3.50% and +19.54%.

Cash Flows (millions of Australian dollars)


C0 C1...... ......C9 C10
−3 1 1 − 6.5

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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 2 - Multiple Rate of Return
• Certain cash flows can generate NPV=0 at two different
discount rates.
• The following cash flow generates NPV=$A 253 million at
both IRR% of +3.50% and +19.54%.

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Internal Rate of Return


Pitfall 2 - Multiple Rate of Return
• It is possible to have a zero IRR and a positive NPV

Project C0 C1 C2 IRR NPV @ 10%


C + 1,000 + 3,000 + 2,500 None + 339

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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 3 - Mutually Exclusive Projects
• IRR sometimes ignores magnitude of the project.
• The following two projects illustrate that problem.

Project C0 C1 IRR NPV @10%


D − 10,000 + 20,000 100% + 8,182
E − 20,000 + 35,000 + 75% + 11,818

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Internal Rate of Return


• Pitfall 3 - Mutually Exclusive Projects

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Internal Rate of Return
Pitfall 4 – What Happens When There is More than One
Opportunity Cost of Capital
• Term Structure Assumption
• We assume that discount rates are stable during the term of
the project.
• This assumption implies that all funds are reinvested at IRR.
• This is a false assumption.

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Profitability Index 
• When resources are limited, profitability index (PI) provides a
tool for selecting among various project combinations and
alternatives
• A set of limited resources and projects can yield various
combinations.
• The highest weighted average PI can suggest which projects
to be selected.

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Profitability Index

Cash Flows ($ millions)

@10%
Project C0 C1 C2 PV of cash inflows
A -10 +30 +5 32
B -5 +5 +20 21
C -5 +5 +15 17
D 0 -40 +60 13

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Profitability Index

Cash Flows ($ millions)

Project Investment PV of CF PI

A 10 32 3.2
B 5 21 4.2
C 5 17 3.4
D 36 50 1.4

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Profitability Index

Another Example
We only have $300,000 to invest. Which one do we
select?
Project PV of CF Investment PI

A 230,000 200,000 1.15


B 141,250 125,000 1.13
C 194,250 175,000 1.11
D 162,000 150,000 1.08

Select projects with the highest Weighted Avg PI

WAPI (BD) = 1.13(125) + 1.08(150) + 0.0 (25)


(300) (300) (300)

= 1.01

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Profitability Index

Project PV of CF Investment PI

A 230,000 200,000 1.15


B 141,250 125,000 1.13
C 194,250 175,000 1.11
D 162,000 150,000 1.08

Select projects with the highest Weighted Avg PI


WAPI (BD) = 1.01
WAPI (A) = 0.77
WAPI (BC) = 1.12

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Accounting Rate of Return 
• ARR is rate of return expected from investment/ project, by
comparing average annual profit to investment of the project

ARR = Average Annual Profit/ Investment

• Managers rarely use this measurement for decision making


as this reflects accounting calculation – does not take into
account cash flows

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Capital Rationing
Capital Rationing - Limit set on the amount of funds available
for investment.
Soft Rationing - Limits on available funds imposed by
management.
Hard Rationing - Limits on available funds imposed by the
unavailability of funds in the capital market.

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Exercises
• A company is investing in a giant crane. It is expected to cost 6.5 million in initial
investment, and it is expected to generate an end of year cash flow of 3.0 million
each year for three years. Calculate the IRR approximately.
A. 14.6 % C. 18.2%
B. 16.4 % D. 22.1%

• A company is investing in a giant crane. It is expected to cost 6.0 million in initial


investment, and it is expected to generate an end of year cash flow of 3.0 million
each year for three years. Calculate the NPV at 12% (approximately).
A. 2.4 million C. 0.80 million
B. 1.2. million D. 0.20 million

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Exercises
• What would be the weighted average profitability index of the following two
investments, given the firm only has $250 to invest?
Project A: Cost = $120, NPV = 80
Project B: Cost = $100, NPV = 75
A. .62 C. .75
B. .67 D. .79

• Which of the following investment rules does not use the time value of the money
concept?
A. Net present value
B. Internal rate of return
C. The payback period
D. All of the above use the time value concept

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Discussions
• What are some of the disadvantages of using the IRR method?
• A project will have only one internal rate of return if:
A. The net present value is positive
B. The net present value is negative
C. The cash flows decline over the life of the project
D. There is a one sign change in the cash flows

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