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Managerial Economics Lecture
Managerial Economics Lecture
Approach:
● Neoclassical framework
● Individuals are rational agents that maximize utilities subject to constraints
● Firms are rational agents that maximize profits subjects to constraints
Descriptive Prescriptive
Basic Economic Tools: A Review We will have the detailed discussions later
Demand
● shows the behavior of the consumers
● refers to the quantity demanded by the consumers given the prices holding other factors
constant
● Consumers buy more at lower prices, ceteris paribus, thus, price and quantity of a good has a
negative relationship
Supply
shows the behavior of the companies or the sellers
Refers to the quantity supplied by the sellers given the prices holding other factors constant
Sellers will sell more if the price improves, ceteris paribus, thus, price and quantity of a good has a
positive relationship
MAIN POINTS
1 Managerial economics is the application of economic principles to analyze and government
decisions.
2. In the manager has to use the following to make decisions consistent with the goals of the company
experience, judgement, common sense, intuition, rules of thumb and very important sound
analysis
3. The primary objective of many organizations, preferably the private firms, is to maximize the
value of the firm by maximizing profits. However, there are other management goals such
as making decisions in the interest of other stakeholders such as addressing the welfare
of the workers, consumers and the society at large.
The primary objective of public managers and government regulators is to maximize social
welfare, Government projects should only be undertaken if the total benefits exceed the total costs.
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PESTLE Analysis
PESTLE stands for:
Political
Economic
Social
Technological
Legal
Environmental
P - Political Factors
▸ Government policy
▸ Political stability/instability
▸ Foreign trade policy
▸ Tax policy
▸ Labor laws
▸ Environmental laws
P - Political Factors E- Economic Factors S - Social Factors
▸ Government policy Macroeconomic factors: ❑ Cultural norms and
▸ Political ❑ economic growth expectations
stability/instability ❑ interest rates ❑ Health consciousness
▸ Foreign trade policy ❑ exchange rates ❑ Population growth rate
▸ Tax policy ❑ Inflation ❑ Age distribution
▸ Labor laws ❑ Unemployment rate ❑ Career attitudes
▸ Environmental laws ❑ Factors that help us understand
Microeconomic factors: the psyche
❑ Income of the consumers of the consumers
❑ Minimum wages
❑ Working hours
❑ Credit availability
Ethical Factors
❑ Fair trade
❑ Laws on slavery
❑ Child labor
❑ Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR)
❑ Charities
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The Economics of Production, Cost and Profit Maximization of the Firm: Part 1
“Government and business leaders should pursue the path to new programs and policies the way a
climber ascends a formidable mountain or the way a soldier makes his way through a mine field with
small and careful steps” ~Anonymous
Non-profit organizations also consider the opportunity cost of their valuable resources.
Simple Analysis
❑ If firm A reduces the price of its good, the law of demand says that firm A will be able to sell a higher
quantity of the product.
❑ There are three sources of additional quantity sold by firm A
1. Existing consumers of firm A who decide to buy more
2. Consumers from competitors of firm A, say firms B, and C who now decide to buy from A
(depends on market structure).
3. New consumers of the product
Inverse Demand:
Demand: Q = 8.5 – 0.05 P
To get the Inverse demand, we invert the equation:
Q = 8.5 – 0.05P
0.05P = 8.5 – Q
P = 8.5 – Q thus P = 170 – 20Q: Inverse Demand
0.05
Demand equation: unknown is Q
Inverse demand equation: unknown is P
Reminder: all other factors are assumed constant (we will study the factors affecting demand in a
separate lecture)
The Economics of Production, Cost and Profit Maximization of the Firm: Part 2
Total Revenue
❑ Recall Demand: Q= 8.5 – 0.05P
❑ Computed Inverse demand: P = 170 – 20Q
❑ Total Revenue: Price times Quantity substituting the P equation
Total Revenue = (170 – 20Q)Q = 170Q - 20Q2
❑ It is a quadratic function, or a parabola. As the quantity sold increases, Total Revenue increases, reaches the
peak then decreases.
What is the lesson of this table and graph? Increasing the quantity sold does not always
increase the Total Revenue if the higher quantity sold happens by reducing the price. Remember
Total Revenue depends on P and Qd.
Another case: Total Revenue increases as the Qd increases
❑ This happens when the seller is able to sell more output without lowering the price.
❑ Snip info: Market Structure when your output is too small relative to the size of the market, there is no need
to reduce the price of your product to be able to sell all.
COST OF PRODUCTION
Going back to our example, to produce the microchips, the firm needs to have plant, equipment and
labor. Whether the firm produces the microchips or not, it has to spend 100 unit (1unit = $1000)
per week to run the plant. To produce a lot (1 lot=100 microchips), it has to spend 38 units (1 unit =
$1,000 in materials, labor, etc.
How to do the profit maximization using the Total Revenue Total Cost approach?
1. Invert the demand equation
2. Find the Total Revenue equation
3. The Total Cost equation is given
4. Compute the Total Revenue at the given level of output
5. Compute the Total Cost at the given level of output
6. Compute the Total Profits = Total Revenue - Total Cost
7. Choose the output where the total profit is maximum
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KEY TERMS
▶ demand
▶ law of demand
▶ marginal utility
▶ law of diminishing marginal utility
▶ demand curve
▶ quantity demanded
▶ individual demand
▶ market demand
Demand
▶ Demand indicates how much of a product consumers are both willing and able
to buy at each possible price during a given period, other things remaining
constant.
Law of Demand
▶ The law of demand says that quantity demanded varies inversely with price,
other things constant. Thus, the higher the price, the smaller the quantity
demanded
When the price of the good increases, the quantity demanded for the good decreases because of two
effects:
a) Substitution effect
b) Income effect
Demand Schedule
Price Quantity Demanded Per Pizza per Week (millions)
a. $15 8
b. 1214
c. 9 20
d. 6 26
e. 3 32
DETERMINANTS OF DEMAND
▶ Own price (-)
▶ Consumer Income
+ for normal goods
- for inferior goods
▶ The prices of related goods
-for complementary goods
+ for substitute goods
▶ The number and composition of consumers(+)
▶ Consumer expectations
income expectation (+)
price expectation (+)
▶ Consumer tastes and preferences (+)
Demand shifts
▶ A change in one of the determinants of demand other than its own price causes
a shift of a demand curve
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Elasticity of Demand
▶ Compute the elasticity of demand and explain its relevance.
▶ Discuss factors that influence elasticity of demand.
Example
Problem 1
If the price of plane fare increases by 10 %, and the quantity demanded decreases by 25 %, what is the
own price elasticity of demand for air travel?
Answer = - 25%/10% = -2.5, price elastic
Problem 2
If the price of rice increases by 10 %, and the quantity demanded decreases by 5 %, what is the own
price elasticity of demand for rice?
Answer = - 5%/10 % = - 0.5 price inelastic
Problem 3
If the price of pork increases by 10%, and the quantity demand decreases by 10 %, what is the own
price elasticity of demand for pork?
Answer = -10%/10 % = -1 unitary elastic
Problem 2
If your income increases by 12 % and your demand for instant noodles decreases by 9 %, what is the
income elasticity for instant noodles?
Answer = - 9% / 12% = - 0.75, income inelastic and instant noodles are an inferior good
The Lerner index measures the difference between the price and the marginal cost as a percentage of
the price of the product. It measures how much the firms in an industry mark up their prices over
their marginal cost. The higher the Lerner index, the higher is the mark up.
Thinking Aloud
Between a seller of vegetables in the market and oil companies like Petron, Shell and Caltex, (a) which
has a higher Lerner index, (b) Which has a higher mark up? Discuss why? (c) Is the price mark up
dependent on the market structure?
Thinking Aloud
Trivia: What do you think is the reason why the drugstores do not allow discounts for purchasing
vitamins but there are discounts for prescription drugs
Optimal price depending on the given own price elasticity of demand. If the demand is more price
elastic in market 1 compared to market 2, which markets should be charged higher?
A certain pizzeria gives a discount to students provided they show proof that they are enrolled
students. What document/proof should be required from them to quality for the discount? Support
your answer.
Thinking Aloud
Questions:
1. Vikings buffet restaurants offer meals for approximately Php 1,000. You can try as many dishes as
you want including Chinese, Japanese, German, American, French, Pinoy. There is a promo where
clients can dine for free during their birthdays provided they bring one paying customer. What pricing
strategy is this? Discuss.
2. SM stores allow you to earn a peso point for every purchase worth Php 200. If the customer has to
pay Php 100 for the issuance of the card, would you get one? Why or why not?
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Economists use econometrics which is the application of regressions to help summarize and analyze
the relationship of important economic variables.
Simple versus multiple regression - In simple linear regression we only have one independent variable
and one dependent variable. In multiple linear regression, we have one dependent variable and two or
more independent variables.
Example of a problem Suppose firm A wants to determine what are the determinants of demand for
product x. The manager selected the following variables to be tested. Qdx is the quantity sold for
product x, Px is the price of product x. Py is the price of product y (a substitute good), Pz is the price of
product z (a complementary product), B is the income of the consumers, N is the population of the
target market
The following are the hypotheses for the demand equation. We use two-tailed tests, thus, the
alternative value uses a sign.
Regression Table
Intercept - shows the value of the dependent variable (Qd) when the value of the independent
variable (P) is zero. It is represented by the "a" in the example regression. It shows the average effects
of the variables which have not been included in the regression (income of the consumers, number of
target consumers, price of substitutes, price of complementary products among others
Slope - the value that shows the change in the dependent variable with respect to a particular
independent variable. It is represented by "b" in the binary or simple regression. If there are 5
explanatory variables, then there will be 5 slopes in the regression such as "b", "c." "d", "e", "f" in the
multiple regression (see slide 3).
Standard error of the estimates -Since the coefficients of the regression model refer to the
estimates of the parameters of the population, the results vary depending on the sample and the
variation is captured by the standard error. The lower the standard error, the more precise are the
estimates.
T statistic - is computed by dividing the coefficient of an explanatory variable with its standard error.
The explanatory variable is deemed statistically significant with 5 % error if the t value is 2 while it is
statistically significant with 1% error if the t value is 3 (rule of thumb). The level of significance such as
10%, 5% or 1% shows the percentage of committing a mistake in making a conclusion that there is a
significant relationship between the explanatory variable and the dependent variable, given the null
hypothesis (Ho) that the coefficient of the given explanatory variable is zero.
P value of each coefficient - indicates if the coefficient is statistically significant from zero meaning
we reject the particular null hypothesis (Ho) and accept the alternative hypothesis (Ha). It gives the
actual value of the level of significance (% of committing an error) in rejecting the Null hypothesis.
Example, a p equal to 0.04 means that we are 96% confident that the Coefficient being tested is not
zero, (4% error)
Confidence interval- shows the range of values for the unknown parameter in the regression. Using
a two tailed test, if zero is within the given interval, then we fail to reject the Ho. If zero is not
contained in the confidence interval, then Ho should be rejected
R square - shows how much percentage of the variation in the dependent variable
is explained by the model. 0≤ R square ≤1.
Adjusted R square-shows the R square after adjusting for the number of explanatory variables. This
is because as the number of explanatory variables increases, the R square automatically increases.
The F statistic - measures the percentage of the variation in the dependent variable explained by the
model relative to the total unexplained variation. This refers to the overall fit of the model. The greater
the F statistic, the better the overall fit of the model.
p value for F - shows the chance that the regression model fits the data by chance. A value equal to
0.03 indicates that there is 3% chance that the regression model fits the data only by chance. Another
way of saying this is that we are 97% sure that the model with the explanatory variables fits the data
better than the model with no independent variables or the model with only the intercept.
Questions:
1) Can you write the demand equation for the apartment? Please indicate the resulting signs of the
explanatory variables.
2) Which determinants of demand for apartments are statistically significant? How do you know?
3) What is the meaning of the R square of 0.79?
4) is the overall model statistically significant?
5) Based on the results of the regressions, would you increase your budget for advertising? Why or
why not?
The log-log function expresses the dependent and the independent variables in logarithmic form
Example: Quarterly demand for coffee (hypothetical) In Qdt = 1.2789 0.1647 In Pt +0.5115 In Yt +
0.1483 In Pt' where Qd is the amount of per capita consumption of coffee (half kg) P is the relative
price of coffee in pesos P' is the relative price of tea per / kg.
The coefficients of the explanatory variables show the elasticity of the dependent variable with respect
to the explanatory variables
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MARKET STRUCTURES
❑ Many sellers
❑ Products are differentiated
❑ Has a narrow control over price
❑ Has low barriers to entry and exit
❑ Considerable emphasis on advertising, brand names and trademarks
❑ Examples include shoes, clothing, grocery items
Barriers to Entry
❑ The size of the market is limited and economic profit is only possible with one firm. For example, if there are
several electric companies in a certain geographical areas, those firms may not have enough market share to
cover the fixed costs and they will end up incurring losses.
❑ A firm may have the sole control over the technology, thus, no one can duplicate its product.
❑ The capital requirement is too huge to compete with the existing monopoly. For example financing a railway.
❑ The government grants patents to encourage innovations. Since it takes time and resources to develop
medicines, they enjoy patent protection for a certain number of years.
❑ The producer may have the sole control over the resources to production.
❑ A firm may enjoy geographic monopoly. A small sari-sari store in a remote area where the next store is 50
km away is also a monopoly.
Characteristics of Oligopoly
The deregulation of the oil industry allowed greater competition which led to the
decline in the market share of the “Big three”.
Duopoly
Characteristics of Monopoly
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Short run versus Long run Profit Maximization Under Pure Competition
Short run Versus Long run Profit Maximization Under Monopolistic Competition
● Since there are many sellers under monopolistic competition, each firm tries to differentiate
the products from competitors. Differentiation may be real (meaning there is a real difference
in the substance) or fancy (they may be different only in packaging, or minor features like
scents varieties.
● They try to make customers loyal to them through advertising to make it appear that the
products of the competitors are not close substitutes to their products.
● Optimal output is produced where MR = MC
● Just like any other firms, they can also incur losses.
● Short run Versus the Long run Profit
Short run: Since firms have a way to differentiate their products from competitors, they can keep
their customers loyal to them. Advertising makes the product less elastic meaning, the customers are
not attracted to shift to similar products because they believe that they are not close substitutes. In
this case, the firms can somewhat control the price of their products.
Long run: Positive economic profits attract other firms to enter the industry, and since there are low
barriers to entry, the long run economic profit becomes zero. Firms which are realizing negative
economic profits may decide to exit.
Short run: firms may enjoy not only positive normal profit but also positive economic profits
because the firms have substantial control over the market.
Long run: Even though there is positive economic profit in the short run and this attracts other firms
to enter the industry, there are high barriers. Thus, it is possible that oligopolists may realize positive
economic profits in the long run.
● Does this mean that oligopolists do not incur losses? No, even though they are big firms, it is
still possible for them to incur losses. The Caltex gasoline station in Bacal III is now being
replaced by a new oil player.
Short run Versus Long run Profit Maximization under Monopoly
● Is it possible for a monopolist to incur losses? Yes. Being big or having no competitors is not a
guarantee that the firm will not incur losses.
● Since the demand for the product of the monopoly is inelastic (remember the greater the
number of competitors, the greater the elasticity of demand), it is beneficial for the
monopolist to increase the price to increase revenue and maximize economic profits.
● Profit is maximized where MR = MC
● Unlike the pure competition where the economic profit is zero in the long run, it is possible
for the monopoly to enjoy positive economic profit in both the short run and in the long run
because the entry of potential competitors is prevented.