Professional Documents
Culture Documents
IO Questions 2
IO Questions 2
We will look at the idea for Leontief's model of an “open economy” a term which we
will explain below. It starts by looking very similar to an example of a “closed
economy” that we saw near the beginning of this course. Here, however, we start with a
matrix whose columns represent “consumption” (rather than “production” as in the
earlier example).
In the case of simple examples, we can solve the equations that we will set up. However,
proofs of the deeper and more interesting theorems about “what happens in general” are
beyond the scope of this course.
Assume that an economy has 8 sectors W" ß ÞÞÞß W8 . Amounts consumed or produced by
each sector are measured in $ (value of goods consmbed or produced).
We begin with a consumption matrix G : the 4>2 column lists the amount of goods
(in $) consumed Ðor “demanded”Ñ by sector W4 from sectors W" ß W# ß ÞÞÞß W8 to produce one
unit ($) of its product..
Columns of G are
consumption vectors by sectors
W" â W4 â W8
to produce 1 unit of product (measured in $)
Æ Æ Æ
W" Ä "" "8
ã
- â - "4 â -
Consumed from W3 Ä -3" â -34 â -38 œ G
ã
ã
W8 Ä -8" â -84 â -88
ã
Sectors W" ,..., W8 to produce one unit ($) of product. Of course, we could also think of
this as a list of costs ($) for Sector 1 to produce one unit of product, and the sum of the
entries gives the total cost of all products consumed (demanded) by Sector 1 to produce
one unit of its product.
The same is true for each column: the entries in Column 4 represent the consumption
(demands, or costs) of sector W4 from sectors W" ß W# ß ÞÞÞß W8 in order for W4 to produce one
unit ($) of product.
Each column sum represents the costs for that sector to produce one unit. If a column
sum is ", we say that sector is profitable.)
-"4 B4 -"4
ã ã
If we weight Column 4 with a scalar B4 0 , then the vector B4 -34 œ B4 -34 lists
-84 B4 -84
ã ã
the consumption (demand, cost) by sector W4 from other sectors to produce B4 units of its
own product.
B"
B
call B œ # is called a production vector. Then what does the vector G B mean?
B8
ã
In other words, GB lists the demands that must be supplied from each sector to the others
to deliver the production vector B Þ
."
.
Supppose . œ # tells how many units (in $) the open sector demands from each
.8
ã
We want to know if it is possible to set a level of production B so that both the productive
and open sectors are satisfied, with nothing left over. That is, we want to find an B so that
B œ GB . (***)
Å Å Å
Total production œ Demand from + Demand from
productive sectors open sector
to produce B
(called “intermediate ( called “final
demand” ) demand” )
: MB œ GB .
M B G B œ . or
ÐM GÑ B œ .
To take a simple example, suppose the economy has 4 productive sectors W" ß ÞÞÞW% and
the consumption matrix is
Consumption vectors for
W " W # W $ W%
Æ Æ Æ Æ
Þ"! Þ!& Þ$! Þ#!
Þ"& Þ#& Þ!& Þ"!
G œ
Þ"& Þ#! Þ"! Þ#!
Þ$! Þ"! Þ"! Þ#&
#&!!!
"!!!!
If the demand from the open sector is . œ , then we want to solve
&!!!!
$!!!!
These calculations were carried out to many decimal places, but the displayed
numbers are rounded, at the end, to the nearest unit ($)
)&&)!
&!'#!
The equation (***) will be satisfied if Bœ , that is,
"!$##!
*'"'!
Notice: the row reduced echelon form shows that M G is invertible, so the solution for
B is actually unique: B œ ÐM GÑ" . Þ (We could have solved the matrix equation
ÐM GÑB œ . in the first place by trying to find M GÑ" , but that's even more work.)
This theorem is too hard for us to prove, but we can give an intuitive argument for it.
Theorem (using the same notation as above) If G and . have nonnegative entries and
the column sums in G are all " (that is, if every sector is profitable), then ÐM GÑ
must be invertible and therefore there is a unique production vector satisfying the
equation ÐM GÑB œ . , namely B œ ÐM GÑ" . . Moreover, this B is economically
feasible in the sense that all its entries are !Þ
Here is an informal, imprecise discussion that might give you some confidence that the
theorem is actually true.
1) Suppose G is any 8 ‚ 8 matrix with entries all 0 and all column sums "Þ
Then G 7 Ä ! as 7 Ä ∞.
Å
(the 8 ‚ 8 zero matrixÑ
This statement just means that “each entry - in the matrix G 7 can be made as
close to ! as we like by choosing 7 large enough.”
To keep things simple, we will only look at the case when G œ
- .
+ ,
,
a # ‚ # matrix. But the idea is similar when G is 8 ‚ 8.
G œ œ
-C .A
B C + , B C +B ,D +C ,A
,
D A - . D A -B .D
G œ G# œ
. - .
B C + , + ,
and
D A -
G$ œ G † G# œ
.
+ ,
† G # , the sum of each column is Ÿ α$ .
-
Continuing in this way, we get that each column sum in G 7 is Ÿ α7 Þ Since all
the elements in G 7 are nonnegative, this means that every individual entry - in
the matrix G 7 satisfies ! Ÿ - Ÿ α7 Þ Since α7 Ä ! as 7 Ä ∞ (because
! Ÿ α ")ß we get that each entry - in G 7 approaches ! as 7 Ä ∞Þ
ÐM GÑ ÐM G G # ÞÞÞ G 7 Ñ
œ ÐM GÑ M ÐMGÑ G ÐMGÑ G # ÞÞÞ ÐMGÑ G 7
œ M # GM MG G # MG # G $ ÞÞÞ MG 7 G 7"
œ M G G G # G # ÞÞ. ÞÞÞ G 7 G 7 G 7"
7"
œM G
Å so ÐM G G # ÞÞÞ G 7 Ñ is
approximately an inverse for ÐM G Ñ, that is
ÐM G G # ÞÞÞ G 7 Ñ ¸ ÐM G Ñ"
ÐM GÑ" ¸ ÐM G G # ÞÞÞ G 7 Ñ, so
B œ ÐM GÑ" . ¸ ÐM G G # ÞÞÞ G 7 Ñ † . or
B ¸ . G . G # . ÞÞÞ G 7 .
Does that make any sense? Think about it like this: we ask the sectors to meet the final
demand . , and they set out to do it. But producing the goods listed in . creates
additional demands: each sector has demands from the others to be able to produce
anything at all. In fact, the sectors must supply each other with the products listed in G.
so that they can produce . . But then, to produce G . ß the sectors require an additional
GÐG . ÑÑ in products and so on and so on .... To make it all work, the needed
production B is an infinite sum:
B œ . G . G # . ÞÞÞ G 7 . ÞÞÞ
The column vectors in ÐM GÑ" actually have an economic interpretation: see the
remarks following the next example
Example Here is an example with a slightly more realistic set of data involving the
Leontief Open Economy Production Model. The data is from #13, p. 137 in the textbook.
The consumption matrix G is based on input-output data for the U.S. economy in 1958,
with data for 81 sectors grouped here (for manageability) into ( larger sectors: (1)
nonmetal household and personal products (2) final metal products (such as autos) (3)
basic metal products and mining (4) basic nonmetal products and agriculture (5) energy
(6) services and (7) entertainment and miscellaneous products. Units are in millions of
dollars. (From Wassily W. Leontief, “The Structure of the US Economy”, Scientific
American, April 1965, pp. 30-32).
It turns out that M G is invertible (as it should be, according to the Theorem stated)
(%!!!
&'!!!
"!&!!
For a final demand vector . œ #&!!! , the solution to B œ G B . is easy with
"(&!!
&!!!
"*'!!!
(%!!! 99580
&'!!! 97700
"!&!! 51230
"
so B œ ÐM GÑ . œ ÐM GÑ #&!!! œ 13157
"
"(&!! 49490
&!!! 13840
"*'!!! 32955
Suppose G is an 8 ‚ 8 consumption matrix with entries ! and column sums each less
than "Þ Let
Ї‡Ñ
B œ production vector that satisfies a final demand .
?B œ production vector that satisfies a different final demand ?.
Ðfor the moment, just think of ?B and ?d as fancy names for two new production/final
demand vectors having no connection to Bß . Ñ
Then by (**) B œ GB .
?B œ G ?B ?.
Adding the equations and rearranging, we get
B ?B œ GÐB ?BÑ Ð. ?. Ñ
At this point you can think of ?. as we would in calculus as a change in the final
demand . , and ?B is the corresponding change made necessary in the production vector
B to satisfy the new final demand.
"
!
Suppose we let ?. œ , that is, “increase the final demand from sector W"
!
ã
by 1 unit.”
"
!
?B œ ÐM GÑ" ?. œ ÐM GÑ"
!
ã
ÐM GÑ ÐM GÑ ÐM GÑ
col 1
"
of
œ
ÐM GÑ
"
!
So the ?B corresponding to ?. œ is the first column of ÐM GÑ" Þ
!
ã
In other words: a change of one unit in the final demand from sector W" requires a
change ?B in the production vector required to satisfy the new demand, and ?B œ the
first column of ÐM GÑ" .
Similarly, you can show that a change of one unit in the demand of sector W# causes a
change in the production vector ?B œ the second column of ÐM GÑ" à etc.
The column vectors in ÐM GÑ" are not just “accidental” vectors that pop up in
computing the inverse; they have economic meaning.
"
!
So, in the preceding example: a change of ?. œ ß that is a change of 1 unit
!
ã
Ð œ " million dollarsÑ in the demand for goods from sector W" forces the necessary
production vector
99580
97700
51230
13157 to change to B ?B,
49490
Bœ
13840
32955
1.2212
0.0432
0.0806
?B œ "=> column of ÐM GÑ" œ 0.6732
0.0636
where
0.0213
0.3409